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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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4896143191 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for price diffusion

Study provides error estimates for approximating game options with diffusion asset prices.

problem Approximating fair prices of game options with diffusion asset prices.
method Error estimates for discrete approximations of diffusion processes, applied to game options.
result Effective tool for computing fair prices of game options in multi-asset markets.

Simplifies pricing options in jump-diffusion models using gauge transformations.

problem Pricing European options in affine jump-diffusion models.
method Gauge transformation in the dual space to reduce to diffusion model pricing.
result A general procedure for calculating ΦΦ and applications in pricing and estimation.

Simulates financial market orders using anomalous diffusion models.

problem Anomalous diffusion in financial market order dynamics.
method Discrete Time Random Walk with Sibuya waiting times, non-uniform sampling, and cubic spline interpolation.
result Demonstrates price impact for different forcing functions and model parameters.

This research improves option pricing models using Heston, GARCH, and jump diffusion models.

problem Inaccurate option pricing due to Black-Scholes assumptions.
method Monte Carlo simulation, GARCH model, Heston model, Merton jump-diffusion model.
result Heston model produces estimates closer to market prices, Merton model performs well for volatile assets, GARCH model improves volatility forecasts.

Paper presents fast methods for pricing energy derivatives using mean-reverting jump-diffusion models.

problem Pricing energy derivatives with mean-reverting and occasional spikes.
method Exact and fast simulation of spot price dynamics using Ornstein-Uhlenbeck and jump-diffusion processes.
result Apparent computational advantages of the proposed procedures for pricing Asian options, gas storages, and swings.

Several models of stock trading [P. Bak et al, Physica A {\bf 246}, 430 (1997)] are analyzed in analogy with one-dimensional, two-species reaction-diffusion-branching processes. Using heuristic and scaling arguments, we show that the short-time market price variation is subdiffusive with a Hurst exponent H=1/4H=1/4. Biase…

1998-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for pricing various debt securities.

problem Pricing of different types of debt securities under general short-rate processes.
method Unifying framework using continuous-time Markov chain approximations and bi-dimensional diffusion processes.
result Closed-form matrix expressions and efficient algorithms for pricing various debt securities.

Based on the new type of random walk process called the Potentials of Unbalanced Complex Kinetics (PUCK) model, we theoretically show that the price diffusion in large scales is amplified 2/(2 + b) times, where b is the coefficient of quadratic term of the potential. In short time scales the price diffusion depends on …

2006-08-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses Hawkes and diffusion models to analyze stock price dynamics.

problem Analyzing volatility and price dynamics in ultra-high-frequency stock data.
method Combined symmetric Hawkes and diffusion models with maximum likelihood estimation.
result Model provides accurate volatility estimation and dynamics of parameters.

We develop a comprehensive mathematical framework for polynomial jump-diffusions in a semimartingale context, which nest affine jump-diffusions and have broad applications in finance. We show that the polynomial property is preserved under polynomial transformations and Lévy time change. We present a generic method for…

2017-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops semi-analytic method for American options in time-dependent jump-diffusion models.

problem Pricing American options in models with time-dependent and exponential jumps.
method Generalizes existing methods for barrier and American options to handle arbitrary time dependencies and solves the problem through algebraic and Fredholm-Volterra equations.
result Presents a semi-analytic solution for American options in time-dependent jump-diffusion models with exponential jumps.

We study markets with no riskless (safe) asset. We derive the corresponding Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing equations for markets where there are only risky assets which have the following price dynamics: (i) continuous diffusions; (ii) jump-diffusions; (iii) diffusions with stochastic volatilities, and; (iv) geome…

2016-12-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Diffusion-VAE tackles multi-step stock price prediction with stochastic noise.

problem Challenges in multi-step stock price prediction due to stochasticity and target price sequence.
method Combines hierarchical VAE and diffusion probabilistic techniques for seq2seq stock prediction.
result D-Va model outperforms state-of-the-art solutions in prediction accuracy and variance.

The proposed model modifies option pricing formulas for the basic case of log-normal probability distribution providing correspondence to formulated criteria of efficiency and completeness. The model is self-calibrating by historic volatility data; it maintains the constant expected value at maturity of the hedged inst…

2008-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

First, classes of Markov processes that scale exactly with a Hurst exponent H are derived in closed form. A special case of one class is the Tsallis density, advertised elsewhere as nonlinear diffusion or diffusion with nonlinear feedback. But the Tsallis model is only one of a very large class of linear diffusion with…

2006-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider option pricing in a regime-switching diffusion market. As the market is incomplete, there is no unique price for a derivative. We apply the good-deal pricing bounds idea to obtain ranges for the price of a derivative. As an illustration, we calculate the good-deal pricing bounds for a European call option a…

2010-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Study adapts liquidity model to equity auctions, revealing accelerated event rates and reduced price impact.

problem Understanding and predicting price dynamics in equity auctions.
method Adapted latent/revealed order book framework to equity auctions, measuring order submissions, cancellations, and diffusion rates.
result Equity auctions exhibit accelerated event rates leading to reduced price impact and decreased volatility.

We consider a special family of occupation-time derivatives, namely proportional step options introduced by Linetsky in [Math. Finance, 9, 55--96 (1999)]. We develop new closed-form spectral expansions for pricing such options under a class of nonlinear volatility diffusion processes which includes the constant-elastic…

2013-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Formula for option pricing in a stochastic volatility model with jumps.

problem Developing a formula for European option pricing in a complex stochastic volatility model.
method Fractional integral of a diffusion process, martingale representation, and Itô calculus for processes with jumps.
result A first-order approximation formula for option prices.

This paper uses Malliavin calculus to price and compute delta of financial derivatives in jump-diffusion models.

problem Pricing and delta computation of financial derivatives in jump-diffusion models with stochastic intensity.
method Utilizes Malliavin calculus to price and compute delta, applying the Euler scheme for convergence analysis.
result Established the convergence of approximated solution, financial derivative, and its delta Greeks.

Study parameter sensitivities in bond pricing models with jumps.

problem Analyzing the impact of parameters on bond pricing models with jumps.
method Theoretical analysis and MATLAB simulations of a Brownian motion and compound Poisson process.
result Explicit call price formula and verification of sensitivities.

We investigate the pricing of cliquet options in a jump-diffusion model. The considered option is of monthly sum cap style while the underlying stock price model is driven by a drifted Lévy process entailing a Brownian diffusion component as well as compound Poisson jumps. We also derive representations for the density…

2018-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on implied volatility of an affine jump-diffusion model.

problem Characterize implied volatility of an affine jump-diffusion model.
method Explicit moment generating function derived from solving ODEs; large deviation principle applied.
result Asymptotic behaviors of implied volatility in large-maturity and large-strike regimes characterized.

Develops polynomial diffusion models for multi-factor commodity futures dynamics.

problem Modeling futures prices using latent state variables for short and long-term stochastic factors.
method Polynomial diffusion models to incorporate non-linear effects, two filtering methods for estimation.
result Accurate estimation of futures prices despite parameter identification issues in polynomial diffusion models.

New deep learning method for option pricing in jump-diffusion models.

problem Option pricing in jump-diffusion models with high-dimensional assets.
method Implicit-explicit minimizing movement time-stepping approach using deep ANNs.
result Consistent and asymptotically correct solutions for large underlyings.

The distribution of price returns for a class of uncorrelated diffusive dynamics is considered. The basic assumptions are (1) that there is a "consensus" value associated with a stock, and (2) that the rate of diffusion depends on the deviation of the stock price from the consensus value. We find an analytical expressi…

2004-09-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses neural networks to value Bitcoin options considering price jumps and sentiment.

problem Valuing Bitcoin options under price jumps and market sentiment.
method Bivariate jump-diffusion model, incorporating Google search sentiment, and artificial neural networks.
result Derives a closed formula for Bitcoin option pricing and validates using high-volatile stocks.

The article provides representations of exchange option prices under SVJD dynamics.

problem Modeling and pricing exchange options under stochastic volatility and jumps.
method Develops representations for European and American exchange options using SVJD dynamics and equivalent martingale measures.
result Derives integro-partial differential equations and representations for exchange option prices.

This paper proposes to model asset price dynamics with a mixture of diffusion processes where the instantaneous volatility of the underlying diffusion process contains a random vector. The marginal probability distributions of the proposed process can match exactly the risk-neutral distributions implied by both spot va…

2016-10-05abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we present a new multi-asset pricing model, which is built upon newly developed families of solvable multi-parameter single-asset diffusions with a nonlinear smile-shaped volatility and an affine drift. Our multi-asset pricing model arises by employing copula methods. In particular, all discounted single-…

2011-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces a new model to improve exotic option pricing.

problem Challenges in pricing exotic options and structured products due to market phenomena.
method Introduces a Diffusion-Conditional Probability Model (DDPM) with a composite loss function and P-Q dynamic game framework.
result The DDPM outperforms traditional models in dynamic games for European and Asian options, but underestimates tail risks.