A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study provides error estimates for approximating game options with diffusion asset prices.
Simplifies pricing options in jump-diffusion models using gauge transformations.
Develops a new model for pricing without arbitrage opportunities.
Formula for European option pricing under jump diffusion model.
Simulates financial market orders using anomalous diffusion models.
This research improves option pricing models using Heston, GARCH, and jump diffusion models.
We report statistical regularities of the opening and closing auctions of French equities, focusing on the diffusive properties of the indicative auction price. Two mechanisms are at play as the auction end time nears: the typical price change magnitude decreases, favoring underdiffusion, while the rate of these events…
Generative model uses DDPMs for risk-neutral derivative pricing.
Paper presents fast methods for pricing energy derivatives using mean-reverting jump-diffusion models.
Several models of stock trading [P. Bak et al, Physica A {\bf 246}, 430 (1997)] are analyzed in analogy with one-dimensional, two-species reaction-diffusion-branching processes. Using heuristic and scaling arguments, we show that the short-time market price variation is subdiffusive with a Hurst exponent . Biase…
Unified framework for pricing various debt securities.
Novel method prices call options using Pearson diffusion processes.
Enhances option pricing with fractional order Black-Scholes-Merton model.
Based on the new type of random walk process called the Potentials of Unbalanced Complex Kinetics (PUCK) model, we theoretically show that the price diffusion in large scales is amplified 2/(2 + b) times, where b is the coefficient of quadratic term of the potential. In short time scales the price diffusion depends on …
Study uses Hawkes and diffusion models to analyze stock price dynamics.
We develop a comprehensive mathematical framework for polynomial jump-diffusions in a semimartingale context, which nest affine jump-diffusions and have broad applications in finance. We show that the polynomial property is preserved under polynomial transformations and Lévy time change. We present a generic method for…
Proposes MLEs for MMJDM with EM-algorithm.
A discretization scheme for nonnegative diffusion processes is proposed and the convergence of the corresponding sequence of approximate processes is proved using the martingale problem framework. Motivations for this scheme come typically from finance, especially for path-dependent option pricing. The scheme is simple…
Paper develops semi-analytic method for American options in time-dependent jump-diffusion models.
We study markets with no riskless (safe) asset. We derive the corresponding Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing equations for markets where there are only risky assets which have the following price dynamics: (i) continuous diffusions; (ii) jump-diffusions; (iii) diffusions with stochastic volatilities, and; (iv) geome…
Diffusion-VAE tackles multi-step stock price prediction with stochastic noise.
Paper develops models for better HFT and algorithmic trading.
The proposed model modifies option pricing formulas for the basic case of log-normal probability distribution providing correspondence to formulated criteria of efficiency and completeness. The model is self-calibrating by historic volatility data; it maintains the constant expected value at maturity of the hedged inst…
In this short paper, in order to price occupation-time options, such as (double-barrier) step options and quantile options, we derive various joint distributions of a mixed-exponential jump-diffusion process and its occupation times of intervals.
First, classes of Markov processes that scale exactly with a Hurst exponent H are derived in closed form. A special case of one class is the Tsallis density, advertised elsewhere as nonlinear diffusion or diffusion with nonlinear feedback. But the Tsallis model is only one of a very large class of linear diffusion with…
We consider option pricing in a regime-switching diffusion market. As the market is incomplete, there is no unique price for a derivative. We apply the good-deal pricing bounds idea to obtain ranges for the price of a derivative. As an illustration, we calculate the good-deal pricing bounds for a European call option a…
Study adapts liquidity model to equity auctions, revealing accelerated event rates and reduced price impact.
We consider a special family of occupation-time derivatives, namely proportional step options introduced by Linetsky in [Math. Finance, 9, 55--96 (1999)]. We develop new closed-form spectral expansions for pricing such options under a class of nonlinear volatility diffusion processes which includes the constant-elastic…
In this paper, we focus on option pricing models based on space-time fractional diffusion. We briefly revise recent results which show that the option price can be represented in the terms of rapidly converging double-series and apply these results to the data from real markets. We focus on estimation of model paramete…
Formula for option pricing in a stochastic volatility model with jumps.
This paper uses Malliavin calculus to price and compute delta of financial derivatives in jump-diffusion models.
Study parameter sensitivities in bond pricing models with jumps.
We investigate the pricing of cliquet options in a jump-diffusion model. The considered option is of monthly sum cap style while the underlying stock price model is driven by a drifted Lévy process entailing a Brownian diffusion component as well as compound Poisson jumps. We also derive representations for the density…
Study on implied volatility of an affine jump-diffusion model.
Path integral techniques for the pricing of financial options are mostly based on models that can be recast in terms of a Fokker-Planck differential equation and that, consequently, neglect jumps and only describe drift and diffusion. We present a method to adapt formulas for both the path-integral propagators and the …
Develops polynomial diffusion models for multi-factor commodity futures dynamics.
New deep learning method for option pricing in jump-diffusion models.
The distribution of price returns for a class of uncorrelated diffusive dynamics is considered. The basic assumptions are (1) that there is a "consensus" value associated with a stock, and (2) that the rate of diffusion depends on the deviation of the stock price from the consensus value. We find an analytical expressi…
Study uses neural networks to value Bitcoin options considering price jumps and sentiment.
The article provides representations of exchange option prices under SVJD dynamics.
The paper models stock returns using -Gaussians and negative binomials.
This paper proposes to model asset price dynamics with a mixture of diffusion processes where the instantaneous volatility of the underlying diffusion process contains a random vector. The marginal probability distributions of the proposed process can match exactly the risk-neutral distributions implied by both spot va…
The paper introduces new methods for Asian option pricing using Laguerre quadrature.
In this paper we present a new multi-asset pricing model, which is built upon newly developed families of solvable multi-parameter single-asset diffusions with a nonlinear smile-shaped volatility and an affine drift. Our multi-asset pricing model arises by employing copula methods. In particular, all discounted single-…
In this article, a compact finite difference method is proposed for pricing European and American options under jump-diffusion models. Partial integro-differential equation and linear complementary problem governing European and American options respectively are discretized using Crank-Nicolson Leap-Frog scheme. In pro…
We approximate sticky diffusions using Markov chains for efficient simulation.
The paper introduces a new model to improve exotic option pricing.
In this paper, we show that the price of an European call option, whose underlying asset price is driven by the space-time fractional diffusion, can be expressed in terms of rapidly convergent double-series. The series formula can be obtained from the Mellin-Barnes representation of the option price with help of residu…