A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New budget quantifies drift in closed-loop learning, improving reproducibility.
Prequential posteriors tackle data assimilation for deep generative forecasting models.
Study improves neural network performance in sequential learning for image classification.
MDL principle aids in learning neural network-based causal structures.
Measures neural network information transfer for generalization.
Bayesian RL tackles uncertainty with deep generative models and sequential samplers.
Study on reducing forgetting in neural networks using compression theory.
Bayesian model averaging, model selection and its approximations such as BIC are generally statistically consistent, but sometimes achieve slower rates og convergence than other methods such as AIC and leave-one-out cross-validation. On the other hand, these other methods can br inconsistent. We identify the "catch-up …
This paper concerns sequential computation of risk measures for financial data and asks how, given a risk measurement procedure, we can tell whether the answers it produces are `correct'. We draw the distinction between `external' and `internal' risk measures and concentrate on the latter, where we observe data in real…
Given a set of possible models (e.g., Bayesian network structures) and a data sample, in the unsupervised model selection problem the task is to choose the most accurate model with respect to the domain joint probability distribution. In contrast to this, in supervised model selection it is a priori known that the chos…
Given a set of possible models (e.g., Bayesian network structures) and a data sample, in the unsupervised model selection problem the task is to choose the most accurate model with respect to the domain joint probability distribution. In contrast to this, in supervised model selection it is a priori known that the chos…
Unified framework for Bayesian online learning in changing conditions.
We introduce a novel incremental decision tree learning algorithm, Hoeffding Anytime Tree, that is statistically more efficient than the current state-of-the-art, Hoeffding Tree. We demonstrate that an implementation of Hoeffding Anytime Tree---"Extremely Fast Decision Tree", a minor modification to the MOA implementat…
Transformers approximate Bayesian posteriors but not exactly.
stream-learn is a Python package compatible with scikit-learn and developed for the drifting and imbalanced data stream analysis. Its main component is a stream generator, which allows to produce a synthetic data stream that may incorporate each of the three main concept drift types (i.e. sudden, gradual and incrementa…
We propose an online method for concept driftdetection based on dynamic classifier ensemble selection. Theproposed method generates a pool of ensembles by promotingdiversity among classifier members and chooses expert ensemblesaccording to global prequential accuracy values. Unlike currentdynamic ensemble selection app…
The Denoising Autoencoder (DAE) enhances the flexibility of the data stream method in exploiting unlabeled samples. Nonetheless, the feasibility of DAE for data stream analytic deserves an in-depth study because it characterizes a fixed network capacity that cannot adapt to rapidly changing environments. Deep evolving …
POLA adapts learning rates for online time series prediction.
Nowadays, every device connected to the Internet generates an ever-growing stream of data (formally, unbounded). Machine Learning on unbounded data streams is a grand challenge due to its resource constraints. In fact, standard machine learning techniques are not able to deal with data whose statistics is subject to gr…
Bayesian models for networks are often misspecified, leading to overconfident inference.
The concept of SCN offers a fast framework with universal approximation guarantee for lifelong learning of non-stationary data streams. Its adaptive scope selection property enables for proper random generation of hidden unit parameters advancing conventional randomized approaches constrained with a fixed scope of rand…
Study on reproducibility in optimization with bounds on limits.
Survival analysis models research reproducibility, offering new insights.
In Bayesian statistics, the marginal likelihood, also known as the evidence, is used to evaluate model fit as it quantifies the joint probability of the data under the prior. In contrast, non-Bayesian models are typically compared using cross-validation on held-out data, either through -fold partitioning or leave-$p…
Clarifies the scope of 'reproducibility' in AI and ML.
This chapter introduces reproducibility in machine learning for medical imaging.
New algorithms ensure reproducibility and optimal convergence in convex optimization.
Proposes a method to improve neural architectures reproducibly.
The paper aims to improve reproducibility of machine learning experiments.
In this paper we solve support vector machines in reproducing kernel Banach spaces with reproducing kernels defined on nonsymmetric domains instead of the traditional methods in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. Using the orthogonality of semi-inner-products, we can obtain the explicit representations of the dual (nor…
NeurIPS 2019 program improves reproducibility in machine learning.
When performing regression or classification, we are interested in the conditional probability distribution for an outcome or class variable Y given a set of explanatoryor input variables X. We consider Bayesian models for this task. In particular, we examine a special class of models, which we call Bayesian regression…
Challenge encourages reproducible deep learning methods.
In this paper, we discuss the approaches we took and trade-offs involved in making a paper on a conceptual topic in pattern recognition research fully reproducible. We discuss our definition of reproducibility, the tools used, how the analysis was set up, show some examples of alternative analyses the code enables and …
Paper explores RKHS properties for derivative and integral operators.
OEUVRE estimates online loss with constant time and memory, outperforming other methods.
Develops Bayesian filtering for online learning and related problems.
The reproducibility of scientific research has become a point of critical concern. We argue that openness and transparency are critical for reproducibility, and we outline an ecosystem for open and transparent science that has emerged within the human neuroimaging community. We discuss the range of open data sharing re…
A new framework predicts hidden Markov model regimes online.
This is a report for reproducibility challenge of NeurlIPS 2019 on the paper Competitive Gradient Descent (Schafer et al., 2019). The paper introduces a novel algorithm for the numerical computation of Nash equilibria of competitive two-player games. It avoids oscillatory and divergent behaviours seen in alternating gr…
What makes a paper independently reproducible? Debates on reproducibility center around intuition or assumptions but lack empirical results. Our field focuses on releasing code, which is important, but is not sufficient for determining reproducibility. We take the first step toward a quantifiable answer by manually att…
We study reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS) on a Riemannian manifold. In particular, we discuss under which condition Sobolev spaces are RKHS and characterize their reproducing kernels. Further, we introduce and discuss a class of smoother RKHS that we call diffusion spaces. We illustrate the general results with…
The feasibility of deep neural networks (DNNs) to address data stream problems still requires intensive study because of the static and offline nature of conventional deep learning approaches. A deep continual learning algorithm, namely autonomous deep learning (ADL), is proposed in this paper. Unlike traditional deep …
ERICA assesses reproducibility in cluster analysis.
This paper extends mirror descent to Banach spaces with reproducing kernels.
The paper uses Banach spaces to analyze neural networks.
LLM-based trading systems vary in execution realism and reproducibility.
The study uses reproducing kernels to model bond discount curves.