Study compares resampling methods for rare event prediction in longitudinal studies.
problem Predicting rare events in longitudinal follow-up studies.
method Comparison of resampling methods to improve standard regression models.
result Effect of sampling rate on model predictive performance.
New law predicts first extinction in resampling processes.
problem Intractable extinction times in resampling processes.
method Modeling multinomial updates as independent square-root diffusions.
result Closed-form law for first-extinction time with linear cost.
VPR improves posterior uncertainty quantification by combining VI and predictive resampling.
problem Inaccurate posterior sampling with MCMC due to computational constraints.
method Variational predictive resampling (VPR) that uses VI's predictive strength and imputes future observations.
result VPR converges to the exact Bayesian posterior in a Gaussian location model and improves uncertainty quantification.
In many real-world binary classification tasks (e.g. detection of certain objects from images), an available dataset is imbalanced, i.e., it has much less representatives of a one class (a minor class), than of another. Generally, accurate prediction of the minor class is crucial but it's hard to achieve since there is…
Framework for fair predictive models using resampled sensitive attributes.
problem Achieving fair predictions in machine learning models.
method Introducing a discrepancy functional and resampling sensitive attributes.
result Improved performance and equitable uncertainty quantification.
Importance sampling (IS) is a common reweighting strategy for off-policy prediction in reinforcement learning. While it is consistent and unbiased, it can result in high variance updates to the weights for the value function. In this work, we explore a resampling strategy as an alternative to reweighting. We propose Im…
The study improves life insurance surrender risk modeling using various machine learning techniques.
problem Accurate modeling of surrender risk in life insurance to meet Solvency II directive requirements.
method Extensive experiments with XGBoost, random forest, GLM, and neural networks; resampling analysis; time-dependent confidence bands.
result Models trained on resampled data predict significantly biased event probabilities, highlighting the need for complementary assessments.
The infinitesimal jackknife (IJ) has recently been applied to the random forest to estimate its prediction variance. These theorems were verified under a traditional random forest framework which uses classification and regression trees (CART) and bootstrap resampling. However, random forests using conditional inferenc…
Resampling outperforms reweighting for correcting biased data in machine learning models.
problem Correcting sampling bias in machine learning models trained on biased data sets.
method Compared resampling and reweighting techniques, focusing on their performance with stochastic gradient algorithms.
result Resampling outperforms reweighting when combined with stochastic gradient algorithms.
tsbootstrap handles time series uncertainty without assuming independence.
problem Time series data violate IID assumptions, leading to undercoverage in traditional methods.
method Provides various resampling and bootstrap methods, including classical and adaptive conformal calibration.
result Dependence-aware methods reduce coverage deficits, with sieve resampling performing best.
This review explores resampling techniques for imbalanced binary classification.
problem Imbalanced classes lead to poor prediction results in classification.
method Classical, cost-sensitive, and Neyman-Pearson paradigms with resampling techniques and classification methods.
result Complex dynamics among resampling techniques, base methods, metrics, and imbalance ratios.
New method estimates spatial weights matrix for lattice data, improving prediction accuracy.
problem Estimating spatial dependence structure for regular lattice data.
method Adaptive lasso with cross-sectional resampling to estimate sparse spatial weights matrix.
result Improves prediction accuracy of nitrogen dioxide concentrations.
Package {mlr3spatiotempcv} simplifies spatiotemporal resampling methods in R.
problem Assessing and tuning spatial and spatiotemporal machine learning models.
method Integrates various spatiotemporal resampling methods into the {mlr3} framework.
result Provides a consistent interface for spatiotemporal resampling methods.
Differentiable resampling improves particle filter performance.
problem Non-differentiability of traditional resampling in particle filters.
method Introduced a neural network resampler (particle transformer) trained with a likelihood-based loss function.
result Learned resampling outperforms traditional methods on synthetic and real-world tasks.
High-dimensional regression models struggle with resampling methods.
problem Estimating uncertainty in high-dimensional supervised regression tasks.
method Investigation of bootstrap, subsampling, and jackknife methods in high-dimensional generalized linear models.
result Resampling methods exhibit double-descent behavior and are inconsistent in high dimensions.
Survival models predict component failures using neural networks and resampled data.
problem Accurately predicting component failure times for maintenance planning.
method Neural network-based survival models trained on non-independent, homogeneously sampled data.
result Random resampling during training reduces dataset size and improves efficiency.
Credit risk prediction is an effective way of evaluating whether a potential borrower will repay a loan, particularly in peer-to-peer lending where class imbalance problems are prevalent. However, few credit risk prediction models for social lending consider imbalanced data and, further, the best resampling technique t…
A new differentiable resampling method for Monte Carlo simulations.
problem Improving the efficiency and differentiability of resampling in Monte Carlo simulations.
method Proposes a diffusion model surrogate for resampling, proving consistency and outperforming existing methods.
result The proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art differentiable resampling methods on various benchmarks.
Study improves bankruptcy prediction models for imbalanced data and economic stages.
problem Class imbalance and economic fluctuations in credit risk analytics.
method Applied 8 BPMs on a new public dataset with resampling and AI techniques.
result Models perform differently during economic changes.
Bagging is a device intended for reducing the prediction error of learning algorithms. In its simplest form, bagging draws bootstrap samples from the training sample, applies the learning algorithm to each bootstrap sample, and then averages the resulting prediction rules. We extend the definition of bagging from stati…
A new method for imbalanced binary classification without resampling.
problem Imbalanced binary classification tasks where majority class under-representation leads to information loss.
method Layered learning approach with two stages: clustering and classification.
result The method outperforms state-of-the-art methods in 100 benchmark data sets.
fastml guards against data leakage in automated machine learning.
problem Data leakage during preprocessing before resampling inflates apparent performance.
method fastml uses guarded resampling to re-estimate preprocessing inside each resample.
result Guarded resampling reduces apparent performance compared to global preprocessing.
This study evaluates data pre-processing techniques for class imbalance in biomedical data.
problem Class imbalance in biomedical datasets affects model performance.
method Resampling and feature selection techniques evaluated using SVM, C4.5, LDA, and KNN classifiers.
result Feature Selection outperforms other methods in most cases, especially with SVM.
This paper tackles noisy multi-objective optimization with adaptive resampling using bootstrapping.
problem Challenges in optimizing noisy multi-objective problems, especially trade-offs between exploration and exploitation.
method Adaptive resampling with bootstrapping to estimate probability of dominance and improve precision.
result Demonstrates the efficiency of the resampling approach in NSGA-II algorithm under multiple noise variations.
This work proves convergence of adaptive resampling for random Fourier features.
problem Sampling Fourier frequencies well for high-dimensional data.
method Data adaptive resampling of Fourier frequencies, asymptotically optimal.
result Proves convergence of adaptive resampling method for regression and classification problems.
Class imbalance problem is commonly faced while developing machine learning models for real-life issues. Due to this problem, the fitted model tends to be biased towards the majority class data, which leads to lower precision, recall, AUC, F1, G-mean score. Several researches have been done to tackle this problem, most…
Generates diverse images by resampling specific parts while maintaining global consistency.
problem Creating diverse images while maintaining global consistency in certain parts.
method Developed a new network architecture, training procedure, and resampling algorithm.
result Achieved low distortion block-resampling with spatially stochastic networks.
DAIS improves AIS by resampling, avoiding gradient issues.
problem Low effective sample size in DAIS.
method DAIS with resampling step to improve efficiency.
result Resampling step avoids gradient variance issues.
Study shows resampling can drastically alter PCA results.
problem Stability and sensitivity of PCA under data resampling.
method Analyzed resampling sensitivity of high-dimensional PCA.
result PCA's principal components become asymptotically orthogonal when resampling is significant.
A method for multidimensional probabilistic electricity market forecasting is proposed.
problem Uncertainty in simultaneous multivariate predictions of electricity markets.
method Repeated resampling to estimate uncertainty of simultaneous multivariate predictions.
result The method provides highly accurate predictions and gains are largest when considering functions of variables.
Toy model study shows resampling/reweighting can improve feature learning in imbalanced classification.
problem Improving feature learning in imbalanced classification problems.
method High-dimensional toy model with replica method, class-wise resampling/reweighting, and simplified model.
result No resampling/reweighting can sometimes give best feature learning performance.
Frequentist method estimates uncertainty in RNNs without altering architecture.
problem Uncertainty quantification in RNNs for decision-making.
method Jackknife resampling and influence functions to estimate variability.
result The method provides theoretical coverage guarantees on uncertainty intervals.
This paper investigates bias in resampled backtests for financial portfolios, finding it often negligible.
problem Bias in resampled backtests for financial portfolio evaluation.
method Investigation of bias in rolling-window mean-variance portfolios using resampling techniques.
result The bias in Sharpe Ratio estimates from IID resampling is often a fraction of estimation noise, making it tolerable.
Class imbalance problems manifest in domains such as financial fraud detection or network intrusion analysis, where the prevalence of one class is much higher than another. Typically, practitioners are more interested in predicting the minority class than the majority class as the minority class may carry a higher misc…
A new method improves super learner validation efficiency.
problem Improving the efficiency of super learner validation.
method Bootstrap Bias Corrected Cross Validation applied to Super Learning.
result Bootstrap Bias Corrected Cross Validation proved efficient and cost-effective.
Improved particle filters for estimating model parameters using differentiable resampling.
problem Inability to differentiate sampling and resampling steps in particle filters.
method Extended reparameterisation trick to include stochastic input, enabling differentiation. Used p-MCMC and NUTS for parameter estimation.
result NUTS improves mixing of Markov chain and produces more accurate results in less time.
New method improves model risk prediction using cross-audit projection.
problem Over-optimism in K-fold CV for binary classification. method Cross-audit projection (CAP) procedure combining resampling and asymptotic bias correction.
result CAP estimator achieves second-order asymptotic unbiasedness.
Bayesian neural networks improve reliability in multimedia forensics.
problem Challenges with out-of-distribution data in multimedia authentication.
method Proposes Bayesian neural networks (BNN) for forensic tasks.
result BNNs provide distributions for better reliability and out-of-distribution detection.
An approximate method for conducting resampling in Lasso, the ℓ1 penalized linear regression, in a semi-analytic manner is developed, whereby the average over the resampled datasets is directly computed without repeated numerical sampling, thus enabling an inference free of the statistical fluctuations due to sam…
ART adapts class-wise resampling to improve imbalanced classification performance.
problem Class imbalance in classification tasks limits model performance.
method ART uses adaptive resampling based on class-wise performance metrics.
result ART consistently outperforms other methods on diverse benchmarks.
Online class imbalance learning constitutes a new problem and an emerging research topic that focusses on the challenges of online learning under class imbalance and concept drift. Class imbalance deals with data streams that have very skewed distributions while concept drift deals with changes in the class imbalance s…
This paper addresses GE estimation in non-standard settings using various resampling methods.
problem Biased GE estimates in non-standard settings like clustered data and concept drift.
method Tailored resampling methods for clustered, spatial, unequal sampling, concept drift, and hierarchically structured outcomes.
result Standard resampling methods often yield biased GE estimates in non-standard settings.
A new particle filter avoids resampling to improve state estimation in high dimensions.
problem Particle deprivation in high-dimensional state spaces.
method A resampling-free particle filter designed to mitigate particle deprivation.
result The filter offers a near-accurate representation of the posterior distribution in high-dimensional contexts.
Paper uses K-NN resampling to simulate and evaluate LOB markets.
problem Simulating and evaluating limit order book (LOB) markets.
method Applies K-nearest neighbor (K-NN) resampling to LOB simulation and evaluation. result Demonstrates the effectiveness and efficiency of K-NN resampling in LOB simulation and evaluation. It is known that evolution strategies in continuous domains might not converge in the presence of noise. It is also known that, under mild assumptions, and using an increasing number of resamplings, one can mitigate the effect of additive noise and recover convergence. We show new sufficient conditions for the converge…
We aim at developing and improving the imbalanced business risk modeling via jointly using proper evaluation criteria, resampling, cross-validation, classifier regularization, and ensembling techniques. Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC of ROC) is used for model comparison based on 10-fold cro…
New STH distance finds patterns in event timeseries without resampling.
problem Lack of efficient analysis methods for event and state timeseries.
method Define STE-ts, propose STH, leveraging both time and state duration.
result Improved precision and computation time compared to resampled metrics.
Cheap methods improve uncertainty in SGD solutions.
problem Uncertainty quantification in SGD solutions.
method Two resampling-based methods: parallel resampling with replacement and online resampling.
result Significantly reduced computation effort in constructing confidence intervals.