This paper analyzes stock market data to predict share prices using regression models.
problem Predicting stock prices in the share market of Bangladesh.
method Thorough linear regression analysis on Dhaka Stock Exchange data, compared with random forest.
result Random forest model performs better than linear regression for predicting stock prices.
One fundamental issue in managing bike sharing systems is the bike flow prediction. Due to the hardness of predicting the flow for a single station, recent research works often predict the bike flow at cluster-level. While such studies gain satisfactory prediction accuracy, they cannot directly guide some fine-grained …
Hybrid model combines PCA and RNN for better aerospace stock price prediction.
problem Challenges in predicting stock prices of aerospace companies due to market uncertainty and complexity.
method Combination of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN).
result PCA improves both accuracy and efficiency of stock price prediction.
Proposes a method to integrate learner models robustly against misspecifications.
problem Misspecifications in learner models and parameter sharing patterns degrade prediction accuracy.
method Sequentially incorporates additional learners based on user-specified parameter sharing patterns.
result Data-adaptively selects the most suitable way of parameter sharing to enhance predictive performance.
Ride sharing has important implications in terms of environmental, social and individual goals by reducing carbon footprints, fostering social interactions and economizing commuter costs. The ride sharing systems that are commonly available lack adaptive and scalable techniques that can simultaneously learn from the la…
Study predicts customer data sharing in Open Banking and explains key factors.
problem Predicting and explaining customer data sharing in Open Banking environments.
method Hybrid data balancing strategy with ADASYN and NEARMISS, XGBoost models, SHAP, CART.
result 91.39% accuracy for inflow and 91.53% for outflow predictions, revealing influential features.
Study predicts individual treatment effects in ride-sharing competitions.
problem Understanding how team competitions affect individual drivers' outcomes.
method Analyzed data from 500 competitions, built machine learning models.
result Reduced out-sample prediction error by over 24%.
PRISM-FCP improves federated prediction robustness against Byzantine attacks.
problem Byzantine attacks in federated learning.
method Partial model sharing and distance-based maliciousness scores.
result Maintains nominal coverage guarantees under Byzantine attacks.
Study compares LSTM models with sentiment analysis for stock price prediction.
problem Efficient stock price prediction models using LSTM with sentiment analysis.
method Various types of LSTM models combined with sentiment analysis.
result Identifies the most effective model for short and long-term stock price prediction.
The group membership prediction (GMP) problem involves predicting whether or not a collection of instances share a certain semantic property. For instance, in kinship verification given a collection of images, the goal is to predict whether or not they share a {\it familial} relationship. In this context we propose a n…
Dockless bike sharing systems need effective bike flow prediction models.
problem Imbalanced and dynamic use of bikes leads to mandatory rebalancing operations.
method Divide urban area into regions, model spatio-temporal bike flows, extract traffic patterns, and predict bike flows.
result Interpretable bike flow prediction model provides valuable insights into bike flow analysis.
HCL learns shared and modality-specific latent representations for multimodal data.
problem Binary shared-private decomposition inadequately represents shared information across subsets of modalities.
method Hierarchical Contrastive Learning framework combining latent-variable formulation, structural sparsity, and contrastive objective.
result HCL accurately recovers hierarchical structure and improves predictive performance on multimodal data.
Study improves cross-modal bike-share and transit demand prediction.
problem Cross-modal ripple effects in urban transportation demand.
method Transfer learning and stacked LSTM models for cross-modal demand prediction.
result Transfer learning models outperform unimodal models in cross-modal demand prediction.
Paper improves bike-sharing demand prediction by adapting to changing patterns.
problem Improving bike-sharing demand prediction under temporal domain shifts.
method Gen-ROTDA, a robust optimal transport-guided residual domain adaptation framework.
result Gen-ROTDA achieves the lowest MAE and is the best OT-family method on average.
A new method for handling missing values in data.
problem Handling missing values in machine learning models.
method Sharing pattern submodels with sparsity-inducing regularization.
result Sharing pattern submodels provide robust predictions and maintain/improve pattern submodel performance.
A framework for multilayer networks predicts links without shared structures.
problem Link prediction in multilayer networks without shared structures.
method Bi-level model averaging with K-fold cross-validation. result Framework outperforms existing methods in predictive accuracy and robustness.
We consider the prediction of weak effects in a multiple-output regression setup, when covariates are expected to explain a small amount, less than ≈1, of the variance of the target variables. To facilitate the prediction of the weak effects, we constrain our model structure by introducing a novel Bayesian ap…
A CNN-based model improves stock price prediction accuracy.
problem Overfitting in image-based stock prediction models.
method SMSFR-CNN combining CNN and image features.
result SMSFR-CNN achieves high predictive accuracy on A-share stocks.
Improved AutoDML estimator for causal inference using outcome-adapted shared covariate representation.
problem Efficiency in estimating treatment or policy effects in causal inference.
method Outcome-adapted AutoDML estimator that uses a shared covariate representation that is predictive of the outcome but not the Riesz representer.
result Outcome-adapted AutoDML estimator is asymptotically more efficient than baseline AutoDML.
Proposes AtCoR for predicting bike station usage, improving station network reconfiguration.
problem Challenges in predicting new bike stations due to lack of historical data.
method AtCoR algorithm that predicts both existing and new bike stations using station-centered heatmaps and historical correlations.
result AtCoR outperforms existing models in predicting bike station usage.
International trade fluxes evolve as countries revise their portfolios of trade products towards economic development. Accordingly products' shares in international trade vary with time, reflecting the transfer of capital between distinct industrial sectors. Here we analyze the share of hundreds of product categories i…
Model predicts stock prices using Twitter sentiment data.
problem Predicting stock prices using social media sentiment.
method Extracted 19 sentiment features from Twitter posts about Petrobras, trained XBoot models, and simulated trading.
result Simulated trading gained R$88,82 (net) over 250 days.
Transport demand is highly dependent on supply, especially for shared transport services where availability is often limited. As observed demand cannot be higher than available supply, historical transport data typically represents a biased, or censored, version of the true underlying demand pattern. Without explicitly…
New method disentangles shared and private latent factors in multimodal data.
problem Challenges in disentangling shared and private latent factors in multimodal data.
method Proposes a modification to existing multimodal Variational Autoencoders (MMVAE) to better handle modality-specific variation.
result Demonstrates improved robustness of modified MMVAE to modality-specific variation.
Share prices of financial companies from the S&P 500 list have been modeled by a linear function of consumer price indices in the USA. The Johansen and Engle-Granger tests for cointegration both demonstrated the presence of an equilibrium long-term relation between observed and predicted time series. Econometrically, t…
This thesis identifies share buybacks and predicts their impact on stock performance.
problem Recognizing and predicting the impact of share buybacks on stock performance.
method NLP approaches for automated detection of share buybacks, machine learning models for prediction.
result Most companies underperform after a share buyback, but some significantly outperform.
DistPre predicts traffic speeds efficiently for large networks.
problem Fine-grained, accurate speed prediction for large-scale transportation networks.
method Customizes LSTM models on a cluster, sharing trained models between detectors.
result Efficient and accurate fine-grained traffic-speed prediction.
Model predicts competition between similar products in sales.
problem Predicting cannibalization between similar products in sales.
method Developed a neural network model that computes a 'competitiveness' function based on product features.
result The model outperforms traditional methods in predicting market share.
Unified multitask learning framework for mixed-type outcomes.
problem Difficulty in formulating a unified objective for tasks with different outcomes.
method Multitask transformation framework with shared sparsity, using deep neural networks and rank-based optimization.
result Improved prediction and variable selection across continuous, binary, and mixed outcomes.
DECAT framework evaluates multimodal models for shared biology, detecting confounders and false positives.
problem Determining if multimodal models learn shared biology or just confounders.
method DECAT framework classifies multimodal representations into four diagnostic scenarios using null-referenced metrics.
result DECAT detects confounders and false positives in multimodal models, improving with larger cohorts and stronger representations.
Electronic health records (EHR) systems contain vast amounts of medical information about patients. These data can be used to train machine learning models that can predict health status, as well as to help prevent future diseases or disabilities. However, getting patients' medical data to obtain well-trained machine l…
The paper proposes a method to balance fairness and prediction accuracy by adjusting data representations.
problem Machine learning models can inherit and amplify historical biases, leading to unfair outcomes.
method The paper uses subspace decomposition and influence analysis to control the fairness-utility trade-off.
result The method effectively improves fairness while preserving predictive performance.
Bayesian model transfers knowledge across different engineering fleets.
problem Data sparsity in predictive models for engineering infrastructure.
method Hierarchical Bayesian approach with multitask learning.
result Improves survival analysis and power prediction in truck fleets and wind farms.
Researchers predict NBA player salaries using machine learning, avoiding overfitting.
problem Predicting NBA player salaries based on performance statistics.
method Selected important determinants, used Random Forest machine learning, avoided overfitting.
result Very satisfactory salary predictions identified for important factors.
Learning by integrating multiple heterogeneous data sources is a common requirement in many tasks. Collective Matrix Factorization (CMF) is a technique to learn shared latent representations from arbitrary collections of matrices. It can be used to simultaneously complete one or more matrices, for predicting the unknow…
DFI maps covariates to latent representations for feature importance.
problem Feature importance when predictors are statistically dependent.
method Disentangled Feature Importance (DFI) using entropic optimal transport.
result DFI yields stable, interpretable, uncertainty-quantified attributions of shared predictive signal.
Conversion prediction plays an important role in online advertising since Cost-Per-Action (CPA) has become one of the primary campaign performance objectives in the industry. Unlike click prediction, conversions have different types in nature, and each type may be associated with different decisive factors. In this pap…
PerPCA separates unique and shared features from heterogeneous data.
problem Extracting shared and unique features from data collected from different sources with varying trends.
method Personalized PCA (PerPCA) uses orthogonal global and local principal components to encode both unique and shared features.
result PerPCA can identify and recover both unique and shared features under mild conditions.
FMP sampling improves model calibration without sharing data.
problem Difficulties in specifying priors for modern neural networks.
method FMP sampling replaces prior and likelihood with a predictive distribution, running the sampler centrally.
result FMP sampling significantly improves calibration over baseline methods.
Improves shared encoder representations for better multi-task learning performance.
problem Improving quality of shared encoder representations in multi-task learning.
method Dummy Gradient norm Regularization (DGR) to decrease gradient norm of dummy task-specific predictors.
result DGR improves multi-task prediction performances and superior performance compared to existing methods.
A centered innovation MA is equivalent to a digamma-link DARMA for bank-asset shares.
problem Predicting bank-asset shares using Bayesian Dirichlet ARMA models.
method Replacing raw additive log-ratio residuals with centered innovations in B--DARMA.
result Centered specification and digamma-link DARMA are predictively equivalent under specified conditions.
We study data-driven assistants that provide congestion forecasts to users of shared facilities (roads, cafeterias, etc.), to support coordination between them, and increase efficiency of such collective systems. Key questions are: (1) when and how much can (accurate) predictions help for coordination, and (2) which as…
Multiclass prediction is the problem of classifying an object into a relevant target class. We consider the problem of learning a multiclass predictor that uses only few features, and in particular, the number of used features should increase sub-linearly with the number of possible classes. This implies that features …
We examine a network of learners which address the same classification task but must learn from different data sets. The learners cannot share data but instead share their models. Models are shared only one time so as to preserve the network load. We introduce DELCO (standing for Decentralized Ensemble Learning with CO…
Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are commonly applied to clinical time-series data with the goal of learning patient risk stratification models. Their effectiveness is due, in part, to their use of parameter sharing over time (i.e., cells are repeated hence the name recurrent). We hypothesize, however, that this trait …
MPP trains a transformer to predict multiple physical systems, improving accuracy across various tasks.
problem Training models for specific physical systems is inefficient and requires fine-tuning.
method MPP trains a shared transformer on multiple heterogeneous physical systems, projecting fields into a shared embedding space.
result A single MPP-pretrained transformer outperforms task-specific models on all pretraining sub-tasks and downstream tasks.
Most companies utilize demographic information to develop their strategy in a market. However, such information is not available to most retail companies. Several studies have been conducted to predict the demographic attributes of users from their transaction histories, but they have some limitations. First, they focu…
Study shows changes in information sharing between Bitcoin markets during 2017 crash.
problem Understanding information dynamics in Bitcoin markets during the 2017 crash.
method Analysis of high-frequency market-microstructure observables using information theoretic measures.
result Temporal changes in information sharing across markets, including predictability, memory, and synchronous coupling.