A key challenge in developing and deploying Machine Learning (ML) systems is understanding their performance across a wide range of inputs. To address this challenge, we created the What-If Tool, an open-source application that allows practitioners to probe, visualize, and analyze ML systems, with minimal coding. The W…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,742 papers · 148 categories
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48 results for “practitioners”
Interpretations are useful: penalizing explanations to align neural networks with prior knowledgecs.LG
For an explanation of a deep learning model to be effective, it must provide both insight into a model and suggest a corresponding action in order to achieve some objective. Too often, the litany of proposed explainable deep learning methods stop at the first step, providing practitioners with insight into a model, but…
EasyTime simplifies time series forecasting for researchers and practitioners.
problem Ease of use and accuracy in time series forecasting.
method One-click evaluation, automated ensemble, natural language Q&A.
result Superior forecasting accuracy compared to individual methods.
New metrics help rebuild trust in Active Learning for industry practitioners.
problem Misalignment of objectives between research and industry in Active Learning.
method Presentation of actionable metrics to interpret AL strategies.
result Actionable metrics improve AL performance and interpretability.
The use of synthetic data generated by Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) has become quite a popular method to do data augmentation for many applications. While practitioners celebrate this as an economical way to get more synthetic data that can be used to train downstream classifiers, it is not clear that they re…
Analyzes 6M Python notebooks and 2M enterprise DS pipelines to guide investments in data science.
problem Challenges in following the rapidly evolving landscape of data science technologies and applications.
method Downloaded and analyzed over 6M Python notebooks and 2M enterprise DS pipelines, performing statistical and comparative analyses.
result Identifies actionable conclusions for system builders and technology bets for practitioners based on current trends.
Proposes a method to simulate data for testing credit risk scorecard stability.
problem Ensuring credit risk scorecards remain representative of the population over time.
method Specification of bad ratios to generate parameter values for scorecards.
result Simulated data adheres closely to specified bad ratios.
Bayesian LSTMs in medicinestat.ML
The medical field stands to see significant benefits from the recent advances in deep learning. Knowing the uncertainty in the decision made by any machine learning algorithm is of utmost importance for medical practitioners. This study demonstrates the utility of using Bayesian LSTMs for classification of medical time…
Improved privacy-preserving statistical estimates with customizable noise reduction.
problem Balancing privacy and accuracy in statistical estimation.
method Introducing the Brownian mechanism, which adds Gaussian noise to a sequence of estimates, gradually reducing it based on the practitioner's needs.
result The Brownian mechanism produces more accurate estimates while maintaining strong privacy guarantees, outperforming existing methods.
The paper offers guidelines for validating data-driven models.
problem Ensuring reliable validation of data-driven models.
method A set of general rules for model validation.
result Helps practitioners create reliable validation plans and report results transparently.
Given a binary prediction problem, which performance metric should the classifier optimize? We address this question by formalizing the problem of Metric Elicitation. The goal of metric elicitation is to discover the performance metric of a practitioner, which reflects her innate rewards (costs) for correct (incorrect)…
Automatic differentiation---the mechanical transformation of numeric computer programs to calculate derivatives efficiently and accurately---dates to the origin of the computer age. Reverse mode automatic differentiation both antedates and generalizes the method of backwards propagation of errors used in machine learni…
Crowdsourced data helps detect incidents faster, balancing accuracy and practicality.
problem Detecting incidents from crowdsourced data is challenging due to noise and uncertainty.
method CROME (Crowdsourced Multi-objective Event Detection) uses CNN and Pareto optimization.
result The approach outperforms existing methods in incident detection and practicality.
InterpretML is an open-source Python package which exposes machine learning interpretability algorithms to practitioners and researchers. InterpretML exposes two types of interpretability - glassbox models, which are machine learning models designed for interpretability (ex: linear models, rule lists, generalized addit…
This guide simplifies applying differential privacy to machine learning models.
problem Limited practical guidance for achieving good privacy-utility-computations in ML models.
method Comprehensive self-contained guide covering theory and practical implementation.
result Achieves best possible DP ML model with rigorous privacy guarantees.
A New Kind of Financeq-fin.CP
Finance has benefited from the Wolfram's NKS approach but it can and will benefit even more in the future, and the gains from the influence may actually be concentrated among practitioners who unintentionally employ those principles as a group.
ANNETT-O: An Ontology for Describing Artificial Neural Network Evaluation, Topology and Trainingcs.AI
Deep learning models, while effective and versatile, are becoming increasingly complex, often including multiple overlapping networks of arbitrary depths, multiple objectives and non-intuitive training methodologies. This makes it increasingly difficult for researchers and practitioners to design, train and understand …
Treatment recommendations within Clinical Practice Guidelines (CPGs) are largely based on findings from clinical trials and case studies, referred to here as research studies, that are often based on highly selective clinical populations, referred to here as study cohorts. When medical practitioners apply CPG recommend…
We study a well-known estimator of the fractal index of a stochastic process. Our framework is very general and encompasses many models of interest; we show how to extend the theory of the estimator to a large class of non-Gaussian processes. Particular focus is on clarity and ease of implementation of the estimator an…
Study links different drug property prediction methods and datasets.
problem Unclear which method is best for drug property prediction.
method Empirical study linking multiple datasets and methods.
result Best method depends on dataset, classical methods often outperform deep learning.
The 2008 mortgage crisis is an example of an extreme event. Extreme value theory tries to estimate such tail risks. Modern finance practitioners prefer Expected Shortfall based risk metrics (which capture tail risk) over traditional approaches like volatility or even Value-at-Risk. This paper provides a quantum anneali…
In a binary classification problem the feature vector (predictor) is the input to a scoring function that produces a decision value (score), which is compared to a particular chosen threshold to provide a final class prediction (output). Although the normal assumption of the scoring function is important in many applic…
This work proposes a way to align statistical modeling with decision making. We provide a method that propagates the uncertainty in predictive modeling to the uncertainty in operational cost, where operational cost is the amount spent by the practitioner in solving the problem. The method allows us to explore the range…
A simple, yet reasonably accurate, analytical technique is proposed for multi-factor structural credit portfolio models. The accuracy of the technique is demonstrated by benchmarking against Monte Carlo simulations. The approach presented here may be of high interest to practitioners looking for transparent, intuitive,…
Bayesian optimization is a powerful tool for fine-tuning the hyper-parameters of a wide variety of machine learning models. The success of machine learning has led practitioners in diverse real-world settings to learn classifiers for practical problems. As machine learning becomes commonplace, Bayesian optimization bec…
Conditional Asian Optionsq-fin.PR
Conditional Asian options are recent market innovations, which offer cheaper and long-dated alternatives to regular Asian options. In contrast with payoffs from regular Asian options which are based on average asset prices, the payoffs from conditional Asian options are determined only by average prices above certain t…
Understanding challenges to the interpretation of disaggregated evaluations of algorithmic fairnessstat.ML
New framework for interpreting disaggregated fairness evaluations using causal models.
problem Misinterpretation of disaggregated fairness evaluations due to data representativeness and selection bias.
method Causal graphical models to characterize fairness properties and metric stability under different data generating processes.
result Disaggregated evaluations are unreliable without explicit assumptions regarding bias mechanisms.
Recent studies show overparameterized neural networks behave like convex systems.
problem Understanding the behavior of overparameterized neural networks.
method Analysis of two-layer neural networks, focusing on restricted settings and neural tangent kernel space.
result Overparameterized neural networks behave like convex systems under certain conditions.
Proposes a low-cost method to set hyperparameters using optimized default values.
problem Challenges of setting hyperparameters by trial and error, leading to subjective and inefficient results.
method Generates optimized default values using a small set of values that outperform existing defaults and tuned values.
result New default values deliver better predictive performance and are competitive with tuned values, making them easier to use.
The purpose of this article is to propose a new "theory," the Strategic Analysis of Financial Markets (SAFM) theory, that explains the operation of financial markets using the analytical perspective of an enlightened gambler. The gambler understands that all opportunities for superior performance arise from suboptimal …
A new survival analysis method eliminates hyperparameter tuning.
problem Survival analysis model hyperparameters are difficult to tune.
method Flexible survival density estimation with importance sampling.
result Matches or outperforms existing methods on real-world datasets.
Machine Learning for Public Administration Research, with Application to Organizational Reputationcs.CY
Machine learning methods have gained a great deal of popularity in recent years among public administration scholars and practitioners. These techniques open the door to the analysis of text, image and other types of data that allow us to test foundational theories of public administration and to develop new theories. …
We develop a robust convex algorithm to select the regularization parameter in model selection. In practice this would be automated in order to save practitioners time from having to tune it manually. In particular, we implement and test the convex method for -fold cross validation on ridge regression, although the …
Meta-learn sparse Gaussian process inference for faster predictions.
problem Cubic computational cost of exact Gaussian process inference for many observations.
method Meta-learn sparse Gaussian process inference.
result Rapid prediction on new tasks with sparse Gaussian processes.
Stratify unifies and improves multi-step forecasting strategies.
problem Lack of unified frameworks for multi-step forecasting strategies.
method Proposes Stratify, a parameterized framework for multi-step forecasting.
result Novel strategies in Stratify outperform existing ones in over 84% of experiments.
New method optimizes clustering with better log-likelihood landscape.
problem Nonconvex log-likelihood optimization in model-based clustering.
method Entropic optimal transport loss for Sinkhorn-EM algorithm.
result New loss function avoids spurious local optima.
We introduce a guide to help deep learning practitioners understand and manipulate convolutional neural network architectures. The guide clarifies the relationship between various properties (input shape, kernel shape, zero padding, strides and output shape) of convolutional, pooling and transposed convolutional layers…
PLoP optimizes LoRA placement for efficient large model finetuning.
problem Improving efficiency of LoRA adaptation for large models.
method Intuitive theoretical analysis for automatic adapter placement.
result PLoP consistently outperforms existing placement strategies.
In a market with a rough or Markovian mean-reverting stochastic volatility there is no perfect hedge. Here it is shown how various delta-type hedging strategies perform and can be evaluated in such markets in the case of European options. A precise characterization of the hedging cost, the replication cost caused by th…
New insights into optimizing latent representations in hierarchical VAEs.
problem Optimizing latent representations in hierarchical VAEs for various applications.
method Identifying a general class of inference models and deriving theoretical bounds on performance.
result Guidance for practitioners on optimal regions in rate-space for different applications.
Models continue to increase their already broad use across industry as well as their sophistication. Worldwide regulation oblige financial institutions to manage and address model risk with the same severity as any other type of risk, which besides defines model risk as the potential for adverse consequences from decis…
This paper develops models for cryptocurrency trading and evaluates Bitcoin options.
problem Evaluating European options on Bitcoin with realistic models.
method Jump-diffusion models for cryptocurrency dynamics.
result Models accurately predict Bitcoin option prices.
Discovery of Important Subsequences in Electrocardiogram Beats Using the Nearest Neighbour Algorithmcs.LG
The classification of time series data is a well-studied problem with numerous practical applications, such as medical diagnosis and speech recognition. A popular and effective approach is to classify new time series in the same way as their nearest neighbours, whereby proximity is defined using Dynamic Time Warping (D…
GCNs help in diagnosing label scarcity and feature quality on graphs.
problem Understanding when GCNs improve node classification.
method Simulated label scarcity, feature ablation, and per-class analysis.
result GCNs provide largest gains under extreme label scarcity, matching original performance with noisy features, but hurt when homophily is low and features are strong.
Extended study improves covariance matrix estimation for portfolio managers.
problem Limited sample sizes and poor performance of PCA estimator in high-dimensional returns.
method Developed a more general shrinkage framework targeting further information.
result Improves the PCA estimator of beta by shrinking it toward a target.
Data-driven algorithms play a large role in decision making across a variety of industries. Increasingly, these algorithms are being used to make decisions that have significant ramifications for people's social and economic well-being, e.g. in sentencing, loan approval, and policing. Amid the proliferation of such sys…
Interactive tool helps choose and understand classification metrics.
problem Common metrics for binary classification have limitations.
method Graphical application to visualize and explore evaluation metrics.
result Promotes careful attention to interpretation of metrics.
New method improves Bayesian inference for large models.
problem Bayesian inference in large-scale models like neural networks.
method Non-parametric variational approximation with a modified Langevin algorithm.
result Improves convergence speed and accuracy compared to existing methods.