The article introduces practical estimators for kernel discrepancies.
problem Estimating kernel discrepancies accurately and efficiently.
method Presented various estimators for MMD, HSIC, and KSD, including V-statistics, U-statistics, and incomplete U-statistics. Stressed the importance of kernel bandwidth and introduced adaptive estimators.
result Adaptive estimators combining multiple estimators with various kernels address the problem of kernel selection.
The positivity assumption, or the experimental treatment assignment (ETA) assumption, is important for identifiability in causal inference. Even if the positivity assumption holds, practical violations of this assumption may jeopardize the finite sample performance of the causal estimator. One of the consequences of pr…
The paper studies practical estimation and interpretation of Rényi transfer entropy.
problem Challenges in accurately estimating and interpreting Rényi transfer entropy.
method Systematic study of k-nearest neighbor estimator for Rényi entropy and transfer entropy.
result Effective estimates of effective Rényi transfer entropy can accurately capture directional information flow.
The paper introduces staged event trees for transparent treatment effect estimation.
problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data.
method Staged event trees framework for causal inference.
result Enhanced treatment effect estimation with improved interpretability.
Improved A/B testing by leveraging system similarities.
problem Traditional A/B testing ignores potential system similarities.
method Off-policy estimation to exploit system propensities.
result Improved A/B testing estimators achieve better accuracy.
DNNs improve localization from channel estimates, overcoming practical impairments.
problem Improving localization accuracy from channel estimates in Massive MIMO systems.
method Principled feature design for DNNs invariant to practical impairments.
result DNN achieves high localization accuracy and generalization capability.
Sobolev quantities (norms, inner products, and distances) of probability density functions are important in the theory of nonparametric statistics, but have rarely been used in practice, partly due to a lack of practical estimators. They also include, as special cases, L2 quantities which are used in many applicatio…
Estimating properties of discrete distributions is a fundamental problem in statistical learning. We design the first unified, linear-time, competitive, property estimator that for a wide class of properties and for all underlying distributions uses just 2n samples to achieve the performance attained by the empirical…
Walley's Imprecise Dirichlet Model (IDM) for categorical i.i.d. data extends the classical Dirichlet model to a set of priors. It overcomes several fundamental problems which other approaches to uncertainty suffer from. Yet, to be useful in practice, one needs efficient ways for computing the imprecise=robust sets or i…
This paper bridges the gap between theoretical and practical OPE for bandit problems.
problem Estimating the value of a target policy from samples generated by different policies.
method Categorizing OPE situations based on evaluation policy properties, proposing a meta-algorithm.
result Meta-algorithm successfully bridges the gap between theoretical and practical OPE for bandit problems.
RQMC improves QMC by providing practical error bounds for financial applications.
problem Lack of practical error estimates in QMC methods.
method Combines Sobol LDS with randomized scrambling methods.
result RQMC outperforms standard QMC in convergence rates and provides error bounds.
This paper studies robust estimation methods in high dimensions, comparing model-averaged and composite quantile estimators.
problem Understanding robustness in high-dimensional regularized estimation.
method Optimal weights are determined by minimizing the asymptotic mean squared error, incorporating regularization effects without perfect selection.
result Model-averaged and composite quantile estimators often outperform least-squares methods in prediction quality.
New method improves MMD estimation without convexity assumptions.
problem Lack of theoretical guarantees for MMD estimation algorithms.
method Preconditioned gradient descent (PGD) scheme for MMD optimization.
result PGD scheme converges globally under specific conditions.
Improved MLMC method boosts risk estimation efficiency.
problem Estimating risk measures like Value-at-Risk in financial risk management.
method Novel MLMC parametrization and antithetic sampling.
result Significantly improved performance in practical settings.
A framework uses proxies to prioritize treatment without estimating causal effects.
problem Prioritizing treatment when causal effects are hard to estimate.
method Decision-focused framework identifying conditions for proxy usefulness.
result Proxies can recover correct effect ordering under specific conditions.
One of the applications of center-based clustering algorithms such as K-Means is partitioning data points into K clusters. In some examples, the feature space relates to the underlying problem we are trying to solve, and sometimes we can obtain a suitable feature space. Nevertheless, while K-Means is one of the most ef…
A practical algorithm improves approximate OT distances using quantization.
problem Substantial computational burden in computing OT distances for large samples.
method Introduces a quantization step to estimate OT distances between measures.
result The quantization step improves the performance of approximate solvers for entropy-regularized transport.
Python package for estimating Hurst exponent in fBm.
problem Estimating Hurst exponent in fractional Brownian motion.
method Whittle's likelihood method applied to fractional Gaussian noise.
result Implementation achieves state-of-the-art accuracy and speed.
Given a set of empirical observations, conditional density estimation aims to capture the statistical relationship between a conditional variable x and a dependent variable y by modeling their conditional probability p(y∣x). The paper develops best practices for conditional den…
New estimator for survival function with missing not at random censoring indicators.
problem Estimating survival function with missing not at random censoring indicators.
method Proposes a new estimator based on a conditional copula model for the missingness mechanism.
result Provides a new method for estimating conditional survival function with MNAR censoring indicators.
At the ultra high frequency level, the notion of price of an asset is very ambiguous. Indeed, many different prices can be defined (last traded price, best bid price, mid price,...). Thus, in practice, market participants face the problem of choosing a price when implementing their strategies. In this work, we propose …
Although recovering an Euclidean distance matrix from noisy observations is a common problem in practice, how well this could be done remains largely unknown. To fill in this void, we study a simple distance matrix estimate based upon the so-called regularized kernel estimate. We show that such an estimate can be chara…
Invertibility conditions for observation-driven time series models often fail to be guaranteed in empirical applications. As a result, the asymptotic theory of maximum likelihood and quasi-maximum likelihood estimators may be compromised. We derive considerably weaker conditions that can be used in practice to ensure t…
Paper proposes MMW distribution for better financial risk modeling.
problem Modeling non-normal stock returns for risk estimation.
method Mixture of mirrored Weibull (MMW) distribution for flexible risk modeling.
result MMW model outperforms Gaussian and t-mixture models in VaR estimation.
Improves PU learning for imbalanced data with practical AUL estimation and new training method.
problem Training binary classifiers on datasets with only positive and unlabeled samples.
method Asymptotic unbiased AUL estimation and ProbTagging for imbalanced data.
result ProbTagging increases AUC by up to 10% on industrial and artificial data sets.
Measuring Mutual Information (MI) between high-dimensional, continuous, random variables from observed samples has wide theoretical and practical applications. Recent work, MINE (Belghazi et al. 2018), focused on estimating tight variational lower bounds of MI using neural networks, but assumed unlimited supply of samp…
OEUVRE estimates online loss with constant time and memory, outperforming other methods.
problem Accurately estimating expected loss in online learning.
method Recursive evaluation of each sample on current and previous models, using algorithmic stability for updates.
result Consistency, convergence rates, and concentration bounds proved for OEUVRE.
TAMD prevents degeneracy in finite mixtures, offering strong guarantees but modest practical improvements.
problem Degeneracy in maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixtures.
method Transcendental regularization with analytic barrier functions.
result Strong theoretical guarantees (identifiability, consistency, robustness) but modest practical improvements.
Bayesian methods improve causal effect estimation, offering shrinkage and sensitivity analysis.
problem Improving causal effect estimation in practical settings.
method Parametric and nonparametric Bayesian approaches.
result Priors induce shrinkage and sparsity in parametric models.
Estimates causal effects from patient trajectories using DeepACE model.
problem Estimating causal effects from observational data in medical practice.
method DeepACE model using iterative G-computation formula and sequential targeting procedure.
result DeepACE achieves state-of-the-art performance in estimating time-varying ACEs.
An important class of distance metrics proposed for training generative adversarial networks (GANs) is the integral probability metric (IPM), in which the neural net distance captures the practical GAN training via two neural networks. This paper investigates the minimax estimation problem of the neural net distance ba…
VAE leverages MMSE channel estimation with data-driven modeling.
problem Data-driven channel estimation for wireless communications.
method Variational autoencoder (VAE) modeling of channel distribution and LMMSE approximation.
result VAE-based channel estimators approximate MMSE performance with practical training methods.
Joint state and parameter estimation is a core problem for dynamic Bayesian networks. Although modern probabilistic inference toolkits make it relatively easy to specify large and practically relevant probabilistic models, the silver bullet---an efficient and general online inference algorithm for such problems---remai…
New methods improve estimation accuracy in noisy settings.
problem Estimating treatment effects in the presence of treatment noise.
method Developed new structure-agnostic cumulant estimators and practical procedures for higher-order robustness.
result Demonstrated that existing DML estimator is suboptimal for non-Gaussian treatment noise and introduced ACE procedures for improved accuracy.
Paper introduces a neural network for consistent estimation of optimal transport maps.
problem Statistically consistent estimation of optimal transport maps between probability distributions.
method Lipschitz-constrained GAN penalized by quadratic transportation cost.
result The generator converges uniformly to the optimal transport map as sample size increases.
New methods improve portfolio risk minimization by estimating covariance matrix more accurately.
problem Uncertainty in estimating covariance matrix leads to unreliable hedge trades.
method Proposes two new estimators of the inverse covariance matrix using l2 and l1 norms.
result Portfolio formed using proposed estimators achieves substantial risk reduction and improved returns.
The paper addresses model averaging and ensembling, providing theoretical and practical insights.
problem Combining least squares estimators from multiple candidate models for improved predictive accuracy.
method Establishes oracle inequalities for Mallows' Cp criterion, proposes a novel Mallows-type MA procedure. result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed Mallows-type MA estimator through numerical experiments.
Bayesian models overestimate clusters, but practical summaries can correct this.
problem Bayesian mixture models overestimate the number of clusters.
method Simulations and gene expression data analysis using MCMC summarisation.
result Overestimation is limited in finite samples and can be corrected, but misspecification leads to significant overestimation.
New Hermite series estimator for Spearman rank correlation in non-stationary data.
problem Estimating time-varying Spearman rank correlation efficiently.
method Hermite series based sequential estimator for both stationary and non-stationary settings.
result Competitive performance compared to existing algorithms in simulations and real data.
New method for adaptive estimation and inference in econometric models without knowing smoothness.
problem Adaptive estimation and inference in ill-posed linear inverse problems with unknown smoothness.
method Discrepancy principle-based framework for adaptive hyperparameter selection.
result Achieves optimal rates in weak and strong metrics for linear functionals.
The paper proposes a method to estimate treatment effects using CAR designs with additional covariates.
problem Estimating distributional treatment effects in CAR designs with additional covariates.
method Flexible distribution regression framework that incorporates additional covariates using machine learning methods.
result The proposed estimator attains the semiparametric efficiency bound for distributional treatment effects under CAR.
Improves A/B testing for long-term outcomes in dynamic systems.
problem Estimating long-term effects from short-term A/B testing data.
method Develops optimal inference techniques and localized information sharing methods.
result New estimator reduces variance linearly with test arms and matches lower bounds.
We introduce a new sparse estimator of the covariance matrix for high-dimensional models in which the variables have a known ordering. Our estimator, which is the solution to a convex optimization problem, is equivalently expressed as an estimator which tapers the sample covariance matrix by a Toeplitz, sparsely-banded…
Paper tackles unbounded density ratio estimation for covariate shift adaptation.
problem Understudied challenge in statistical learning: unbounded density ratios.
method Three-step estimation method: relative density ratio, truncation, and transformation.
result Established rigorous convergence guarantees for density ratio and regression estimators.
Many applied settings in empirical economics involve simultaneous estimation of a large number of parameters. In particular, applied economists are often interested in estimating the effects of many-valued treatments (like teacher effects or location effects), treatment effects for many groups, and prediction models wi…
Direction of arrival (DOA) estimation is a classical problem in signal processing with many practical applications. Its research has recently been advanced owing to the development of methods based on sparse signal reconstruction. While these methods have shown advantages over conventional ones, there are still difficu…
EnEMF uses Epanechnikov kernel for high-dimensional filtering, improving accuracy and robustness.
problem Suboptimal Gaussian mixture kernel density estimates in high-dimensional settings.
method Ensemble Epanechnikov mixture filter (EnEMF) using optimal Epanechnikov kernel.
result EnEMF reduces error per particle on high-dimensional systems like Lorenz '96.
AACE learns treatment policies from EHRs using annotations to improve accuracy.
problem Learning treatment policies from multimodal EHRs with bias and inefficiency.
method Annotation-assisted coarsened effects (AACE) method.
result AACE outperforms existing methods in predicting treatment benefit from multimodal EHRs.