The paper proposes a method to identify power system oscillation modes using blind source separation.
arXiv research
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Networks of coupled dynamical systems provide a powerful way to model systems with enormously complex dynamics, such as the human brain. Control of synchronization in such networked systems has far reaching applications in many domains, including engineering and medicine. In this paper, we formulate the synchronization…
The study derives generalization bounds for neural oscillators, improving their performance with regularization.
Research explores how interconnected systems synchronize and how to control their behavior.
FCOC framework improves financial volatility forecasting.
The Duffing oscillator's parameters are identified online using variational message passing.
Enhanced Gaussian process regression for multi-fidelity data fusion.
We consider the problem of reconstructing the dynamic state matrix of transmission power grids from time-stamped PMU measurements in the regime of ambient fluctuations. Using a maximum likelihood based approach, we construct a family of convex estimators that adapt to the structure of the problem depending on the avail…
New method linearizes nonlinear coupled oscillators on graphs.
Using geometric quantization procedure, the quantization of algebra of observables for physical system with Ricci-flat phase space is obtained. In the classical case the appointed physical system is reduced to harmonic oscillator when the one real parameter is vanished.
A deterministic system of coupled maps is proposed as a model for economic activity among interacting agents. The values of the maps represent the wealth of the agents. The dynamics of the system is controlled by two parameters. One parameter expresses the growth capacity of the agents and the other describes the local…
Proposes a new method combining Reservoir Computing and Normalizing Flow for predicting stochastic dynamical systems.
Study examines boundedness of oscillating singular integrals on specific Lie groups.
We analyse the dynamics of the Warsaw Stock Exchange index WIG at a daily time horizon before and after its well defined local maxima of the cusp-like shape decorated with oscillations. The rising and falling paths of the index peaks can be described by the Mittag-Leffler function superposed with various types of oscil…
For dynamical systems that can be modelled as asymptotically stable linear systems forced by Gaussian noise, this paper develops methods to infer or estimate their modes from observations in real time. The modes can be real or complex. For a real mode, we wish to infer its damping rate and mode shape. For a complex mod…
Conductor galloping is the high-amplitude, low-frequency oscillation of overhead power lines due to wind. Such movements may lead to severe damages to transmission lines, and hence pose significant risks to the power system operation. In this paper, we target to design a prediction framework for conductor galloping. Th…
In a complex system, the interactions between individual agents often lead to emergent collective behavior like spontaneous synchronization, swarming, and pattern formation. The topology of the network of interactions can have a dramatic influence over those dynamics. In many studies, researchers start with a specific …
We discuss the quantization of mechanical systems for which the Hamiltonian vector fields of observables form the deformation of -dimensional oscilator algebra. Because of this fact these systems can be considered as "deformations" of the harmonic oscillator. The set of abovementioned mechanical systems are realized…
A new RNN model based on coupled oscillators mitigates gradient issues.
The sectoral synchronization observed for the Japanese business cycle in the Indices of Industrial Production data is an example of synchronization. The stability of this synchronization under a shock, e.g., fluctuation of supply or demand, is a matter of interest in physics and economics. We consider an economic syste…
It is shown that a lagrangian system whose Legendre transformation degenerates along a hypersurface behaves in a strange manner by jumping from time to time without any ''visible cause''. In such a jump the system changes instantaneously its coordinates as well as its momenta. The mathematical dscription of the phenome…
Financial markets have been extensively studied as highly complex evolving systems. In this paper, we quantify financial price fluctuations through a coupled dynamical system composed of phase oscillators. We find a Financial Coherence and Incoherence (FCI) coexistence collective behavior emerges as the system evolves …
Novel method for solving ODEs on k-polysymplectic manifolds.
Graph-Coupled Oscillator Networks (GraphCON) tackles graph-based learning problems.
SGDm with fixed step-size diverges under covariate shift, similar to a parametric oscillator.
We show that a simple model of a spatially resolved evolving economic system, which has a steady state under simultaneous updating, shows stable oscillations in price when updated asynchronously. The oscillations arise from a gradual decline of the mean price due to competition among sellers competing for the same reso…
We prove a global smooth isometric immersion for negatively curved surfaces with finite total curvature.
We present an extension of the ergodic, mixing, and Bernoulli levels of the ergodic hierarchy for statistical models on curved manifolds, making use of elements of the information geometry. This extension focuses on the notion of statistical independence between the microscopical variables of the system. Moreover, we e…
KuramotoGNN uses Kuramoto model to prevent over-smoothing in graph neural networks.
The process of transforming observed data into predictive mathematical models of the physical world has always been paramount in science and engineering. Although data is currently being collected at an ever-increasing pace, devising meaningful models out of such observations in an automated fashion still remains an op…
The Kalman filter is the most powerful tool for estimation of the states of a linear Gaussian system. In addition, using this method, an expectation maximization algorithm can be used to estimate the parameters of the model. However, this algorithm cannot function in real time. Thus, we propose a new method that can be…
Market strategies minimize Fisher information to minimize risk.
Based on the Log-Periodic Power Law (LPPL) methodology, with the universal preferred scaling factor , the negative bubble on the oil market in 2014-2016 has been detected. Over the same period a positive bubble on the so called commodity currencies expressed in terms of the US dollar appears to take place w…
Modeling financial chaos with market makers' risk appetite.
The paper adapts results for Reeb flows and Hamiltonian flows, showing all orbits are closed have identical periods.
Traditional energy-based learning models associate a single energy metric to each configuration of variables involved in the underlying optimization process. Such models associate the lowest energy state to the optimal configuration of variables under consideration, and are thus inherently dissipative. In this paper we…
Study growth of systoles in arithmetic manifolds, focusing on -dimensional cases.
A new oscillator measures trending behavior of financial instruments.
In this paper, we propose new conditions guaranteeing that the trajectories of a mechanical control system can track any curve on the configuration manifold. We focus on systems that can be represented as forced affine connection control systems and we generalize the sufficient conditions for tracking known in the lite…
Canonical transformation plays a fundamental role in simplifying and solving classical Hamiltonian systems. We construct flexible and powerful canonical transformations as generative models using symplectic neural networks. The model transforms physical variables towards a latent representation with an independent harm…
Minimal vector fields on oscillator groups studied, with specific conditions for minimality.
Log-periodic oscillations have been used to predict price trends and crashes on financial markets. So far two types of log-periodic oscillations have been associated with the real markets. The first type are oscillations which accompany a rising market and which ends in a crash. The second type oscillations, called "an…
Unified approach to deform Lie-Hamilton systems using Poisson-Hopf algebra.
A new RNN model tackles long-time dependencies with fast, invertible, and memory-efficient hidden states.
Estimates box dimension of fractal interpolation surfaces using oscillation vectors.
Researchers classify lattices in a specific four-dimensional group.
Agent-based market shows herding cycles with square-root price impact.
The study analyzes stochastic Lie systems and their applications in various models.