A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Statistical depth metrics help identify risky power grid scenarios.
New AI model improves grid planning efficiency and reliability.
Novel method improves load estimation in power grids using anomaly and change point detection.
Future grid scenario analysis requires a major departure from conventional power system planning, where only a handful of most critical conditions is typically analyzed. To capture the inter-seasonal variations in renewable generation of a future grid scenario necessitates the use of computationally intensive time-seri…
Paper compares ML models for fast power system contingency case identification.
Bayesian method improves grid admittance matrix estimation from noisy data.
The growing complexity of the power grid, driven by increasing share of distributed energy resources and by massive deployment of intelligent internet-connected devices, requires new modelling tools for planning and operation. Physics-based state estimation models currently used for data filtering, prediction and anoma…
We designed a grid world task to study human planning and re-planning behavior in an unknown stochastic environment. In our grid world, participants were asked to travel from a random starting point to a random goal position while maximizing their reward. Because they were not familiar with the environment, they needed…
Unified approach to path planning using probabilistic inference on factor graphs.
CESAR improves wind speed and power forecasting for high-resolution simulations.
New method selects critical DER scenarios for distribution grid investment planning.
The increasing penetration level of energy generation from renewable sources is demanding for more accurate and reliable forecasting tools to support classic power grid operations (e.g., unit commitment, electricity market clearing or maintenance planning). For this purpose, many physical models have been employed, and…
This paper proposes grid cells encode position via a conformal isometric embedding of 2D physical space.
Paper proposes online learning for estimating AC network admittance matrix.
PhI-GPR improves power grid state estimation and forecasting.
Power system studies require the topological structures of real-world power networks; however, such data is confidential due to important security concerns. Thus, power grid synthesis (PGS), i.e., creating realistic power grids that imitate actual power networks, has gained significant attention. In this letter, we cas…
Survey of RL methods for optimizing power grid topologies.
Power grids are one of the most important components of infrastructure in today's world. Every nation is dependent on the security and stability of its own power grid to provide electricity to the households and industries. A malfunction of even a small part of a power grid can cause loss of productivity, revenue and i…
GP CC-OPF solves uncertain power grid optimization with Gaussian Process.
In this paper we propose a quadratic programming model that can be used for calculating the term structure of electricity prices while explicitly modeling startup costs of power plants. In contrast to other approaches presented in the literature, we incorporate the startup costs in a mathematically rigorous manner with…
A predictor improves power grid frequency forecasts up to one hour.
Distribution grid is the medium and low voltage part of a large power system. Structurally, the majority of distribution networks operate radially, such that energized lines form a collection of trees, i.e. forest, with a substation being at the root of any tree. The operational topology/forest may change from time to …
New model forecasts power consumption with high accuracy over months to years.
WindDragon forecasts wind power with deep learning.
GraPhyR uses GNNs to optimize power grid reconfiguration in real-time.
The topology of a power grid affects its dynamic operation and settlement in the electricity market. Real-time topology identification can enable faster control action following an emergency scenario like failure of a line. This article discusses a graphical model framework for topology estimation in bulk power grids (…
Paper tackles RL for power grid topology optimization.
Paper introduces reinforcement learning for managing power grids.
Electrical network frequency (ENF) is the signature of a power distribution grid which represents the nominal frequency (50 or 60 Hz) of a power system network. Due to load variations in a power grid, ENF sequences experience fluctuations. These ENF variations are inherently located in a multimedia signal which is reco…
The segmentation of large scale power grids into zones is crucial for control room operators when managing the grid complexity near real time. In this paper we propose a new method in two steps which is able to automatically do this segmentation, while taking into account the real time context, in order to help them ha…
Improves RL planning by proposing sub-goals hierarchically.
Study finds cherry-picking load shaping strategies outperforms others in reducing grid CO2 emissions.
Paper proposes model to assess financial risk of grid-ignited wildfires.
PowRL uses RL to manage power grids robustly, reducing overloads and maintaining power reliability.
Due to limited metering infrastructure, distribution grids are currently challenged by observability issues. On the other hand, smart meter data, including local voltage magnitudes and power injections, are communicated to the utility operator from grid buses with renewable generation and demand-response programs. This…
Data-driven models analyze power grids under incomplete physical information, and their accuracy has been mostly validated empirically using certain training and testing datasets. This paper explores error bounds for data-driven models under all possible training and testing scenarios, and proposes an evaluation implem…
We propose a novel neural network embedding approach to model power transmission grids, in which high voltage lines are disconnected and reconnected with one-another from time to time, either accidentally or willfully. We call our architeture LEAP net, for Latent Encoding of Atypical Perturbation. Our method implements…
Graph neural networks improve topology control of power grids.
The computational costs of inference and planning have confined Bayesian model-based reinforcement learning to one of two dismal fates: powerful Bayes-adaptive planning but only for simplistic models, or powerful, Bayesian non-parametric models but using simple, myopic planning strategies such as Thompson sampling. We …
Paper uses Gaussian processes to solve AC-OPF with renewable uncertainty.
AI model enhances grid monitoring with synchro-waveform tech.
We address the problem of maintaining high voltage power transmission networks in security at all time. This requires that power flowing through all lines remain below a certain nominal thermal limit above which lines might melt, break or cause other damages. Current practices include enforcing the deterministic "N-1" …
New AI assistant for power grid operators simplifies complex decision-making.
Fast, interpretable electricity consumption scenarios for individual consumers.
2D path planning in static environment is a well-known problem and one of the common ways to solve it is to 1) represent the environment as a grid and 2) perform a heuristic search for a path on it. At the same time 2D grid resembles much a digital image, thus an appealing idea comes to being -- to treat the problem as…
The paper compares DL models to WP curve modeling for forecasting with irregular shutdowns.
Insights in power grid pixel maps (PGPMs) refer to important facility operating states and unexpected changes in the power grid. Identifying insights helps analysts understand the collaboration of various parts of the grid so that preventive and correct operations can be taken to avoid potential accidents. Existing sol…
The energy transition is well underway in most European countries. It has a growing impact on electric power systems as it dramatically modifies the way electricity is produced. To ensure a safe and smooth transition towards a pan-European electricity production dominated by renewable sources, it is of paramount import…