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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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3571106141 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for posterior recovery

Posterior sampling estimator achieves near-optimal recovery guarantees for signals from any prior distribution.

problem Characterizing measurement complexity for signals from any prior distribution, including the entire space.
method Characterization of measurement complexity using posterior sampling estimator for Gaussian measurements and any prior distribution.
result Posterior sampling estimator achieves near-optimal recovery guarantees for signals from any prior distribution, robust to model mismatch.

The paper tracks patient recovery using graphs of joint movement data.

problem Tracking individual patient recovery trajectories in physical therapy.
method Bayesian learning of Random Geometric Graphs from joint movement data.
result Optimal exercise routines can be recommended based on patient recovery data.

Detecting and recovering labels in binomial logistic mixtures is challenging due to an information gap.

problem Detecting and recovering labels in binomial logistic mixtures
method Propose two feasibility-aware inference procedures
result Avoid misleading component selections and improve label probability calibration

A new method improves posterior approximation for complex distributions.

problem Difficulty in capturing multimodal and heavy-tailed posteriors with standard normalizing flows.
method StiCTAF: stick-breaking mixture base with component-wise tail adaptation.
result Improved tail recovery and better mode coverage compared to benchmarks.

Neural Diffusion Intensity Models simplify Cox processes inference.

problem Intractable nonparametric estimation and posterior inference of latent stochastic intensity in Cox processes.
method Variational framework using neural SDEs, with theoretical guarantee of ELBO maximization coinciding with maximum likelihood estimation.
result Accurate recovery of latent intensity dynamics and posterior paths with significant speedup.

Identifiability, or recovery of the true latent representations from which the observed data originates, is de facto a fundamental goal of representation learning. Yet, most deep generative models do not address the question of identifiability, and thus fail to deliver on the promise of the recovery of the true latent …

2019-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for signal recovery in high dimensions using projections and diffusion models.

problem Recovering a latent signal from noisy observations with unknown support.
method Metric projection estimator based on score matching in a diffusion model.
result The posterior distribution concentrates near the metric projection of the observed signal.

Paper introduces HGSL for heterogeneous graphs, improving edge type and weight recovery.

problem Learning structure in heterogeneous graphs with multiple node and edge types.
method Proposes H2MN model for DGPs and derives alternating optimization method.
result Demonstrates superior performance on synthetic and real-world datasets.

Spike-and-Slab Deep Learning (SS-DL) is a fully Bayesian alternative to Dropout for improving generalizability of deep ReLU networks. This new type of regularization enables provable recovery of smooth input-output maps with unknown levels of smoothness. Indeed, we show that the posterior distribution concentrates at t…

2018-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Attention-only transformers learn from context via two stages of inference.

problem Learning from corrupted token sequences in minimal transformers.
method Two-stage empirical Bayes interpretation: kernel-weighted posterior mean and particle dynamics.
result Effective denoising without explicit noise schedules, showing posterior-mean recovery under asymptotic conditions.

This paper analyzes kNN convergence over feature transformations.

problem The curse of dimensionality affects kNN performance in transformed feature spaces.
method Developed a novel analysis on kNN convergence rates over transformed features, linking properties of the transformed space to raw feature space.
result Theoretical analysis explains why some feature transformations are better for kNN.

A new framework predicts hidden Markov model regimes online.

problem Efficiently identify hidden Markov model regimes in streaming data.
method Develops a predictive-first optimisation framework for streaming HMMs, approximating the full posterior predictive distribution.
result The method provides competitive prequential performance compared to Online EM and Sequential Monte Carlo.

Gaussian processes are flexible function approximators, with inductive biases controlled by a covariance kernel. Learning the kernel is the key to representation learning and strong predictive performance. In this paper, we develop functional kernel learning (FKL) to directly infer functional posteriors over kernels. I…

2019-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Differentiable relaxation for inferring partial orders from noisy linear data.

problem Inference of partial orders from linear data with noisy observations.
method Introducing a differentiable relaxation to model noisy linear extensions, replacing discontinuous precedence and feasibility with smooth surrogates.
result Smooth posterior that preserves partial-order semantics, supports gradient-based inference, and converges to hard likelihood.

New method reduces memory usage for Bayesian inverse problems on large grids.

problem Solving large-scale linear inverse problems with Gaussian process priors.
method Implicit representation of posterior covariance matrices, sequential disintegrations of Gaussian measures.
result Significant reduction in uncertainty for high-density regions estimation.

We generalize the stochastic block model to the important case in which edges are annotated with weights drawn from an exponential family distribution. This generalization introduces several technical difficulties for model estimation, which we solve using a Bayesian approach. We introduce a variational algorithm that …

2013-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We derive an arbitrage free relationship between recovery swap rates, digital default swap spreads and conventional CDS spreads, and argue that the fair forward recovery rate used in recovery swaps must contain a convexity premium over the expected recovery value.

2010-01-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We characterize the performance of sequential information guided sensing, Info-Greedy Sensing, when there is a mismatch between the true signal model and the assumed model, which may be a sample estimate. In particular, we consider a setup where the signal is low-rank Gaussian and the measurements are taken in the dire…

2015-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Conditional kernel mean embeddings form an attractive nonparametric framework for representing conditional means of functions, describing the observation processes for many complex models. However, the recovery of the original underlying function of interest whose conditional mean was observed is a challenging inferenc…

2019-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method learns latent space normalizing flow for approximate inference in generator models.

problem Approximate inference in generator models with complex posterior distributions.
method Jointly learns latent space normalizing flow and generator model using MCMC-based maximum likelihood.
result The short-run Langevin flow approximates the posterior and aligns with the normalizing flow prior.

Method uses Seq2Seq learning to automatically generate recovery commands for ICT systems.

problem Manual decision-making for recovery commands is time-consuming and error-prone.
method Seq2Seq neural network model trained on past logs and commands.
result The model can estimate accurate recovery commands from new failures.

Improved variational inference for GPLVMs using AIS.

problem Challenges in generating effective proposal distributions for high-dimensional or complex data.
method Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS) combined with reparameterization.
result Our method achieves tighter variational bounds and higher log-likelihoods.

A new model explains U- and Swoosh-shaped stock price recovery during the COVID-19.

problem Modeling stock price recovery during the COVID-19 with V- and L-shaped recovery.
method Introducing a sentiment variable θθ to quantify investor sentiment and simulate U- and Swoosh-shaped recovery.
result The model explains U- and Swoosh-shaped recovery of sectoral indices with positive sentiment.

This paper improves support recovery in universal one-bit compressed sensing.

problem Support recovery in one-bit compressed sensing for sparse signals.
method Proposes approximate support recovery and superset recovery algorithms with polynomial-time complexity.
result Achieves improved support recovery with fewer measurements compared to existing methods.

This work provides a guaranteed tensor recovery method by combining low-rankness and smoothness priors.

problem Guaranteed tensor recovery with theoretical guarantees for low-rank and smoothness priors.
method Developed a new regularization term that combines low-rankness and smoothness priors, proving exact recovery guarantees.
result Rigorously proved exact recovery guarantees for tensor completion and tensor robust principal component analysis.

We consider the problem of signal recovery on graphs as graphs model data with complex structure as signals on a graph. Graph signal recovery implies recovery of one or multiple smooth graph signals from noisy, corrupted, or incomplete measurements. We propose a graph signal model and formulate signal recovery as a cor…

2014-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

IRKSN algorithm achieves sparse recovery with wider applicability conditions.

problem Sparse recovery challenges due to NP-hard nature and restrictive conditions.
method IRKSN algorithm based on kk-support norm regularizer.
result Achieves sparse recovery with explicit constants and standard linear rate.

Higher-order tensors can represent scores in a rating system, frames in a video, and images of the same subject. In practice, the measurements are often highly quantized due to the sampling strategies or the quality of devices. Existing works on tensor recovery have focused on data losses and random noises. Only a few …

2019-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds the cutoff for exact recovery in Gaussian mixture models.

problem Determining the separation of cluster centers for exact recovery in Gaussian mixture models.
method Used information theory and SDP relaxation of KK-means clustering.
result Sharp threshold for exact recovery of cluster labels without assuming cluster center symmetry.

In recent years research on credit risk modelling has mainly focused on default probabilities. Recovery rates are usually modelled independently, quite often they are even assumed constant. Then, however, the structural connection between recovery rates and default probabilities is lost and the tails of the loss distri…

2011-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal portfolio selection with Recovery Average Value at Risk, showing better control over liabilities.

problem Optimizing portfolios with a new risk measure under known or uncertain distributions.
method Existence results for mean-risk optimal portfolios under different distributional assumptions.
result Portfolio selection under Recovery Average Value at Risk provides better control over liabilities.

Proposes a Bayesian approach for automatic node selection in sparse neural networks.

problem Reduces structural complexity and computational speedup in large-scale predictive models.
method Uses spike-and-slab Gaussian priors and variational Bayes approach for node selection.
result Establishes variational posterior consistency and optimal contraction rates for sparse networks.

The paper improves conditions for unique recovery in homomorphic sensing of subspaces.

problem Unique recovery of points in a linear subspace from their images under linear maps.
method Tighter and simpler conditions for unique recovery in single and subspace arrangement cases, extending to noise stability.
result Conditions for unique recovery in homomorphic sensing are improved and unified.

Bayesian method learns graph structures from Gaussian data efficiently.

problem Scalability issue in Bayesian Gaussian graphical model inference.
method Marginal pseudo-likelihood, birth-death and reversible jump MCMC algorithms.
result Efficient graph structure learning for large graphs with over 1,000 nodes.

Bayesian framework detects symmetries in chaotic dynamical systems.

problem Detecting symmetries in chaotic attractors for insights into dynamical system structure.
method Bayesian framework using Gibbs posterior constructed from Wasserstein distances.
result Bayesian framework accurately recovers symmetries under high noise and small sample sizes.