Optimizes portfolios using neural network approximations of asset sensitivities to common drivers.
problem Optimizing portfolios with complex asset dynamics and common drivers.
method Model asset dynamics with PDEs, approximate sensitivities with neural networks, and use hierarchical clustering on sensitivity matrix for optimization.
result Achieves over-performance in portfolio optimization across various markets and datasets.
Constructs portfolios based on Hellinger distance to normal, finding market invariance.
problem Finding a market invariant for portfolio construction.
method Uses Hellinger distance to normal distribution for portfolio construction and analysis.
result Minimum Hellinger distance varies drastically between markets, suggesting market invariance.
Improved portfolio optimization reduces sensitivity to neural network initialization.
problem High sensitivity to neural network initialization in portfolio optimization.
method Robust end-to-end framework for risk budgeting portfolios.
result Enhanced stability in portfolio optimization without compromising performance.
We discuss a class of risk-sensitive portfolio optimization problems. We consider the portfolio optimization model investigated by Nagai in 2003. The model by its nature can include fixed income securities as well in the portfolio. Under fairly general conditions, we prove the existence of optimal portfolio in both fin…
This paper tackles cost-sensitive portfolio optimization under ambiguous return distributions.
problem Tackles cost-sensitive distributionally robust log-optimal portfolio problem with ambiguous return distributions.
method Uses Wasserstein metric for distributional ambiguity, incorporates convex transaction costs, and approximates infinite-dimensional problem with finite convex program.
result Establishes conditions for robustly survivable trades and validates theoretical framework with empirical studies.
Optimizes portfolios by identifying causal drivers of diversification.
problem Achieving efficient portfolio optimization based on asset and diversification dynamics.
method Commonality Principle, Reichenbach Common Cause Principle, conformal maps, Bayesian networks, correlation-based algorithms, neural networks, SDEs.
result Optimal portfolio diversification achieved through causal methodologies and sensitivity forecasting.
A deep reinforcement learning method for cost-sensitive portfolio selection.
problem Non-stationary price series and complex asset correlations make feature learning hard, and practical cost constraints are not considered.
method A two-stream portfolio policy network and a cost-sensitive reward function are developed using deep reinforcement learning.
result The method achieves superior performance in profitability, cost-sensitivity, and representation abilities.
Optimizes portfolios with costs, showing existence of optimal strategies.
problem Risk-sensitive portfolio optimization with transaction costs.
method Log-return i.i.d. framework, Bellman equation analysis.
result Existence of optimal strategies for risk-averse and risk-seeking cases.
New method uses VAEs to generate financial correlation matrices for credit portfolio VaR analysis.
problem Quantifying credit portfolio sensitivity to asset correlations.
method Employing Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) to generate synthetic financial correlation matrices.
result The VAE latent space captures crucial factors impacting portfolio diversification, especially in credit portfolio sensitivity to asset correlations.
This paper solves the dynamic portfolio choice problem. Using an explicit solution with a power utility, we construct a bridge between a continuous and discrete VAR model to assess portfolio sensitivities. We find, from a well analyzed example that the optimal allocation to stocks is particularly sensitive to Sharpe ra…
Paper introduces a new method for risk-sensitive investment management using RL.
problem Risk-sensitive portfolio management with unknown model parameters.
method Combines RL and risk-sensitive stochastic control with Gaussian perturbations for exploration.
result Endogenous relative-entropy regularization and optimal investment strategy derived.
This article studies a portfolio optimization problem, where the market consisting of several stocks is modeled by a multi-dimensional jump-diffusion process with age-dependent semi-Markov modulated coefficients. We study risk sensitive portfolio optimization on the finite time horizon. We study the problem by using a …
Optimizes bond portfolios to avoid worst-case losses.
problem Finding the worst-case value of a bond portfolio over a range of yield curves and spreads.
method Solves a convex-concave saddle point optimization problem to find the worst-case value and construct a robust portfolio.
result Constructs a bond portfolio that includes the worst-case value, ensuring robustness against market uncertainties.
In the paper portfolio optimization over long run risk sensitive criterion is considered. It is assumed that economic factors which stimulate asset prices are ergodic but non necessarily uniformly ergodic. Solution to suitable Bellman equation using local span contraction with weighted norms is shown. The form of optim…
Deep learning predicts market sensitivities for cost-effective index tracking.
problem Costly and impractical replication of index funds.
method Learning to predict market sensitivities using deep learning models.
result Significant reduction in prediction errors compared to historical methods.
Introduces PIT-plot for prioritizing projects based on their impact.
problem Optimizing R&D investments in project portfolios.
method Develops a new tool (PIT-plot) focusing on project impact rather than project properties.
result Identifies projects with the largest impact for risk mitigation or value-adding.
Researchers quantify risk exposure and sensitivities in financial markets under model uncertainty.
problem Optimizing investment and pricing under model uncertainty in financial markets.
method Distributionally robust optimization, Wasserstein ball, first-order sensitivity analysis.
result Sensitivities of value function, investment policy, and marginal prices to model uncertainty can be non-monotonic.
The paper analyzes log-optimal portfolios in markets with random time events.
problem Analyzing log-optimal portfolios in markets with random events.
method Examined a market model with two information flows, F and G, and addressed log-optimal portfolio existence and sensitivity.
result Identified necessary and sufficient conditions for log-optimal portfolio existence, types of risks induced by random time, and factors affecting sensitivity.
Solves risk-sensitive investment via duality, entropic regularization, and RL.
problem Risk-sensitive portfolio management in a factor-based setting.
method Free energy-entropy duality, Kuroda-Nagai change-of-measure, RL algorithm.
result Direct analytical solution, explicit controls, two interpretations of optimal allocation.
Investigates fund separations and stability for long-term optimal investments.
problem Optimizing long-term investments in an incomplete market with risky and safe assets.
method Analyzes three market models with different state variable processes to find optimal portfolios and prove convergence stability.
result Dynamic optimal portfolios converge to static portfolios over time, with vanishing sensitivities in the long run.
A new portfolio model DEWSP improves Sharpe ratio by 0.24% to 5.15%.
problem High sensitivity of optimized portfolios to estimation errors.
method Deep learning algorithms predict returns for top-N ranked assets, then equally weight them.
result DEWSPs provide an improvement rate of 0.24% to 5.15% in terms of monthly Sharpe ratio compared to HEWSPs.
The paper reduces xVA calculations by approximating sensitivities.
problem Nested expectation problem and computational expense in xVA calculations.
method Polynomial approximations of shocked and unshocked valuation functions, and their difference.
result High accuracy and remarkable computational cost reduction demonstrated.
Machine learning factors outperform traditional portfolio optimization methods.
problem Comparing machine learning and traditional portfolio optimization methods.
method Examined machine learning and factor-based portfolio optimization using autoencoder neural networks and dimensionality reduction techniques.
result Minimum-variance portfolios using latent factors derived from autoencoders and sparse methods outperform simpler benchmarks in risk minimization.
This paper discusses the sensitivity of the long-term expected utility of optimal portfolios for an investor with constant relative risk aversion. Under an incomplete market given by a factor model, we consider the utility maximization problem with long-time horizon. The main purpose is to find the long-term sensitivit…
We obtain an explicit formula for the bilateral counterparty valuation adjustment of a credit default swaps portfolio referencing an asymptotically large number of entities. We perform the analysis under a doubly stochastic intensity framework, allowing for default correlation through a common jump process. The key ins…
Deep RL for portfolio management shows poor robustness.
problem Robustness of Deep RL algorithms in online portfolio management.
method Proposed a training and evaluation process for assessing DRL algorithms.
result Most Deep RL algorithms are not robust, generalizing poorly and degrading quickly.
The paper links labor income risk to stock returns using industry portfolio returns.
problem Understanding the impact of sectoral shifts on stock returns.
method Using cross-industry dispersion (CID) as a proxy for unemployment risk, the paper examines the relationship between stock returns and the sensitivity of returns to CID innovations.
result Stocks with high sensitivity to CID have lower expected returns, suggesting they are more exposed to sectoral shifts and unemployment risk.
In the top-down approach to multi-name credit modeling, calculation of singe name sensitivities appears possible, at least in principle, within the so-called random thinning (RT) procedure which dissects the portfolio risk into individual contributions. We make an attempt to construct a practical RT framework that enab…
A new portfolio optimization model minimizes maximum drawdown, offering faster and more robust solutions.
problem Optimizing portfolios during financial distress, especially during crises.
method Linearization of Markowitz model based on maximum drawdown, with a Mixed-Integer Linear Programming variation.
result 200 times faster solving time with a more profitable and robust solution.
Analog method solves portfolio optimization problems faster and more efficiently.
problem Accurate covariance matrix estimation and fast optimal portfolio selection for financial applications.
method Two-step process using equilibrium propagation and analog Hopfield networks.
result Fully analog pipeline calculates optimal portfolios in energy-efficient manner.
We study the sensitivity to estimation error of portfolios optimized under various risk measures, including variance, absolute deviation, expected shortfall and maximal loss. We introduce a measure of portfolio sensitivity and test the various risk measures by considering simulated portfolios of varying sizes N and for…
We use a replica approach to deal with portfolio optimization problems. A given risk measure is minimized using empirical estimates of asset values correlations. We study the phase transition which happens when the time series is too short with respect to the size of the portfolio. We also study the noise sensitivity o…
Kelly investing improved with options to reduce estimation risk.
problem Estimation risk in Kelly investing leads to suboptimal portfolios.
method Introduced European options into the Kelly framework in a binomial model.
result Constructed growth optimal portfolios robust to estimation risk.
Paper proves existence and computation of Risk Budgeting portfolios.
problem Challenges to mean-variance framework sensitivity.
method Mathematical proofs and stochastic algorithms for risk measures.
result Existence and uniqueness of Risk Budgeting portfolios for various risk measures.
Reinforcement learning for continuous-time risk-sensitive asset allocation
problem Continuous-time risk-sensitive asset allocation
method Free energy-entropy duality reformulation and q-learning actor-critic method result Optimal policy learning with high accuracy
In this article, inspired by Shi, et al. we investigate the optimal portfolio selection with one risk-free asset and one risky asset in a multiple period setting under cumulative prospect theory (CPT). Compared with their study, our novelty is that we consider a stochastic benchmark, and portfolio constraints. We test …
Novel framework for portfolio selection considering utility and risk.
problem Maximizing utility subject to risk constraints with various utility and risk functionals.
method General framework accommodating non-concave utilities and non-convex risk measures. Characterization of well-posedness using a simple either-or criterion.
result Minimal condition for well-posedness: either utility or risk must be sensitive to large losses.
We consider the problem of seeking an optimal set of model points associated to a fixed portfolio of life insurance policies. Such an optimal set is characterized by minimizing a certain risk functional, which gauges the average discrepancy with the fixed portfolio in terms of the fluctuation of the interest rate term …
A new method finds diverse near-optimal portfolios using quality-diversity.
problem Optimizing financial portfolios with robustness to input parameter uncertainties.
method Quality-Diversity (QD) optimization using CVT-MAP-Elites algorithm.
result Diverse set of near-optimal portfolios identified.
Deep neural RDEs improve portfolio optimization accuracy and risk sensitivity.
problem High-dimensional, path-dependent valuation and control problems.
method Coupling truncated log-signatures with a neural RDE backbone.
result Improved accuracy, tail fidelity, and training stability across various financial models.
Improved Markowitz method handles uncertainty in return forecasts.
problem Uncertainty in return statistics forecasts.
method Convex optimization with practical constraints.
result Handles uncertainty gracefully and efficiently.
Optimal portfolios for fat-tailed risks using a new tail risk measure.
problem Optimizing portfolios for pension funds and insurance liabilities with extreme risk sensitivity.
method Developed a new tail risk measure (Extreme Deviation, XD) and optimized portfolios based on this measure.
result Optimal portfolios maximize return per unit of XD, balancing hedging and risk contributions.
We study an open problem of risk-sensitive portfolio allocation in a regime-switching credit market with default contagion. The state space of the Markovian regime-switching process is assumed to be a countably infinite set. To characterize the value function, we investigate the corresponding recursive infinite-dimensi…
Insurance firms use RL to optimize customer offers for desired target portfolios.
problem Optimizing insurance offers to achieve a desired customer portfolio.
method Developed a novel reinforcement learning algorithm.
result The RL algorithm outperforms traditional methods in a synthetic market.
The growth-optimal portfolio optimization strategy pioneered by Kelly is based on constant portfolio rebalancing which makes it sensitive to transaction fees. We examine the effect of fees on an example of a risky asset with a binary return distribution and show that the fees may give rise to an optimal period of portf…
Study recovers investor preferences from portfolio data using synthetic data and robust optimization.
problem Recovering latent investor preferences from observed portfolio allocations under uncertainty.
method Inverse portfolio optimization framework integrating robust optimization and regret-based inference.
result Accurate recovery of transaction cost parameters and partial identifiability of ESG penalties under preference misspecification and market shocks.
A framework for sensitivity measures using scoring functions.
problem Constructing sensitivity measures for any elicitable functional.
method Score-based sensitivities constructed via consistent scoring functions.
result Demonstrated intuitive and desirable properties of score-based sensitivities.
We discuss the portfolio optimization problem with the obligatory deposits constraint. Recently it has been shown that as a consequence of this nonlinear constraint, the solution consists of an exponentially large number of optimal portfolios, completely different from each other, and extremely sensitive to any changes…