Study multiple-population games using McKean-Vlasov equations.
problem Mean field games and control problems with multiple populations.
method Coupled forward-backward SDEs and Pontryagin's principle.
result Existence of mean field equilibria under various cooperation scenarios.
New method constructs synthetic treatment groups without mean exchangeability assumption.
problem Violations of mean exchangeability assumption in randomized controlled trials.
method Weighted mixture of treatment groups from source populations, minimizing conditional maximum mean discrepancy.
result Asymptotic normality of synthetic treatment group estimator established.
Consider the problem of finding a population or a probability distribution amongst many with the largest mean when these means are unknown but population samples can be simulated or otherwise generated. Typically, by selecting largest sample mean population, it can be shown that false selection probability decays at an…
Unified q-learning for mean-field jump-diffusion models with unobservable population distribution.
problem Continuous-time q-learning in mean-field jump-diffusion models with unobservable population distribution.
method Proposed decoupled Iq-function for unified policy evaluation in MFG and MFC problems; unified q-learning algorithm based on test policies and averaged martingale orthogonality condition.
result Unified policy evaluation rule for MFG and MFC problems based on decoupled Iq-function.
Kernelized Taylor diagram visualizes data populations with fewer assumptions.
problem Limitations of Taylor diagram in capturing non-linear relationships and sensitivity to outliers.
method Proposes a kernelized version of the Taylor diagram that uses maximum mean discrepancy and kernel mean embedding.
result Kernelized Taylor diagram visualizes data populations with minimal assumptions of data distributions.
Policy mirror ascent achieves Nash equilibrium in mean field games without a population generative model.
problem Achieving Nash equilibrium in mean field games without a population generative model.
method Policy mirror ascent, contractive operator, single-path TD learning.
result Policy mirror ascent converges to Nash equilibrium within O ~ ( ε − 2 ) \widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(\varepsilon^{-2}) O ( ε − 2 ) samples. A new method estimates population mean using labeled and unlabeled data.
problem Estimating population mean with limited labeled data.
method Semi-supervised inference framework, least squares method.
result Proposed estimators outperform ordinary sample mean.
Study equilibrium consumption habits in a large population using mean field games.
problem Equilibrium consumption under external habit formation in a large population.
method Formulated and solved mean field games for linear and multiplicative habit formation preferences, constructed approximate Nash equilibria for large n-player games.
result Characterized mean field equilibrium strategies and derived financial implications.
Develops an equilibrium model for securities pricing in a mixed cooperative and non-cooperative market.
problem Equilibrium pricing of securities in a market with cooperative and non-cooperative agents.
method Conditional extended mean-field control for cooperative agents, mean-field model for both cooperative and non-cooperative agents.
result Existence of a unique equilibrium for both finite-agent and mean-field models under certain conditions.
A new evolutionary algorithm improves k-means clustering by recombining the entire population.
problem Optimizing the k-means clustering problem, especially in non-convex cases.
method Recombinator-k-means uses stochastic recombination with a reweighting mechanism.
result Recombinator-k-means outperforms standard genetic algorithms in optimization objective.
The study investigates the consistency of k k k -means clustering under finite expectation assumptions.
problem Consistency of k k k -means clustering under finite expectation assumptions. method Investigates the conditions under which k k k -means clustering is consistent, considering finite expectation instead of finite variance. result Inconsistency can arise due to extreme cluster imbalance, leading to some clusters having few points.
This work learns models for population dynamics using variational methods and higher-order quadrature.
problem Modeling population dynamics of physical systems with stochastic and mean-field effects.
method Variational problem to infer gradient fields, combining Monte Carlo sampling with higher-order quadrature rules.
result Accurate prediction of population dynamics over a wide range of parameters.
Study shows finite agent equilibrium converges to mean-field limit in asset pricing.
problem Asset pricing equilibrium in markets with finite vs infinite agents.
method Existence of finite agent equilibrium and strong convergence to mean-field limit.
result Finite agent equilibrium converges to mean-field limit under suitable conditions.
Study uses MFG approach to model equilibrium pricing with market clearing condition.
problem Continuous asset pricing with market clearing condition.
method Mean field game approach to solve forward-backward SDEs of McKean-Vlasov type.
result Net order flow converges to zero in large N-limit with specified conditions.
Study on stock price formation on trees with multi-population and non-rational agents.
problem Equilibrium price formation for risky stock with multi-population and non-rational agents.
method Combining mean-field game theory with binomial tree framework, proving existence of unique equilibrium, deriving explicit formula for transition probabilities.
result Existence of unique mean-field market-clearing equilibrium with explicit analytic formula for stock price transition probabilities.
SDRF estimates complex survey designs for conditional distributions.
problem Estimating conditional distributions under complex survey designs.
method Survey-calibrated distributional random forest (SDRF) with pseudo-population bootstrap and MMD split criterion.
result Established design consistency and model consistency for survey designs.
Study of entropy-regularized LQG MFGs with exploratory actions.
problem Optimizing multi-population mean field games with entropy regularization.
method Introduced exploratory actions and derived optimal action distributions.
result Optimal action distributions lead to ε-Nash equilibria in finite-population MFGs.
Paper studies optimal tracking portfolio in mean field game of large fund competition.
problem Optimal tracking portfolio in large fund competition with relative performance benchmark.
method Formulated mean field game problem, established existence of mean field equilibrium using PDE approach, constructed approximate Nash equilibrium.
result Existence of mean field equilibrium and consistency condition verified.
DeepGSB solves MFGs with non-differentiable preferences.
problem Solving MFGs with non-differentiable preferences and exact population convergence.
method Generalized Schrödinger Bridge via Forward-Backward SDEs and Temporal Difference learning.
result DeepGSB provides necessary and sufficient conditions for mean-field problems.
Sharp threshold found for Frechet mean of inhomogeneous graphs.
problem Finding the Frechet mean of inhomogeneous Erdos-Renyi random graphs.
method Thresholding the expected adjacency matrix of the ensemble.
result The Frechet mean graph of inhomogeneous Erdos-Renyi random graphs exhibits a sharp threshold.
Operator calculus for population-based optimization provides a unified framework for analyzing convergence of various methods.
problem Convergence analysis of population-based optimization methods
method Introduce an operator calculus for describing composite mean-field algorithms as compositions of elementary operators acting on probability measures.
result Establish a modular Lyapunov principle for certifying exponential decay of state-space Lyapunov function and search errors.
This paper optimizes how many samples are needed to estimate a population's binary responses.
problem Estimating a distribution from incomplete or corrupted samples.
method The approach involves computing the empirical mean of a certain function, pre-solving a linear program, and using complex-analytic methods.
result Optimal sample complexity for population recovery is determined, showing phase transitions and sensitivity to dimension.
Aims to describe neural network training dynamics using two-time-scale models.
problem Lack of a general mathematical description of neural network training.
method Introduces a theoretical framework based on two-time-scale population dynamics.
result Derives selection-mutation equations and effective fitness for hyperparameters.
Estimates population mean from user-level data with privacy, accounting for heterogeneity.
problem Heterogeneous user data with varying numbers of data points and distributions.
method Simple model of heterogeneous user data, differential privacy mechanism for estimation.
result Asymptotic optimality of the proposed estimator and general lower bounds on error.
FF algorithm uses goodness as a measure of input quality, derived from likelihood-ratio tests.
problem Training each layer locally with a goodness measure.
method FF algorithm uses a likelihood-ratio test to define goodness, which is the sum of squared activations normalized between layers.
result The goodness measure is a sufficient statistic for a likelihood-ratio test, explaining the FF algorithm's performance.
Gradient descent struggles with high-dimensional data fitting.
problem Gradient descent struggles with high-dimensional data fitting.
method Gradient descent training of a two-layer neural network on empirical or population risk.
result Gradient descent training may not decrease population risk faster than t − 4 / ( d − 2 ) t^{-4/(d-2)} t − 4/ ( d − 2 ) under mean field scaling. Proposes a new approach to improve disease prediction by considering who generates the data.
problem Improving disease prediction across different datasets considering who generates the data.
method Formulates domain adaptation as a multi-source hierarchical Bayesian framework.
result Improves prediction accuracy in target datasets with largely unlabelled data.
Consider the problem of sampling sequentially from a finite number of N ≥ 2 N \geq 2 N ≥ 2 populations, specified by random variables X k i X^i_k X k i , i = 1 , … , N , i = 1,\ldots , N, i = 1 , … , N , and k = 1 , 2 , … k = 1, 2, \ldots k = 1 , 2 , … ; where X k i X^i_k X k i denotes the outcome from population i i i the k t h k^{th} k t h time it is sampled. It is assumed that for each fixed i i i , $\{ X^i_k \}_{k …
Study explains mortgage burnout using Cox hazard models.
problem Understanding burnout in mortgage pools.
method Modeling mortgage prepayment using Cox hazard processes.
result Observed pool hazard is a survival-weighted mean of individual hazards with a selection term.
New method tests CMI using deep neural networks for high-dimensional data.
problem Testing conditional mean independence in high-dimensional settings.
method Population CMI measure and bootstrap-based testing with deep generative neural networks.
result Strong empirical performance and versatility in various scenarios.
The paper proposes a new method for comparing logistic regression models across different populations.
problem Comparing logistic regression models across sub-populations can lead to misleading results.
method Develops a cascading set of equivalence tests for logistic regression models, addressing coding, predictions, and overall accuracy.
result Equivalence testing incentivizes accurate inference and avoids perverse incentives from significance tests.
Study controlled contagion with state-dependent killing, proving a comparison principle.
problem Analyzing controlled McKean--Vlasov contagion with state-dependent killing.
method Proof of a comparison principle using Wasserstein smooth-gauge comparison and killing-jump absorption estimates.
result Established a comparison principle for the two-population killed-particle HJB.
Copula-based method generates synthetic populations from marginal distributions.
problem Generating realistic synthetic populations from limited data.
method Copula-based framework for population synthesis.
result Copula framework enhances transferability and realism of synthetic populations.
Model compression reduces generalization error and increases empirical risk, potentially improving population risk.
problem Improving population risk with model compression.
method Information-theoretic analysis and rate distortion theory.
result Model compression can improve population risk if the decrease in generalization error exceeds the increase in empirical risk.
Populations of species in ecosystems are often constrained by availability of resources within their environment. In effect this means that a growth of one population, needs to be balanced by comparable reduction in populations of others. In neutral models of biodiversity all populations are assumed to change increment…
APAC-Net solves high-dimensional stochastic MFGs using neural networks.
problem High-dimensional stochastic mean-field games.
method Alternating population and control neural networks, parameterizing value and density functions.
result Solves up to 100-dimensional MFG problems.
In this work the system of agents is applied to establish a model of the nonlinear distributed signal processing. The evolution of the system of the agents - by the prediction time scale diversified trend followers, has been studied for the stochastic time-varying environments represented by the real currency-exchange …
New method protects privacy while allowing accurate statistical inference from synthetic data.
problem Ensuring privacy in database release while maintaining statistical utility.
method Kernel mean embedding with differential privacy constraints.
result Consistent estimators of population statistics can be constructed while protecting individual privacy.
Study optimizes data collection from biased, costly sources to minimize risk.
problem Estimating population means and group-conditional means from multiple sources with varying costs and biases.
method Develops a sampling plan that maximizes effective sample size, paired with a post-stratification estimator.
result Achieves budgeted minimax optimal risk for estimating population means and group-conditional means.
MF-PID uses interacting samples to efficiently transport probability mass.
problem Efficiently transporting probability mass in generative models.
method Introducing Mean-Field Path-Integral Diffusion (MF-PID) where samples become interacting agents.
result MF-PID achieves 19-24% reductions in control energy for demand-response control of energy systems.
Improves exploration in reinforcement learning with diverse population.
problem Lack of diversity in reinforcement learning agents leads to limited exploration.
method Optimizes a population of agents using volume of behavioral manifold and online learning techniques.
result Improves exploration without sacrificing performance.
Study on price formation in financial markets with a single default event.
problem Equilibrium price formation in financial markets with a single default risk.
method Characterized optimal strategies using quadratic-growth BSDEs, derived market-clearing condition, and established mean-field BSDE solvability.
result Characterized equilibrium risk premium and its dependence on default risk factors.
Improves flu prediction by blending environment and population info.
problem Challenges in using data from one environment in another due to feature variability and population subgroup differences.
method Population-aware hierarchical Bayesian domain adaptation framework with multiple invariant components.
result Model improves flu prediction in new environments with unlabelled data.
We consider the \mnk{classical} problem of a controller activating (or sampling) sequentially from a finite number of N ≥ 2 N \geq 2 N ≥ 2 populations, specified by unknown distributions. Over some time horizon, at each time n = 1 , 2 , … n = 1, 2, \ldots n = 1 , 2 , … , the controller wishes to select a population to sample, with the goal of sampling fro…
New method corrects biased comparisons in two-group data.
problem Unreliable inferences from biased sampling.
method Developed an inference method resilient to sampling biases.
result Controls false positives under moderate bias levels.
Paper presents a GMFG framework for large stochastic games.
problem Learning Nash Equilibrium in large stochastic games.
method Value-based and policy-based reinforcement learning algorithms with smoothed policies.
result Proposed algorithms GMF-V and GMF-P are efficient and robust in GMFG setting.
We study ranking quantilized mean-field games to select top-performing agents.
problem Selecting top-performing agents in competitive scenarios.
method Developed two formulations: target-based and threshold-based, and provided analytic and semi-explicit solutions.
result Analytic and semi-explicit solutions for quantilized mean-field consistency conditions.
MetaCI uses meta-learning to generalize causal inference across heterogeneous populations.
problem Generalizing causal inference from multiple homogeneous subgroups to a heterogeneous population.
method MetaCI employs meta-learning to handle data distribution shifts and concept drifts.
result MetaCI outperforms random initialization and other methods in counterfactual inference.