Improved prediction of polymer morphology through machine learning and simulations.
problem Understanding and predicting the morphology of multi-component polymer blends.
method Modified Cahn-Hilliard model for simulations, machine learning for clustering and prediction.
result Machine learning achieved ≥ 90% accuracy in predicting polymer morphology. Proposes a new model to predict polymer properties by integrating various data types.
problem Inaccurate polymer property prediction due to separate modeling of different data types.
method Multi-modal cascade feature transfer using GCN for chemical structure and molecular descriptors.
result Empirically evaluated model shows higher predictive performance than single-feature approaches.
Inverse design is an outstanding challenge in disordered systems with multiple length scales such as polymers, particularly when designing polymers with desired phase behavior. We demonstrate high-accuracy tuning of poly(2-oxazoline) cloud point via machine learning. With a design space of four repeating units and a ra…
New approach combines likelihood and adversarial losses for better precipitation predictions.
problem Spatially inconsistent precipitation projections from likelihood-based models.
method Fuses likelihood-based and adversarial losses for generative models.
result Improves spatial consistency in precipitation downscaling.
Study shows space writhe closely correlates with knot signature in polymers.
problem Understanding the relationship between space writhe and knot signatures in knotted polymers.
method Performed Langevin dynamics simulations of knotted polymers to measure space writhe.
result Space writhe is strongly correlated with knot signature in complex knots.
RainfallBench benchmarks GNSS-based precipitation nowcasting models, addressing complex meteorological challenges.
problem Evaluation of precipitation nowcasting models in meteorology is insufficient due to focus on periodic variables.
method RainfallBench dataset and specialized evaluation protocols for multi-scale, multi-resolution, and extreme rainfall events.
result Bi-Focus Precipitation Forecaster (BFPF) enhances rainfall time series forecasting by incorporating domain-specific priors.
Bayesian modeling predicts hydroxide ion conductivity in polymer membranes.
problem Quantitative relationship between hydrophilic domain size and hydroxide ion conductivity in polymer membranes is unknown.
method Bayesian sparse modeling applied to copolymer composition data.
result Composition-derived features are identified as critical for predicting hydroxide ion conductivity.
A new method predicts precipitation distributions from ensemble forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy and calibration of precipitation forecasts.
method Distributional regression U-Nets for postprocessing ensemble precipitation forecasts.
result Competitive performance in continuous ranked probability score, especially for heavy precipitation.
Study improves precipitation predictions for High Mountain Asia using machine learning.
problem Uncertainty in future precipitation over High Mountain Asia due to regional climate model biases.
method Probabilistic machine learning framework combining 13 regional climate models via a mixture of experts.
result 32% improvement over equally-weighted average and 254% improvement over single ensemble member.
New method improves local precipitation predictions using video diffusion.
problem Limited high-resolution local precipitation predictions due to computational costs.
method Extends video diffusion models to capture conditional distribution of high-resolution patterns.
result Method outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in CRPS, MSE, and precipitation distribution.
Method optimizes knotting pathways in constrained polymers.
problem Understanding how geometric constraints affect knot formation in polymers.
method Topological steering using knotoid spectrum and mean unravelling number.
result Geometric constraints increase the frequency of twist knots in polymers.
Novel symmetry found in nanocarbons' discrete principal curvature structure.
problem Identifying novel symmetries in nanocarbons' geometric structures.
method First-principles calculations and discrete geometry analysis.
result Discovery of a novel symmetry (pre-constant discrete principal curvature) in nanocarbons.
A new approach uses circuit topology to study complex polymer interactions.
problem Understanding structural phase transitions in entangled polymer systems.
method Braided circuit topology framework for multiple-chain systems.
result Circuit topological motif fractions are effective order parameters for structural transitions.
Researchers use Gaussian processes with non-stationary kernels to model precipitation patterns in the Upper Indus Basin.
problem Uncertainty in precipitation patterns in the Upper Indus Basin, Himalayas.
method Proposes Gaussian processes with structured non-stationary kernels to model precipitation patterns, accounting for spatial variation with a latent Gaussian process.
result The proposed model adapts to varying precipitation patterns across distinct topography and outperforms stationary models in ablation experiments.
STAS selects optimal spatio-temporal scales for bias correction in precipitation forecasts.
problem Limited prior data and fixed ST scale in existing BCoPs lead to biases in numerical weather predictions.
method End-to-end deep-learning BCoP model STAS with SFM/TFM to automatically adjust spatial and temporal scales.
result STAS outperforms 8 published BCoP methods on threat scores (TS).
HAL accelerates the generation of training sets for accurate interatomic potentials.
problem Generating accurate and transferable interatomic potentials is time-consuming and requires expert input.
method HAL framework using a physically motivated sampler with a biasing term to drive high uncertainty configurations.
result HAL-generated training databases for alloys and polymers predict macroscopic properties with high accuracy.
Studying the impact of climate change on precipitation is constrained by finding a way to evaluate the evolution of precipitation variability over time. Classical approaches (feature-based) have shown their limitations for this issue due to the intermittent and irregular nature of precipitation. In this study, we prese…
MetNet forecasts precipitation up to 8 hours with high spatial and temporal resolution.
problem Precise weather forecasting for long lead times.
method Neural network architecture using axial self-attention for global context aggregation.
result MetNet outperforms Numerical Weather Prediction at forecasts of up to 8 hours.
Paper proposes a novel approach to improve spatiotemporal precipitation forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy of spatiotemporal precipitation forecasts for flood damage mitigation.
method Introduces a rain-code fusion approach using ConvLSTM and multi-frame fusion for spatiotemporal precipitation code-to-code forecasting.
result Demonstrates enhanced accuracy in precipitation forecasts beyond 3 timesteps using the rain-code fusion.
New method models precipitation extremes and spatial dependence.
problem Estimating dependencies of precipitation maxima in space and time.
method Generative neural networks for max-stable processes.
result Explicit nonparametric estimate of spatial dependence.
Machine learning classifies polymer links with high accuracy.
problem Classifying knots and links in polymer melts and biological systems.
method Feedforward neural network trained on writhe density matrix.
result 97% accuracy in classifying six prime links across temperatures and lengths.
Combination of distributional regression algorithms improves uncertainty estimation of satellite precipitation products.
problem Uncertainty estimation in satellite precipitation products.
method Ensemble learning methods combining conditional zero-adjusted probability distributions estimated with GAMLSS, spline-based GAMLSS, and distributional regression forests.
result Stacking of methods outperformed individual methods in most quantile levels using the quantile loss function.
New algorithms improve uncertainty estimation in satellite precipitation predictions.
problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in machine learning spatial precipitation predictions from satellite data.
method Benchmarked six algorithms including LightGBM, compared using quantile scoring functions and rules.
result LightGBM outperformed other algorithms in quantile scoring rule by 11.10%.
Machine learning improves sub-hourly precipitation data recovery.
problem Missing precipitation data at sub-hourly intervals.
method Two-step process: rain/non-rain classification and rain intensity prediction.
result Machine learning outperforms traditional methods in predicting missing precipitation data.
With broad applications in various public services like aviation management and urban disaster warning, numerical precipitation prediction plays a crucial role in weather forecast. However, constrained by the limitation of observation and conventional meteorological models, the numerical precipitation predictions are o…
The discovery of processes for the synthesis of new materials involves many decisions about process design, operation, and material properties. Experimentation is crucial but as complexity increases, exploration of variables can become impractical using traditional combinatorial approaches. We describe an iterative met…
Generative deep learning improves precipitation forecasts by adding resolution.
problem Inaccurate and unreliable precipitation forecasts due to unresolved processes.
method Applying GANs to super-resolve low-resolution weather model data using radar measurements.
result GANs and VAE-GANs produce high-resolution precipitation maps with better statistical properties than existing methods.
New model predicts particle precipitation from magnetosphere to ionosphere.
problem Improving prediction of electron particle precipitation from magnetosphere to ionosphere.
method Compilation of new database, use of machine learning (ML) tools, neural network (PrecipNet).
result PrecipNet achieves >50% reduction in errors and better captures dynamic changes.
Machine learning predicts seasonal precipitation for East Africa.
problem Predicting seasonal precipitation for East Africa using machine learning.
method Dimension reduction via EOFs, large-scale climate variability indices as features, interpretable ML algorithm.
result The ML approach shows significant positive skill in predicting precipitation for OND season, comparable to ECMWF forecasts.
High-resolution nowcasting is an essential tool needed for effective adaptation to climate change, particularly for extreme weather. As Deep Learning (DL) techniques have shown dramatic promise in many domains, including the geosciences, we present an application of DL to the problem of precipitation nowcasting, i.e., …
DiffObs predicts global precipitation with realistic wave modes and low frequency variations.
problem Predicting global precipitation evolution using satellite observations.
method Autoregressive generative diffusion model trained on satellite data.
result Model generates realistic wave modes and low frequency variations, validating its potential for climate prediction.
We define the local periodic linking number, LK, between two oriented closed or open chains in a system with three-dimensional periodic boundary conditions. The properties of LK indicate that it is an appropriate measure of entanglement between a collection of chains in a periodic system. Using this measure of linking …
Enhances graph neural networks by creating virtual data examples.
problem Lack of examples to identify optimal graph rationales in graph applications.
method Introduces environment replacement to create virtual data examples and proposes a framework for rationale-environment separation and representation learning.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness and efficiency of the augmentation-based graph rationalization framework on molecular and polymer datasets.
ABC method improves subseasonal weather forecasting by 60-90%.
problem Improving subseasonal temperature and precipitation forecasting accuracy.
method Combines dynamical forecasts with machine learning-based bias correction.
result Significant improvement in temperature and precipitation forecasting skills.
Paper introduces simplified formulas for Milnor's triple linking number.
problem Computational difficulty in calculating Jones polynomial for topological polymers.
method Developed Gauss diagram formulas for Milnor's Vassiliev invariants.
result Introduced non-torsion valued Milnor's triple linking number.
Rainfall ensemble forecasts have to be skillful for both low precipitation and extreme events. We present statistical post-processing methods based on Quantile Regression Forests (QRF) and Gradient Forests (GF) with a parametric extension for heavy-tailed distributions. Our goal is to improve ensemble quality for all t…
Deep learning identifies precipitation clouds from all-sky camera data.
problem Automating cloud warning systems for observatories.
method Deep learning using EfficientNet network.
result Average accuracy of 99% in identifying rainfall potential and 96% in cloud coverage.
Efficiently estimates material parameter space with multifidelity Gaussian process modeling.
problem Estimating a region of material parameter space with similar precipitate shapes.
method Multifidelity Gaussian process modeling to reduce computational cost.
result Significant reduction in sampling cost for accurate LER estimation.
New methods assess topological entanglement in periodic systems.
problem Assessing topological entanglement in systems with periodic boundary conditions.
method Introducing Periodic Jones polynomial and Cell Jones polynomial.
result Periodic Jones polynomial is a recurring factor of Jones polynomial of finite cutoffs.
The study examines knot probabilities in confined lattice polygons.
problem Determining the relative knotting probabilities in confined lattice knots.
method Used Monte Carlo algorithms to enumerate conformations of lattice knots in a confined volume.
result Relative knotting probabilities are small, with the model dominated by unknots.
Deep generative models improve global precipitation forecasts.
problem Accurately forecasting extreme rainfall is challenging and costly.
method Trained a Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (CorrectorGAN) to correct and super-resolve global precipitation forecasts.
result CorrectorGAN produces high-resolution, bias-corrected forecasts in seconds.
Climate extreme events are constantly increasing. What is the effect of these potentially catastrophic events on insurance demand in Italy, with particular reference to the economic activities? Extreme precipitation events over most of the midlatitude land masses and over wet tropical regions will very likely become mo…
We win EVA2025 by estimating extreme precipitation events using Peaks Over Thresholds and martingale testing.
problem Estimating the probability of extreme precipitation events with limited data.
method Modeling Peaks Over Thresholds with an exponential distribution and using martingale testing for evaluation.
result Our method outperforms other approaches in estimating extreme precipitation events.
Study evaluates deep learning methods for climate downscaling over Spain.
problem Deep learning methods' extrapolation capability for climate projections.
method Intercomparison experiment using PP and RCM emulation models.
result Existing models struggle with extrapolating unseen conditions.
I review few conceptual steps in analytic description of topological interactions, which constitute the basis of a new interdisciplinary branch in mathematical physics, "Statistical Topology", emerged at the edge of topology and statistical physics of fluctuating non-phantom rope-like objects. This new branch is called…
Water managers in the western United States (U.S.) rely on longterm forecasts of temperature and precipitation to prepare for droughts and other wet weather extremes. To improve the accuracy of these longterm forecasts, the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) launch…
Effective training of Deep Neural Networks requires massive amounts of data and compute. As a result, longer times are needed to train complex models requiring large datasets, which can severely limit research on model development and the exploitation of all available data. In this paper, this problem is investigated i…
Neural networks predict flow and elastic stresses in viscoelastic turbulence.
problem Predicting flow and elastic stresses in viscoelastic turbulent flows using limited experimental data.
method Convolutional neural networks trained on wall-normal velocity and pressure data.
result Neural networks accurately predict flow and elastic stresses, especially during low-drag events.