A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Italy's vaccine coverage fell, leading to political debates and online social media discussions.
Method estimates treatment effect bounds in sample selection models.
This article presents a preliminary approach towards characterizing political fake news on Twitter through the analysis of their meta-data. In particular, we focus on more than 1.5M tweets collected on the day of the election of Donald Trump as 45th president of the United States of America. We use the meta-data embedd…
SLIM model predicts social network polarization using signed links.
First-best climate policy is a uniform carbon tax which gradually rises over time. Civil servants have complicated climate policy to expand bureaucracies, politicians to create rents. Environmentalists have exaggerated climate change to gain influence, other activists have joined the climate bandwagon. Opponents to cli…
Paper finds political networks reduce bond issuance costs in China.
Scores political leanings in Web3 betting markets.
Analysis of opinion dynamics in social networks plays an important role in today's life. For applications such as predicting users' political preference, it is particularly important to be able to analyze the dynamics of competing opinions. While observing the evolution of polar opinions of a social network's users ove…
New method predicts political ideology from online activity.
TBIP uses texts to quantify lawmakers' political positions.
One important effect of price shocks in the United States has been increased political attention paid to the structure and performance of oil and natural gas markets, along with some governmental support for energy conservation. This paper describes how price changes helped lead the emergence of a political agenda acco…
Understanding how political attention is divided and over what subjects is crucial for research on areas such as agenda setting, framing, and political rhetoric. Existing methods for measuring attention, such as manual labeling according to established codebooks, are expensive and can be restrictive. We describe two co…
Based mainly on examples of interest in mechanics, we define the notion of a polite group action. One may view this as not only trying to give a more general notion than properness of a group action, but also to more fully understand the role of invariant functions in describing just about everything of interest in red…
Human stablecoin transactions predict political risk in cryptocurrency markets.
Community detection is a fundamental task in social network analysis. In this paper, first we develop an endorsement filtered user connectivity network by utilizing Heider's structural balance theory and certain Twitter triad patterns. Next, we develop three Nonnegative Matrix Factorization frameworks to investigate th…
Model forecasts hourly electricity demand influenced by weather, socio-economic, and political factors.
A growing number of empirical studies suggest that negative advertising is effective in campaigning, while the mechanisms are rarely mentioned. With the scandal of Cambridge Analytica and Russian intervention behind the Brexit and the 2016 presidential election, people have become aware of the political ads on social m…
In this paper we present a kinetic model with stochastic game-type interactions, analyzing the relationship between the level of political competition in a society and the degree of economic liberalization. The above issue regards the complex interactions between economy and institutional policies intended to introduce…
Every year at the United Nations, member states deliver statements during the General Debate discussing major issues in world politics. These speeches provide invaluable information on governments' perspectives and preferences on a wide range of issues, but have largely been overlooked in the study of international pol…
Foreign policy analysis has been struggling to find ways to measure policy preferences and paradigm shifts in international political systems. This paper presents a novel, potential solution to this challenge, through the application of a neural word embedding (Word2vec) model on a dataset featuring speeches by heads o…
Managing large-scale transportation infrastructure projects is difficult due to frequent misinformation about the costs which results in large cost overruns that often threaten the overall project viability. This paper investigates the explanations for cost overruns that are given in the literature. Overall, four categ…
The paper uses Black-Scholes model to analyze political support and coalition agreements.
We classify the polar actions on the complex hyperbolic plane up to orbit equivalence. Apart from the trivial and transitive polar actions, there are five polar actions of cohomogeneity one and four polar actions of cohomogeneity two.
Study polar actions on Damek-Ricci spaces, proving existence and finding examples.
The paper studies how Kähler polarizations degenerate to mixed polarizations on toric varieties.
Polarized and -polarized CR manifolds are smooth manifolds endowed with a double structure: a real foliation $\Cal F$ (given by the action of a Lie group in the -polarized case) and a transverse CR distribution . Polarized means that is roughly speaking invariant by $\Cal F$. Both structures ar…
Model predicts political ideology using context vectors to mitigate bias and scarcity.
Study examines Trump's crypto influence on markets, revealing conflicts and vulnerabilities.
A polarity of a projective plane is a map, often assumed to be involutive, mapping a generic point to a generic line and reciprocally. The most classical polarity is the polarity with respect to a conic, but other exist: the harmonic polarity with respect to a triangle, the polarities with respect to high-degree algebr…
The generic fiber of a Lagrangian fibration on an irreducible holomorphic symplectic manifold is an abelian variety. Associate a polarization type to such Lagrangian fibrations coming from polarizations on a generic fiber. We prove that this polarization type is constant in families of Lagrangian fibrations. Further, w…
Paper uses ResUNet-CMB to reconstruct cosmic polarization rotation from CMB data.
The study introduces polarization of generalized Nijenhuis torsions and their relevance in operator fields.
Classifies polar foliations on symmetric spaces.
Assume that a projective variety together with a polarization is uniformly K-stable. If the polarization is canonical or anti-canonical, then the projective variety is uniformly K-stable with respects to any polarization sufficiently close to the original polarization.
Classifies totally geodesic submanifolds and polar actions on Stiefel manifolds.
Classifies hexagonal circular 3-webs with cubic polar curves.
The main result of this paper is that a polar action on a compact irreducible homogeneous Kaehler manifold is coisotropic. This is then used to give new examples of polar actions and to classify coisotropic and polar actions on quadrics.
POLAR framework interprets word embeddings using polar opposites.
Study empty polar varieties' impact on singular function-germs.
For complex projective manifolds we introduce polar homology groups, which are holomorphic analogues of the homology groups in topology. The polar k-chains are subvarieties of complex dimension k with meromorphic forms on them, while the boundary operator is defined by taking the polar divisor and the Poincare residue …
Totally geodesic sections found in polar actions.
News attention to financial intermediaries and crises predicts excess bond premium and macroeconomic movements.
The imbalance of buying and selling functions profoundly in the formation of market trends, however, a fine-granularity investigation of the imbalance is still missing. This paper investigates a unique transaction dataset that enables us to inspect the imbalance of buying and selling on the man-times level at high freq…
We prove a criterion for an isometric action of a Lie group on a Riemannian manifold to be polar. From this criterion, it follows that an action with a fixed point is polar if and only if the slice representation at the fixed point is polar and the section is the tangent space of an embedded totally geodesic submanifol…
We show that simply connected Riemannian homogeneous spaces of compact semisimple Lie groups with polar isotropy actions are symmetric, generalizing results of Fabio Podesta and the third named author. Without assuming compactness, we give a classification of Riemannian homogeneous spaces of semisimple Lie groups whose…
Carnot groups can be polarized if they have specific coordinate systems.
Polar manifolds are Riemannian G-manifolds admitting a "section", i.e., a complete submanifold passing through every orbit and doing so orthogonally. We consider compact simply-connected polar manifolds and achieve an equivariantly diffeomorphic classification in dimensions 5 or less. As an application, we determine wh…
The paper bounds abnormal and Goh-abnormal sets for metabelian Lie groups with polarizations.