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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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66132197263 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for policy trees

While deep reinforcement learning has successfully solved many challenging control tasks, its real-world applicability has been limited by the inability to ensure the safety of learned policies. We propose an approach to verifiable reinforcement learning by training decision tree policies, which can represent complex p…

2018-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient-based methods are often used for policy optimization in deep reinforcement learning, despite being vulnerable to local optima and saddle points. Although gradient-free methods (e.g., genetic algorithms or evolution strategies) help mitigate these issues, poor initialization and local optima are still concerns …

2019-12-23abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves self-play learning in games by manipulating experience distributions.

problem Improving self-play learning in games through better experience sampling.
method Three approaches: weighted sampling, Prioritized Experience Replay, and diversifying trajectories.
result Major improvements in early training performance in some games, minor improvements overall.

This paper proposes an online tree-based Bayesian approach for reinforcement learning. For inference, we employ a generalised context tree model. This defines a distribution on multivariate Gaussian piecewise-linear models, which can be updated in closed form. The tree structure itself is constructed using the cover tr…

2013-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper studies how neural policies can be interpreted using decision trees.

problem Understanding how machine learning controllers make decisions in complex environments.
method The approach involves disentangled representation using decision trees to interpret neural policies.
result The paper shows that disentanglement of learned neural dynamics improves interpretability.

Finite-horizon lookahead policies are abundantly used in Reinforcement Learning and demonstrate impressive empirical success. Usually, the lookahead policies are implemented with specific planning methods such as Monte Carlo Tree Search (e.g. in AlphaZero). Referring to the planning problem as tree search, a reasonable…

2018-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗

PS framework selects best policy from library for CSO problems.

problem Policy selection in CSO with heterogeneous performance across covariate space.
method PS framework constructs library of candidate policies and learns a meta-policy to select the best one.
result PS consistently outperforms best single policy in heterogeneous CSO problems.

Deep imagination optimizes decision-making in large trees with limited resources.

problem Optimal planning in large decision trees with limited resources and time.
method Analytical solutions and numerical analysis of sampling capacity allocation.
result Optimal policy is to allocate few samples per level for deep exploration, favoring depth over breadth.

In many settings, a decision-maker wishes to learn a rule, or policy, that maps from observable characteristics of an individual to an action. Examples include selecting offers, prices, advertisements, or emails to send to consumers, as well as the problem of determining which medication to prescribe to a patient. Whil…

2018-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Monte-Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) methods are drawing great interest after yielding breakthrough results in computer Go. This paper proposes a Bayesian approach to MCTS that is inspired by distributionfree approaches such as UCT [13], yet significantly differs in important respects. The Bayesian framework allows potential…

2012-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates sample size for subgroup analysis in randomized experiments.

problem Determining sample size for accurate subgroup analysis.
method Turns inference problem into simultaneous inference, calculates sample size based on confidence level and margin of error.
result Allows inversion of sample size to feasible number of treatment arms or partition complexity.

Bayesian CART models improve insurance claims frequency prediction and interpretation.

problem Improving accuracy and interpretability in insurance pricing models.
method Introducing Bayesian CART models for claims frequency, implementing MCMC algorithm for posterior tree exploration, and using DIC for model selection.
result Bayesian CART models can better classify policy-holders into risk groups.

A RL approach finds Nash equilibrium for turn-based zero-sum games.

problem Finding Nash equilibrium in two-player turn-based zero-sum games.
method EIS method combining exploration, policy improvement, and supervised learning.
result EIS method finds an ε-approximate value function of Nash equilibrium in O(ε^(-(d+4))) steps.

The paper sets bounds on how much regret is unavoidable in adaptive LQR with unknown B-matrix.

problem Understanding the limits of adaptive LQR with unknown B-matrix.
method Local asymptotic minimax regret lower bounds using van Trees' inequality and Bellman error representation.
result Logarithmic regret is impossible if the parametrization induces an uninformative optimal policy.

We address the problem of Bayesian reinforcement learning using efficient model-based online planning. We propose an optimism-free Bayes-adaptive algorithm to induce deeper and sparser exploration with a theoretical bound on its performance relative to the Bayes optimal policy, with a lower computational complexity. Th…

2019-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes off-policy TD-learning using generalized Bellman operators and provides finite-sample bounds.

problem High variance in off-policy TD-learning due to importance sampling.
method Derives finite-sample bounds for off-policy TD-like algorithms using generalized Bellman operators.
result First-known finite-sample guarantees for several off-policy TD algorithms.

BFTS uses Bayesian Additive Regression Trees for improved personalized mobile health interventions.

problem Adapting to complex, non-linear user behaviors in personalized mobile health interventions.
method Bayesian Forest Thompson Sampling (BFTS) integrates Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) into the exploration loop of contextual bandits.
result BFTS achieves state-of-the-art regret on tabular benchmarks and improves engagement rates by over 30% in a behavioral intervention study.

CAPITAL algorithm identifies optimal patient subgroups for better treatment.

problem Identify maximum number of patients benefiting from better treatment.
method Constrained Policy Tree Search (CAPITAL) algorithm to find optimal subgroup selection rule (SSR).
result Maximizes the number of patients with enhanced treatment effects.

This paper uses NLDT to find interpretable control rules from complex DRL policies.

problem Complex, non-interpretable policies from black-box AI methods.
method Evolutionary optimization of NLDT for hierarchical control rules.
result Interpretable control rules with similar performance to black-box DRL.

InfoTree improves reinforcement learning by optimizing tool use with a greedy submodular approach.

problem Maximizing information from tool use in reinforcement learning with limited resources.
method Formalizes Rollout Informativeness, recasts state selection as submodular maximization, and uses UUCB and ABA.
result InfoTree outperforms existing methods across various benchmarks, improving performance by 18.2% on average.

This paper explains CART random forests using stochastic control theory.

problem Understanding the inner workings of CART random forests.
method Developed a stochastic-control perspective on CART random forests, interpreting feature subsampling as a random feasible action set and the split rule as a policy.
result Established that the CART policy is locally stabilizing but globally suboptimal for the forest objective.

New split rules improve subpopulation targeting in policy-making.

problem Improving binary classification for subpopulation targeting in policy-making.
method MDFS, PFS, wEFS for maximizing distance and penalizing final splits.
result Proposed methods target more vulnerable subpopulations than classic CART/KD-CART.

Recently, a novel class of Approximate Policy Iteration (API) algorithms have demonstrated impressive practical performance (e.g., ExIt from [2], AlphaGo-Zero from [27]). This new family of algorithms maintains, and alternately optimizes, two policies: a fast, reactive policy (e.g., a deep neural network) deployed at t…

2018-05-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New method optimizes experiments under constraints.

problem Adapting BED to dynamic constraints in real-world tasks.
method Offline pre-training of an amortized policy and posterior network with online multi-step lookahead planning.
result Significantly more informative design sequences than existing methods.

Monte Carlo Tree Search improves financial derivative hedging efficiency.

problem Optimizing pricing and hedging of derivative contracts in incomplete markets.
method Integrates tree search techniques with Reinforcement Learning for optimal control problems.
result Monte Carlo Tree Search outperforms QQ-learning in sample efficiency and learning speed.

Proposes a generalized causal tree for handling multiple treatments in uplift modeling.

problem Handling multiple treatments in uplift modeling.
method Generalizes causal tree algorithm to handle multiple discrete and continuous-valued treatments.
result Demonstrates improved performance over existing methods in experiments and real data examples.

The paper challenges the use of decision trees for pointwise inference due to slow convergence rates.

problem The slow convergence rates of decision trees in uniform norm, especially with non-vanishing probability.
method Demonstrates the limitations of adaptive recursive partitioning and shows how random forests can improve performance.
result Decision trees can fail to achieve polynomial rates of convergence in uniform norm, even with pruning.