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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,291 papers · 148 categories

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119239358477 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for policy change detection

New framework detects policy changes in black-box DMS over time.

problem Lack of transparency in black-box decision making systems.
method Proposes temporal transparency, maps to time series changepoint detection, develops framework.
result Reveals policy changes in real-world DMS, including announced and unannounced.

A new algorithm detects changes in high-dimensional data efficiently under sampling constraints.

problem Real-time monitoring of high-dimensional streaming data with limited sampling.
method Incorporates multi-armed bandit approaches into sequential change-point detection.
result Proposes TSSRP algorithm for efficient detection of changes.

AUCRSS detects change points in partially observed multivariate autocorrelated data.

problem Detecting change points in multivariate autocorrelated data with limited sensing resources.
method Adaptive Upper Confidence Region (AUCRSS) with state space model (SSM), adaptive sampling policy, and generalized likelihood ratio test.
result The method outperforms existing approaches in detecting change points efficiently.

Algorithm detects causal change points quickly with adaptive interventions.

problem Detecting changes in causal models with interventions.
method Centralization technique, Kullback-Leibler divergence for intervention selection, adaptive intervention policy.
result Theoretical first-order optimality and validation through simulations and real-world studies.

Develops deep jump learning for continuous treatment OPE.

problem Estimating mean outcomes under new treatment rules using historical data from different rules.
method Adaptive deep discretization of continuous treatment space using deep learning and multi-scale change point detection.
result Validated method through theoretical results, simulations, and real application to Warfarin Dosing.

SNPL learns safe policies for multi-objective interventions with high confidence.

problem Designing effective digital interventions balancing multiple objectives with noisy data.
method Leverages algorithmic stability to learn policies with high-confidence guarantees.
result Offers dramatic improvements in safety and policy gains with smaller sample sizes.

ReCAP adapts to dynamic financial markets by segmenting and combining policy vectors.

problem Inefficient traditional PM approaches in non-stationary financial markets.
method Integrates continual learning into PM, segmenting regimes and adapting policies.
result Consistently outperforms baselines in real-world financial datasets.

Bayesian model detects sudden changes in stock market correlations during pandemic.

problem Capturing sudden structural changes in financial dependence during global events.
method Develops a Bayesian multivariate stochastic volatility model based on time-varying graphs.
result Captures abrupt changes in dependence structure across US stock portfolios.

Rarely switch policies to optimize treatment effects, reducing harmful changes.

problem Difficult to change policies frequently in real-world scenarios.
method Developed a conservative policy updating procedure for rarely-switching linear bandits.
result The procedure optimizes policies with fewer changes and fewer detrimental changes.

Develops a method to detect changes in linear systems with temporal correlations.

problem Detect abrupt changes in time series data with temporal correlations.
method Data-dependent threshold for online change point detection in linear dynamical systems.
result Achieves a pre-specified upper bound on the probability of false alarms and provides a finite-sample-based bound for detection probability.

Detects change-points in similarity networks to identify anomalous nodes.

problem Detecting changes in network structure that affect node similarity.
method Sequential node-wise average similarity measures for change detection; community detection for anomaly isolation.
result Simple sequential procedure effectively identifies change-points and anomalous nodes.

New algorithm detects changes in high-dimensional data with mean and variance.

problem Challenges in detecting changes in high-dimensional data with mean and variance.
method Complete graph-based approach to detect changes of mean and variance from low to high-dimensional online data.
result The proposed method outperforms existing methods in terms of detection power.

Reduces change detection to estimation using confidence sequences.

problem Detecting changes in data streams with minimal delay and false alarms.
method Reduction from sequential change detection to sequential estimation using confidence sequences.
result Change detection scheme with minimal structural assumptions and strong guarantees.

New method estimates stochastic rate change in insurance portfolios.

problem Determining the stochastic nature of premium changes in dynamic insurance portfolios.
method Definition of rate change as a statistical parameter, various models and techniques for estimation, matched sampling to adjust for policy characteristics.
result Quantification of uncertainty in stochastic rate change estimates, application to motor premium database.

New method detects and locates changes in spatio-temporal point processes.

problem Detecting and localizing changes in spatio-temporal data.
method Score-based, likelihood-free approach estimating change time and region.
result The method provides theoretical guarantees on detection and localization accuracy.

Extends DeTEcT framework for token economies with dynamic and probabilistic parameters.

problem Modeling wealth distribution in token economies with dynamic and probabilistic parameters.
method Introduces four parametrization techniques: dynamic vs static, probabilistic vs non-probabilistic.
result Derives existing wealth distribution models from DeTEcT framework with added restrictions.

This work develops agents to learn generalizable policies for dynamic network environments.

problem Real-world network topologies change due to attackers, defenders, or system failures, leading to failures in adaptive ACD systems.
method Developing agents to learn generalizable policies across dynamic network environments.
result Agents can learn robust policies for dynamic network topologies and diverse attackers.

New algorithm detects changes in Gaussian Process covariance structures.

problem Detecting abrupt changes in Gaussian Process covariance structures.
method Statistical hypothesis tests and Bayesian Online Change Point Detection (BOCPD) with improved thresholds.
result CBOCPD finds multiple structural breaks in GPs even with imprecise hyperparameters.

Detects graph topology changes from noisy signals using prior spectral information.

problem Detecting changes in graph topology from graph signals.
method Leverages graph filtering and subspace detection to distill problem into a CUSUM-based algorithm.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of incorporating prior spectral signatures for change-point detection.

GOCPD detects change points by maximizing the probability of two independent models.

problem Large false discovery rates in online change point detection methods.
method GOCPD uses ternary search to find change points by maximizing the probability of two independent models.
result GOCPD accelerates CPD with logarithmic complexity for single change point detection.

Balancing graph summarization and change detection in streaming data.

problem Balancing compression rate in graph summarization and accuracy in change detection.
method Introducing a probabilistic hierarchical latent variable model and optimizing parameters based on the minimum description length principle to balance the trade-off.
result Guaranteed suppression of Type I error probability (false alarms) in change detection.

Post-detection analysis identifies responsible coordinates for multivariate change-points.

problem Identifying which coordinates in multivariate time series change after a detected change-point.
method Two-sample testing procedures with nonparametric tests for Type I error control.
result Strong performance of proposed post hoc statistical procedures.

Deep learning generates efficient change-point detection methods.

problem Detecting change-points in data with various types of change and data behavior.
method Train a neural network to automatically generate detection methods.
result Neural network-based methods are competitive and outperform standard methods in various noise conditions.

SoccerCPD detects tactical changes in soccer matches using spatiotemporal tracking data.

problem Detecting consistent team formations in fluid sports like soccer.
method Two-step change-point detection: formation and role changes.
result Accurately detects tactical changes and estimates formation and role assignments.

Unified framework detects changes in complex system models.

problem Accurate identification of dynamic changes in simulation models.
method Combines machine learning and process-driven simulation modeling.
result Significantly improves change point detection accuracy.

A new method detects sparse changes in high-dimensional data streams using tailored PCA projections.

problem Detecting sparse changes in high-dimensional data streams.
method Tailored PCA projections for online change detection.
result High efficiency in detecting even very sparse changes in mean, variance, and correlation.

CDSSD detects sparse changes in partially observable data streams.

problem Online change detection of sparse changes in partially observable high-dimensional data streams.
method Smooth-sparse decomposition, spike-slab variational Bayesian inference, adaptive sampling via Thompson sampling.
result CDSSD effectively detects sparse changes in partially observable data streams.