We detect and quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers using the realized semivariances of petroleum commodities: crude oil, gasoline, and heating oil. During the 1987--2014 period we document increasing spillovers from volatility among petroleum commodities that substantially change after the 2008 financial crisi…
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14 results for “petroleum”
REGOMAX analyzes EU economies' sensitivity to petroleum and gas trade from major exporters.
problem Analyzing EU economies' sensitivity to petroleum and gas trade from major exporters.
method Reduced Google matrix (REGOMAX) algorithm applied to UN COMTRADE data.
result Shows sensitivity of each EU country to petroleum and gas trade from Russia, USA, Saudi Arabia, and Norway.
Analyzes global economic sectors' interdependence using Google matrix analysis.
problem Understanding interdependencies and interactions among world economies and sectors.
method Reduced Google matrix algorithm applied to OECD-WTO network data.
result Shows sensitivity of sectors to petroleum activity and interdependencies among countries.
XGBoost models estimate oil recovery factors with moderate accuracy.
problem Estimating oil recovery factors before exploitation and exploration.
method Applied XGBoost classification algorithm to machine learning models.
result XGBoost models achieved accuracies of up to 0.49 in training datasets.
Study shows post-COVID commodity futures returns and volatility changed for different products.
problem Analyzing how the pandemic affected Chinese commodity futures markets.
method Empirical analysis of commodity futures returns and cointegration before and after the pandemic.
result Post-COVID, some commodity futures returns increased significantly, while others saw higher volatility.
In this paper a data analytical approach featuring support vector machines (SVM) is employed to train a predictive model over an experimentaldataset, which consists of the most relevant studies for two-phase flow pattern prediction. The database for this study consists of flow patterns or flow regimes in gas-liquid two…
New model optimizes oil product distribution via pipelines.
problem Optimizing oil product distribution via pipelines.
method Discrete-time mixed integer linear programming model.
result Significant reductions in pipeline operational cost.
Using the United Nations COMTRADE database \cite{comtrade} we construct the Google matrix of multiproduct world trade between the UN countries and analyze the properties of trade flows on this network for years 1962 - 2010. This construction, based on Markov chains, treats all countries on equal democratic grounds …
Paper predicts stock market values using machine learning.
problem Predicting stock market values for Tehran stock exchange groups.
method Used machine learning algorithms including Decision Tree, Bagging, Random Forest, Adaptive Boosting, Gradient Boosting, XGBoost, Artificial neural network, Recurrent Neural Network, and Long short-term memory (LSTM).
result LSTM shows highest accuracy among all algorithms tested.
The paper develops a multi-unit soft sensing model for virtual flow meters that improves few-shot learning.
problem Improving soft sensor performance for new wells with limited data.
method Formulates a probabilistic, hierarchical model using a deep neural network for multi-unit soft sensing.
result Multi-unit models trained on many wells can perform well on new wells with just a few data points.
This paper optimizes Iran's stock portfolio using neural networks and genetic algorithms.
problem Optimizing capital allocation in Iran's stock market with low risk and high return.
method Markowitz Mean-Variance-Skewness model with neural network prediction of stock returns and risks.
result Designing 8 different portfolios for various risk tolerance levels.
Real-time fuel leakage detection framework MOCPD improves accuracy.
problem Early detection of fuel leakage to prevent hazards and losses.
method Memory-based Online Change Point Detection (MOCPD) framework.
result MOCPD outperforms baseline methods in detection accuracy.
Bayesian network method analyzes oil and gas reservoir parameters.
problem Data analysis and causal inference in oil and gas reservoirs.
method Mixed learning of Bayesian networks with algorithm MixLearn@BN.
result Significant improvement in missing values prediction and anomaly detection.
Model forecasts natural gas consumption with Fourier series and feedback.
problem Forecast natural gas consumption for risk minimization.
method Modulated Fourier series with temperature deviations, day-ahead feedback.
result Model outperforms time series methods for long-term projections.