New model predicts persistent weather patterns better than persistence model.
problem Improving weather forecasting accuracy for persistent patterns.
method Mixture of experts model using ordinal neural network.
result The model outperforms persistence and other models for longer time horizon predictions.
We compute persistent homology using an intrinsic metric derived from density.
problem Estimating topological features from high-dimensional data.
method Density-based metric learning for persistent homology.
result Persistent homology converges to intrinsic manifold metric.
Silence on suspicious stock market patterns persists despite lack of plausible explanations.
problem Suspicious patterns in stock market returns not explained or warned about.
method Analysis of correspondence and market data over five years.
result People aware of suspicious patterns chose not to alert the public.
Improved modeling of persistence diagrams for data analysis.
problem Determining significant outliers in persistence diagrams.
method Modification of the RST (Replicating Statistical Topology) model using MCMC Metropolis-Hastings algorithm.
result The modified RST model improves the goodness of fit in persistence diagram analysis.
A new framework for mining high utility patterns in interval-based sequences.
problem Mining patterns in events that persist over varying time intervals and considering event utility.
method Integrates utility into interval-based sequences and proposes HUIPMiner algorithm with pruning strategy.
result HUIPMiner efficiently finds high utility patterns in real datasets.
Generates random persistence diagrams for data analysis.
problem Generating random persistence diagrams for data analysis.
method Based on pairwise interacting point processes and RJ-MCMC algorithm.
result Demonstrates the efficacy and utility of RPDG in materials science.
A novel method classifies wafer defects using topological data analysis.
problem Classifying defect patterns on semiconductor wafers for maintenance and yield management.
method Representing defect patterns as vectors using topological features from persistent homology.
result The method outperforms CNN in accuracy and efficiency, especially with limited data.
New topological methods for hypergraph data improve community detection and pattern recognition.
problem Community detection and pattern recognition in hypergraph data.
method Introducing a new topological space structure of hypergraph data, proposing modified nearest neighbors methods.
result Improved methods for community detection and pattern recognition in hypergraph data.
Metrics stabilize persistent homology in data analysis.
problem Stabilizing invariants for characterizing connectivity structures in data.
method Using contour functions to define metrics for rank invariants.
result Optimal contours provide robust descriptors of spatial patterns.
Study identifies two borrowing patterns in UK payday loan users.
problem Financial vulnerability of payday loan users.
method Two-state hidden Markov model (HMM) using Open Banking data.
result 36.4% of borrowers experience high-intensity exposure for 12 weeks or more.
Given a knot K in S3, a question raised by Cappell and Shaneson asks if the meridional rank of K equals the bridge number of K. Using augmentations in knot contact homology we consider the persistence of equality between these two invariants under satellite operations on K with a braid pattern. In particular…
This paper introduces TDA and TSI for better business analytics.
problem Nonlinear, multi-scale business datasets under-represented by traditional tools.
method Topological Data Analysis (TDA) and Topological Stability Index (TSI).
result TSI reveals structural variability in business data.
Study forecasts U.S. bond index using deep learning, finding persistence is key.
problem Forecasting U.S. aggregate bond index with deep learning methods.
method Constructed a stationary but maximally persistent representation of the bond index, evaluated using MLPs and CNNs.
result Deep learning models outperform traditional methods in short-horizon forecasting of bond indices.
Anomaly detection identifies unusual malaria transmission patterns in Ghana.
problem Identifying atypical malaria transmission patterns in Ghana's spatiotemporal surveillance data.
method Consensus-based anomaly detection framework applied to monthly malaria surveillance data.
result High-burden areas are not necessarily those with the most frequent anomalous transmission.
News sentiment in U.S. economic newspapers has become more persistent over 45 years.
problem Understanding the temporal dynamics of U.S. economic news sentiment over time.
method Daily economic news sentiment index from 1980-2025, analyzed using sentiment indexes.
result News sentiment states have become more persistent, with longer residence times in optimistic or pessimistic regimes.
We propose coalescent mechanism of economic grow because of redistribution of external resources. It leads to Zipf distribution of firms over their sizes, turning to stretched exponent because of size-dependent effects, and predicts exponential distribution of income between individuals. We also present new approach to…
A new method clusters complex networks using topological and geometric structure.
problem Clustering complex networks with intricate topology.
method Centroid-based clustering strategy using Wasserstein distance and barycenter for persistence barcodes.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on simulated and real-world networks.
KineticSim: A lightweight, high-performance execution engine for real-time market simulators
problem Simulating financial markets at scale with multi-agent models
method Reusable parallel design pattern: persistent, state-carrying clearing for iterative multi-agent reductions
result Reduces per-step critical-path depth from Theta(L+A) to Theta(log L + ceil(A/L))
We explore the evolution of daily returns of four major US stock market indices during the technology crash of 2000, and the financial crisis of 2007-2009. Our methodology is based on topological data analysis (TDA). We use persistence homology to detect and quantify topological patterns that appear in multidimensional…
We measure the influence of different time-scales on the dynamics of financial market data. This is obtained by decomposing financial time series into simple oscillations associated with distinct time-scales. We propose two new time-varying measures: 1) an amplitude scaling exponent and 2) an entropy-like measure. We a…
Study of 2D Ising model reveals patterns in financial markets.
problem Understanding stylized facts in financial markets using statistical physics.
method 2D Ising model with spin interactions; analysis of spin clusters, persistence, and dynamics.
result Microscopic mechanisms explain stylized facts like sharp peaks in returns and heavy-tailed distributions.
New method detects long-term structures with internal dynamics in time series data.
problem Identifying patterns across time in data growth.
method Adaptive identification of majority overlaps between groups at different time points.
result Detection of persistent structural elements with internal dynamics.
Study on price fluctuations and persistence in European electricity spot markets.
problem Analyzing variability and persistence of electricity prices in European spot markets.
method Analysis of hourly, intraday, and 15-min intraday market prices; quantification of fluctuations, correlations, and extreme events; classification into circulation weather types.
result Different time scales in market dynamics; multifractal behavior below 12 hours; anti-correlation and mean reversion above 12 hours; long-term behavior influenced by four-day weather patterns; q-Gaussian distributions as best fit. KineticSim accelerates financial market simulations 3406x over CPU.
problem Simulating financial markets at scale with multi-agent models is bottlenecked by sequential processing and GPU kernel overhead.
method Formalized and implemented a reusable parallel design pattern for iterative multi-agent reductions in thread-block shared memory.
result Achieved a peak throughput of over 54.7 billion agent-events per second, delivering 3406x speedup over CPU.
Stable topological summary captures evolving dependency structure in dynamic Bayesian networks.
problem Missing larger-scale patterns in evolving dependency structures in dynamic Bayesian networks.
method Topological approach using Dynamic Bayesian Graphs and persistent homology.
result Stable topological summary (barcodes) captures evolving dependency structure in DBNs.
The study reveals distinct patterns in retail investors' holding periods affecting stock returns.
problem Understanding the impact of retail investors' investment horizons on stock returns.
method Using self-reported holding periods from StockTwits, the study categorizes retail investors into long-horizon and short-horizon groups and analyzes their return patterns.
result Long-horizon retail investors exhibit underreaction to earnings announcements, while short-horizon investors show overreaction.
Benchmarking recursive collapse claims with a new framework under false-positive control.
problem Evaluating recursive systems for failure patterns and warning claims.
method Developed Loopzero framework for testing recursive failures, specified claim boundaries in Lean, evaluated under FP constraint, and compared with standard detectors.
result No standard detectors or Loopzero's pre-registered quantile detector achieved the required operating point under the false-positive contract.
This paper analyzes correlations in patterns of trading of different members of the London Stock Exchange. The collection of strategies associated with a member institution is defined by the sequence of signs of net volume traded by that institution in hour intervals. Using several methods we show that there are signif…
IVFS simplifies feature selection for high-dimensional data preservation.
problem Maintaining structure and pairwise distances in high-dimensional data.
method IVFS framework based on persistent diagrams from computational topology.
result IVFS well preserves pairwise distances and topological patterns of full data.
Approaches for approximating persistent homology for large datasets.
problem Inability to compute persistent homology for large datasets.
method Multiple subsampling framework for statistical approximation of persistent homology.
result Derivation of finite sample convergence rates for empirical means of persistent homology.
Persistence landscapes map persistence diagrams into a function space, which may often be taken to be a Banach space or even a Hilbert space. In the latter case, it is a feature map and there is an associated kernel. The main advantage of this summary is that it allows one to apply tools from statistics and machine lea…
Proposes deep graph persistence to address neural persistence issues in deep learning.
problem Variance of weights and lack of spatial structure in deep neural networks impact neural persistence.
method Extends neural persistence to the whole network, considering interactions between layers.
result Deep graph persistence alleviates variance-related issues and captures persistent paths through the network.
The paper develops finite knot theory using ropelength-filtered Reidemeister graphs.
problem Understanding knot types in bounded ropelength sublevel spaces.
method Study thick representatives in bounded ropelength sublevel spaces through lifted Reidemeister graphs.
result Define characteristic Reidemeister patterns and finite recognition length.
Paper proves k-means clustering works on persistence diagrams.
problem Complex geometry of persistence diagram space.
method Proves convergence of k-means on persistence diagram space. result Performance of k-means on persistence diagrams and measures is superior. New methods merge discrete gradient fields from patches to correct errors.
problem Correctly merging partially defined discrete gradient fields from patches.
method Developed general and lean merging procedures for specific covering patterns.
result Corrected errors in merging discrete gradient fields from patches.
Formula for interleaving distance of rectangle persistence modules.
problem Calculating distances between rectangle persistence modules.
method Formulas based on rectangle geometry, extended to decomposable modules.
result Closed formulas for interleaving and bottleneck distances.
This paper demonstrates the flaws of co-persistence theory proposed by Bollerslev and Engle (1993) which cause the theory can hardly be applied. With the introduction of the half-life of decay coefficient as the measure of the persistence, and both the weak definition of persistence and co-persistence in variance, this…
New methods found persistent tangles in knots.
problem Persistent tangles in knot diagrams.
method Non-trivial colorings for tangles.
result Any knot with non-trivial coloring has persistent tangles.
Optimizes wavelets for graph classification using spectral wavelet signatures and persistence diagrams.
problem Graph classification with geometric properties encoded in persistence diagrams.
method Optimizes spectral wavelets for graph datasets to capture best-suited features for classification.
result Competitive performance in graph classification problems compared to other persistence-based architectures.
New method for analyzing multiparameter persistence modules from smooth functions.
problem Analyzing multiparameter persistence modules from smooth functions.
method Generalized Morse theory applied to cobordism and Cerf theory.
result Complete description of persistence modules as direct sums of indecomposables.
Develops robust persistence diagrams using kernel methods.
problem Persistence diagrams are sensitive to data perturbations.
method Constructs robust persistence diagrams from superlevel filtrations of robust density estimators using reproducing kernels.
result Robust persistence diagrams are consistent estimators in bottleneck distance.
A new method explains RNNs by decision lists over skipgrams, improving explanation fidelity and interpretability.
problem Lack of understanding how input segments combine to form patterns in neural network outputs.
method Proposes a pipeline to explain RNNs using decision lists over skipgrams, creating synthetic and real-world datasets for evaluation.
result Persistently achieves high explanation fidelity and interpretable rules.
This paper interprets critical scales in persistent homology for compact metric spaces.
problem Understanding critical scales in persistent homology for general compact metric spaces.
method Analyzing local minima of the distance function and their impact on persistence.
result Each decrease in zero-dimensional persistence and increase in one-dimensional persistence is induced by local minima of the distance function.
MuRiT efficiently computes multi-parameter persistence barcodes.
problem Efficient computation of multi-parameter persistent homology.
method Vietoris-Rips transformation to reduce multi-parameter to single-parameter computation.
result MuRiT computes pathwise persistence barcodes for multi-filtered flag complexes.
Study examines dependence of extreme electricity prices in Australian markets.
problem Understanding and managing risks of extreme price outcomes in Australian electricity markets.
method Examined extremal dependence using extremograms for 5-minute and 30-minute price data.
result Persistence and dependence of extreme prices are influenced by market structure and renewable energy share.
Persistent homology can recognize knotting in curves.
problem Recognizing knotting in curves
method Compute one-dimensional persistent homology, extract cycle representatives, and assign a hypergraph curvature-based score.
result Systematic differences between knotted and unknotted structures are revealed.
This article analyzes the relationship between co-persistence and hedging which indicates co-persistence ratio is just the long-term hedging ratio. The new method of exhaustive search algorithm for deriving co-persistence ratio is derived in the article. And we also develop a new hedging strategy of combining co-persis…
Despite the obvious similarities between the metrics used in topological data analysis and those of optimal transport, an optimal-transport based formalism to study persistence diagrams and similar topological descriptors has yet to come. In this article, by considering the space of persistence diagrams as a space of d…