We evaluate the hedging performance of a high-order compact finite difference scheme from [4] for option pricing in Bates model. We compare the scheme's hedging performance to standard finite difference methods in different examples. We observe that the new scheme outperforms a standard, second-order central finite dif…
Global constraints and reranking have not been used in cognates detection research to date. We propose methods for using global constraints by performing rescoring of the score matrices produced by state of the art cognates detection systems. Using global constraints to perform rescoring is complementary to state of th…
This paper analyzes forecasting models for COVID-19 cases and deaths.
problem Reliable forecasting of COVID-19 cases and deaths is crucial for managing the disease.
method Quantitative analysis of forecasting models across different regions in the US, evaluating model selection, hyperparameter tuning, and training time.
result Model selection is the most influential factor in forecasting performance.
This research explores how different discrete diffusion kernels affect graph generation quality.
problem The impact of different discrete diffusion kernels on graph generation quality.
method Developed a family of discrete diffusion kernels that converge to different Bernoulli priors.
result The quality of generated graphs is sensitive to the prior used, challenging previous intuitions.
This study reveals efficient finite-difference computation for gradient regularization in deep learning.
problem Improving generalization performance in deep learning through gradient regularization.
method Analyzes and reveals a specific finite-difference computation that reduces computational cost and improves generalization performance.
result Finite-difference computation strengthens the implicit bias towards rich regimes and enhances generalization performance.
Paper uses JIVE to decompose word embeddings, improving sentiment analysis performance.
problem Improving sentiment analysis performance on word embeddings.
method Joint and individual variance explained (JIVE) method for decomposition.
result Mapping word embeddings into joint components improves sentiment analysis performance.
Unified recurrent networks reveal differences in complexity levels of grammars.
problem Understanding the complexity and behavior of recurrent networks.
method Connecting recurrent networks with deterministic finite automata and formal grammars.
result Unified recurrent networks improve performance and match grammars from different complexity levels.
The ever-increasing demand from mobile Machine Learning (ML) applications calls for evermore powerful on-chip computing resources. Mobile devices are empowered with heterogeneous multi-processor Systems-on-Chips (SoCs) to process ML workloads such as Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) inference. Mobile SoCs house sever…
Study evaluates 31 performance predictors in NAS, recommending best for different settings.
problem Understanding and comparing different performance prediction techniques in NAS.
method Analysis of 31 techniques, testing correlation and rank-based measures, speed-up potential.
result Certain predictor families can be combined for better predictive power.
New meta-score EPP interprets model performance differences.
problem Lack of interpretable benchmarks for model performance.
method Elo-based Predictive Power (EPP) meta-score, logistic regression.
result EPP scores have probabilistic interpretation and can be compared between data sets.
Paper presents a Rashomon Quartet to show different model explanations.
problem Models with similar performance can explain data differently.
method Synthetic dataset with four equally effective models.
result Models with similar performance can explain data differently.
The most important part of model selection and hyperparameter tuning is the evaluation of model performance. The most popular measures, such as AUC, F1, ACC for binary classification, or RMSE, MAD for regression, or cross-entropy for multilabel classification share two common weaknesses. First is, that they are not on …
Machine learning models outperform traditional trading strategies in crude oil markets.
problem Improving trading strategies in volatile markets.
method Comparison of four machine learning methods (LSTM, RF, SVM, k-NN) with traditional methods.
result Machine learning models outperformed traditional methods in crude oil market performance.
Notwithstanding the significant efforts to develop estimators of long-range correlations (LRC) and to compare their performance, no clear consensus exists on what is the best method and under which conditions. In addition, synthetic tests suggest that the performance of LRC estimators varies when using different genera…
This study assesses model influence on RL algorithm performance.
problem Unclear contribution of model-based RL algorithms to recent progress.
method Established a set of models for comparison, including NNs, BNNs, GPs, and ensembles.
result Concrete Dropout NN shows superior performance across benchmark tasks.
Paper presents Transfer Portal model for accurate player performance predictions.
problem Predicting future player performance after a transfer.
method Personalized neural network and Bayesian updating framework.
result Model generates accurate predictions for player performance at new clubs.
Investment strategies involving cryptocurrencies and VIX INDEX show positive impact in market performance.
problem Investment strategies involving cryptocurrencies and VIX INDEX.
method Parameter estimation on raw data, comparison of two different portfolios, and analysis of different market conditions.
result VIX INDEX positively impacts the investment portfolio of cryptocurrencies in both standard and downward markets.
New AI method improves anomaly detection across different IIoT sensors.
problem Poor performance of anomaly detection models when applied to different machines.
method Robust AI method using pre-processing and multiple models on different pumps.
result Models perform well across different environments and types of pumps.
Is cognition a collection of loosely connected functions tuned to different tasks, or can there be a general learning algorithm? If such an hypothetical general algorithm did exist, tuned to our world, could it adapt seamlessly to a world with different laws of nature? We consider the theory that predictive coding is s…
Quantile TD learning outperforms classical TD learning for value estimation.
problem Temporal-difference learning in reinforcement learning.
method Quantile Temporal-Difference Learning (QTD) for policy evaluation.
result QTD offers superior performance to classical TD learning, even in tabular settings.
Different technological domains have significantly different rates of performance improvement. Prior theory indicates that such differing rates should influence the relative speed of diffusion of the products embodying the different technologies since improvement in performance during the diffusion process increases th…
Unified framework for comparing classification metrics across different imbalance rates.
problem Differences in scale and sensitivity to class imbalance rates in classification metrics.
method Introduces outperformance standardization (OPS) function to map metrics to a common scale.
result Unified o-value metric provides clear comparison across different imbalance rates.
New method explains ML performance gaps without causal knowledge.
problem Understanding why ML algorithms perform differently across domains.
method Nonparametric hierarchical decomposition framework.
result Detailed variable-level explanations for performance gaps.
Survey of performative prediction, a machine learning setup causing distribution shifts.
problem Machine learning models causing shifts in the environment they predict.
method Classification of performative prediction settings based on distribution map information.
result Introduction of new solution concepts and theoretical analyses.
We study the problem of identifying different behaviors occurring in different parts of a large heterogenous network. We zoom in to the network using lenses of different sizes to capture the local structure of the network. These network signatures are then weighted to provide a set of predicted labels for every node. W…
We consider convex SGD updates with a block-cyclic structure, i.e. where each cycle consists of a small number of blocks, each with many samples from a possibly different, block-specific, distribution. This situation arises, e.g., in Federated Learning where the mobile devices available for updates at different times d…
In this paper we show that reporting a single performance score is insufficient to compare non-deterministic approaches. We demonstrate for common sequence tagging tasks that the seed value for the random number generator can result in statistically significant (p < 10^-4) differences for state-of-the-art systems. For …
This study compares machine learning algorithms for predictive performance and interpretability.
problem Comparing supervised machine learning algorithms for predictive ability and model interpretation.
method Simulation studies of extreme gradient boosting machines, random forests, and feedforward neural networks on structured data.
result Feedforward neural networks generally outperform tree-based boosting algorithms in smooth models, while tree-based models perform better in non-smooth models.
Compression affects deep networks differently, impacting underrepresented data points.
problem Disparate impact of compression on different classes and images.
method Analysis of deep neural network pruning and quantization effects.
result Compression disproportionately impacts model performance on underrepresented data points.
Empirical study compares finite- and infinite-width BNNs, revealing performance differences under model mismatch.
problem Comparing BNNs with different widths due to conflicting model properties and inference intractability.
method Empirical comparison of finite- and infinite-width BNNs, analyzing performance under model mismatch.
result Increasing width can hurt BNN performance when the model is mis-specified, and finite-width BNNs generalize better under model mismatch.
Improved average distance classifier for HDLSS settings with multiple population differences.
problem Poor performance of average distance classifier in HDLSS settings with location and scale differences.
method Proposed transformations to the average distance classifier to handle multiple population differences.
result The proposed classifiers perform well even when populations differ in other aspects than location and scale.
The proliferation of fake news and its propagation on social media has become a major concern due to its ability to create devastating impacts. Different machine learning approaches have been suggested to detect fake news. However, most of those focused on a specific type of news (such as political) which leads us to t…
Over 30 papers have proposed to use convolutional neural network (CNN) for AD classification from anatomical MRI. However, the classification performance is difficult to compare across studies due to variations in components such as participant selection, image preprocessing or validation procedure. Moreover, these stu…
Paper presents adaptive minimax risk classifiers for multidimensional concept drift.
problem Multidimensional concept drift in supervised classification.
method Adaptive minimax risk classifiers (AMRCs) tracking multivariate and high-order distribution changes.
result AMRCs provide computable tight performance guarantees and improve classification.
BRPO optimizes batch RL policies to better exploit state-action differences.
problem Batch RL's conservatism limits exploitation of state-action differences.
method Proposes residual policies and derives BRPO to maximize policy performance.
result BRPO achieves state-of-the-art performance in various tasks.
Predicting neural network accuracy from weights without testing.
problem Predicting neural network performance based on weights alone.
method Used simple statistics of weights to rank neural networks' performance.
result Simple predictors can rank networks' performance with high accuracy (R2 score > 0.98).
This study compares different data preprocessing methods for gait analysis.
problem Improving the generalizability of machine learning models in gait analysis.
method Compared various data preprocessing steps including filtering, time derivative, normalization, and scaling.
result Different preprocessing combinations affect gait classification performance.
Study confirms fractional norms and quasinorms do not help overcome curse of dimensionality.
problem Overcoming the curse of dimensionality in machine learning.
method Systematic testing of fractional norms and quasinorms (p<1) on classification problems.
result Distance concentration behavior is qualitatively the same for all norms and quasinorms as dimensionality increases.
The paper analyzes how shared priors affect Bayesian data fusion performance.
problem Effect of shared priors on Bayesian data fusion performance.
method Theoretical analysis using two divergences common in Bayesian inference.
result Theoretical analysis and experimental validation of performance behavior.
Study improves radio show segmentation using audio embeddings.
problem Automated segmentation of radio shows.
method Created audio embeddings from multi-class classification tasks on different datasets, evaluated performance against text-only baseline.
result Audio embeddings from non-speech sound event classification significantly outperformed text-only baseline by 32.3% in F1-measure.
Using variational Bayes neural networks, we develop an algorithm capable of accumulating knowledge into a prior from multiple different tasks. The result is a rich and meaningful prior capable of few-shot learning on new tasks. The posterior can go beyond the mean field approximation and yields good uncertainty on the …
New algorithms improve reinforcement learning stability and performance.
problem Stability issues in TD learning algorithms with function approximation and off-policy sampling.
method Developed and adapted emphatic temporal difference (ETD(λ)) algorithms for deep reinforcement learning. result Demonstrated improved performance in Atari games and small problems.
Given two networks with the same training loss on a dataset, when would they have drastically different test losses and errors? Better understanding of this question of generalization may improve practical applications of deep networks. In this paper we show that with cross-entropy loss it is surprisingly simple to ind…
In real-world applications, it is often expensive and time-consuming to obtain labeled examples. In such cases, knowledge transfer from related domains, where labels are abundant, could greatly reduce the need for extensive labeling efforts. In this scenario, transfer learning comes in hand. In this paper, we propose D…
Efficient Bitwidth Search optimizes neural network quantization for better performance.
problem Finding optimal bitwidth for weights and activations of each layer efficiently.
method EBS algorithm reusing meta weights and binary decomposition for efficient mixed precision convolution.
result Mixed precision QNN outperforms uniform bitwidth and other techniques on CIFAR10 and ImageNet.
Elastic co-clustering improves clustering of single-cell genomic data.
problem Improving clustering performance of single-cell genomic datasets.
method Elastic coupled co-clustering in an unsupervised transfer learning framework.
result Our algorithm significantly improves clustering performance over traditional methods.
A visualization aids in comparing regression models by highlighting errors and correlations.
problem Comparing regression models is difficult due to varying hyper-parameters and metrics.
method Introduces a novel visualization approach using 2D residual space, Mahalanobis distance, and colormaps.
result Enhanced understanding of regression model performance differences and error distributions.
New metrics improve regression evaluation across different data distributions.
problem Difficulty in comparing regression evaluations across datasets with varying distributions.
method Modification of regression metrics by weighting with the inverse distribution of function values or samples using a Gaussian kernel density estimator.
result New metrics are less sensitive to changing distributions, especially when correcting by the marginal distribution in X.