A new method for handling missing values in data.
problem Handling missing values in machine learning models.
method Sharing pattern submodels with sparsity-inducing regularization.
result Sharing pattern submodels provide robust predictions and maintain/improve pattern submodel performance.
The paper quantifies and attributes uncertainty in complex system simulations.
problem Uncertainty in complex system simulations due to unknown or approximated subprocesses.
method Developed a framework for quantifying and attributing submodel uncertainty using bootstrapping, Bayesian model averaging, and tree-based methods.
result Individual submodels contribute to overall uncertainty, and their importance can be quantified.
Federated learning was proposed with an intriguing vision of achieving collaborative machine learning among numerous clients without uploading their private data to a cloud server. However, the conventional framework requires each client to leverage the full model for learning, which can be prohibitively inefficient fo…
A GAN method for stochastic boundary conditions in fast dynamics.
problem Uncertainty quantification in fast dynamics and wave propagation.
method Physics-informed GANs for stochastic boundary conditions.
result Improved convergence and better stochastic boundary conditions.
Data is one of the essential ingredients to power deep learning research. Small datasets, especially specific to medical institutes, bring challenges to deep learning training stage. This work aims to develop a practical deep multimodal that can classify patients into abnormal and normal categories accurately as well a…
We study the mixtures of factorizing probability distributions represented as visible marginal distributions in stochastic layered networks. We take the perspective of kernel transitions of distributions, which gives a unified picture of distributed representations arising from Deep Belief Networks (DBN) and other netw…
ULFS-KDPE estimates parameters efficiently without influence functions.
problem Estimating pathwise differentiable parameters in nonparametric models.
method Kernel debiased plug-in estimator based on universal least favorable submodel.
result Semiparametric efficiency achieved without influence function derivation.
Many powerful machine learning models are based on the composition of multiple processing layers, such as deep nets, which gives rise to nonconvex objective functions. A general, recent approach to optimise such "nested" functions is the method of auxiliary coordinates (MAC). MAC introduces an auxiliary coordinate for …
We applied machine learning to predict whether a gene is involved in axon regeneration. We extracted 31 features from different databases and trained five machine learning models. Our optimal model, a Random Forest Classifier with 50 submodels, yielded a test score of 85.71%, which is 4.1% higher than the baseline scor…
CNNs identify stock market trend endpoints based on expert opinion.
problem Finding optimal entry and exit points for stock market trends.
method Three CNN submodels sequentially identify changepoints, locate them, and classify trends as upward, downward, or flat.
result CNNs can identify long-term trends based on expert opinion, offering a new approach to stock market analysis.
Recommendations are broadly used in marketplaces to match users with items relevant to their interests and needs. To understand user intent and tailor recommendations to their needs, we use deep learning to explore various heterogeneous data available in marketplaces. This paper focuses on the challenge of measuring re…
Latent tree models are graphical models defined on trees, in which only a subset of variables is observed. They were first discussed by Judea Pearl as tree-decomposable distributions to generalise star-decomposable distributions such as the latent class model. Latent tree models, or their submodels, are widely used in:…
Proposes a neural network for contextual regression.
problem Improving model efficiency and interpretability in regression with contextual features.
method Simple contextual neural network (SCtxtNN) that separates context identification from context-specific regression.
result SCtxtNN achieves lower excess mean squared error and more stable performance than feed-forward neural networks.
Gaussian latent tree models, or more generally, Gaussian latent forest models have Fisher-information matrices that become singular along interesting submodels, namely, models that correspond to subforests. For these singularities, we compute the real log-canonical thresholds (also known as stochastic complexities or l…
We unify and extend a number of approaches related to constructing multivariate Variance-Gamma (V.G.) models for option pricing. An overarching model is derived by subordinating multivariate Brownian motion to a subordinator from the Thorin (1977) class of generalised Gamma convolution subordinators. A class of models …
Ever since the proof of asymptotic normality of maximum likelihood estimator by Cramer (1946), it has been understood that a basic technique of the Taylor series expansion suffices for asymptotics of M-estimators with smooth/differentiable loss function. Although the Taylor series expansion is a purely deterministic …
To find efficient screening methods for high dimensional linear regression models, this paper studies the relationship between model fitting and screening performance. Under a sparsity assumption, we show that a subset that includes the true submodel always yields smaller residual sum of squares (i.e., has better model…
E3 combines sparse MoEs and ensembles to improve model efficiency and performance.
problem Improving model efficiency and performance in machine learning.
method Combining sparse mixture of experts and ensembles, presenting Efficient Ensemble of Experts (E3). result E3 achieves better accuracy, log-likelihood, few-shot learning, robustness, and uncertainty estimates than baselines. Estimates hybrid dynamical systems with polynomial expansions and Markovian switching.
problem Identifying hybrid dynamical systems with nonlinear autoregressive exogenous (NARX) components and Markovian switching.
method Probabilistic framework using Expectation Maximization for parameter estimation, including submodel coefficients, hidden state values, and transition probabilities. Disentangles mode classification and NARX regression tasks. Uses soft-labels and coordinate descent approach for parameter fitting.
result Demonstrated on a SMNARX problem with three nonlinear sub-models, achieving parsimonious models through l1-norm bridge estimation and hard-thresholding.
Recent success in deep learning has generated immense interest among practitioners and students, inspiring many to learn about this new technology. While visual and interactive approaches have been successfully developed to help people more easily learn deep learning, most existing tools focus on simpler models. In thi…
In mixtures-of-experts (ME) model, where a number of submodels (experts) are combined, there have been two longstanding problems: (i) how many experts should be chosen, given the size of the training data? (ii) given the total number of parameters, is it better to use a few very complex experts, or is it better to comb…
The paper establishes convergence rates for MoE models in classification problems.
problem Understanding the behavior of MoE models in classification settings.
method Established convergence rates for density and parameter estimation in softmax gating multinomial logistic MoE models.
result Parameter estimation rates are significantly improved with a novel modified softmax gating function.
PostNet predicts uncertainty without OOD data, improving OOD detection and calibration.
problem Accurate uncertainty estimation for safe systems.
method PostNet uses Normalizing Flows to learn individual posterior distributions over predicted probabilities.
result PostNet achieves state-of-the-art results in OOD detection and uncertainty calibration.
A new framework models multi-state events and biomarkers.
problem Limited representation of complex multi-state trajectories.
method General multi-state joint modeling framework.
result Accurate parameter recovery and personalized predictions.
A hybrid strategy forecasts short-term loads using Warm-start Gradient Tree Boosting.
problem Lack of effective short-term load forecasting methods.
method Hybrid strategy integrating four different inference models: tree-based ensemble method Warm-start Gradient Tree Boosting (WGTB).
result Demonstrates effectiveness of hybrid strategy on real datasets.
Safe Pattern Pruning reduces pattern explosion in predictive pattern mining.
problem Exponential growth of patterns in structured data.
method Safe Pattern Pruning (SPP) method.
result Effective model building in practical data analysis.
Paper introduces geometry-aware normalizing flows for improved causal inference.
problem Disparity between sample and population distributions in causal inference.
method Integrates continuous normalizing flows with parametric submodels, employing Wasserstein gradient flows and optimal transport.
result Significantly reduces parameter estimation bias and variance in finite-sample settings.
A method for identifying NPWARX models with arbitrary domains using probabilistic mixture models.
problem Identifying hybrid system models with discontinuous maps.
method Probabilistic mixture model with a neural network for nonlinear partitioning and Expectation Maximization for parameter estimation.
result Demonstrated on a nonlinear piece-wise problem with discontinuous maps.
NASirt automates CNN architecture design for spectral data.
problem Designing optimal neural architectures for complex data.
method Neural Architecture Search (NAS) with Item Response Theory (IRT) for instance-level complexity.
result NASirt achieves high accuracy (97.40%) on spectral datasets.
TSC improves causal effect estimation in panel data.
problem Estimating causal effects in panel data with a single treated unit.
method Targeted synthetic control method that refines initial weights through a one-dimensional targeted update.
result TSC consistently improves estimation accuracy over state-of-the-art SCM baselines.
Temperature scaling improves model uncertainty but not diversity in LLMs.
problem Improving the calibration and stochasticity of probabilistic models.
method Investigates theoretical properties of temperature scaling in classification and LLMs.
result Temperature scaling increases model uncertainty but not diversity in LLMs.
BN^2MF identifies unknown exposure patterns in environmental mixtures.
problem Identifying unknown exposure patterns in environmental mixtures.
method Bayesian non-parametric non-negative matrix factorization (BN^2MF) with non-negative continuous priors and a non-parametric sparse prior.
result Estimates patterns of chemical exposures without specifying the number of patterns.
RestoreAI predicts landmine risk from patterns, improving clearance efficiency.
problem Predicting landmine risk from spatial patterns to enhance clearance efficiency.
method RestoreAI uses landmine patterns for risk prediction, implementing three deminers: linear, curved, and Bayesian.
result RestoreAI significantly boosts clearance efficiency, achieving a 14.37 percentage point increase in cleared landmines per timestep.
Study of knots with generalized Mazur patterns and their invariants.
problem Understanding the invariants and properties of knots with generalized Mazur patterns.
method Computational analysis of τ and ε invariants for n-twisted satellites. result None of the n-twisted patterns from the family act surjectively on the smooth or rational concordance group. Two approaches detect EV charging patterns at stations.
problem Identify charging patterns at electric vehicle charging stations.
method Two approaches: rule-based and hierarchical clustering.
result Hierarchical clustering revealed unexpected charging patterns.
Universal learning machine is a theory trying to study machine learning from mathematical point of view. The outside world is reflected inside an universal learning machine according to pattern of incoming data. This is subjective pattern of learning machine. In [2,4], we discussed subjective spatial pattern, and estab…
Study of combinatorial Calabi flow on ideal circle patterns.
problem Finding ideal circle patterns with prescribed curvatures.
method Combinatorial Calabi flow in hyperbolic and Euclidean geometry.
result Flow converges exponentially to ideal circle patterns.
Proves existence of circle patterns on surfaces with cusps.
problem Existence of circle patterns with prescribed angles on surfaces with cusps.
method Introduced combinatorial Ricci and Calabi flows to prove longtime existence and convergence.
result Existence of generalized circle patterns with prescribed angles on surfaces with cusps.
Study circle patterns on tori, linking symplectic forms and homeomorphisms.
problem Understanding circle patterns on tori and their symplectic properties.
method Investigates the space of circle patterns on closed tori with complex projective structures, embedding it into Teichmüller spaces and analyzing symplectic forms.
result Non-degeneracy of the pulled-back Weil-Petersson symplectic form and homeomorphism between circle patterns and Teichmüller spaces.
LFM learns a sequence of smaller models to generate data from noise.
problem Learning continuous, invertible flows between distributions.
method Stepwise Local Flow Matching (LFM) model, matching diffusion processes up to time-step size.
result LFM achieves competitive generative performance compared to Flow Matching.
FSR efficiently discovers significant patterns with few resampled datasets.
problem Mining significant patterns in transactional data, especially subgroups.
method FSR uses resampling to bound the supremum deviation of quality statistics, providing rigorous guarantees on false discoveries.
result FSR effectively discovers significant subgroups with a small number of resampled datasets.
In this paper we study predictive pattern mining problems where the goal is to construct a predictive model based on a subset of predictive patterns in the database. Our main contribution is to introduce a novel method called safe pattern pruning (SPP) for a class of predictive pattern mining problems. The SPP method a…
TFPS improves time series forecasting by learning pattern-specific experts.
problem Challenges in forecasting time series data with varying patterns across segments.
method Dual-domain encoder, subspace clustering, pattern-specific experts.
result Significantly improved forecasting accuracy, especially in long-term forecasting.
Pattern sampling has been proposed as a potential solution to the infamous pattern explosion. Instead of enumerating all patterns that satisfy the constraints, individual patterns are sampled proportional to a given quality measure. Several sampling algorithms have been proposed, but each of them has its limitations wh…
Novel method for learning Gaussian graphical models from paired data.
problem Learning Gaussian graphical models for dependent groups.
method Introducing twin order to explore the search space more efficiently.
result The twin order makes the model space a distributive lattice, leading to more efficient model exploration.
While Multiple Instance (MI) data are point patterns -- sets or multi-sets of unordered points -- appropriate statistical point pattern models have not been used in MI learning. This article proposes a framework for model-based MI learning using point process theory. Likelihood functions for point pattern data derived …
The paper integrates statistical significance and discriminative power in pattern discovery.
problem Discovering actionable patterns that meet rigorous statistical significance and discriminative power criteria.
method Integrates statistical significance and discriminative power criteria into state-of-the-art algorithms.
result Improves discriminative power and statistical significance of discovered patterns without quality deterioration.
Paper extends circle pattern theory to obtuse angles.
problem Circle patterns with obtuse angles not previously covered.
method Using topological degree theory, extends Koebe-Andreev-Thurston Theorem.
result Generalized Andreev's Theorem for obtuse dihedral angles.