Research
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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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141283424565 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for pattern prediction

RestoreAI predicts landmine risk from patterns, improving clearance efficiency.

problem Predicting landmine risk from spatial patterns to enhance clearance efficiency.
method RestoreAI uses landmine patterns for risk prediction, implementing three deminers: linear, curved, and Bayesian.
result RestoreAI significantly boosts clearance efficiency, achieving a 14.37 percentage point increase in cleared landmines per timestep.

Model predicts Bitcoin's future movements using multimodal pattern matching.

problem Challenges in predicting Bitcoin's volatile future movements.
method Ranking similar past chart patterns given current chart information.
result Improves directional prediction of Bitcoin's future movements.

PbP strategy improves logistic model prediction with missing values.

problem Predicting with missing inputs in logistic models.
method Pattern-by-Pattern (PbP) strategy for logistic models with missing values.
result PbP accurately approximates Bayes probabilities under GPMM across various missing data scenarios.

We present here a general framework and a specific algorithm for predicting the destination, route, or more generally a pattern, of an ongoing journey, building on the recent work of [Y. Lassoued, J. Monteil, Y. Gu, G. Russo, R. Shorten, and M. Mevissen, "Hidden Markov model for route and destination prediction," in IE…

2018-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Diagnosing an inherited disease often requires identifying the pattern of inheritance in a patient's family. We represent family trees with genetic patterns of inheritance using hypergraphs and latent state space models to provide explainable inheritance pattern predictions. Our approach allows for exact causal inferen…

2018-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses neural processes to predict and classify crack patterns in moving disks.

problem Predicting and classifying crack patterns in moving disks.
method Peridynamic theory, Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), and Neural Processes.
result Neural Processes provide accurate predictions even with missing or insufficient data.

MPPN network improves long-term time series forecasting accuracy.

problem Inaccurate long-term time series forecasting due to noise and lack of interpretability.
method MPPN network constructs context-aware multi-resolution semantic units and employs multi-periodic pattern mining and channel adaptive module.
result MPPN significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods on nine real-world benchmarks.

A novel method uses blockchain transaction graphs for Bitcoin price prediction.

problem Insufficient effectiveness of manually designed features for Bitcoin price prediction.
method Mining patterns from Bitcoin transactions using k-order transaction graphs and proposing a novel prediction method.
result The proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art Bitcoin price prediction methods.

Meta-learning predicts stock trading volumes by learning from each stock's unique patterns.

problem Predicting trading volumes for different stocks using a universal model.
method Dual-process meta-learning framework that learns common patterns with a meta-learner and specific patterns with stock-dependent parameters.
result Improves performance of various baseline models in volume predictions.

COP improves online conformal prediction by incorporating data patterns, leading to tighter prediction sets.

problem Overly conservative prediction sets in online conformal prediction methods when data distribution shifts.
method Conformal Optimistic Prediction (COP) incorporating estimated cumulative distribution function of non-conformity scores.
result COP produces tighter prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees, outperforming other methods.

Study develops a new model for predicting individual mobility based on activity patterns.

problem Existing mobility prediction methods overlook underlying activity patterns.
method Activity-based hidden Markov model (IOHMM) using transit smart card data.
result Proposed model achieves similar prediction performance to LSTM but also provides behavioral insights.

New method predicts wind farm power and wakes using weather patterns.

problem Inefficient and computationally intensive wind energy resource assessment.
method Unsupervised clustering of ERA5 data on wind velocity, WRF simulations at cluster centers, and post-processing.
result Accurate long-term predictions of power and wakes with reduced computational time.

EvoRate metric assesses learnability of sequential data by measuring predictive information.

problem Model misspecification due to misinterpreting patterns in sequential data.
method Predictive information framework based on mutual information between past and future.
result Temporal patterns fundamentally constrain learnability; optimal predictors cannot outperform intrinsic information limit.

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for prediction- and information extraction tasks with an efficient inference scheme. It models categorical-valued time series that exhibit dynamics from multiple underlying patterns (e.g. user behavior traces). We simplify the idea of capturing these patterns by hierarc…

2017-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

TFPS improves time series forecasting by learning pattern-specific experts.

problem Challenges in forecasting time series data with varying patterns across segments.
method Dual-domain encoder, subspace clustering, pattern-specific experts.
result Significantly improved forecasting accuracy, especially in long-term forecasting.

CAG method predicts nonlinear solid mechanics responses in real-time with high accuracy and efficiency.

problem Real-time prediction of nonlinear solid mechanics responses.
method Clustering adaptive Gaussian process regression (CAG) method.
result Offers predictions within a second with high precision using only 20 samples.

We propose a generative model for adversarial attack. The model generates subtle but predictive patterns from the input. To perform an attack, it replaces the patterns of the input with those generated based on examples from some other class. We demonstrate our model by attacking CNN on MNIST.

2019-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we show that standard feed-forward and recurrent neural networks fail to learn abstract patterns based on identity rules. We propose Relation Based Pattern (RBP) extensions to neural network structures that solve this problem and answer, as well as raise, questions about integrating structures for induct…

2018-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes TRA to learn multiple stock trading patterns.

problem Inconsistent i.i.d. assumption limits stock prediction performance.
method TRA architecture with Optimal Transport for pattern assignment.
result Improves information coefficient (IC) by 0.04-0.06 compared to baselines.

A model predicts influential nodes in complex networks by considering indirect interactions.

problem Identifying influential nodes in complex networks using indirect interactions.
method Proposes MOGen, a multi-order generative model that considers all indirect influences up to a maximum distance.
result MOGen consistently outperforms network models and path-based approaches in predicting influential nodes.

GraphDETR detects subgraphs in large graphs using deep learning.

problem Detecting subgraphs in large graphs efficiently and accurately.
method Formulates subgraph detection as a set prediction problem using GraphDETR, a deep learning framework.
result GraphDETR can detect diverse patterns in large graphs, achieving strong performance on molecular functional group detection.

Consumer Demand Response (DR) is an important research and industry problem, which seeks to categorize, predict and modify consumer's energy consumption. Unfortunately, traditional clustering methods have resulted in many hundreds of clusters, with a given consumer often associated with several clusters, making it diff…

2017-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive TFTs improve cryptocurrency price prediction accuracy.

problem Precise short-term price prediction in volatile cryptocurrency markets.
method Dynamic subseries lengths and pattern-based categorization.
result Significantly outperforms baseline models in prediction accuracy and profitability.

Calendar graph neural networks model user behavior with location and time data.

problem Modeling user behavior with location and time information for demographic prediction.
method Graph neural networks with a tripartite network of items, sessions, and locations, and a hierarchical calendar network.
result User embeddings preserve spatial and temporal patterns of various periodicity.

Dockless bike sharing systems need effective bike flow prediction models.

problem Imbalanced and dynamic use of bikes leads to mandatory rebalancing operations.
method Divide urban area into regions, model spatio-temporal bike flows, extract traffic patterns, and predict bike flows.
result Interpretable bike flow prediction model provides valuable insights into bike flow analysis.

TraLFM models human mobility patterns from traffic trajectories.

problem Understanding human mobility patterns from traffic data.
method Latent factor modeling of sequential, personal, and temporal factors.
result TraLFM significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in latent factor analysis and next location prediction.

Proposes a method to integrate learner models robustly against misspecifications.

problem Misspecifications in learner models and parameter sharing patterns degrade prediction accuracy.
method Sequentially incorporates additional learners based on user-specified parameter sharing patterns.
result Data-adaptively selects the most suitable way of parameter sharing to enhance predictive performance.

Graph conformal prediction predicts future power outages with high confidence.

problem Accurately predicting future power outages to enable rapid recovery.
method Developed a graph conformal prediction method for quarter-hourly outage data.
result Graph conformal prediction method delivers accurate prediction regions for future outage numbers.

Databases of electronic health records (EHRs) are increasingly used to inform clinical decisions. Machine learning methods can find patterns in EHRs that are predictive of future adverse outcomes. However, statistical models may be built upon patterns of health-seeking behavior that vary across patient subpopulations, …

2018-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study high-frequency trading patterns in cryptocurrencies.

problem Understanding automated trading algorithms in cryptocurrency markets.
method Analyzes intraday trading data of cryptocurrencies, focusing on returns, volumes, and volatility.
result Provides insights into predictability of economic value in cryptocurrency markets.

BSFP method reveals latent patterns in multi-omic data for predicting lung function in HIV-associated OLD.

problem Limited understanding of multi-omic molecular phenomena and clinical outcomes in obstructive lung disease.
method Bayesian Simultaneous Factorization and Prediction (BSFP) method for multi-omic data, accommodating imputation and full posterior inference.
result BSFP reveals distinct clusters of patients with OLD and multi-omic patterns related to lung function decline.

We propose the Relational Tucker3 (RT) decomposition for multi-relational link prediction in knowledge graphs. We show that many existing knowledge graph embedding models are special cases of the RT decomposition with certain predefined sparsity patterns in its components. In contrast to these prior models, RT decouple…

2019-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗