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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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4079119158 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for pattern ensembling

Study forecasts monthly electricity demand using pattern similarity-based methods.

problem Forecasting monthly electricity demand accurately.
method Pattern similarity-based forecasting methods (PSFMs) including k-NN, fuzzy, kernel regression, and GRNN.
result Ensemble models outperform individual PSFMs in forecasting accuracy.

An ensemble of randomized NNs improves time series forecasting accuracy.

problem Forecasting time series with multiple seasonality and nonstationarity.
method Randomized neural networks with pattern-based time series representation and diversity control strategies.
result Outperforms statistical and machine learning models in forecasting accuracy.

Fibonacci Ensembles use Fibonacci weights to improve ensemble learning, inspired by natural growth patterns.

problem Improving ensemble learning methods to enhance model performance and interpretability.
method Introduces Fibonacci weights and a recursive ensemble dynamic to reduce variance and enrich representational depth.
result Fibonacci weighting can match or improve upon uniform averaging in ensemble learning experiments.

A new method synthesizes expressions from characteristics using GAN for healthcare.

problem Synthesizing expressions from given characteristics in high-dimensional space.
method Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) based selective ensemble learning.
result The proposed SE-CTES method effectively handles deterministic and stochastic patterns.

Random forests reduce bias and variance, especially in low SNR settings.

problem Reducing bias and variance in machine learning models, particularly in low SNR scenarios.
method Empirical study of random forests and bagging ensembles, focusing on the importance of mtrymtry tuning.
result Random forests reduce both bias and variance, outperforming bagging ensembles in high SNR settings.

Paper introduces WWAggr for ensemble CPD, improving accuracy and decision threshold selection.

problem Challenges in detecting abrupt distribution shifts in high-dimensional data streams.
method Introduces WWAggr, a novel task-specific ensemble aggregation method based on Wasserstein distance.
result Demonstrates WWAggr outperforms standard aggregation techniques and decision threshold selection.

A novel ensemble classifier improves vibration-based quality monitoring accuracy.

problem Developing high accuracy classification methods for general datasets.
method Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence with three remedies for conflicting evidences.
result The proposed ensemble classifier outperforms state-of-the-art fusion techniques.

Ensemble learning is a standard approach to building machine learning systems that capture complex phenomena in real-world data. An important aspect of these systems is the complete and valid quantification of model uncertainty. We introduce a Bayesian nonparametric ensemble (BNE) approach that augments an existing ens…

2019-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Model predicts short-term Amazon rainforest fires with high accuracy.

problem Accurate short-term forecasting of Amazon rainforest fires is challenging.
method Used Seasonal and Trend decomposition based on Loess combined with multi-month-ahead load forecasting algorithms.
result Proposed decomposition-ensemble models provide more accurate forecasts than other models.

The rising interest in pattern recognition and data analytics has spurred the development of innovative machine learning algorithms and tools. However, as each algorithm has its strengths and limitations, one is motivated to judiciously fuse multiple algorithms in order to find the "best" performing one, for a given da…

2017-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Ensemble learning that can be used to combine the predictions from multiple learners has been widely applied in pattern recognition, and has been reported to be more robust and accurate than the individual learners. This ensemble logic has recently also been more applied in feature selection. There are basically two st…

2018-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Dynamic regressor selection (DRS) systems work by selecting the most competent regressors from an ensemble to estimate the target value of a given test pattern. This competence is usually quantified using the performance of the regressors in local regions of the feature space around the test pattern. However, choosing …

2019-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a deep neural network for early disk drive failure prediction.

problem Early prediction of disk drive failure using multivariate time series sensor data.
method Enriched features derived from sensor data through transformations, combined with ensemble learning and deep neural network architecture.
result Significantly improved classification accuracy in predicting disk drive failure.

The non-stationary nature of electroencephalography (EEG) signals makes an EEG-based brain-computer interface (BCI) a dynamic system, thus improving its performance is a challenging task. In addition, it is well-known that due to non-stationarity based covariate shifts, the input data distributions of EEG-based BCI sys…

2018-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Complex systems are typically represented by large ensembles of observations. Correlation matrices provide an efficient formal framework to extract information from such multivariate ensembles and identify in a quantifiable way patterns of activity that are reproducible with statistically significant frequency compared…

2011-06-02abs ↗pdf ↗

DoubleEnsemble improves financial predictions by selecting key features and reweighting samples.

problem Overfitting and instability in financial data analysis.
method Sample reweighting and feature selection using learning trajectory and shuffling.
result DoubleEnsemble outperforms baseline methods in financial prediction tasks.

In this paper, we propose a design methodology for one-class classifiers using an ensemble-of-classifiers approach. The objective is to select the best structures created during the training phase using an ensemble of spanning trees. It takes the best classifier, partitioning the area near a pattern into γγ2γ^{γ-2} sub-…

2019-09-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Quantum-enhanced barcode decoding and pattern recognition outperforms classical methods.

problem Improving barcode decoding and pattern recognition using quantum entanglement.
method Quantum hypothesis testing applied to barcode decoding and pattern recognition using entangled quantum sources and measurements.
result Quantum-enhanced methods outperform classical coherent-state strategies for barcode data decoding and classification.

Recent advances in machine learning and artificial intelligence are now being considered in safety-critical autonomous systems where software defects may cause severe harm to humans and the environment. Design organizations in these domains are currently unable to provide convincing arguments that their systems are saf…

2019-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new framework for uncertainty-aware LLM post-training.

problem Heterogeneous, conflicting data in large language models.
method α-Rényi variational framework for learning distributions over post-training parameters.
result Enables training examples to be softly routed across ensemble members, promoting model specialisation and providing uncertainty estimates.

CRE discovers interpretable subgroups with heterogeneous treatment effects.

problem Identifying subgroups with notable treatment effect heterogeneity.
method Causal Rule Ensemble (CRE) using an ensemble-of-trees approach.
result CRE offers interpretable decision rules and high stability in subgroup discovery.

Ensemble model predicts AD progression from CN status with high accuracy.

problem Early prediction of clinical progression from cognitively normal to mild cognitive impairment or Alzheimer's disease.
method Ensemble survival analysis combining penalized Cox regression, advanced survival models, and aggregation techniques.
result Ensemble model achieved peak C-index of 0.907 and integrated time-dependent AUC of 0.904, outperforming baseline models.

RST improves environmental time series classification accuracy using randomized B-spline trees.

problem Improving accuracy in classifying complex environmental time series.
method Randomized Spline Trees (RST) integrates randomized functional representations into ensemble learning.
result RST variants outperform standard Random Forests and Gradient Boosting on most environmental time series datasets.

Dictionary based classifiers are a family of algorithms for time series classification (TSC), that focus on capturing the frequency of pattern occurrences in a time series. The ensemble based Bag of Symbolic Fourier Approximation Symbols (BOSS) was found to be a top performing TSC algorithm in a recent evaluation, as w…

2019-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Often the challenge associated with tasks like fraud and spam detection[1] is the lack of all likely patterns needed to train suitable supervised learning models. In order to overcome this limitation, such tasks are attempted as outlier or anomaly detection tasks. We also hypothesize that out- liers have behavioral pat…

2017-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently estimates neural connectivity using ensemble stimulation.

problem Estimating functional connectivity in large, behaving neural populations.
method Noisy group testing combined with convex optimization and Bayesian inference.
result Connectivity can be inferred with logarithmic growth in tests, even for large networks.

HYPA-DBGNN detects anomalous sequential patterns in temporal graphs.

problem Modeling temporal patterns in dynamic graphs, especially considering deviations from random shuffling.
method Two-step approach combining null model inference and neural message passing.
result HYPA-DBGNN outperforms baseline methods in static node classification tasks.

Clustering explores meaningful patterns in the non-labeled data sets. Cluster Ensemble Selection (CES) is a new approach, which can combine individual clustering results for increasing the performance of the final results. Although CES can achieve better final results in comparison with individual clustering algorithms…

2016-04-25abs ↗pdf ↗

NN-GPR improves climate model predictions by preserving fine-scale spatial information.

problem Dilution of fine-scale spatial information and bias in model averaging.
method Gaussian process regression with an infinitely wide deep neural network.
result NN-GPR produces more accurate and detailed climate projections.

Deep learning has become very popular for tasks such as predictive modeling and pattern recognition in handling big data. Deep learning is a powerful machine learning method that extracts lower level features and feeds them forward for the next layer to identify higher level features that improve performance. However, …

2018-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Study predicts market bubbles using machine learning and financial news sentiment.

problem Predicting market bubbles in the S&P 500 index.
method Three-step approach combining financial news sentiment and macroeconomic indicators.
result Proposed three-step ensemble approach significantly improves bubble prediction accuracy.