Dupire's functional Itô calculus provides an alternative approach to the classical Malliavin calculus for the computation of sensitivities, also called Greeks, of path-dependent derivatives prices. In this paper, we introduce a measure of path-dependence of functionals within the functional Itô calculus framework. Name…
The paper provides an efficient method to price path-dependent derivatives using multiscale stochastic volatility models.
problem Pricing path-dependent derivatives under multiscale stochastic volatility models.
method Derives a Malliavin representation for the first-order approximation of the price of path-dependent derivatives.
result An efficient Monte Carlo approximation for pricing path-dependent derivatives is derived.
The paper develops methods to price and hedge options in path-dependent stock models.
problem Pricing and hedging options under complex stock models.
method Develops a path-dependent PDE for option pricing and differentiability of path-dependent SDE solutions.
result Provides formulas for option Greeks and differentiability of path-dependent SDE solutions.
In this paper, we extend the first-order asymptotics analysis of Fouque et al. to general path-dependent financial derivatives using Dupire's functional Ito calculus. The main conclusion is that the market group parameters calibrated to vanilla options can be used to price to the same order exotic, path-dependent deriv…
Path-dependent PDEs model VIX and Realised Variance options.
problem Modeling volatility derivatives with path-dependence.
method Continuous stochastic volatility model with Gaussian Volterra process, proving well-posedness of PDEs.
result Formulae for greeks and implied volatility provided, finite-dimensional pricing PDEs obtained in Markovian models.
In this paper, we introduce and develop the theory of semimartingale optimal transport in a path dependent setting. Instead of the classical constraints on marginal distributions, we consider a general framework of path dependent constraints. Duality results are established, representing the solution in terms of path d…
The study examines insurance demand under rough volatility and path-dependent shocks.
problem Optimal insurance and investment strategies under rough volatility and path-dependent shocks.
method Rough volatility model and Hawkes process with power kernel, Functional Ito formula extension.
result Individuals demand more catastrophe insurance when path-dependent effects are considered.
Extend classical theory of affine processes to path-dependent setting
problem Path-dependent affine processes
method Introduce path-dependent coefficients and provide analytic formulas for their Fourier--Laplace transform
result Define path-dependent affine processes through their exponential-affine Fourier--Laplace transform and establish a characterization theorem
Develops a numerical scheme for solving path-dependent FBSDEs and PDEs.
problem Solving path-dependent FBSDEs and PDEs numerically.
method Picard iteration method for FBSDEs, concentration inequality for estimator, supervised learning with neural networks for PDEs.
result Proves convergence and rate of convergence for the Picard iteration method.
Extends Itô's formula for path-dependent functions in finance.
problem Modeling and hedging of path-dependent financial options.
method Functional extension of Itô's formula for C^{0,1}-functions of continuous weak Dirichlet processes.
result Validates the hedging or superhedging problems for path-dependent options.
Derives FPDE for equity-linked insurance pricing.
problem Calculating prices for insurance policies with complex payment histories.
method Variational techniques in functional Itô calculus.
result Derives a functional partial differential equation.
PDGM uses neural nets to solve complex financial equations.
problem Solving path-dependent partial differential equations (PPDEs)
method Generalized Deep Galerkin Method (PDGM) combining feed-forward and LSTM architectures
result PDGM successfully models solutions to various PPDEs, including financial derivatives.
New method uses DistRL to estimate entire payoff distribution for financial derivatives.
problem Traditional methods focus on expected option value; this tackles risk-aware pricing.
method Reinterprets and proposes a framework using Distributional Reinforcement Learning (DistRL).
result Demonstrates enhanced risk-aware pricing and uncertainty quantification on Asian options.
New control theory for self-path-dependent problems solves unique constraints.
problem Optimal control with self-path-dependent constraints in stochastic systems.
method Introduces new HJB equations for variational inequalities with historical maximum controls.
result Value functions are viscosity solutions to HJB equations under Lipschitz conditions.
New method uses LSTM and signature theory to solve complex financial PDEs.
problem Solving path-dependent PDEs for financial derivatives pricing.
method Combining LSTM networks and rough paths theory.
result Efficient algorithms for pricing and hedging path-dependent derivatives.
Study path-dependent affine models under uncertain parameters for financial applications.
problem Valuation of path-dependent financial derivatives under parameter uncertainty.
method Developed path-dependent setting for value function, established dynamic programming principle, approximated functional derivatives with neural networks.
result Efficient numerical methods for valuation of complex financial derivatives under parameter uncertainty.
Deep learning improves probabilistic PPDE solution accuracy.
problem Approximating solutions to path-dependent PDEs with limited basis selection.
method Deep learning for conditional expectation estimation with error bounds.
result Deep learning yields more accurate PPDE solutions, especially in high dimensions.
The paper calculates sensitivities for financial derivatives using path weighting methods.
problem Computing sensitivities for path-dependent financial derivatives with high variance and degeneracy issues.
method Proposes explicit path weighting formula, variance reduction adjustment, and covariance inflation technique.
result Effective methods to address high variance and degeneracy in sensitivities computation.
We use Karhunen-Loève expansion for efficient pricing of exotic derivatives.
problem Efficient pricing of path-dependent options.
method Karhunen-Loève expansion and Monte Carlo simulation.
result Fast and accurate computation of exotic derivatives pricing.
Using tools from spectral analysis, singular and regular perturbation theory, we develop a systematic method for analytically computing the approximate price of a derivative-asset. The payoff of the derivative-asset may be path-dependent. Additionally, the process underlying the derivative may exhibit killing (i.e. jum…
Deep signature/log-signature FBSDE algorithm improves accuracy and training time.
problem Solving FBSDEs with state and path dependent features.
method Incorporates deep signature/log-signature transformation into RNN model.
result Improves accuracy and training time compared to existing methods.
Deep learning models price convertible bonds with complex reset and call features.
problem Pricing convertible bonds with path-dependent reset and call provisions.
method Formulated as a PPDE, deep learning approximates conditional expectations.
result Deep learning produces stable and accurate prices across various model specifications.
Framework for robust control under model uncertainty, improving financial derivatives hedging.
problem Model uncertainty in financial derivatives hedging.
method Dynamic programming principle for solving one-step optimization problems.
result Robust hedging strategy outperforms model-based strategies during adverse scenarios.
In this paper I develop a new computational method for pricing path dependent options. Using the path integral representation of the option price, I show that in general it is possible to perform analytically a partial averaging over the underlying risk-neutral diffusion process. This result greatly eases the computati…
A new method reduces Monte Carlo variance for financial payoffs.
problem Reducing variance in Monte Carlo estimators for financial payoffs.
method Path-dependent importance sampling using neural networks.
result Significant variance reduction (2-9 times) for various financial payoffs.
This study compares microscopic and macroscopic models for commodity index derivatives pricing.
problem Lack of accurate futures curve dynamics in macroscopic models for real scenarios.
method Calibrated both microscopic and macroscopic models using S\&P GSCI Crude Oil excess-return index derivatives.
result Macroscopic models struggle to capture futures curve dynamics, affecting pricing and sensitivities.
The paper calculates option prices using Mellin transform for stochastic volatility models.
problem Calculating prices for path-dependent options under stochastic volatility.
method Asymptotic approach and Mellin transform for deriving closed-form formulas.
result Derives closed-form formulas for option prices with first-order approximation.
We introduce signature payoffs, a family of path-dependent derivatives that are given in terms of the signature of the price path of the underlying asset. We show that these derivatives are dense in the space of continuous payoffs, a result that is exploited to quickly price arbitrary continuous payoffs. This approach …
We provide a thorough analysis of the path-dependent volatility model introduced by Guyon \cite{G17}, proving existence and uniqueness of a strong solution, characterising its behaviour at boundary points, providing asymptotic closed-form option prices as well as deriving small-time behaviour estimates.
Deep signature algorithm for pricing path-dependent options.
problem Pricing path-dependent options with complex payoff functions.
method Extended backward scheme for state-dependent FBSDEs with reflections, incorporating signature layer for path-dependent FBSDEs.
result Convergence analysis of the algorithm with explicit dependence on truncation order and neural network approximation errors.
We consider a class of stochastic path-dependent volatility models where the stochastic volatility, whose square follows the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model, is multiplied by a (leverage) function of the spot price, its running maximum, and time. We propose a Monte Carlo simulation scheme which combines a log-Euler scheme for…
This paper optimizes dividend payout rates with a drawdown constraint in a stochastic model.
problem Optimizing dividend payout rates while avoiding drawdowns in a stochastic model.
method Solving a path-dependent stochastic control problem using Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations and PDE methods.
result Explicit characterization of an optimal feedback control strategy, including two free boundaries and the running maximum surplus process.
A new method for portfolio allocation in continuous-time markets.
problem Path-dependent portfolio allocation in continuous-time markets.
method Path-by-path framework, self-financing concept, partial differential equation, continuous-time algorithms.
result General explicit solution for wealth evolution in generic markets.
Quantum computing speeds up interest rate derivative pricing using LMM.
problem Challenges in pricing interest rate derivatives, especially caps.
method Hybrid classical-quantum approach using quantum amplitude estimation.
result Quantum computing improves convergence in pricing interest rate derivatives.
We derive explicit valuation formulae for an exotic path-dependent interest rate derivative, namely an option on the composition of LIBOR rates. The formulae are based on Fourier transform methods for option pricing. We consider two models for the evolution of interest rates: an HJM-type forward rate model and a LIBOR-…
In this paper, we give a numerical method for pricing long maturity, path dependent options by using the Markov property for each underlying asset. This enables us to approximate a path dependent option by using some kinds of plain vanillas. We give some examples whose underlying assets behave as some popular Levy proc…
LOV model calibrates European and American options with path-dependent volatility.
problem Calibrating European and American options with path-dependent volatility.
method Designing a local volatility model that incorporates path-dependent shocks through an occupation sensitivity function.
result LOV model successfully calibrates options chains with automatic European vanilla option calibration and path-dependent flexibility.
Novel signature approach for pricing and hedging path-dependent options with market frictions.
problem Pricing and hedging path-dependent options with market frictions.
method Signature approach, mean-quadratic variation criterion, non-standard infinite-dimensional Riccati equations, time-augmented signature, non-Markovian stochastic control problem.
result Effective hedging strategies in frictional markets with low-truncated signature approximations.
New method prices interest rate derivatives without Monte Carlo, achieving high accuracy and speed.
problem Arbitrage-free pricing of path-dependent interest rate derivatives using infinite-dimensional models.
method Casting the stochastic pricing problem as a deterministic PDE solved by FINNs, which minimize violations of the PDE and boundary conditions.
result FINNs achieve pricing accuracy within 0.04 to 0.07 cents per dollar of contract value compared to Monte Carlo benchmarks.
Study proves existence, uniqueness, and positivity of solutions to a complex volatility model.
problem Modeling equity index and spot volatility with path-dependent features and general kernels.
method Proved existence and uniqueness of a continuous solution to a Stochastic Volterra Equation (SVE) with non-convolutional, non-bounded kernels and non-Lipschitz coefficients.
result Positivity of the volatility process under certain conditions on the kernels.
We investigate the computational aspects of the basket CDS pricing with counterparty risk under a credit contagion model of multinames. This model enables us to capture the systematic volatility increases in the market triggered by a particular bankruptcy. The drawback of this problem is its analytical complication due…
Researchers develop Malliavin calculus for signatures, simplifying option Greeks computation.
problem Lack of tractability and explicit representations in Malliavin calculus.
method Focus on finite linear combinations of time-extended Brownian motion signatures, derive explicit formulas for Malliavin derivative, and compute Greeks for path-dependent options.
result Closed-form expressions for classical operators of Malliavin calculus, providing algebraic formulations.
Develops a new calculus for stochastic processes with occupation flows.
problem Analyzing the behavior of stochastic processes with occupation flows.
method Itô calculus for occupied processes, Feynman-Kac approach.
result Unified Markovian lifts for pricing financial derivatives.
Model-free expression for SSR derived in terms of characteristic function.
problem Calculating the skew-stickiness-ratio (SSR) in financial markets.
method Model-free expression using characteristic function, focusing on diffusion and affine forward variance cases.
result General formula for SSR simplifies and becomes particularly tractable in affine forward variance cases, with a limit of H+3/2 for short-term limit. Develops a new causal model for path-dependent link prediction.
problem Existing causal models assume fixed node factors, but real-world links can depend on existing ones.
method Introduces causal lifting and structural pairwise embeddings for path-dependent link prediction.
result Validated on three scenarios, demonstrating improved accuracy for causal link prediction.
Paper introduces a new volatility model for natural gas markets and discusses swing option pricing.
problem Modeling price and storage dynamics in natural gas markets with path-dependent volatility.
method Developed a novel stochastic path-dependent volatility model and used deep learning for swing option pricing.
result Proposed a deep learning method for numerical approximations of swing option pricing.
Study rough volatility models using path-dependent PDEs and fractional Brownian motions.
problem Modeling and analyzing rough volatility in financial markets.
method Showed conditional expectations are unique classical solutions to path-dependent PDEs derived from functional Itô formula. Leverage these to study weak rates of convergence for discretized stochastic integrals.
result Obtained optimal weak error rates for approximating log-stock prices in rough volatility models.
The pricing of options, warrants and other derivative securities is one of the great success of financial economics. These financial products can be modeled and simulated using quantum mechanical instruments based on a Hamiltonian formulation. We show here some applications of these methods for various potentials, whic…