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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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20395978 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for passive aggressive threshold

Stabilizes online learning by using weighted reservoir sampling.

problem Real-world deployment sensitivity to outliers causes low accuracy in final solutions.
method Weighted reservoir sampling to stabilize ensemble model without additional data passes.
result Risk of ensemble classifier is bounded with respect to the underlying online learning method's regret.

We provide a new online learning algorithm which utilizes online passive-aggressive learning (PA) and total-error-rate minimization (TER) for binary classification. The PA learning establishes not only large margin training but also the capacity to handle non-separable data. The TER learning on the other hand minimizes…

2020-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper investigates the market impact of passive orders.

problem Understanding the market impact of passive orders executed through limit orders.
method Developed a microstructure model linking liquidity dynamics and price moves, replacing the constant information content assumption with a function dependent on available volume.
result Derived useful approximations for market impact curves, leading to closed-form formulas.

The goal of Ordinal Regression is to find a rule that ranks items from a given set. Several learning algorithms to solve this prediction problem build an ensemble of binary classifiers. Ranking by Projecting uses interdependent binary perceptrons. These perceptrons share the same direction vector, but use different bia…

2019-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper is devoted to the important yet little explored subject of the market impact of limit orders. Our analysis is based on a proprietary database of metaorders - large orders that are split into smaller pieces before being sent to the market. We first address the case of aggressive limit orders and then, that of…

2018-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

In active learning, the user sequentially chooses values for feature XX and an oracle returns the corresponding label YY. In this paper, we consider the effect of feature noise in active learning, which could arise either because XX itself is being measured, or it is corrupted in transmission to the oracle, or the o…

2015-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a deep learning method to estimate fill probabilities of limit orders in LOBs.

problem Estimating the fill probabilities of limit orders in different levels of a limit order book.
method Survival analysis model using a convolutional-Transformer encoder and a monotonic neural network decoder.
result The proposed method significantly outperforms other approaches in survival analysis.

We consider the problem of online active learning to collect data for regression modeling. Specifically, we consider a decision maker with a limited experimentation budget who must efficiently learn an underlying linear population model. Our main contribution is a novel threshold-based algorithm for selection of most i…

2016-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal fees protect passive LPs in AMMs under varying market conditions.

problem Adverse selection losses in AMMs are not offset by static trading fees.
method Dynamic reduced-form model with parallel AMM and CEX, large-scale simulations, real market data analysis.
result Optimal AMM fees are stable under normal conditions but high in volatile periods to protect LPs.

Momentum is a simple and widely used trick which allows gradient-based optimizers to pick up speed along low curvature directions. Its performance depends crucially on a damping coefficient ββ. Large ββ values can potentially deliver much larger speedups, but are prone to oscillations and instability; hence one typic…

2018-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Exact simulation method for market impact estimation under various execution strategies.

problem Estimating market impact from observed price trajectories under different execution strategies.
method Conditional simulation of point processes under perturbed intensities.
result Exact, event-driven algorithm for reconstructing counterfactual paths.

Despite the fact that an intraday market price distribution is not normal, the random walk model of price behaviour is as important for the understanding of basic principles of the market as the pendulum model is a starting point of many fundamental theories in physics. This model is a good zero order approximation for…

2019-08-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper connects rejection learning to Bhattacharyya divergence.

problem Learning models to abstain from predictions.
method Developed a link between rejection and thresholding different statistical divergences, focusing on Bhattacharyya divergence.
result Rejector obtained by joint ideal distribution corresponds to thresholding of skewed Bhattacharyya divergence.

Paper introduces a new multi-kernel algorithm for better gradient approximation.

problem Improving gradient approximation in high-dimensional problems.
method Develops a multi-kernel passive stochastic gradient algorithm with variance reduction.
result The multi-kernel algorithm performs better in high-dimensional problems.

Active learning can't improve over passive in certain settings.

problem Active learning vs. passive learning in nonparametric settings.
method Analyzing margin conditions and their effects on active learning performance.
result Nuances in margin conditions determine whether active learning can outperform passive learning.

LLMs struggle to outperform markets over long periods and diverse stocks.

problem Overstated effectiveness of LLM-based investing strategies due to biases.
method FINSABER framework for systematic backtests over two decades and 100+ symbols.
result Previously reported LLM advantages deteriorate significantly under broader evaluation.

This paper aims to incorporate passive symmetries in machine learning for better generalization.

problem Machine learning's reliance on arbitrary choices leads to passive symmetries that can limit generalization.
method Translation among physics, mathematics, and machine learning to understand and implement passive symmetries.
result Respecting passive symmetries can improve machine learning's ability to generalize.

Default risk significantly affects the corporate policies of a firm. We develop a model in which a limited liability entity subject to Poisson default shock jointly sets its dividend policy and capital structure to maximize the expected lifetime utility from consumption of risk averse equity investors. We give a comple…

2018-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the role of active and passive investors in an investment market with uncertainties. Active investors concentrate on a single or a few stocks with a given probability of determining the quality of them. Passive investors spread their investment uniformly, resembling buying the market index. In this toy market …

2001-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Unsupervised model generates distinct intonation codes for speech synthesis.

problem Lack of understanding of what prosodic variations are controlled in speech synthesis.
method Phrase-level variational autoencoder with multi-modal prior, using mode centres as intonation codes.
result Generated intonation codes are perceptually distinct and carry various affect-related styles.

Study shows big winner stocks significantly impact passive and active investment strategies.

problem Impact of big winner stocks on passive and active investment strategies.
method Numerical and analytical techniques applied to historical stock price data.
result Concentrated portfolios underperform equally weighted indexes due to missing big winner stocks.

We consider the related tasks of matrix completion and matrix approximation from missing data and propose adaptive sampling procedures for both problems. We show that adaptive sampling allows one to eliminate standard incoherence assumptions on the matrix row space that are necessary for passive sampling procedures. Fo…

2014-07-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning the minimum/maximum mean among a finite set of distributions is a fundamental sub-task in planning, game tree search and reinforcement learning. We formalize this learning task as the problem of sequentially testing how the minimum mean among a finite set of distributions compares to a given threshold. We deve…

2018-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

JIT liquidity providers can sometimes reduce overall market liquidity by crowding out passive LPs.

problem JIT liquidity providers can reduce overall market liquidity by crowding out passive LPs.
method Game-theoretic model with asymmetrically informed agents to analyze JIT liquidity provision in blockchain-based decentralized exchanges.
result JIT LPs only provide liquidity to uninformed orders and crowd out passive LPs when order volume is not sufficiently elastic to pool depth, potentially reducing overall market liquidity.

Price changes are induced by aggressive market orders in stock market. We introduce a bivariate marked Hawkes process to model aggressive market order arrivals at the microstructural level. The order arrival intensity is marked by an exogenous part and two endogenous processes reflecting the self-excitation and cross-e…

2018-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Finsler space is differentiable manifold for which Minkowski space is the fiber of the tangent bundle. To understand structure of the reference frame in Finsler space, we need to understand the structure of orthonormal basis in Minkowski space. In this paper, we considered the definition of orthonormal basis in Minkows…

2012-01-19abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we study a symmetry group of vector space. Basis manifold is a homogeneous space of a symmetry group. This concept leads us to the definition of active and passive transformations on basis manifold. Active transformation can be expressed as a transformation of vector space. Passive transformation gives ab…

2004-12-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Mean representations of VAEs are correlated but still useful for tasks.

problem Correlation between mean and sampled representations of VAEs.
method Selective posterior collapse to identify active and passive variables.
result Passive variables in mean representations are correlated but uncorrelated in sampled ones.