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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3672108144 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for partial moments

The paper derives formulas for moments of a Student t distribution and applies them to quantify LpL_p-quantiles.

problem Understanding the moments and quantiles of a Student t distribution.
method Developed formulas for partial and complete moments, and derived relationships between LpL_p-quantiles.
result For a Student t distribution, the Lnj+1L_{n-j+1}-quantile and LjL_j-quantile coincide at any confidence level.

New algorithm for risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with natural policy gradients.

problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning with downside risk constraints.
method Introduce a new Bellman equation to estimate the lower partial moment of returns, use natural policy gradients, and extend Reward Constrained Policy Optimization.
result Sample-efficient estimation of partial moments and effective risk-sensitive control.

This paper examines how data affects risk measures in uncertain distributions.

problem How does distributional ambiguity affect risk measures?
method Formulated and derived simpler dual problems for infinite and finite dimensional robust moment problems.
result Developed theory and conducted experiments in inventory control and portfolio management.

The paper analyzes extreme risk measures with limited distributional information.

problem Investigating risk measures under partial knowledge of distribution moments and shape.
method Employing probability inequalities and modified Schwarz inequality to derive bounds on distortion risk measures.
result Unified framework for calculating best- and worst-case scenarios of distortion risk measures.

The third moment variation of a financial asset return process is defined by the quadratic covariation between the return and square return processes. The skew and fat tail risk of an underlying asset can be hedged using a third moment variation swap under which a predetermined fixed leg and the floating leg of the rea…

2019-08-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Given a multisymplectic manifold (M,ω)(M,ω) and a Lie algebra g\frak{g} acting on it by infinitesimal symmetries, Fregier-Rogers-Zambon define a homotopy (co-)moment as an LL_{\infty}-algebra-homomorphism from g\frak{g} to the observable algebra L(M,ω)L(M,ω) associated to (M,ω)(M,ω), in analogy with and generalizing the notio…

2014-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

MuML models predict molecular dipole moments using atomic partial charges and dipoles.

problem Predicting molecular dipole moments accurately and efficiently.
method Combining atomic partial charges and atomic dipoles within a physically inspired ML model.
result MuML models achieve excellent transferability and accuracy, approaching DFT results at a fraction of the computational cost.

Many interesting real world domains involve reinforcement learning (RL) in partially observable environments. Efficient learning in such domains is important, but existing sample complexity bounds for partially observable RL are at least exponential in the episode length. We give, to our knowledge, the first partially …

2016-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops methods for inference on time series data using neural networks and sieves.

problem Inference on time series data with nonparametric conditional moment restrictions.
method GN-QLR based inference using general nonlinear sieves and multilayer neural networks.
result Optimally weighted GN-QLR statistic is asymptotically Chi-square distributed.

This paper provides estimation and inference methods for an identified set's boundary (i.e., support function) where the selection among a very large number of covariates is based on modern regularized tools. I characterize the boundary using a semiparametric moment equation. Combining Neyman-orthogonality and sample s…

2017-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Generalizes moment-angle manifolds to arbitrary nice manifolds with corners.

problem Computing cohomology groups and rings for moment-angle manifolds.
method Stable decomposition, rim-cubicalization, partial diagonal maps, polyhedral product.
result Derived formulas for integral cohomology groups and rings of moment-angle manifolds.

Study compares Kähler quotients of torus actions under varying moment maps.

problem Comparing Kähler quotients of torus actions under varying moment maps.
method Analyzes the transformation of Kähler quotients as moment maps change, proving bimeromorphic transformations and desingularizations.
result Each nondegenerate singular Kähler quotient has a partial and rational desingularization.

Paper tackles stochastic control with mean and higher-order moments, finding Nash equilibria.

problem Time-inconsistent stochastic control problems with mean and higher-order moments.
method Developed closed-loop and open-loop Nash equilibrium controls using PDEs and maximum principles.
result Identical closed-loop and open-loop Nash equilibria controls, independent of state value and random path.

Paper proposes robust risk measures for non-negative risks with partial information.

problem Tackles robustness of distortion risk measures under distributional uncertainty.
method Introduces new uncertainty sets and derives closed-form expressions for risk maximization.
result Derives closed-form expressions for risk maximization over uncertainty sets.

A new method extracts features and reconstructs moments in dynamical systems using information geometry.

problem Reconstructing moments in dynamical systems efficiently and accurately.
method Information-geometric approach on spaces of probability measures.
result Moments can be expanded in eigenfunctions of a kernel integral operator, enabling nonparametric forecasting.

Paper derives analytical formulas for NLD-CEV moments with regime switching.

problem Analytical tractability of NLD-CEV models under stochastic regimes.
method Hybrid system approach using Feynman-Kac formula for solving interconnected PDEs.
result Exact closed-form expressions for fractional-order conditional moments.

Study of generalized almost-Kähler-Ricci solitons and their implications.

problem Existence of first-Chern-Einstein almost-Kähler metrics on compact symplectic Fano manifolds.
method Generalization of Kähler-Ricci solitons to almost-Kähler setting, study of moment map and Lie algebra of holomorphic vector fields.
result Existence of generalized almost-Kähler-Ricci solitons as obstructions and implications for symplectic Fano manifolds.

We study the J-flow on the toric manifolds, through study the transition map between the moment maps induced by two Kähler metrics, which is a diffeomorphism between polytopes. This is similar to the work of Fang-Lai, under the assumption of Calabi symmetry, they study the monotone map between two intervals. We get a p…

2014-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

A new game-theoretic approach balances downside risk with expected reward.

problem Traditional game theory views risk only from the upside perspective, ignoring downside risk.
method Introduces downside risk aware equilibria (DRAE) based on lower partial moments.
result Successfully finds equilibria that balance downside risk with expected reward.

As a generalization of Kahler-Einstein metrics for Fano manifolds with nonvanishing Futaki invariant, Mabuchi solitons are critical points of a Calabi-type energy functional. We study their existence on toric Fano varieties and the underlying algebraic stability notion: relative Ding stability. As a toy model for a YTD…

2017-01-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce ZZ-critical connections for holomorphic vector bundles and prove their existence under stability conditions.

problem Existence of ZZ-critical connections for holomorphic vector bundles.
method Associated geometric PDEs to Bridgeland stability conditions and used infinite dimensional moment maps.
result In the large volume limit, a sufficiently smooth holomorphic vector bundle admits a ZZ-critical connection if and only if it is asymptotically ZZ-stable.

We show under weak hypotheses that X\partial X, the Roller boundary of a finite dimensional CAT(0) cube complex XX is the Furstenberg-Poisson boundary of a sufficiently nice random walk on an acting group ΓΓ. In particular, we show that if ΓΓ admits a nonelementary proper action on XX, and μμ is a generating prob…

2015-07-20abs ↗pdf ↗

We prove that the Halperin-Carlsson conjecture holds for any free (Z_2)^m action on a compact manifold whose orbit space is a small cover. In addition, we show that if the total space of a principal (Z_2)^m bundle over a small cover is connected, it must be equivalent to a partial quotient of the corresponding real mom…

2010-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Method estimates posterior model for boundary value problems with uncertain constraints.

problem Estimating posterior probability model for stochastic boundary value problems with uncertain constraints.
method Probabilistic learning inference using Kullback-Leibler divergence and MCMC.
result Method successfully estimates posterior probability measure with constraints.

Study minimal Lagrangian tori on Kähler manifolds, answering questions about their existence and stability.

problem Characterize minimal Lagrangian tori on Kähler manifolds.
method Investigate orbits of torus actions, analyze stability, and relate to ambient geometry.
result Partial answers to questions about minimal Lagrangian tori existence and stability.

This paper analyzes MaskGIT sampler and introduces a moment sampler for faster masked diffusion sampling.

problem Efficiently sampling from masked diffusion models.
method Theoretical analysis of MaskGIT sampler, introduction of moment sampler, and two innovations for improving choose-then-sample efficiency.
result The moment sampler is an asymptotically equivalent, more interpretable alternative to MaskGIT.

New method for inference on strongly identified functionals even when nuisance functions are weakly identified.

problem Inference on continuous linear functionals of weakly identified nuisance functions defined by conditional moment restrictions.
method Proposes penalized minimax estimators for both the primary and debiasing nuisance functions, which can converge to fixed limits regardless of nuisance identifiability.
result Proves the asymptotic normality of a debiased estimator for the functional of interest, leading to asymptotically valid confidence intervals.

Double machine learning provides n\sqrt{n}-consistent estimates of parameters of interest even when high-dimensional or nonparametric nuisance parameters are estimated at an n1/4n^{-1/4} rate. The key is to employ Neyman-orthogonal moment equations which are first-order insensitive to perturbations in the nuisance param…

2017-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a policy gradient method for confounded POMDPs.

problem Estimating policy gradients for confounded POMDPs with continuous state and observation spaces.
method Developed a novel identification result to estimate policy gradients using offline data, solved conditional moment restrictions, and applied min-max learning with function approximation.
result Showed global convergence of the proposed algorithm in finding the optimal policy.

For a linear combination of random variables, fix some confidence level and consider the quantile of the combination at this level. We are interested in the partial derivatives of the quantile with respect to the weights of the random variables in the combination. It turns out that under suitable conditions on the join…

2001-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper finds robust ΛΛ-quantiles equal to extremal distributions.

problem Investigating robust models for ΛΛ-quantiles with partial loss information.
method Extending classical quantiles using ΛΛ-quantiles and applying results from robust quantiles.
result Robust ΛΛ-quantiles equal to ΛΛ-quantiles of extremal distributions.

Study of dHYM connections on ruled surfaces with variable background metrics.

problem Finding new dHYM connections on ruled surfaces with variable metrics.
method Using momentum construction and moment map partial differential equations, coupled to scalar curvature of the background.
result Provide many new examples of dHYM connections coupled to a variable background Kähler metric.

The paper proposes a method to monitor deep learning predictions for retraining, reducing costs.

problem Reducing computational costs in deep learning by detecting when predictions are no longer valid.
method Sequential monitoring of network predictions based on projected second moments monitoring.
result The proposed method can drastically reduce computational costs in deep learning.

DPFRL uses particle filters for decision making with complex visual observations.

problem Decision making with partial complex visual observations.
method Discriminative Particle Filter Reinforcement Learning (DPFRL) with a differentiable particle filter in the neural network policy.
result DPFRL outperforms state-of-the-art POMDP RL models in complex visual observation tasks.