We propose a decomposition technique to reduce user cognitive load in constructive preference elicitation.
problem Learning user preferences in large combinatorial decision problems.
method Part-wise inference and feedback over partial configurations.
result Significantly reduced user cognitive load and up to exponentially less computational demand.
Iterative models improve inference efficiency in deep latent variable models.
problem Inference models in deep latent variable models are computationally inefficient and have an amortization gap.
method Proposes iterative models that learn to perform inference optimization through repeated encoding of gradients.
result Iterative models outperform standard inference models on benchmark data sets of images and text.
Approximate probabilistic inference algorithms are central to many fields. Examples include sequential Monte Carlo inference in robotics, variational inference in machine learning, and Markov chain Monte Carlo inference in statistics. A key problem faced by practitioners is measuring the accuracy of an approximate infe…
This work frames active inference through control as inference, offering robust control algorithms.
problem Active inference framework lacks practical sensorimotor control algorithms.
method Frame active inference through control as inference, presenting trajectory optimization as inference.
result AI may be framed as partially-observed CaI when the cost function is defined in observation states.
Simformer uses transformer models to perform flexible Bayesian inference.
problem Current simulation-based inference methods are inflexible and require fixed priors.
method Trains a probabilistic diffusion model with transformer architectures.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art methods on various benchmarks.
PE-SVI reduces SVI inference complexity by finding a suitable start point.
problem Complex posterior inference in graphical models leads to suboptimal learning.
method PE-SVI uses a pseudo-encoded start point to reduce gradient steps and step sizes.
result PE-SVI achieves the same ELBo objective as SVI with less than 1% of the required steps.
Proposes a new algorithm for efficient probabilistic inference.
problem Efficient probabilistic inference in deep models with graphical structures.
method Structured inference networks and variational message-passing algorithm.
result Enables fast and efficient natural-gradient inference for deep structured models.
Improved Bayesian inference for neuronal ensemble inference reduces computational cost.
problem Efficient inference of neuronal ensembles from activity data.
method Modified MCMC algorithm with simulated annealing for hyperparameter control.
result Our method reduces computational cost while maintaining or improving inference accuracy.
New framework for improved inference algorithms.
problem Challenges in improving VI and MCMC methods.
method Ergodic Inference framework based on ergodic transformations.
result Established theoretical foundation for practical algorithms.
Improves probabilistic inference with new weighting method.
problem Improving variational inference for probabilistic models.
method Importance Weighted Variational Inference (IWVI) using augmented variational inference.
result IWVI is a practical technique for probabilistic inference.
Adding metadata abruptly changes network inference outcomes.
problem Understanding the impact of metadata on network inference.
method Investigated the effect of metadata on network inference problems.
result Metadata causes abrupt transitions in inference outcomes.
SNVI combines likelihood estimation with variational inference for efficient Bayesian inference.
problem Bayesian inference in models with intractable likelihoods.
method Sequential Neural Variational Inference (SNVI) that combines likelihood-estimation with variational inference.
result SNVI is more computationally efficient than previous algorithms without sacrificing accuracy.
Paper introduces a diagnostic for approximate inference methods.
problem Estimating errors in probabilistic inference algorithms, especially for approximate methods.
method Repeatedly simulate datasets from the prior and perform inference on each, estimating a symmetric KL-divergence.
result A diagnostic for approximate inference methods can be estimated using symmetric KL-divergence.
AIR improves VAE generalization by controlling inference smoothness.
problem Overly expressive inference models harm VAE performance.
method Amortized inference regularization (AIR) controls inference smoothness.
result AIR improves VAE generalization on inference and generative tasks.
Probabilistic inference procedures are usually coded painstakingly from scratch, for each target model and each inference algorithm. We reduce this effort by generating inference procedures from models automatically. We make this code generation modular by decomposing inference algorithms into reusable program-to-progr…
A new method for safer statistical inference after predictions.
problem Statistical inference with pseudo-outcomes from machine learning predictions.
method Prediction De-Correlated Inference (PDC) framework.
result PDC consistently outperforms supervised methods and can adapt to any model.
Paper proposes Walsh-Hadamard Variational Inference for efficient approximate inference in large models.
problem Over-regularization in variational inference for large models.
method Walsh-Hadamard factorization strategies to reduce parameterization, accelerate computations, and increase posterior expressiveness.
result Efficient approximate inference achieved in over-parameterized models.
Bayesian interpolants explain neural network inferences concisely.
problem Understanding neural network inferences.
method Adapting Craig interpolants for neural networks.
result Produces precise, understandable explanations.
ptype infers data types robustly in real-world data.
problem Type inference fails with missing data and anomalies.
method Probabilistic robust type inference method.
result Outperforms existing methods.
Paper presents efficient variational inference for Pachinko Allocation Machines.
problem Difficult approximate inference in Pachinko Allocation Machines.
method Amortized variational inference using deep inference network.
result Produces more coherent topics and is faster than state-of-the-art methods.
Variational inference provides a powerful tool for approximate probabilistic in- ference on complex, structured models. Typical variational inference methods, however, require to use inference networks with computationally tractable proba- bility density functions. This largely limits the design and implementation of v…
Neurally-Guided Structure Inference combines search and data-driven methods for efficient, robust structure inference.
problem Combining the advantages of exhaustive search and data-driven methods for structure inference.
method Neurally-Guided Structure Inference (NG-SI) uses a neural network to guide hierarchical search over structures.
result NG-SI outperforms search-based and data-driven methods on probabilistic matrix decomposition and symbolic program parsing.
Paper shows how to infer hidden states in neural networks analytically.
problem Intractability of Bayesian inference for neural networks.
method Leverage tractable approximate Gaussian inference (TAGI) for hidden states inference.
result Demonstrates inference of hidden states through constraints for various applications.
New comparison shows differences in how value is incorporated in AIF and CAI.
problem Clarifying the relationship between Active Inference and Control-as-Inference.
method Formal comparison of AIF and CAI frameworks.
result Primary difference is how value is incorporated into generative models.
Post-ADC inference corrects bias in statistical inference after active data collection.
problem Bias in inference after active data collection.
method Post-ADC inference framework that corrects bias from both ADC process and data-driven target construction.
result Valid inference for data collected by SMBO methods like GP-UCB and TPE.
Variational Inference shows promise for Bayesian GARCH model estimation.
problem Bayesian estimation of GARCH-family models using Monte Carlo sampling.
method Variational Inference as an alternative to Monte Carlo sampling.
result Variational Inference is a reliable and competitive method for Bayesian learning in GARCH-like models.
Meta-learn Bayesian inference for task-specific BNNs using amortised inference.
problem Efficiently learning Bayesian inference for small-scale probabilistic meta-learning.
method Replace global inducing points with actual data to create a set of approximate likelihoods, train a meta-model to learn these parameters across related datasets.
result Meta-learned inference can be applied to task-specific BNNs, improving efficiency and scalability.
A new particle algorithm improves mean-field variational inference.
problem Efficiently approximating nonparametric posterior distributions in machine learning.
method Introduces PArticle VI (PAVI), a novel particle-based algorithm for nonparametric mean-field approximation.
result Obtains non-asymptotic error bounds for PArticle VI, providing the first end-to-end guarantee for particle-based MFVI.
Wasserstein variational inference uses optimal transport for stable likelihood-free training.
problem Approximate Bayesian inference with stability and flexibility for implicit distributions.
method Optimal transport theory, Sinkhorn iterations, and backpropagation.
result Stable likelihood-free training method for autoencoders and probabilistic programs.
Bayesian method infers contextual bandit policies robustly.
problem Inference of contextual bandit policies in small sample sizes.
method Empirical likelihood for Bayesian inference.
result Accurate uncertainty measurements and policy comparison.
Exact selective inference with randomization for Gaussian regression models.
problem Exact selective inference in Gaussian regression models.
method Introduces a pivot for exact selective inference with randomization, reducing the problem to a bivariate truncated Gaussian distribution.
result Our pivot leads to exact inference and produces narrower confidence intervals than related methods.
BOED improves SBI by optimizing experimental designs and inference functions.
problem Efficiently use experimental resources for better inference on complex models.
method Link mutual information bounds between SBI and BOED, optimizing both design and inference.
result BOED improves inference in real-world simulators in epidemiology and biology.
Valid inference from data and predictions.
problem Valid statistical inference with machine learning predictions.
method Framework for valid inference using machine learning predictions.
result Valid confidence intervals without assumptions on predictions.
EFI automates statistical inference for big data.
problem Statistical inference for model parameters based on observations.
method EFI uses stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo and sparse deep neural networks.
result EFI provides higher fidelity in parameter estimation and automates the inference process.
Scalable Bayesian inference for state space models using variational inference and SMC.
problem Performing fully Bayesian inference in state space models.
method Combining variational methods with sequential Monte Carlo sampling.
result Fully Bayesian inference of dynamic latent states and static parameters.
Machine learning infers fluid dynamics from data without prior knowledge.
problem Inferring complex fluid behavior from limited data.
method Reservoir computing for partial and full inference of fluid variables and energy functions.
result Reservoir systems can infer long-term fluid dynamics and energy spectra from past data.
HuMaINs combines human and machine strengths for better inference tasks.
problem Improving inference performance through human-machine collaboration.
method Novel signal processing and machine learning solutions for HuMaINs architecture.
result HuMaINs achieves higher performance than either humans or machines individually.
Derives time-averaged active inference from control principles.
problem Finite-horizon or discounted-surprise problems in active inference.
method Derives infinite-horizon, average-surprise active inference from optimal control principles.
result Unified objective functional for sensorimotor control.
UA-SABI uses surrogates to speed up Bayesian inference for expensive models.
problem Inference for computationally expensive models is slow and uncertain.
method Combines surrogate modeling with Amortized Bayesian Inference (ABI) to propagate uncertainties.
result Reliable, fast, and repeated Bayesian inference for expensive models is achieved.
Adversarial robustness of amortized Bayesian inference is studied, showing it can be improved.
problem Adversarial robustness of amortized Bayesian inference.
method Simulation-based estimation, regularization scheme based on Fisher information.
result Adversarial robustness can be improved with a regularization scheme.
New method uses EKI for efficient Bayesian inference in high-dimensional problems.
problem Efficient inference for high-dimensional posterior distributions in physics-informed neural networks.
method Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) for high-dimensional posterior inference.
result EKI-based inference provides comparable uncertainty estimates to HMC-based methods but with reduced computational cost.
Variational inference simplifies Bayesian model approximations.
problem Approximating complex Bayesian posterior distributions.
method Solving optimization problems to approximate posterior distributions with simpler variational distributions.
result Variational inference has been successfully applied in various models and large-scale applications.
Probabilistic models can handle causal inference without special tools.
problem Confusion over necessary tools for causal inference.
method Demonstrated through concrete examples that causal questions can be answered using standard probabilistic models.
result Causal questions can be addressed using standard probabilistic modelling and inference.
Deep learning enhances active inference for dynamic state spaces.
problem Limited applicability of active inference to continuous state spaces.
method Use of deep learning to approximate probability distributions for active inference.
result Active inference can be applied to continuous state spaces.
GPyTorch accelerates GP inference using GPU hardware.
problem Inefficient GP inference tools on modern hardware.
method Blackbox Matrix-Matrix (BBMM) inference with GPU acceleration.
result Significant speedup in GP inference and approximations.
Predictive e-values enhance statistical inference across various tasks.
problem Insufficient data limits traditional statistical inference.
method Apply prediction-powered inference to e-values.
result Every e-value-based inference has a prediction-powered counterpart.
VISA improves inference efficiency for complex models.
problem Efficient approximate inference in computationally intensive models.
method Sequential sample-average approximations within a trust region.
result VISA achieves comparable accuracy with computational savings.
Improves neural relational inference for dynamic multi-agent trajectories.
problem Limited accuracy of NRI in short output sequences for relational inference in multi-agent trajectories.
method Proposes DYnamic multi-AgentRelational Inference (DYARI) model to handle changing interactions over time.
result DYARI model outperforms NRI in dynamic relational inference tasks.