Paper tackles RUL prediction with scarce data using indirect supervision.
problem Predicting RUL with indirect supervision and scarce time series data.
method Unified framework called parameterized static regression, handling data scarcity without interpolation.
result Competitive performance in prediction accuracy with simulated data scarcity.
MoNODEs improve neural ODEs by separating dynamic states from static factors.
problem Learning non-linear dynamics with variations across trajectories.
method Introduces time-invariant modulator variables to separate dynamic states from static factors.
result Consistently improves model generalization and far-horizon forecasting.
New methods solve tensor-on-tensor regression with unknown rank, revealing benefits of over-parameterization.
problem Connecting tensor responses to tensor covariates with unknown intrinsic rank.
method Riemannian gradient descent and Riemannian Gauss-Newton methods for tensor-on-tensor regression.
result Riemannian optimization methods converge linearly and quadratically to a statistically optimal estimate in rank over-parameterized settings.
This paper explores adaptive methods in over-parameterized linear regression.
problem Understanding why neural networks generalize well in over-parameterized settings.
method Characterizes two sub-classes of adaptive methods and their generalization performance.
result Adaptive methods in over-parameterized linear regression converge to the minimum norm solution.
Least squares regression shows unexpected double descent in under-parameterized models.
problem Understanding the generalization of under-parameterized models in regression.
method Analyzing the spectrum and eigenvectors of the sample covariance matrix.
result Least squares regression can exhibit a peak in generalization in the under-parameterized regime, contrary to previous explanations.
New geometric interpretation explains over-parameterized models and adversarial perturbations.
problem Geometric understanding of over-parameterized regression and adversarial perturbations.
method Alternative geometric interpretation of regression in feature space.
result Adversarial perturbations are a natural feature of biased models due to underlying geometry.
The paper explores how over-parameterized linear regression models generalize without violating learning theory principles.
problem Understanding how over-parameterized linear regression models generalize without violating learning theory principles.
method The paper uses the predictive normalized maximum likelihood (pNML) learner to investigate the minimum norm solution of over-parameterized linear regression models.
result The model generalizes well when the test sample lies in a subspace spanned by eigenvectors associated with large eigenvalues of the training data.
The paper analyzes optimal implicit bias in linear regression for over-parameterized models.
problem Finding the best generalization performance in over-parameterized linear regression.
method Asymptotic analysis of generalization performance for convex functions/potentials.
result Optimal implicit bias that achieves the best generalization error under certain conditions.
The paper shows how the generalization curve can have multiple peaks, influenced by data and learning algorithm biases.
problem Understanding the generalization behavior of linear regression models under varying parameterizations.
method Analyzes generalization loss in linear regression models with varying parameterizations, both under- and over-parameterized.
result The generalization curve can have an arbitrary number of peaks, and their locations can be controlled.
Improves adaptivity in sequence models by over-parameterizing.
problem Adaptivity and generalization in sequence models.
method Over-parameterized gradient descent using eigenfunctions.
result Over-parameterization enhances model adaptivity and generalization.
Knoop enhances variable selection with over-parameterization and knockoffs.
problem Challenges of variable selection in high-dimensional datasets.
method Generates knockoff variables, integrates them into an over-parameterized model, and uses anomaly-based significance tests.
result Superior performance in variable selection compared to existing methods.
A new algorithm reduces memory usage for deep learning models.
problem Training deep learning models requires significant memory.
method Dynamic Tensor Rematerialization (DTR) is a greedy online algorithm that dynamically plans recomputations.
result DTR achieves comparable performance to optimal static checkpointing with only a small memory budget.
Over-parameterized CNNs show U-shaped test risk with depth increase.
problem Understanding the impact of depth on test risk in over-parameterized CNNs.
method Empirical image classification experiments and linear regression framework.
result Test risk is U-shaped with increasing depth in over-parameterized CNNs.
In this article, we show how to calibrate the widely-used SVI parameterization of the implied volatility surface in such a way as to guarantee the absence of static arbitrage. In particular, we exhibit a large class of arbitrage-free SVI volatility surfaces with a simple closed-form representation. We demonstrate the h…
We propose a new static parameterization of the implied volatility surface which is constructed by using polynomials of sigmoid functions combined with some other terms. This parameterization is flexible enough to fit market implied volatilities which demonstrate smile or skew. An arbitrage-free calibration algorithm i…
Gradient descent trains neural networks to match kernel regression's sharp generalization rate.
problem Training over-parameterized neural networks for nonparametric regression.
method Gradient descent with early stopping on over-parameterized two-layer neural networks.
result Trained neural networks achieve sharp generalization rate of O(εn2). LIC compiles probabilistic models to generate efficient MCMC proposals.
problem Creating accurate Metropolis-Hastings proposals for Bayesian inference.
method Integrates probabilistic graphical models and neural networks in an open-source framework to optimize proposal distributions.
result LIC produces more efficient and robust MCMC proposals compared to existing methods.
The study identifies spurious correlations in high-dimensional regression and quantifies their impact.
problem Spurious correlations in high-dimensional regression models.
method Statistical characterization of spurious correlations, quantifying their amount via ridge regularization.
result The value of regularization strength that minimizes test loss is in an interval where spurious correlations increase.
To model categorical response variables given their covariates, we propose a permuted and augmented stick-breaking (paSB) construction that one-to-one maps the observed categories to randomly permuted latent sticks. This new construction transforms multinomial regression into regression analysis of stick-specific binar…
A quantum circuit designed for efficient statistical model preparation and training.
problem Challenges in preparing and learning statistical models on quantum processors.
method Utilizes the maximum entropy principle to design a statistics-informed parameterized quantum circuit (SI-PQC).
result Improves trainability and interpretability for learning quantum states and classical model parameters.
We consider the impact of ambiguity on the optimal timing of a class of two-dimensional integral option contracts when the exercise payoff is a positively homogeneous measurable function. Hence, the considered class of exercise payoffs includes discontinuous functions as well. We identify a parameterized family of exce…
Study shows how over-parameterized classifiers can still perform well on noisy data.
problem Understanding how maximum margin classifiers perform in over-parameterized settings with noisy data.
method Analyzes maximum margin classifiers on sub-Gaussian mixtures, providing risk bounds.
result Characterizes conditions for 'benign overfitting' in linear classification problems.
Proposes a continuous, differentiable model from local adaptive models.
problem Inadequate continuity and differentiability in over-parameterized models.
method A global continuous and differentiable model constructed from weighted averages of locally learned models.
result Achieves faster statistical convergence and improved performance in various settings.
e-GGPs learn graph vertex transitions over time.
problem Static graph Gaussian Processes cannot handle dynamic graph structures.
method Proposes e-GGPs with a transition function and neighbourhood kernel.
result e-GGPs outperform static GGPs on time-series regression.
Gradient Descent with Projection learns low-degree polynomials efficiently.
problem Learning low-degree spherical polynomials with neural networks.
method Over-parameterized two-layer neural network with Gradient Descent with Projection.
result Achieves nearly minimax optimal sample complexity and risk bound.
Analyzes generalization error in generalized linear models, explaining double descent phenomenon.
problem Understanding generalization of machine learning models in high dimensions.
method Develops a framework to characterize asymptotic generalization error for generalized linear models.
result Rigorously explains the double descent phenomenon in generalized linear models.
We introduce a method for constructing skills capable of solving tasks drawn from a distribution of parameterized reinforcement learning problems. The method draws example tasks from a distribution of interest and uses the corresponding learned policies to estimate the topology of the lower-dimensional piecewise-smooth…
Bayesian interpretation explains double descent in deep learning models.
problem Understanding the risk function behavior of over-parameterized models.
method Bayesian model selection, Dickey-Savage ratio, ridge regression, global-local shrinkage.
result Double descent phenomenon explained through Bayesian interpretation.
A semi-static approach efficiently replicates and prices callable interest rate derivatives.
problem Efficiently replicating and pricing callable interest rate derivatives under dynamic market conditions.
method Proposes a semi-static hedging algorithm that updates the replication portfolio on a finite number of instances, rather than continuously.
result The hedging error can be made arbitrarily small with a sufficiently large replication portfolio, and closed-form error margins are determined.
Under-parameterization hinders deep RL's efficiency.
problem Implicit under-parameterization impairs data-efficiency in deep RL.
method Characterized and mitigated the rank collapse of value network features.
result Controlling rank collapse improves deep RL performance.
Deep neural networks can learn smooth functions without parameters.
problem Learning smooth functions from shallow ReLU neural networks.
method Using over-parameterized shallow ReLU neural networks with norm constraints.
result Least squares estimators based on shallow neural networks are minimax optimal.
Proposes CCME framework for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in complex distributions.
method Embeds conditional distributions into RKHS, develops meta-estimators for CCME.
result Establishes finite-sample convergence rates and double robustness for CCME estimators.
Overparameterized MLR fits hyper-curves, improving model robustness.
problem Improper predictors degrade model generalizability.
method Parameterizing with a scalar and monomial basis, fitting hyper-curves.
result Hyper-curve approach yields robust predictions for noisy data.
Optimal rates for shallow ReLU networks in nonparametric regression.
problem Approximating smooth and non-smooth functions with shallow ReLU networks.
method Analysis of shallow ReLUk neural networks, using variation norms and deep learning theory. result Optimal approximation rates for shallow ReLU networks in nonparametric regression.
A new method for efficient neural network fine-tuning using queryable low-rank update atoms.
problem Rigidity of static low-rank adaptation methods when input and depth-wise computation vary.
method A shared queryable memory of low-rank update atoms, allowing dynamic and context-sensitive adaptation.
result Improves final test performance and training stability compared to standard low-rank adaptation.
We consider the task of low-multilinear-rank functional regression, i.e., learning a low-rank parametric representation of functions from scattered real-valued data. Our first contribution is the development and analysis of an efficient gradient computation that enables gradient-based optimization procedures, including…
Phenotyping electronic health records (EHR) focuses on defining meaningful patient groups (e.g., heart failure group and diabetes group) and identifying the temporal evolution of patients in those groups. Tensor factorization has been an effective tool for phenotyping. Most of the existing works assume either a static …
Enhances data augmentation for regression tasks.
problem Limited effectiveness of data augmentation in regression.
method Curvature-Enhanced Manifold Sampling (CEMS).
result CEMS improves performance in regression tasks.
The paper proposes a gradient-based method for multi-penalty Ridge regression.
problem Optimizing multiple regularization hyperparameters for linear regression.
method Gradient-based optimization through matrix differential calculus.
result The method outperforms traditional regularization techniques like LASSO and Ridge.
We propose a new sample-efficient methodology, called Supervised Policy Update (SPU), for deep reinforcement learning. Starting with data generated by the current policy, SPU formulates and solves a constrained optimization problem in the non-parameterized proximal policy space. Using supervised regression, it then con…
Policy gradient based reinforcement learning algorithms coupled with neural networks have shown success in learning complex policies in the model free continuous action space control setting. However, explicitly parameterized policies are limited by the scope of the chosen parametric probability distribution. We show t…
In the multiple linear regression setting, we propose a general framework, termed weighted orthogonal components regression (WOCR), which encompasses many known methods as special cases, including ridge regression and principal components regression. WOCR makes use of the monotonicity inherent in orthogonal components …
The paper develops methods for constructing confidence regions for regression functions in binary classification.
problem Building distribution-free confidence regions for regression functions in binary classification.
method Resampling test and empirical risk minimization approach for model classes with finite pseudo-dimensions and inverse Lipschitz parameterizations.
result Strong uniform consistency and exponential probably approximately correct bounds on the L2 sizes of the regions. Neural networks trained with PGD achieve sharp regression rates in interpolation spaces.
problem Nonparametric regression using over-parameterized neural networks in interpolation spaces.
method Over-parameterized two-layer neural networks trained with Preconditioned Gradient Descent (PGD) and early stopping.
result Achieves a sharp regression rate of \(\cO(n^{-\frac{2αs'}{2αs'+1}})\) in interpolation spaces \(\bth{\cH_K}^{s'}\).
This paper introduces a new neural ODE model for continuous-time sequence generation.
problem Representing and predicting continuous-time sequences with high accuracy.
method A neural emission model and neural ODE define the latent state evolution, with an Energy-based model for prior distribution.
result The model outperforms existing methods in various tasks, including long-horizon predictions.
The paper studies the minimum ℓ₁-norm interpolator's risk behavior in over-parameterized settings.
problem Understanding the risk behavior of minimum ℓ₁-norm interpolators in high-dimensional settings.
method Exact characterization of the risk behavior through a system of two non-linear equations.
result Observation of a multi-descent phenomenon in the generalization risk of the minimum ℓ₁-norm interpolator.
Study reveals benign overfitting in time series models with over-parameterization.
problem Analyzing over-parameterized linear models with dependent time-series data.
method Developed an estimator using interpolation and derived non-asymptotic risk bounds.
result Risk bound is influenced by the coherence of temporal covariance matrices at different time steps.
New findings show GD converges to a linear interpolator even with quadratic loss function under certain conditions.
problem Understanding convergence of Gradient Descent with quadratic loss functions.
method Parameterized linear regression with quadratic loss function, empirical and theoretical analysis.
result Gradient Descent converges to a linear interpolator even with quadratic loss function under the Edge of Stability regime.