A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The paper analyzes multivariate payments in multi-state life insurance using Markovian state processes.
In this on-going work, I explore certain theoretical and empirical implications of data transformations under the PCA. In particular, I state and prove three theorems about PCA, which I paraphrase as follows: 1). PCA without discarding eigenvector rows is injective, but looses this injectivity when eigenvector rows are…
Linear NDCG is used for measuring the performance of the Web content quality assessment in ECML/PKDD Discovery Challenge 2010. In this paper, we will prove that the DCG error equals a new pair-wise loss.
Diffusion models learn simple statistics before complex ones, revealing a sample complexity exponent.
Model forecasts market structure from financial networks using machine learning.
The question of aggregating pair-wise comparisons to obtain a global ranking over a collection of objects has been of interest for a very long time: be it ranking of online gamers (e.g. MSR's TrueSkill system) and chess players, aggregating social opinions, or deciding which product to sell based on transactions. In mo…
Motivated by generating personalized recommendations using ordinal (or preference) data, we study the question of learning a mixture of MultiNomial Logit (MNL) model, a parameterized class of distributions over permutations, from partial ordinal or preference data (e.g. pair-wise comparisons). Despite its long standing…
Paper tackles novelty detection in text classification.
Improves ROC/AUC for multi-class classification.
We present explicit formulas - that are also computer code - for 101 real-life quantitative trading alphas. Their average holding period approximately ranges 0.6-6.4 days. The average pair-wise correlation of these alphas is low, 15.9%. The returns are strongly correlated with volatility, but have no significant depend…
The OSCAR (octagonal selection and clustering algorithm for regression) regularizer consists of a L_1 norm plus a pair-wise L_inf norm (responsible for its grouping behavior) and was proposed to encourage group sparsity in scenarios where the groups are a priori unknown. The OSCAR regularizer has a non-trivial proximit…
Mixup reduces the sample complexity of finding optimal decision boundaries for more separable data.
Tensor-based method simplifies causal skeleton discovery.
The distribution of money is analysed in connection with the Boltzmann distribution of energy in the degenerate states of molecules. Plots of the population density of income distribution for various countries are well reproduced by a Gamma function, confirming the validity of the statistical distribution at equilibriu…
Current state-of-the-art discrete optimization methods struggle behind when it comes to challenging contrast-enhancing discrete energies (i.e., favoring different labels for neighboring variables). This work suggests a multiscale approach for these challenging problems. Deriving an algebraic representation allows us to…
In this paper, we propose a nonlinear distance metric learning scheme based on the fusion of component linear metrics. Instead of merging displacements at each data point, our model calculates the velocities induced by the component transformations, via a geodesic interpolation on a Lie transfor- mation group. Such vel…
We apply the OSCAR (octagonal selection and clustering algorithms for regression) in recovering group-sparse matrices (two-dimensional---2D---arrays) from compressive measurements. We propose a 2D version of OSCAR (2OSCAR) consisting of the norm and the pair-wise norm, which is convex but non-d…
Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Belief Propagation (BP) are the most popular algorithms for computational inference in Graphical Models (GM). In principle, MCMC is an exact probabilistic method which, however, often suffers from exponentially slow mixing. In contrast, BP is a deterministic method, which is typicall…
Structure learning in random fields has attracted considerable attention due to its difficulty and importance in areas such as remote sensing, computational biology, natural language processing, protein networks, and social network analysis. We consider the problem of estimating the probabilistic graph structure associ…
By drawing on ideas from optimisation theory, artificial neural networks (ANN), graph embeddings and sparse representations, I develop a novel technique, termed SENNS (Sparse Extraction Neural NetworkS), aimed at addressing the feature extraction problem. The proposed method uses (preferably deep) ANNs for projecting i…
Suppose, we are given a set of elements to be clustered into (unknown) clusters, and an oracle/expert labeler that can interactively answer pair-wise queries of the form, "do two elements and belong to the same cluster?". The goal is to recover the optimum clustering by asking the minimum number of quer…
In this paper we find smooth embeddings of solenoids in smooth foliations. We show that if a smooth foliation F of a manifold M contains a compact leaf L with H^1(L;R)= 0 and if the foliation is a product foliation in some saturated open neighbourhood U of L, then there exists a foliation F' on M which is C^1-close to …
We propose a non-parametric regression methodology, Random Forests on Distance Matrices (RFDM), for detecting genetic variants associated to quantitative phenotypes representing the human brain's structure or function, and obtained using neuroimaging techniques. RFDM, which is an extension of decision forests, requires…
This paper studies the problem of learning clusters which are consistently present in different (continuously valued) representations of observed data. Our setup differs slightly from the standard approach of (co-) clustering as we use the fact that some form of `labeling' becomes available in this setup: a cluster is …
We propose a novel SPARsity and Clustering (SPARC) regularizer, which is a modified version of the previous octagonal shrinkage and clustering algorithm for regression (OSCAR), where, the proposed regularizer consists of a -sparse constraint and a pair-wise norm restricted on the largest componen…
In this paper, we address the inverse problem, or the statistical machine learning problem, in Markov random fields with a non-parametric pair-wise energy function with continuous variables. The inverse problem is formulated by maximum likelihood estimation. The exact treatment of maximum likelihood estimation is intra…
We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a similarity function on the state space and scaling transition probabilities by pai…
The estimation of probability densities based on available data is a central task in many statistical applications. Especially in the case of large ensembles with many samples or high-dimensional sample spaces, computationally efficient methods are needed. We propose a new method that is based on a decomposition of the…
Music generation research has grown in popularity over the past decade, thanks to the deep learning revolution that has redefined the landscape of artificial intelligence. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to music generation inspired by musical segment concatenation methods and hash learning algorithms. Given…
Loopy belief propagation (LBP), which is equivalent to the Bethe approximation in statistical mechanics, is a message-passing-type inference method that is widely used to analyze systems based on Markov random fields (MRFs). In this paper, we propose a message-passing-type method to analytically evaluate the quenched a…
This paper presents a novel data-driven technique based on the spatiotemporal pattern network (STPN) for energy/power prediction for complex dynamical systems. Built on symbolic dynamic filtering, the STPN framework is used to capture not only the individual system characteristics but also the pair-wise causal dependen…
The kernel matrix used in kernel methods encodes all the information required for solving complex nonlinear problems defined on data representations in the input space using simple, but implicitly defined, solutions. Spectral analysis on the kernel matrix defines an explicit nonlinear mapping of the input data represen…
Attention networks show promise for both vision and language tasks, by emphasizing relationships between constituent elements through weighting functions. Such elements could be regions in an image output by a region proposal network, or words in a sentence, represented by word embedding. Thus far the learning of atten…
The study classifies differentiable structures on a 'Y' shape manifold.
Events are happening in real-world and real-time, which can be planned and organized occasions involving multiple people and objects. Social media platforms publish a lot of text messages containing public events with comprehensive topics. However, mining social events is challenging due to the heterogeneous event elem…
This paper improves domain adaptation methods using graph embedding.
Conventional modeling approaches have found limitations in matching the increasingly detailed neural network structures and dynamics recorded in experiments to the diverse brain functionalities. On another approach, studies have demonstrated to train spiking neural networks for simple functions using supervised learnin…
The paper addresses data uncertainty in graph embedding by modeling data points as Gaussian distributions.
FPL allows users to control their data in federated top-N recommendation.
Traffic forecasting is of great importance to transportation management and public safety, and very challenging due to the complicated spatial-temporal dependency and essential uncertainty brought about by the road network and traffic conditions. Latest studies mainly focus on modeling the spatial dependency by utilizi…
Deep Neural Networks (DNNs), with its promising performance, are being increasingly used in safety critical applications such as autonomous driving, cancer detection, and secure authentication. With growing importance in deep learning, there is a requirement for a more standardized framework to evaluate and test deep l…
Visual reranking is effective to improve the performance of the text-based video search. However, existing reranking algorithms can only achieve limited improvement because of the well-known semantic gap between low level visual features and high level semantic concepts. In this paper, we adopt interactive video search…
Study shows stock price interactions increase during crises due to external stimulus.
Proposes a new theoretical framework for PbRL that requires less human feedback.
CFR-Pro enhances treatment effect estimation by incorporating local proximity.
The paper analyzes how Gaussian kernel parameters affect posterior covariance in Gaussian processes.
A new neural subsampling method reduces data volume for deep models.
CovRegRF estimates covariance matrix from covariates using random forests.