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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,878 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for overwhelm

We introduce a new random group model called the square model: we quotient a free group on nn generators by a random set of relations, each of which is a reduced word of length four. We prove, as in the Gromov density model, that for densities >12> \frac{1}{2} a random group in the square model is trivial with overwhel…

2014-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗

For every dimension d, there is an infinite family of convex co-compact reflection groups of isometries of hyperbolic d-space --- the superideal (simplicial and cubical) reflection groups --- with the property that a random group at any density less than a half (or in the few relators model) contains quasiconvex subgro…

2014-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we propose a method of obtaining points of extreme overfitting - parameters of modern neural networks, at which they demonstrate close to 100 % training accuracy, simultaneously with almost zero accuracy on the test sample. Despite the widespread opinion that the overwhelming majority of critical points o…

2019-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

New proof shows neural networks can memorize training data with high accuracy.

problem Proving neural networks can memorize training data with high accuracy.
method Probabilistic construction exploiting sparsity.
result Proves neural networks with threshold or mixed threshold-ReLU activations can memorize training data.

This article presents results from the first statistically significant study of cost escalation in transportation infrastructure projects. Based on a sample of 258 transportation infrastructure projects worth US$90 billion and representing different project types, geographical regions, and historical periods, it is fou…

2013-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Empirical study finds variance swap rate is affine in spot variance for S&P500 data.

problem Investigating the relationship between variance swap rate and spot variance.
method Empirical analysis using S&P500 data from 2006-2018, testing different models.
result Affine relationship between variance swap rate and spot variance is supported.

This work analyzes the Gompertz-Pareto distribution (GPD) of personal income, formed by the combination of the Gompertz curve, representing the overwhelming majority of the economically less favorable part of the population of a country, and the Pareto power law, which describes its tiny richest part. Equations for the…

2010-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Random braids that are formed by multiplying randomly chosen permutation braids are studied by analyzing their behavior under Garside's weighted decomposition and cycling. Using this analysis, we propose a polynomial-time algorithm to the conjugacy problem that is successful for random braids in overwhelming probabilit…

2006-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The reparameterization trick is widely used in variational inference as it yields more accurate estimates of the gradient of the variational objective than alternative approaches such as the score function method. Although there is overwhelming empirical evidence in the literature showing its success, there is relative…

2018-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

We assume i.i.d. data sampled from a mixture distribution with K components along fixed d-dimensional linear subspaces and an additional outlier component. For p>0, we study the simultaneous recovery of the K fixed subspaces by minimizing the l_p-averaged distances of the sampled data points from any K subspaces. Under…

2011-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Logistic regression is by far the most widely used classifier in real-world applications. In this paper, we benchmark the state-of-the-art active learning methods for logistic regression and discuss and illustrate their underlying characteristics. Experiments are carried out on three synthetic datasets and 44 real-worl…

2016-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider two random group models: the hexagonal model and the square model, defined as the quotient of a free group by a random set of reduced words of length four and six respectively. Our first main result is that in this model there exists a sharp density threshold for Kazhdan's Property (T) and it equals 1/3. Ou…

2019-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Advanced optimization algorithms such as Newton method and AdaGrad benefit from second order derivative or second order statistics to achieve better descent directions and faster convergence rates. At their heart, such algorithms need to compute the inverse or inverse square root of a matrix whose size is quadratic of …

2018-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

We construct a financial "Turing test" to determine whether human subjects can differentiate between actual vs. randomized financial returns. The experiment consists of an online video-game (http://arora.ccs.neu.edu) where players are challenged to distinguish actual financial market returns from random temporal permut…

2010-02-24abs ↗pdf ↗

This study examines how market makers balance risk and impact in foreign exchange markets.

problem Balancing risk management with market impact in foreign exchange markets.
method An intermediate scenario approach considering both instantaneous and permanent market impact components.
result Transient market impact is more prevalent than previously thought, challenging traditional market impact models.

Progress in machine learning is measured by careful evaluation on problems of outstanding common interest. However, the proliferation of benchmark suites and environments, adversarial attacks, and other complications has diluted the basic evaluation model by overwhelming researchers with choices. Deliberate or accident…

2018-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances genetic programming for stock alpha discovery with warm start and structural constraints.

problem Overwhelming search space and computational burden in traditional genetic programming for alpha factor discovery.
method Proposes a new GP framework with warm start and structural constraints to enhance search performance and interpretability.
result Superior out-of-sample prediction results and higher portfolio returns compared to benchmarks.

Frank-Wolfe algorithm (FW) and its variants have gained a surge of interests in machine learning community due to its projection-free property. Recently people have reduced the gradient evaluation complexity of FW algorithm to log(1ε)\log(\frac{1}ε) for the smooth and strongly convex objective. This complexity result is esp…

2018-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Visualizing high-dimensional data has been a focus in data analysis communities for decades, which has led to the design of many algorithms, some of which are now considered references (such as t-SNE for example). In our era of overwhelming data volumes, the scalability of such methods have become more and more importa…

2017-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

t-distributed Stochastic Neighborhood Embedding (t-SNE), a clustering and visualization method proposed by van der Maaten & Hinton in 2008, has rapidly become a standard tool in a number of natural sciences. Despite its overwhelming success, there is a distinct lack of mathematical foundations and the inner workings of…

2017-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

LLMs translate natural language trading intents into correct option strategies using a domain-specific language.

problem Challenges in translating natural language trading intents into correct option strategies due to the complexity of option chain data.
method Introduce Option Query Language (OQL) as a domain-specific intermediate representation to abstract option markets into high-level primitives under grammatical rules. Use LLMs as semantic parsers and validate queries by an engine.
result Significantly improves execution accuracy and logical consistency over direct baselines.

Paper uses random projection to preserve subspace structure for efficient data analysis.

problem Efficiently analyzing data with low-dimensional structure.
method Compressed Subspace Learning (CSL) framework based on Johnson-Lindenstrauss property.
result Random projection preserves the UoS structure of data, enabling efficient analysis.

Proposes a self-paced multi-label learning method to handle diverse labels efficiently.

problem Learning from multi-label data with a large label space is NP-hard and prone to overfitting.
method Self-paced multi-label learning with diversity (SPMLD) approach, incorporating gradual label inclusion and diversity maintenance.
result The proposed SPMLD framework optimizes a non-convex objective function using block coordinate descent.

Network-based models predict user preferences for items like movies and research articles.

problem Filtering and delivering personalized advice for users with many available products.
method Network models based on group memberships, using Monte Carlo sampling and Expectation-Maximization methods.
result Network models outperform leading approaches for recommendation.

This work presents a fast and non-convex algorithm for robust subspace recovery. The data sets considered include inliers drawn around a low-dimensional subspace of a higher dimensional ambient space, and a possibly large portion of outliers that do not lie nearby this subspace. The proposed algorithm, which we refer t…

2014-06-24abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves reliability of selecting individuals based on predicted treatment effects.

problem Reliability of selecting individuals based on predicted conditional average treatment effects (CATE) is unreliable.
method Denoised Conformal Alignment, combining proxy errors, variance estimation, and Benjamini-Hochberg selection.
result Significantly improved power in selecting individuals while maintaining false discovery rate control.

Overwhelming majority of econometric models applied on a long term basis in the financial forex market do not work sufficiently well. The reason is that transaction costs and arbitrage opportunity are not included, as this does not simulate the real financial markets. Analyses are not conducted on the non equidistant d…

2015-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Large-scale distributed training of neural networks is often limited by network bandwidth, wherein the communication time overwhelms the local computation time. Motivated by the success of sketching methods in sub-linear/streaming algorithms, we introduce Sketched SGD, an algorithm for carrying out distributed SGD by c…

2019-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The majority of recommender systems are designed to recommend items (such as movies and products) to users. We focus on the problem of recommending buyers to sellers which comes with new challenges: (1) constraints on the number of recommendations buyers are part of before they become overwhelmed, (2) constraints on th…

2014-06-02abs ↗pdf ↗