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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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116232348464 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for output error decomposition

Proposes FOAGP for efficient orthogonal effect decomposition of black-box computer experiments.

problem Challenges in sensitivity analysis of black-box computer experiments with complex, nonlinear functional outputs.
method Functional-output orthogonal additive Gaussian process (FOAGP) with conditional orthogonality constraint.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in orthogonal effect decomposition and variance decomposition through simulations and real-world application.

We study distributed learning with the least squares regularization scheme in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). By a divide-and-conquer approach, the algorithm partitions a data set into disjoint data subsets, applies the least squares regularization scheme to each data subset to produce an output function, an…

2016-08-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves estimation under model misspecification with fake features.

problem Model misspecification with fake features.
method Proposes a framework to decompose output error into underlying, fake, and missing features.
result Fake features can significantly improve estimation performance, even when not correlated with underlying features.

New framework identifies and reduces errors in machine learning under distribution shift.

problem Errors in machine learning models when distributions change.
method Developed a principled framework to characterize and eliminate epistemic errors in imperfect multitask learning.
result Provided a decompositional epistemic error bound for general settings of distribution shift.

We present the Latent Sequence Decompositions (LSD) framework. LSD decomposes sequences with variable lengthed output units as a function of both the input sequence and the output sequence. We present a training algorithm which samples valid extensions and an approximate decoding algorithm. We experiment with the Wall …

2016-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Conditional diffusion models can approximate target distributions well with Gaussian-mixture reverse kernels.

problem Approximating target distributions in conditional diffusion models.
method Using finite Gaussian mixtures with ReLU-network logits as reverse kernels, reducing the problem to static conditional density approximation.
result The resulting neural reverse-kernel class is dense in conditional KL divergence under exact terminal matching.

Extreme classification problems are multiclass and multilabel classification problems where the number of outputs is so large that straightforward strategies are neither statistically nor computationally viable. One strategy for dealing with the computational burden is via a tree decomposition of the output space. Whil…

2015-11-10abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method optimizes knot selection for spline dimensional decomposition in stochastic dynamic analysis.

problem Challenges in uncertainty quantification for dynamical systems with non-smooth or oscillating nonlinear behaviors.
method Interpolation-based optimal knot selection method for SDD, improving accuracy and computational efficiency.
result SDD with proposed knot selection yields higher accuracy than other methods, as shown in a lower control arm example.

Researchers propose a new SSL risk decomposition method to evaluate and improve self-supervised learning models.

problem Self-supervised learning evaluation is limited to a single metric, providing little insight into model performance and improvement.
method Proposes an SSL risk decomposition that considers four error components: approximation, representation usability, probe generalization, and encoder generalization.
result Analysis of 169 SSL vision models reveals the main sources of error and provides insights for improving SSL models in specific settings.

This work improves tensor decomposition methods, especially for large datasets.

problem Lack of efficient methods for estimating Tucker decompositions.
method Applies Johnson-Lindenstrauss type guarantees to Tucker decompositions with random embeddings.
result Effective dimension reduction with minimal error for large tensors.

New method identifies key genes affecting phenotypes in biological systems.

problem Identifying genes that drive specific phenotypes in complex biological systems.
method Data-driven observability decomposition using Koopman operators.
result Koopman operator representation identifies genes that drive phenotypes.

Generalizes bias-variance decomposition for Bregman divergences.

problem No specific problem stated; generalization of bias-variance for Bregman divergences.
method Provided a generalization of the bias-variance decomposition for Bregman divergences.
result A clear, standalone derivation of the bias-variance decomposition for Bregman divergences.

A new approach to sensitivity analysis without the Sobol decomposition.

problem Traditional sensitivity indices like Sobol indices have limitations.
method Introducing sensitivity measures that generalize existing indices and define interaction effects.
result Sensitivity measures can create new indices and define interaction effects.

Existing feature selection methods fail to properly account for interactions between features when evaluating feature subsets. In this paper, we attempt to remedy this issue by using orthogonal variance decomposition to evaluate features. The orthogonality of the decomposition allows us to directly calculate the total …

2019-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper uncovers the mathematical structure enabling value decomposition in multi-agent systems.

problem Theoretical justification for why value decomposition works effectively in multi-agent systems remains underexplored.
method The paper introduces the concept of Markov entanglement to measure the underlying structure and demonstrates how it can be used to bound the decomposition error.
result The widely-used class of index policies is weakly entangled and enjoys a sublinear O(N)\mathcal O(\sqrt{N}) scale of decomposition error for NN-agent systems.

A novel double-space tensor-product RKHS framework for hybrid uncertainty sensitivity analysis.

problem Quantifying the influence of hybrid aleatory and epistemic uncertainties on high-dimensional system responses.
method A novel double-space tensor-product RKHS framework for sensitivity analysis under hybrid uncertainty.
result Concurrent double Möbius inversion orthogonally decomposes global dependence measure into pure aleatory effects, pure epistemic effects, and their interaction contributions.

Bias - variance decomposition of the expected error defined for regression and classification problems is an important tool to study and compare different algorithms, to find the best areas for their application. Here the decomposition is introduced for the survival analysis problem. In our experiments, we study bias -…

2011-09-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Study clarifies Bayesian generalization error in CBM for 3-layered linear neural networks.

problem Understanding the generalization error in concept bottleneck models.
method Mathematical analysis of Bayesian generalization error and free energy in CBM for 3-layered linear neural networks.
result CBM significantly alters the parameter region and Bayesian generalization error compared to standard models.

Proposes neural dynamic mode decomposition for end-to-end modeling of nonlinear dynamics.

problem Understanding and modeling nonlinear dynamical systems.
method Trains neural networks to minimize forecast error based on spectral decomposition in the lifted space.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in eigenvalue estimation and forecast performance.

Paper proposes diagnostics for error and variance estimation in randomized matrix computations.

problem Safe use of randomized matrix algorithms in applications.
method Leave-one-out error estimator and jackknife resampling method.
result Provides rapid diagnostics to assess quality of randomized matrix computations.

Study efficient neural operator learning using variation spaces.

problem Operator learning using encoder-decoder neural networks.
method Introduce variation space for nonlinear operators, establish approximation bounds.
result Algebraic approximation and learning rates for polynomially decaying input and output encoding errors.

New bounds for transfer learning in linear models, improving generalization.

problem Understanding when auxiliary data helps in improving generalization in linear models.
method Derivation of exact error bounds and optimal task weights for linear regression and linear neural networks.
result First non-vacuous sufficient conditions for beneficial auxiliary learning in linear neural networks.

Unified framework for high-dimensional online learning with non-divergent error bounds and adaptive gains.

problem Divergence of error bounds in high-dimensional online learning as data batches increase.
method Asynchronous decomposition framework with summary statistics and dynamic regularization.
result Non-divergent error bounds and adaptive gains in sparse online optimization.

Topic models are Bayesian models that are frequently used to capture the latent structure of certain corpora of documents or images. Each data element in such a corpus (for instance each item in a collection of scientific articles) is regarded as a convex combination of a small number of vectors corresponding to `topic…

2018-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper bounds the mean absolute error in DNN vector-to-vector regression.

problem Bounding the mean absolute error in deep neural network based vector-to-vector regression.
method Error decomposition techniques in statistical learning theory and non-convex optimization theory were used to derive upper bounds for approximation, estimation, and optimization errors.
result Theoretical upper bounds for mean absolute error in DNN vector-to-vector regression were derived and validated experimentally.

A new decomposition explains over-parameterized models' counterintuitive behaviors.

problem Understanding predictive error in over-parameterized models.
method Introducing the Generalized Aliasing Decomposition (GAD) to explain predictive performance.
result The GAD decomposes predictive error into three parts: model insufficiency, data insufficiency, and generalized aliasing.

Paper identifies latent factors from noisy measurements using tensor decomposition.

problem Identification of latent factors from noisy, correlated measurements.
method Tensor decomposition of third order cross moments, Kruskal theorem, Kotlarski identity, generalized Kruskal rank.
result Full distribution of latent factors and measurement errors identified without injective measurements.

WaveLSFormer learns profitable trading policies from financial time series data.

problem Challenges in learning profitable intraday trading policies from financial time series data.
method WaveLSFormer uses a learnable wavelet-based long-short Transformer to jointly perform multi-scale decomposition and return-oriented decision learning.
result WaveLSFormer consistently outperforms MLP, LSTM, and Transformer backbones in trading performance.