Unified framework for output analysis using Monte Carlo sampling.
problem Accurately assess the quality of estimated values in predictive models.
method Unified output analysis framework through Monte Carlo sampling, leveraging fast iterative bootstrap sampling and higher-order influence functions.
result Clear advantage in building more robust confidence intervals with higher coverage probability.
Reverse sensitivity analysis for risk models under various stresses.
problem Understanding model changes under output stress.
method Deriving the closest stressed distribution and model parameters.
result Numerically efficient method for calculating stressed model.
A new method reduces both input and output dimensions for better goal-oriented analysis.
problem Simultaneous reduction of input and output dimensions for more accurate analysis.
method Coupled input-output dimension reduction, optimizing gradient-based bounds.
result Determine most informative sensors and influential parameters efficiently.
Paper improves generalization bounds for structured output prediction problems.
problem Large label sets in structured output prediction problems.
method Developed novel high-probability bounds and generalization bounds in expectation.
result Significantly improved generalization bounds with logarithmic dependency on label set size.
We present a novel approach for learning an HMM whose outputs are distributed according to a parametric family. This is done by {\em decoupling} the learning task into two steps: first estimating the output parameters, and then estimating the hidden states transition probabilities. The first step is accomplished by fit…
Proposes FOAGP for efficient orthogonal effect decomposition of black-box computer experiments.
problem Challenges in sensitivity analysis of black-box computer experiments with complex, nonlinear functional outputs.
method Functional-output orthogonal additive Gaussian process (FOAGP) with conditional orthogonality constraint.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in orthogonal effect decomposition and variance decomposition through simulations and real-world application.
LLMs produce volatile sentence-level sentiment classifications that affect financial decision-making.
problem Volatile outputs from LLMs impact financial text understanding tasks.
method Case study on US equity market investing via news sentiment analysis.
result Volatile LLM outputs lead to significant variations in portfolio construction and returns.
We develop a method for quantile-based sensitivity analysis in models with discontinuities.
problem Uncertainty in interpreting discontinuous models using traditional derivatives.
method Quantile-based derivatives for discontinuous models with discrete inputs.
result Derivatives of quantile-based outputs are well-defined and provide meaningful insights.
Study assesses consistency and reproducibility of LLMs in finance and accounting tasks.
problem Consistency and reproducibility of LLM outputs in finance and accounting research.
method Extensive experimentation with 50 independent runs across 5 tasks using 3 OpenAI models.
result Task-specific patterns of consistency and reproducibility, with binary classification and sentiment analysis achieving near-perfect reproducibility.
Package provides sensitivity analysis for neural networks.
problem Understanding how input variables affect neural network predictions.
method Partial derivatives method to calculate sensitivities.
result Allows evaluation of variable importance and input-output relationships.
Bayesian kernel regression improves functional output prediction.
problem Functional output regression in supervised learning.
method Kernel methods, leveraging covariance structure within function values.
result Enhanced prediction accuracy and handling of high-dimensional nonlinearity.
Proposes a method for evaluating multiple dimensions of organizational effectiveness using DEA.
problem Evaluating multiple dimensions of organizational effectiveness in large data sets.
method Introduces two regularized DEA models (SBM and GP-SBM) to estimate both dimension-specific and aggregate efficiency scores.
result Demonstrates improved efficiency and validity compared to conventional methods.
Proposes GPLFR for predicting high-dimensional outputs with few data.
problem Predicting high-dimensional outputs from limited data.
method GPLFR combines Gaussian process and linear-Gaussian decoding for high-dimensional prediction.
result GPLFR outperforms existing methods in predicting high-dimensional outputs.
Reduced-rank method improves least-squares regression under output regularity.
problem Least-squares regression with infinite dimensional outputs.
method Reduced-rank method for solving least-squares problems with output regularity assumptions.
result Learning bounds and improved statistical performance compared to full-rank method.
Data mining techniques on the biological analysis are spreading for most of the areas including the health care and medical information. We have applied the data mining techniques, such as KNN, SVM, MLP or decision trees over a unique dataset, which is collected from 16,380 analysis results for a year. Furthermore we h…
Automatically identifies geometric flat outputs for robotic systems.
problem Lack of systematic and practical means to identify flat outputs for arbitrary robotic systems.
method Casts the search for a globally valid, equivariant flat output as an optimization problem using Riemannian geometry, Lie group theory, and differential forms.
result Approximate transcription of continuum formulation to a quadratic program achieves precise agreement with known closed-form flat outputs.
Recently, neural networks in machine learning use rectified linear units (ReLUs) in early processing layers for better performance. Training these structures sometimes results in "dying ReLU units" with near-zero outputs. We first explore this condition via simulation using the CIFAR-10 dataset and variants of two popu…
A novel double-space tensor-product RKHS framework for hybrid uncertainty sensitivity analysis.
problem Quantifying the influence of hybrid aleatory and epistemic uncertainties on high-dimensional system responses.
method A novel double-space tensor-product RKHS framework for sensitivity analysis under hybrid uncertainty.
result Concurrent double Möbius inversion orthogonally decomposes global dependence measure into pure aleatory effects, pure epistemic effects, and their interaction contributions.
Cohort analysis speeds up Bitcoin blockchain data queries.
problem Efficiently querying Bitcoin blockchain data for economic insights.
method Cohort analysis applied to Bitcoin transaction data.
result Creation of datasets and visualizations for key Bitcoin transaction indicators.
Proposes SHORE model for efficient MOR with sparsity and scalability.
problem Challenges of interpretability and scalability in MOR with high-dimensional outputs.
method Incorporates sparsity requirements and a two-stage optimization framework for efficient compression.
result Theoretical and empirical validation of the proposed framework's efficiency and accuracy.
Safe active learning for multi-output Gaussian processes reduces data acquisition costs and ensures safety.
problem Expensive data acquisition and safety concerns in multi-output regression problems.
method Proposes a safe active learning approach considering data informativeness and safety constraints.
result Improved convergence compared to competitors on simulated and real-world datasets.
A new algorithm estimates output ranges for deep neural networks efficiently.
problem Estimating output ranges in deep neural networks with complex non-linearities.
method Integrates Simulated Annealing tailored for constrained domains and global optima.
result Guaranteed convergence and robust performance across various DNN architectures.
DBPA assesses LLM perturbations using frequentist hypothesis testing.
problem Quantifying input perturbation impacts on LLM outputs.
method DBPA reformulates perturbation analysis as frequentist hypothesis testing, using Monte Carlo sampling for empirical null and alternative distributions.
result DBPA provides interpretable p-values and scalar effect sizes for LLM perturbations.
Symmetry groups of PDEs allow to transform solutions continuously into other solutions. In this paper, we use this property for the observability analysis of nonlinear PDEs with input and output. Based on a differential-geometric representation of the nonlinear system, we derive conditions for the existence of special …
The paper explores multidimensional critic output in GANs, improving convergence and diversity.
problem Underexplored in GANs literature, multidimensional critic output.
method Generalized Wasserstein GAN framework, SRVT block, maximal p-centrality discrepancy.
result High-dimensional critic output improves GAN performance in convergence and diversity.
This paper studies business cycle patterns in UK sectoral output. It analyzes the distinction between white noise processes and their non-white noise counterparts in the frequency domain and further examines the associated features and patterns for the process where white noise conditions are violated. The characterist…
VTA combines verbal and latent reasoning for accurate stock time-series forecasts.
problem Challenges in combining textual analysis with time-series data for financial forecasting.
method Converts stock price data into textual annotations, optimizes reasoning trace using inverse MSE, conditions time-series model outputs on reasoning attributes.
result VTA achieves state-of-the-art forecasting accuracy and interpretable reasoning traces.
Paper improves neural network robustness analysis for safety-critical systems.
problem Uncertainty in neural network outputs for safety-critical systems.
method Unified propagation and partition approaches to provide tighter bounds.
result Proposed algorithms give tighter bounds than existing methods for the same computation time.
New model handles complex output dependence in large datasets.
problem Complex output dependence in large datasets.
method Orthogonal Stochastic Linear Mixing Model (OSLMM) with Markov chain Monte Carlo inference.
result OSLMM reduces prediction error compared to state-of-the-art methods.
A new approach to sensitivity analysis without the Sobol decomposition.
problem Traditional sensitivity indices like Sobol indices have limitations.
method Introducing sensitivity measures that generalize existing indices and define interaction effects.
result Sensitivity measures can create new indices and define interaction effects.
Optimistic bounds for multi-output learning using self-bounding Lipschitz condition.
problem Learning vector-valued functions from supervised data.
method Introducing self-bounding Lipschitz condition and proving optimistic bounds using local Rademacher complexity and Srebro's inequality.
result Minimax optimal generalization bounds for multi-output learning, up to logarithmic factors.
Fast BATLLNN speeds up verification of TLL NNs by 400x.
problem Verifying output constraints for TLL NNs.
method Uses TLL architecture and decoupled box constraints to improve verification performance.
result 400x faster than state-of-the-art verifiers.
Algorithm identifies bilinear dynamical systems from noisy data.
problem Learning a realization of a partially observed bilinear dynamical system.
method Regression of outputs to highly correlated covariates for Markov-like parameters.
result High probability error bounds on identification algorithm under uniform stability assumption.
SSRCA simplifies ABM sensitivity analysis using machine learning.
problem Hardness of performing sensitivity analysis for complex ABMs.
method Machine learning pipeline (Simulate, Summarize, Reduce, Cluster, Analyze) for ABMs.
result SSRCA identifies sensitive parameters and common output patterns for ABMs.
We present an alternative to the pseudo-inverse method for determining the hidden to output weight values for Extreme Learning Machines performing classification tasks. The method is based on linear discriminant analysis and provides Bayes optimal single point estimates for the weight values.
This paper proposes a principled information theoretic analysis of classification for deep neural network structures, e.g. convolutional neural networks (CNN). The output of convolutional filters is modeled as a random variable Y conditioned on the object class C and network filter bank F. The conditional entropy (CENT…
Recent years have seen adversarial losses been applied to many fields. Their applications extend beyond the originally proposed generative modeling to conditional generative and discriminative settings. While prior work has proposed various output activation functions and regularization approaches, some open questions …
New bounds derived for machine learning algorithms using convex functions.
problem Bounding generalization error in machine learning.
method Using strongly convex functions and subgaussian loss tails, derived new generalization bounds.
result Generalization bounds can be derived using any strongly convex function of the joint input-output distribution.
Research reveals simplicity bias in random logistic map, impacting data analysis and forecasting.
problem Simplicity bias in dynamical systems and its impact on data analysis and prediction.
method Examined the logistic map and random logistic map, focusing on simplicity bias and noise effects.
result Simplicity bias is observable in the random logistic map, persisting even with small noise levels.
E2M predicts metric space outputs using deep learning.
problem Predicting non-Euclidean outputs like distributions and matrices.
method Weighted Fréchet means over learned weights.
result E2M achieves state-of-the-art performance across various outputs.
The exponential mechanism is a fundamental tool of Differential Privacy (DP) due to its strong privacy guarantees and flexibility. We study its extension to settings with summaries based on infinite dimensional outputs such as with functional data analysis, shape analysis, and nonparametric statistics. We show that one…
Study analyzes low-energy behavior of Schrödinger operators with Coulomb potentials.
problem Analyzing the limiting resolvent of Schrödinger operators at low energies.
method Using Vasy's second microlocal approach (Lagrangian approach), uniformly analyzing the resolvent from E=0. result Obtained oscillatory asymptotics for the resolvent output at low energy, differing from short-range cases.
Neural ODEs simplified using Chen-Fliess series for Rademacher complexity analysis.
problem Analyzing the complexity of neural ODE models.
method Using Chen-Fliess series to frame neural ODEs as infinite-width nets, where weights are signature of control input and features are Lie derivatives.
result Derived compact expressions for the Rademacher complexity of ODE models.
FGBoost boosts gradient boosting for complex data.
problem Gradient boosting struggles with non-Euclidean data.
method Introduces FGBoost for geodesic metric spaces.
result FGBoost performs well on complex data.
Operator-Valued Kernels (OVKs) and associated vector-valued Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces provide an elegant way to extend scalar kernel methods when the output space is a Hilbert space. Although primarily used in finite dimension for problems like multi-task regression, the ability of this framework to deal with i…
Batch Normalization (BN) techniques have been proposed to reduce the so-called Internal Covariate Shift (ICS) by attempting to keep the distributions of layer outputs unchanged. Experiments have shown their effectiveness on training deep neural networks. However, since only the first two moments are controlled in these…
Improved investment performance with fine-grained LLM tasks.
problem Abstract financial trading systems often overlook real-world workflow intricacies, leading to degraded performance.
method Proposes a multi-agent LLM trading framework that decomposes investment analysis into fine-grained tasks.
result Fine-grained task decomposition significantly improves risk-adjusted returns compared to coarse-grained designs.
In the context of machine learning, disparate impact refers to a form of systematic discrimination whereby the output distribution of a model depends on the value of a sensitive attribute (e.g., race or gender). In this paper, we propose an information-theoretic framework to analyze the disparate impact of a binary cla…