Predicts power outages duration using neural networks and text analysis.
problem Predicting duration of distribution system outages.
method Historical data for training neural networks, environmental factors for initial prediction, text analysis for updates.
result Improved performance with text analysis for identifying outage causes and repair steps.
Graph conformal prediction predicts future power outages with high confidence.
problem Accurately predicting future power outages to enable rapid recovery.
method Developed a graph conformal prediction method for quarter-hourly outage data.
result Graph conformal prediction method delivers accurate prediction regions for future outage numbers.
New method uses μPMU data to identify distribution grid line outages.
problem Limited performance of traditional outage detection methods in urban grids with DERs.
method Data-driven approach based on stochastic time series analysis from μPMU.
result μPMU data enables fast and accurate identification of line outages.
New method identifies distribution grid outages using smart meter data.
problem Outages in urban distribution grids due to DERs and smart meters' last gasp signals.
method Data-driven approach based on stochastic time series analysis and maximum likelihood estimation.
result Proves optimal performance in identifying distribution grid outages using smart meter data.
Paper predicts power outages due to vegetation using machine learning.
problem Predicting vegetation-related outages in power distribution systems.
method Unsupervised machine learning for area definition, time series and non-linear regression models for prediction.
result Successfully predicts vegetation-related outages using engineered features and various models.
New loss function reduces outage probability in ML-assisted resource allocation.
problem Minimizing outage probability in ML-assisted resource allocation systems.
method Developed a novel loss function and trained an ML model to address the outage probability challenge.
result Exact and asymptotic expressions for the system's outage probability were established.
Efficient method identifies multiple power grid outages in real-time.
problem Identifying simultaneous line outages in large power networks is computationally challenging.
method Developed a 'Learning-to-Infer' method to efficiently infer every line status.
result The method achieves excellent performance in identifying multi-line outages in real-time with minimal labeled data.
Graph Attention Networks predict power outage durations from natural disasters.
problem Accurately predicting power outage durations from geospatial and weather data.
method Graph Attention Networks (GAT) for semi-supervised learning.
result GAT model outperforms existing methods by 2% - 15% in accuracy.
Paper models cloud outages for cyber insurance stress-testing.
problem Cyber insurance portfolios' vulnerability to simultaneous cloud outages.
method Modeling and calibrating cloud-outage scenarios, measuring diversification.
result Cloud-outage diversification can protect against accumulation risk.
Study examines stock price reactions to Texas winter storm power outages.
problem Impact of natural disasters on stock market values.
method Used four benchmark models to measure abnormal returns.
result Firms experienced significant stock price drops after the Texas winter storm.
Study examines equity in post-Snow Uri recovery, finds disparities.
problem Disproportionate impacts on vulnerable populations during recovery.
method County and census tract level data analysis, satellite imagery, statistical procedures.
result Negative associations between non-Hispanic whites and outages, positive associations with certain demographic variables.
Paper proposes a method to train neural networks incrementally using cloud computing despite disconnections and resource outages.
problem Frequent disconnections and resource outages in cloud computing and local machines hinder deep learning model training.
method Introduces an incremental learning framework that allows continuous training of neural networks even with interruptions.
result Demonstrates that incremental learning can maintain progress and train neural networks effectively despite interruptions.
The paper studies calibration in ML models for wireless networks, showing key theoretical and practical insights.
problem Ensuring ML models in wireless networks deliver well-calibrated confidence scores for reliable decision-making.
method Theoretical analysis and simulation-based experiments using Platt scaling and isotonic regression.
result Well-calibrated models improve the system's minimum achievable OP and are part of a broader class of predictors.
RiskNet predicts penalties in unreliable communication networks using GNNs.
problem Predicting penalties in networks with unreliable resources.
method Graph Neural Network (GNN) based approach trained on random graphs.
result Precisely models penalties across various network topologies.
A digital euro protocol offers complete privacy and offline transactions using Groth-Sahai proofs.
problem Fragile digital payment solutions with privacy and offline transaction issues.
method Design and implementation of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) using Groth-Sahai zero-knowledge proofs.
result Complete privacy and offline transaction capability with retroactive double-spending detection.
New method quantifies resilience of electric distribution systems from historical data.
problem Large blackouts caused by extreme winds have significant costs and impacts.
method Formulate large event risk from utility outage data, quantify resilience improvements through investments.
result Investments in wind hardening and faster restoration can reduce the probability of large cost events.
Ebay uses forecasting and simulation to decide when to disable a vendor.
problem Determining the optimal time to disable a vendor to avoid customer loss.
method Data-driven approach involving multiplicative seasonality model, Monte Carlo simulation, and linear model.
result Identifies the best time to disable a vendor to minimize customer loss.
Locally Optimized Random Forests adapt to different data distributions.
problem Predicting at unlabeled points from a different distribution than training data.
method Combining random forests with weighted importance sampling based on likelihood ratio.
result Improves prediction accuracy for extreme events.
Distributed, controllable energy storage devices offer several benefits to electric power system operation. Three such benefits include reducing peak load, providing standby power, and enhancing power quality. These benefits, however, are only realized during peak load or during an outage, events that are infrequent. T…
Model equilibrium price in intraday electricity markets with uncertainty.
problem Formulate equilibrium model for intraday electricity trading with balancing constraints and uncertainty.
method Develop equilibrium model with agents' balancing constraints, forecasted consumption, production uncertainties, and Markov chain outages.
result Existence and uniqueness of equilibrium price as a martingale, with insights into price formation and impact of uncertainty.
The paper models intraday power prices using fundamental drivers.
problem Lack of research on drivers for intraday price processes.
method Modelling location, shape, and scale of intraday price distribution using fundamental variables.
result Significant improvements in probabilistic forecasting performance, especially in tails.
Dynamic cell-free networks reduce complexity in serving many devices with distributed APs and DRL.
problem Designing efficient cell-free networks with many devices and APs.
method Dynamic architecture, SIC, DAS, DRL for optimization.
result DRL significantly improves performance in dynamic cell-free networks.
Winterization of Texas power system profitable but risky, estimated at $11.74bn over 30 years.
problem Profitability and risk of winterizing Texas power system infrastructure.
method Combined temperature-dependent load and outage estimates over 71 years of climate data.
result Large-scale winterization of gas infrastructure and power plants is profitable, but risks are high due to low-frequency of cold spells.
GNNs are stable to small topology changes and distinguish high frequencies.
problem Impact of topology changes on GNN outputs.
method Permutation equivariance, integral Lipschitz filters, frequency mixing.
result GNNs are stable to small topology changes and distinguish high frequencies.
Poor economies face frequent disruptions that trap them in producing simpler goods.
problem Frequent disruptions in poor economies prevent them from producing complex goods.
method Modeling an evolving input-output network with optimizing agents that adapt to disruptions.
result A poverty trap emerges where disruptions persist despite agents producing simpler goods.
A robust model handles up to 25% of outliers in time-series data for power flow calculations.
problem Handling outliers in time-series data for accurate power flow calculations.
method Robust data-driven process model with Schweppe-type generalized maximum likelihood estimator and projection statistics for outlier weighting.
result The model can handle up to 25% of outliers in the training data set.
EGFC learns from streaming data to classify power quality disturbances.
problem Real-time detection and classification of power quality disturbances.
method Evolving Gaussian Fuzzy Classification (EGFC) framework with semi-supervised learning.
result Encouraging classification results from online data streams.
New RL approach optimizes resource allocation in multiservice networks.
problem Optimizing resource allocation in multiservice wireless systems with QoS constraints.
method Distributed deep reinforcement learning for non-convex optimization.
result Near optimal performance in terms of throughput and outage rate.
New pricing framework allocates costs of operating reserves and transmission.
problem Allocating costs of operating reserves and transmission efficiently.
method Causation-based framework using contingency-constrained scheduling models.
result More comprehensive and efficient cost-reflective market operations.
This work improves communication efficiency in federated learning over wireless networks by optimizing energy consumption.
problem Optimizing energy consumption in federated learning over wireless networks.
method Adopting SignSGD for gradient sign exchange, considering channel capacity with outage, and proposing a stochastic sign-based algorithm for uneven data distribution.
result Proposed methods achieve a balance between learning performance and energy consumption.
In this paper, we present a probabilistic numerical algorithm combining dynamic programming, Monte Carlo simulations and local basis regressions to solve non-stationary optimal multiple switching problems in infinite horizon. We provide the rate of convergence of the method in terms of the time step used to discretize …
Proposes a neural network for efficient imbalance electricity price forecasting.
problem Accurate and efficient imbalance electricity price forecasting in industrial energy trading systems.
method Market-rule-informed neural network framework.
result The proposed model achieves competitive forecasting performance with fewer parameters and shorter training time.
A new machine learning framework reduces IoT data transfer by two orders of magnitude.
problem Reducing data transfer in IoT devices over wireless channels.
method Developed a machine learning framework for distributed functional compression over GMAC and AWGN channels.
result The framework reduces communication by two orders of magnitude compared to cloud-based methods.
Optimizes intraday electricity trading to minimize costs.
problem Minimizing costs in intraday electricity trading.
method Derives an optimal model considering order book depth, time to delivery, and trading regimes.
result Optimal execution strategies have a significant monetary impact.
Improved GP model forecasts wireless demand extremes with better uncertainty quantification.
problem Forecasting extreme wireless demand spikes and troughs for network optimization.
method Designed a feature embedding kernel for Gaussian Process models.
result 32% reduction in short-term extreme value prediction error vs. S-ARIMA.
Paper tackles BA in dual-band systems using ML.
problem Choosing the best frequency band for communication in dual-band systems.
method Formulated as binary classification problem, proposed supervised ML solutions.
result Analytical and Viterbi Algorithm-based solutions for directional BA.
Semi-decentralized federated learning combines device-to-server and device-to-device communications for faster convergence.
problem Faster convergence in federated learning with decentralized model training.
method Two timescale hybrid federated learning (TT-HF) with cooperative D2D model aggregations.
result Achieves sublinear convergence rate of O(1/t) with adaptive control algorithm.
CDSA uses self-attention to impute missing values in multivariate, geo-tagged time series data.
problem Missing values in multivariate, geo-tagged time series data.
method Cross-Dimensional Self-Attention (CDSA) for sequence modeling across time, location, and sensor measurements.
result CDSA outperforms state-of-the-art methods in imputation and forecasting on real-world datasets.
Casper uses causal graph neural networks to improve spatiotemporal time series imputation.
problem Imputing missing values in spatiotemporal time series with confounders and non-causal correlations.
method Casper introduces a novel Prompt Based Decoder (PBD) and Spatiotemporal Causal Attention (SCA) to block confounders and discover causal relationships.
result Casper outperforms baselines and effectively discovers causal relationships in spatiotemporal time series imputation.
AI model enhances grid monitoring with synchro-waveform tech.
problem Dynamic, stochastic, low-inertia future grids need advanced monitoring.
method AI Foundation Model with synchro-waveform tech.
result Significantly improved fault detection accuracy and speed.
Proposes a framework to handle missing data in traffic forecasting with sensor blackouts.
problem Missing data in traffic forecasting due to sensor blackouts, especially when correlated with traffic conditions.
method Latent state-space framework that models traffic dynamics and sensor dropout probabilities.
result Improves traffic forecasting by reducing blackout imputation RMSE from 7.02 to 4.23, with MNAR modeling providing additional gains.