New framework infers causal shifts in event sequences under out-of-domain interventions.
problem Inferring causal relationships in event sequences without considering out-of-domain interventions.
method Proposes a new causal framework to define ATE, designs an unbiased ATE estimator, and uses a Transformer-based neural network model.
result Demonstrates superior performance in ATE estimation and goodness-of-fit under out-of-domain-augmented point processes.
Enhances adversarial robustness with unlabeled out-of-domain data.
problem Improving robustness of models against adversarial attacks.
method Leveraging unlabeled data from multiple domains to bridge the sample complexity gap in adversarial robustness.
result Better adversarial robustness achieved when unlabeled data comes from a shifted domain.
Researchers use human-in-the-loop to create counterfactually augmented data, improving model performance.
problem Creating ML models less reliant on spurious patterns in NLP datasets.
method A human-in-the-loop process to curate counterfactually augmented data (CAD), prohibiting unnecessary edits.
result Models trained on CAD appear to rely less on semantically irrelevant words and generalize better out of domain.
Valid certifies LLMs' domain adherence, bounding out-of-domain behavior.
problem Adversarial susceptibility of LLMs to generate out-of-domain outputs.
method VALID approach providing adversarial bounds as a certificate.
result Validates LLMs' domain adherence with meaningful certificates.
CMLE reduces spurious correlations in deep models.
problem Spurious correlations in deep learning models.
method Counterfactual Maximum Likelihood Estimation (CMLE) on interventional distribution.
result CMLE outperforms regular MLE in out-of-domain generalization and spurious correlation reduction.
Framework uses unlabeled out-of-domain data to improve semi-supervised classification.
problem Improving generalization in semi-supervised classification problems.
method Combines Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) with self-supervised training.
result Significant improvement in generalization error compared to ERM.
Enhances out-of-domain calibration of neural networks.
problem Improving calibration performance of deep neural networks in out-of-domain settings.
method Consistency-guided temperature scaling (CTS) that considers style and content consistency.
result Significantly enhances out-of-domain calibration performance.
Out-of-domain (OOD) detection for low-resource text classification is a realistic but understudied task. The goal is to detect the OOD cases with limited in-domain (ID) training data, since we observe that training data is often insufficient in machine learning applications. In this work, we propose an OOD-resistant Pr…
SSMBA generates synthetic data to improve robustness in natural language tasks.
problem Improving out-of-domain generalization of models trained on natural language data.
method SSMBA uses corruption and reconstruction functions to generate synthetic data points on the manifold assumption.
result SSMBA consistently outperforms existing methods on robustness benchmarks across multiple tasks and datasets.
Gradient boosting can be seen as Gaussian process inference.
problem Improving uncertainty estimates in out-of-domain detection.
method Gradient boosting reformulated as a kernel method converging to Gaussian process inference.
result Gradient boosting can provide better uncertainty estimates through Monte-Carlo estimation of posterior variance.
Proposes a measure to predict generalization in non-matching environments.
problem Characterizing and comparing generalization of machine learning models in non-matching environments.
method Neighborhood invariance measure, calculating invariance as the largest fraction of transformed points classified into the same class.
result Strong and robust correlation between neighborhood invariance and actual out-of-domain generalization.
CEBMs learn flexible latent mappings from data.
problem Learning flexible latent mappings from data.
method CEBMs decompose joint density into tractable posterior over latent variables.
result CEBMs achieve competitive results in image modeling and latent space predictive power.
New method improves domain generalization by matching object representations.
problem Existing domain generalization methods fail to generalize to unseen domains.
method Proposes matching-based algorithms to match object representations across domains.
result MatchDG algorithm matches ground-truth object representations and improves out-of-domain accuracy.
Transformers can learn new tasks from diverse pretraining data but struggle with out-of-domain tasks.
problem Transformer models' ability to learn new tasks in-context is limited by their pretraining data coverage.
method Investigation of transformer models trained on (x,f(x)) pairs, comparing in-context learning capabilities across different task families. result Transformers can identify and learn within task families in their pretraining data but fail with out-of-domain tasks.
Method combines LD and Fermat Distance for neural network uncertainty.
problem Measuring uncertainty in neural network predictions.
method Statistical Depth (LD) combined with Fermat Distance.
result Effective uncertainty estimation without impacting original model performance.
fAux tests individual fairness without domain knowledge or out-of-domain samples.
problem Testing for individual fairness in machine learning models.
method Derivative comparison between model predictions and auxiliary model predictions.
result Effectively identifies discrimination on synthetic and real-world datasets.
The Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is a hospital department where machine learning has the potential to provide valuable assistance in clinical decision making. Classical machine learning models usually only provide point-estimates and no uncertainty of predictions. In practice, uncertain predictions should be presented to …
AFTER technique improves NLP models by preventing overfitting to task-specific domains.
problem Standard fine-tuning degrades pretraining domain representations.
method Complements task-specific loss with adversarial objective.
result AFTER leads to improved performance on various NLP tasks.
Estimates joint causal effects using single-variable interventions on nonlinear models.
problem Estimating joint causal effects from single-variable interventions.
method Identifiability result and practical estimator for decomposing causal effects.
result Joint effects can be inferred without joint interventional data for nonlinear additive models.
The performance of a Part-of-speech (POS) tagger is highly dependent on the domain ofthe processed text, and for many domains there is no or only very little training data available. This work addresses the problem of POS tagging noisy user-generated text using a neural network. We propose an architecture that trains a…
This paper tackles CRL for multi-node interventions, achieving identifiability guarantees.
problem CRL under unknown multi-node interventions, focusing on single-node assumptions.
method Establishes identifiability results for general latent causal models under stochastic interventions.
result Identifiability up to ancestors using soft interventions, perfect identifiability using hard interventions.
We compare features for dynamic time warping (DTW) when used to bootstrap keyword spotting (KWS) in an almost zero-resource setting. Such quickly-deployable systems aim to support United Nations (UN) humanitarian relief efforts in parts of Africa with severely under-resourced languages. Our objective is to identify aco…
This work tackles causal graph discovery with stochastic interventions to minimize the number of interventions.
problem Discovering the true causal graph from observational data with limited interventions.
method Proposes a stochastic intervention model and studies verification and search problems with approximation algorithms.
result Provides approximation algorithms with competitive ratios for verification and search problems.
Causal diagrams based on do intervention are useful tools to formalize, process and understand causal relationship among variables. However, the do intervention has controversial interpretation of causal questions for non-manipulable variables, and it also lacks the power to check the conditions related to counterfactu…
This research formalizes inductive generalization and proposes a new learning paradigm called Inductive Learning.
problem Generalization from easy to hard tasks, especially out-of-domain generalization.
method Formalizes inductive generalization, introduces Inductive Learning, and outlines steps to adapt techniques for learning model successors.
result A new learning paradigm (Inductive Learning) that emphasizes induction and universal properties of learning and computation.
Our goal is to identify beneficial interventions from observational data. We consider interventions that are narrowly focused (impacting few covariates) and may be tailored to each individual or globally enacted over a population. For applications where harmful intervention is drastically worse than proposing no change…
Paper proposes scalable algorithm to estimate intervention targets in linear models.
problem Estimating intervention targets in linear models from observational and interventional data.
method The paper proposes a scalable algorithm that estimates intervention sites from the difference between precision matrices of observational and interventional datasets.
result The algorithm consistently identifies all intervention targets and updates observational Markov equivalence classes to interventional ones.
The paper tackles extrapolation in extreme regions of regression problems.
problem Extrapolation on the tails of covariates in continuous regression problems.
method Statistical regression on a subsample of furthest observations, focusing on their angular components, using multivariate regular variation theory.
result Quantifies predictive performance on tail regions in terms of excess risk, presenting it as a finite sample risk bound with a bias-variance decomposition.
New method disentangles mixed interventional and observational data in SEMs.
problem Learning causal relationships from mixed interventional and observational data.
method Developed a method to disentangle mixed interventional and observational data in linear SEMs with Gaussian noise.
result The method can identify causal graphs up to their interventional Markov Equivalence Class.
The paper presents a method to estimate joint interventional distributions from marginal interventional data.
problem Estimating joint interventional distributions from marginal interventional data.
method The paper extends the Causal Maximum Entropy method to use interventional data and employs Lagrange duality to prove the solution lies in the exponential family.
result The method allows for causal feature selection and inference of joint interventional distributions.
Bayesian method for causal discovery from unknown general interventions.
problem Learning causal DAGs from unknown interventions that modify parent sets.
method Bayesian approach with MCMC for approximating posterior DAGs and intervention targets.
result Bayesian method can identify DAGs and intervention targets up to equivalence classes.
Interventional data helps identify latent factors without distributional assumptions.
problem Identifying latent factors from interventional data without distributional assumptions.
method Leveraging geometric signatures of latent factors' support from interventional data.
result Latent causal factors can be identified up to permutation and scaling given data from perfect do-interventions.
IntDC framework uncovers causal relationships from non-interventional data.
problem Detecting causal relationships in non-interventional complex systems.
method Interventional Embedding Entropy (IEE) for causal strength measurement.
result IEE accurately finds causal edges and quantifies causal strength robustly.
Algorithm detects causal change points quickly with adaptive interventions.
problem Detecting changes in causal models with interventions.
method Centralization technique, Kullback-Leibler divergence for intervention selection, adaptive intervention policy.
result Theoretical first-order optimality and validation through simulations and real-world studies.
Method learns causal effects from multiple interventions in presence of unobserved confounders.
problem Disentangling causal effects from sets of interventions in the presence of unobserved confounders.
method Non-linear structural causal models with additive, multivariate Gaussian noise; algorithm that learns causal model parameters by pooling data from different regimes and maximizing combined likelihood.
result Identification proofs demonstrate that causal effects of single interventions can be learned from sets of interventions, even with unobserved confounders.
New algorithms improve causal graph discovery with adaptive interventions, even under worst-case interventional costs.
problem Discover causal relationships from data with adaptive interventions and node-dependent costs.
method Define new benchmarks and provide adaptive search algorithms for causal graph discovery.
result Logarithmic approximations achieved under various settings: atomic, bounded size interventions and generalized cost objectives.
We address the problem of optimal Central Bank intervention in the exchange rate market when interventions create feedback in the rate dynamics. In particular, we extend the work done on optimal impulse control by Cadenillas and Zapatero to incorporate temporary market reactions, of random duration and level, to Bank i…
GIT uses gradient estimators to target interventions for causal discovery.
problem Challenges in inferring causal structure from observational data.
method GIT uses gradient estimators to target interventions for causal discovery.
result GIT performs on par with competitive baselines, surpassing them in low-data regimes.
Paper relaxes faithfulness assumption for causal discovery using interventions.
problem Violation of faithfulness assumption in natural systems leads to incorrect causal structure identification.
method Use intervention-immediacy faithfulness assumption to identify causal structures with hard interventions.
result Interventions contain information about causal structure that can identify causal structures when faithfulness is violated.
FMI uses matching to mimic interventions for causal feature learning.
problem Challenges in causal discovery from observational data.
method Feature Matching Intervention (FMI) using matching to emulate perfect interventions.
result FMI outperforms in identifying causal features from observational data.
BaCaDI discovers causal structures from unknown interventions.
problem Inferring causal structures from unknown interventions with limited data.
method Bayesian framework with gradient-based variational inference.
result BaCaDI outperforms related methods in identifying causal structures and intervention targets.
Graph-coupled causal Bayesian optimization transfers information across related interventions.
problem Optimizing expensive systems where interventions are costly and causal effects are confounded.
method Ties intervention effects together through shared causal parameters, improving estimation.
result Information-gain and regret bounds show improved performance with shared mechanisms.
The paper tackles matching a desired mean in causal systems through shift interventions.
problem Matching a desired mean in causal systems.
method Defining Markov equivalence classes, proposing active learning strategies, deriving lower bounds.
result Proposed active learning strategies require fewer interventions than previous approaches, especially for certain graph classes.
Intervention loss stabilizes GAN training and reduces mode collapse.
problem Stabilizing GAN training and mitigating mode collapse.
method Intervention loss regularization term introduced into GAN objective.
result Improved GAN training stability and reduced mode collapse.
Model identifies causal structure from paired observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.
problem Identifying causal structure from observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.
method Proposes a scalable causal discovery model that aggregates subset-level PDAGs and applies contrastive cross-regime orientation rules.
result The model asymptotically recovers the identifiable PDAG and can orient additional edges compared to non-contrastive subset-restricted methods.
Introduces CStrees for modeling context-specific causal models from observational and interventional data.
problem Modeling context-specific causal relationships from mixed data types.
method Introduces CStrees with a novel factorization criterion and graphical characterization for context-specific conditional independence models.
result Derives a graphical characterization of model equivalence for observational CStrees and extends it to CStree models under context-specific interventions.
New algorithm reduces interventional strategy complexity for causal graph discovery.
problem Designing efficient interventional strategies for causal graph discovery.
method Developed an r-adaptive algorithm for causal graph discovery that minimizes the number of interventions.
result Achieved an approximation of O(min{r, log n} * n^{1/min{r, log n}}) for the verification number.
New approach to counterfactual reasoning avoids demographic interventions.
problem Limitations of traditional counterfactual reasoning in AI systems.
method Backtracking counterfactual approach instead of interventional.
result Allows addressing social concerns without demographic interventions.