A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Negative step sizes improve second-order methods for neural networks.
SGD's performance improves with critical batch size, minimizing SFO complexity.
Improved queue-reactive model considers order sizes for better market simulation.
We study the analytical properties of a one-side order book model in which the flows of limit and market orders are Poisson processes and the distribution of lifetimes of cancelled orders is exponential. Although simplistic, the model provides an analytical tractability that should not be overlooked. Using basic result…
A novel Hawkes Process model captures order sizes in LOBs, improving fit quality and market impact studies.
Statistical properties of an order book and the effect they have on price dynamics were studied using the high-frequency NASDAQ Level II data. It was observed that the size distribution of marketable orders (transaction sizes) has power law tails with an exponent 1+mu_{market}=2.4 \pm 0.1. The distribution of limit ord…
We study the statistical regularities of opening call auction using the ultra-high-frequency data of 22 liquid stocks traded on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2003. The distribution of the relative price, defined as the relative difference between the order price in opening call auction and the closing price of last tr…
Large-scale distributed training of deep neural networks suffer from the generalization gap caused by the increase in the effective mini-batch size. Previous approaches try to solve this problem by varying the learning rate and batch size over epochs and layers, or some ad hoc modification of the batch normalization. W…
Improved robustness in optimization methods using second-order information.
We provide an empirical investigation aimed at uncovering the statistical properties of intricate stock trading networks based on the order flow data of a highly liquid stock (Shenzhen Development Bank) listed on Shenzhen Stock Exchange during the whole year of 2003. By reconstructing the limit order book, we can extra…
We look at the effect of the tick size changes on the TOPIX 100 index names made by the Tokyo Stock Exchange on Jan-14-2014 and Jul-22-2104. The intended consequence of the change is price improvement and shorter time to execution. We look at security level metrics that include the spread, trading volume, number of tra…
We show that multivariate Hawkes processes coupled with the nonparametric estimation procedure first proposed in Bacry and Muzy (2015) can be successfully used to study complex interactions between the time of arrival of orders and their size, observed in a limit order book market. We apply this methodology to high-fre…
Optimistic method adapted for faster convex-concave min-max problems.
We examine the correlation of the limit price with the order book, when a limit order comes. We analyzed the Rebuild Order Book of Stock Exchange Electronic Trading Service, which is the centralized order book market of London Stock Exchange. As a result, the limit price is broadly distributed around the best price acc…
Most modern financial markets use a continuous double auction mechanism to store and match orders and facilitate trading. In this paper we develop a microscopic dynamical statistical model for the continuous double auction under the assumption of IID random order flow, and analyze it using simulation, dimensional analy…
We introduce a Markovian single point process model, with random intensity regulated through a buffer mechanism and a self-exciting effect controlling the arrival stream to the buffer. The model applies the principle of the Hawkes process in which point process jumps generate a shot-noise intensity field. Unlike the Ha…
Improved method finds second-order stationary points privately with better efficiency.
This paper studies the Glosten Milgrom model whose risky asset value admits an arbitrary discrete distribution. Contrast to existing results on insider's models, the insider's optimal strategy in this model, if exists, is not of feedback type. Therefore a weak formulation of equilibrium is proposed. In this weak formul…
The study examines order flow in financial markets using fractional Lévy stable motion.
Muon optimizes training efficiency by improving data retention at large batch sizes.
Large-scale distributed training of deep neural networks results in models with worse generalization performance as a result of the increase in the effective mini-batch size. Previous approaches attempt to address this problem by varying the learning rate and batch size over epochs and layers, or ad hoc modifications o…
We propose a method for detection and prediction of native and synthetic iceberg orders on Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Native (managed by the exchange) icebergs are detected using discrepancies between the resting volume of an order and the actual trade size as indicated by trade summary messages, as well as by tracki…
Enhances queue-reactive model for realistic limit order book simulation.
The second order method as Newton Step is a suitable technique in Online Learning to guarantee regret bound. The large data is a challenge in Newton method to store second order matrices as hessian. In this paper, we have proposed an modified online Newton step that store first and second order matrices of dimension m …
This paper studies a limit order book (LOB) model, in which the order dynamics depend on both, the current best available prices and the current volume density functions. For the joint dynamics of the best bid price, the best ask price, and the standing volume densities on both sides of the LOB we derive a weak law of …
New method reduces ensemble size for linear bandits, achieving near optimal regret.
The trade size has direct impact on the price formation of the stock traded. Econophysical analyses of transaction data for the US and Australian stock markets have uncovered market-specific scaling laws, where a master curve of price impact can be obtained in each market when stock capitalization is included a…
A tick size is the smallest increment of a security price. It is clear that at the shortest time scale on which individual orders are placed the tick size has a major role which affects where limit orders can be placed, the bid-ask spread, etc. This is the realm of market microstructure and there is a vast literature o…
This paper investigates the scaling dependencies between measures of "activity" and of "size" for companies included in the FTSE 100. The "size" of companies is measured by the total market capitalization. The "activity" is measured with several quantities related to trades (transaction value per trade, transaction val…
We investigate the statistical properties of the EBS order book for the EUR/USD and USD/JPY currency pairs and the impact of a ten-fold tick size reduction on its dynamics. A large fraction of limit orders are still placed right at or halfway between the old allowed prices. This generates price barriers where the best …
Single-site Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a variant of MCMC in which a single coordinate in the state space is modified in each step. Structured relational models are a good candidate for this style of inference. In the single-site context, second order methods become feasible because the typical cubic costs assoc…
A new method for faster optimization of noisy functions.
Recent empirical studies have demonstrated long-memory in the signs of orders to buy or sell in financial markets [2, 19]. We show how this can be caused by delays in market clearing. Under the common practice of order splitting, large orders are broken up into pieces and executed incrementally. If the size of such lar…
Study shows market quality improves with larger orders, not smaller tick sizes or higher trading frequencies.
Mini-batch stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and variants thereof approximate the objective function's gradient with a small number of training examples, aka the batch size. Small batch sizes require little computation for each model update but can yield high-variance gradient estimates, which poses some challenges for…
Using the classification of transitive groups we classify indecomposable quandles of size <36. This classification is available in Rig, a GAP package for computations related to racks and quandles. As an application, the list of all indecomposable quandles of size <36 not of type D is computed.
Fewer obstructions for small graphs in knotless embedding.
Emotion recognition based on EEG has become an active research area. As one of the machine learning models, CNN has been utilized to solve diverse problems including issues in this domain. In this work, a study of CNN and its spatiotemporal feature extraction has been conducted in order to explore capabilities of the m…
Study identifies key metrics for small and large tick assets in LOBs.
It is known that the impact of transactions on stock price (market impact) is a concave function of the size of the order, but there exists little quantitative theory that suggests why this is so. I develop a quantitative theory for the market impact of hidden orders (orders that reflect the true intention of buying an…
Exchange improves liquidity by using different bid and ask tick sizes.
Model for cross-border markets with limited transmission capacities.
Personalized size and fit recommendations bear crucial significance for any fashion e-commerce platform. Predicting the correct fit drives customer satisfaction and benefits the business by reducing costs incurred due to size-related returns. Traditional collaborative filtering algorithms seek to model customer prefere…
Improved computational complexity in statistical models using second-order information.
New hypergraph neural network learns variable-sized hyperedges.
The distribution of trade sizes and trading volumes are investigated based on the limit order book data of 22 liquid Chinese stocks listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in the whole year 2003. We observe that the size distribution of trades for individual stocks exhibits jumps, which is caused by the number preference…
New framework detects directional influence in multivariate time series.
Riemannian stochastic gradient descent converges faster with increasing batch size.