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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3917821,1731,564 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for option learning

Learning from demonstration has been widely studied in machine learning but becomes challenging when the demonstrated trajectories are unstructured and follow different objectives. This short-paper proposes PODNet, Plannable Option Discovery Network, addressing how to segment an unstructured set of demonstrated traject…

2019-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

In reinforcement learning (RL), temporal abstraction still remains as an important and unsolved problem. The options framework provided clues to temporal abstraction in the RL, and the option-critic architecture elegantly solved the two problems of finding options and learning RL agents in an end-to-end manner. However…

2019-04-15abs ↗pdf ↗

ANNs solve financial option valuation problems without numerical methods.

problem Valuation of European and American financial options.
method Unsupervised learning with artificial neural networks (ANNs) for solving PDEs.
result ANNs accurately compute option values for various stock scenarios.

The options framework is a popular approach for building temporally extended actions in reinforcement learning. In particular, the option-critic architecture provides general purpose policy gradient theorems for learning actions from scratch that are extended in time. However, past work makes the key assumption that ea…

2019-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Options are generally learned by using an inaccurate environment model (or simulator), which contains uncertain model parameters. While there are several methods to learn options that are robust against the uncertainty of model parameters, these methods only consider either the worst case or the average (ordinary) case…

2019-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Building systems that autonomously create temporal abstractions from data is a key challenge in scaling learning and planning in reinforcement learning. One popular approach for addressing this challenge is the options framework (Sutton et al., 1999). However, only recently in (Bacon et al., 2017) was a policy gradient…

2018-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning models outperform traditional option pricing models.

problem Improving option pricing accuracy using complex models.
method Evaluation of machine learning (NN, RF, CatBoost) and traditional models (Black-Scholes, Heston) on synthetic and real data.
result Machine learning models outperform traditional models in predicting option prices.

We present Multitask Soft Option Learning(MSOL), a hierarchical multitask framework based on Planning as Inference. MSOL extends the concept of options, using separate variational posteriors for each task, regularized by a shared prior. This ''soft'' version of options avoids several instabilities during training in a …

2019-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper uses deep learning to price American options under stochastic volatility.

problem Pricing American options with a time-varying exercise boundary under the Heston model.
method Coupled PINNs with curriculum learning and adaptive resampling.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed deep learning framework for American option pricing.

This paper compares machine learning models for pricing European options.

problem Pricing European options using traditional methods like Black Scholes Model.
method Google AutoML Regressor, TensorFlow Neural Networks, and XGBoost Gradient Boosting Decision Trees.
result All models outperformed the Black Scholes Model in terms of mean absolute error.

We reformulate the option framework as two parallel augmented MDPs. Under this novel formulation, all policy optimization algorithms can be used off the shelf to learn intra-option policies, option termination conditions, and a master policy over options. We apply an actor-critic algorithm on each augmented MDP, yieldi…

2019-04-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a method for learning options from segmented demonstration trajectories. The trajectories are first segmented into skills using nonparametric Bayesian clustering and a reward function for each segment is then learned using inverse reinforcement learning. From this, a set of inferred trajectories for the demo…

2020-01-19abs ↗pdf ↗

While a large body of empirical results show that temporally-extended actions and options may significantly affect the learning performance of an agent, the theoretical understanding of how and when options can be beneficial in online reinforcement learning is relatively limited. In this paper, we derive an upper and l…

2017-03-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning struggles to predict binary options movements due to randomness.

problem Predicting binary options movements using machine learning.
method Tested multiple machine learning models (RF, LR, GB, kNN) and neural networks (MLP, LSTM) on EUR/USD currency pairs.
result None of the models surpassed the ZeroR baseline accuracy, indicating randomness in binary options.

Paper uses deep learning to price and hedge options in incomplete markets.

problem Incomplete markets lack unique no-arbitrage solutions for pricing and hedging European options.
method Constrained deep learning approach with a single neural network representing option prices and hedging strategies.
result Constrained networks produce superior P&L distributions compared to unconstrained networks.

QLBS and RLOP methods improve option pricing and hedging performance.

problem Improving option pricing and hedging performance under market frictions.
method Incorporates risk aversion and trading costs into QLBS, proposes RLOP approach.
result RLOP outperforms in dynamic hedging by reducing shortfall probability.

A new deep learning method for option pricing in rough volatility models.

problem Efficient pricing of European options in high-dimensional rough volatility models.
method Time-stepping deep gradient flow method reformulating the option pricing PDE as an energy minimization problem.
result The method respects asymptotic behavior and known bounds for option prices.

Paper solves multi-dimensional passport option pricing problem using machine learning.

problem Pricing multi-dimensional passport options in correlated markets remains unsolved.
method Discrete-time solution for multi-dimensional BS markets with uncorrelated assets; machine learning approaches.
result Machine learning-powered approaches successfully price passport options in both 1D and multi-dimensional uncorrelated BS markets.

The paper compares machine learning methods with traditional techniques for pricing and sensitivities of financial products with path-dependent structures.

problem Evaluating financial products with early-termination clauses, especially those with path-dependent structures.
method The paper compares regression methods including randomized recurrent and feed-forward neural networks, and a novel approach using signatures of the underlying price process, with traditional polynomial basis functions for pricing and sensitivities.
result Machine learning algorithms often match the accuracy and efficiency of traditional methods for Asian and look-back options, while randomized neural networks are best for callable certificates.

Reinforcement learning improves option pricing and hedging accuracy.

problem Improving financial instrument pricing and hedging accuracy.
method Q-Learning Black Scholes approach applied to option pricing and hedging.
result The reinforcement learning model accurately estimates option prices and hedging strategies under various volatility and moneyness levels.

FINN learns option pricing and hedging using financial theory.

problem Learning accurate option prices and sensitivities from financial theory.
method Self-supervised replication objective based on dynamic hedging.
result FINN accurately recovers classical Black--Scholes prices and performs robustly in stochastic volatility environments.

A new method for pricing European options in changing market conditions.

problem Lack of closed-form solutions for pricing European options in regime-switching models.
method Physics-informed residual learning (PIRL) for efficient option pricing.
result PIRL eliminates the need for retraining and offers near-instantaneous pricing.

Framework uses expert intervention to solve long-horizon reinforcement learning tasks.

problem Long horizon robot learning tasks with sparse rewards.
method Option templates and expert intervention to enable high-level task understanding.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art approaches by two orders of magnitude.

An unsupervised deep learning method solves PIDEs for option pricing.

problem Solving partial integro-differential equations for financial option pricing.
method Employing unsupervised deep learning to directly solve PIDEs without requiring labeled data.
result An unsupervised neural network accurately solves PIDEs and calculates derivatives and integrals.

Robust reinforcement learning aims to produce policies that have strong guarantees even in the face of environments/transition models whose parameters have strong uncertainty. Existing work uses value-based methods and the usual primitive action setting. In this paper, we propose robust methods for learning temporally …

2018-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work, we consider the problem of autonomously discovering behavioral abstractions, or options, for reinforcement learning agents. We propose an algorithm that focuses on the termination condition, as opposed to -- as is common -- the policy. The termination condition is usually trained to optimize a control obj…

2019-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we combine one method for hierarchical reinforcement learning - the options framework - with deep Q-networks (DQNs) through the use of different "option heads" on the policy network, and a supervisory network for choosing between the different options. We utilise our setup to investigate the effects of ar…

2016-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

A hybrid framework uses machine learning to price options faster and more accurately.

problem Rapid recalibration of option pricing models in dynamic markets.
method Integrates smooth offset algorithm with supervised machine learning models.
result Surrogate pricing operators achieve up to 1000x speedup over direct SOA evaluation.

It is well known that options can make planning more efficient, among their many benefits. Thus far, algorithms for autonomously discovering a set of useful options were heuristic. Naturally, a principled way of finding a set of useful options may be more promising and insightful. In this paper we suggest a mathematica…

2016-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

As is known, an option price is a solution to a certain partial differential equation (PDE) with terminal conditions (payoff functions). There is a close association between the solution of PDE and the solution of a backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE). We can either solve the PDE to obtain option prices or…

2019-04-11abs ↗pdf ↗

MO2 learns useful behaviours from past experience for new tasks.

problem Discovering useful behaviours from past experience and transferring them to new tasks.
method Model-Based Offline Options (MO2) framework supporting sample-efficient bottleneck option discovery over continuous state-action spaces.
result MO2 outperforms recent option learning methods on complex long-horizon continuous control tasks.

Paper presents a machine learning algorithm for hedging ETF options, outperforming static hedging methods.

problem Semi-static hedging of ETF options with transaction costs and varying market conditions.
method Data-driven machine learning algorithm considering transaction costs, automated portfolio management, and PnL attribution analysis.
result The static hedging approach outperforms dynamic hedging methods in terms of profit and loss.