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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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247494741988 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for optimism measure

Optimal hedging framework with variational preferences under convex risk measures.

problem Optimal hedging with variational preferences under convex risk measures.
method Theoretical hedging optimization framework with dual representation of risk measures and utilities.
result Derivation of optimality and indifference pricing conditions.

Optimal probability measure found for constrained stochastic processes.

problem Finding optimal probability measure with constraints for stochastic processes.
method Existence and uniqueness proof, explicit measure change, optimal drift and compensator adjustments.
result Explicit form of the optimal measure change and characterisation of adjustments.

Stochastic optimization problems often involve the expectation in its objective. When risk is incorporated in the problem description as well, then risk measures have to be involved in addition to quantify the acceptable risk, often in the objective. For this purpose it is important to have an adjusted, adapted and eff…

2012-09-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Quadratic hedging of option payoffs generates the variance optimal martingale measure. When an option features an exercise policy and its cash flows are hedged according to this approach, it may be tempting to optimize such a policy under this measure. Because the variance optimal martingale measure may not be an equiv…

2020-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The use of alternative measures to evaluate classifier performance is gaining attention, specially for imbalanced problems. However, the use of these measures in the classifier design process is still unsolved. In this work we propose a classifier designed specifically to optimize one of these alternative measures, nam…

2013-05-07abs ↗pdf ↗

A new framework for robust risk measurement and portfolio optimization.

problem Uncertainty in mean-covariance space and portfolio optimization challenges.
method Modeling uncertainty with Gelbrich distance and prior structural information, related to optimal transport theory.
result Mean-covariance robust portfolio optimization simplifies to Markowitz model with a regularization term.

The paper connects higher order risk measures and stochastic dominance, showing their equivalence and integrating them with optimization.

problem Comparing and characterizing random outcomes in risk assessment.
method Exploring the equivalence between higher order risk measures and stochastic dominance, using stochastic optimization and expectiles as examples.
result Higher order risk measures and stochastic dominance are equivalent and can be used to characterize random outcomes.

We study optimal solutions to an abstract optimization problem for measures, which is a generalization of classical variational problems in information theory and statistical physics. In the classical problems, information and relative entropy are defined using the Kullback-Leibler divergence, and for this reason optim…

2010-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces a new method for risk measurement using weak optimal transport.

problem Risk measurement in insurance and financial contexts.
method Convex risk measures with weak optimal transport penalties, explicit representation via nonlinear transform, computational aspects, and approximations using neural networks.
result Explicit representation and computational methods for risk measures.

The paper studies robust risk measures with linear penalties under uncertain distributions.

problem Risk measurement under distributional uncertainty.
method Robust distortion risk measures with linear penalty function under distributional constraints.
result Explicit characterization of optimal quantile distribution and value function.

SGLBO optimizes quantum circuits with fewer measurements, improving accuracy and noise resilience.

problem Efficiently optimizing parameterized quantum circuits with reduced measurement shots and noise.
method Developed SGLBO combining SGD and BO, with adaptive measurement-shot strategy and suffix averaging.
result Significantly reduces measurement-shot cost while improving accuracy and noise resilience.

This paper optimizes functions of probability measures using particle gradient descent for displacement convex functions.

problem Optimizing functions of probability measures with displacement convex properties.
method Particle gradient descent applied to displacement convex functions with theoretical guarantees.
result Finite number of particles and computations are sufficient to find optimal solutions for displacement convex functions.

We study issues of robustness in the context of Quantitative Risk Management and Optimization. We develop a general methodology for determining whether a given risk measurement related optimization problem is robust, which we call "robustness against optimization". The new notion is studied for various classes of risk …

2018-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal sampling strategy improves prediction accuracy with surrogate variables under measurement constraints.

problem Measurement-constrained datasets and lack of labeled data.
method A-optimality criterion for optimal sampling, leveraging surrogate variables.
result Achieves lower asymptotic variance and reduced empirical mean squared error.

In this paper, we search for optimal portfolio strategies in the presence of various risk measure that are common in financial applications. Particularly, we deal with the static optimization problem with respect to Value at Risk, Expected Loss and Expected Utility Loss measures. To do so, under the Black- Scholes mode…

2019-12-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This work optimizes bid strategies for online auctions using measure-valued optimization.

problem Optimizing bid strategies in first-price auctions to maximize expected surplus.
method Formulates the problem as convex optimization over the joint distribution of shading parameters, adapts the distribution after each auction using a Wasserstein-proximal update.
result The proposed algorithm encourages bids on values with high expected surplus.

Optimizes risk measures given known marginal distributions of two unknown factors.

problem Determining an upper bound for spectral risk measures with unknown joint distribution.
method Introduces Maximum Spectral Measure (MSP) as a worst-case risk measure, formulated as an optimization problem with a more general objective function.
result Characterizes the continuity properties of the optimal value function and optimal solution set with respect to marginal distributions.

Risk measures for multivariate financial positions are studied in a utility-based framework. Under a certain incomplete preference relation, shortfall and divergence risk measures are defined as the optimal values of specific set minimization problems. The dual relationship between these two classes of multivariate ris…

2014-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method optimizes robustness measures under input uncertainty using randomized Gaussian process upper confidence bound.

problem Optimizing robustness measures under input uncertainty.
method Randomized robustness measure GP-UCB (RRGP-UCB) that samples β from a chi-squared-based distribution.
result RRGP-UCB provides tight bounds on expected regret.

The paper analyzes risk measures and optimal reserve allocation strategies.

problem Risk measures and optimal reserve allocation across multiple lines of business.
method Formalizes expected maximum deficit, introduces implicitly bounded risk measures, and proposes capital allocation approaches.
result Theoretical results on static and dynamic coherence, convexity, and exact optimizations of aggregate minimum reserves.

CAVI converges for log-concave measures via optimal transport.

problem Finding the closest product measure to a log-concave measure via CAVI.
method Adapting coordinate descent techniques from Euclidean space to optimal transport for log-concave densities.
result Proves convergence of CAVI for log-concave densities and provides rates of convergence under additional conditions.

Optimal coupling among random vectors with known statistics and correlation structure found using minimum spanning tree over measure-valued vertices.

problem Finding the optimal coupling among random vectors with known statistics and correlation structure.
method Formulating the problem as a minimum spanning tree over measure-valued vertices and solving it in two steps.
result Optimal coupling found using the minimum spanning tree approach.

We study Spectral Measures of Risk from the perspective of portfolio optimization. We derive exact results which extend to general Spectral Measures M_phi the Pflug--Rockafellar--Uryasev methodology for the minimization of alpha--Expected Shortfall. The minimization problem of a spectral measure is shown to be equivale…

2002-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper optimizes stock portfolios with constraints based on performance attribution.

problem Optimizing stock portfolios with performance attribution constraints.
method Minimizes expected tail loss, constrains asset allocation and selection effect, tests on Dow Jones stocks.
result Imposing constraints on asset allocation and selection effect improves portfolio performance.

The paper studies risk-sensitive MDPs with recursive risk measures.

problem Risk-sensitive decision-making in MDPs with unbounded costs.
method Recursive application of static risk measures, Bellman equation derivation, existence of optimal policies.
result Existence of Markovian optimal policies for infinite planning horizons, contractive model for stationary optimal policy.

New method synchronizes graphs with probability measures on rotations.

problem Synchronizing graphs with measure-valued edges over rotations.
method Formulated as maximization of cycle-consistency in probability measures over rotations, using Sinkhorn divergences.
result Proposes a nonparametric Riemannian particle optimization approach converging to global optimum under certain conditions.

This work extends entropic optimal transport to non-product reference couplings, focusing on Gaussian cases.

problem Finding a diffuse coupling between two measures with non-product reference couplings.
method Reduction of the entropic optimal transport problem to a matrix optimization problem.
result Complete description of the solution for non-product reference couplings, including primal and dual variables.

Investment strategy optimizes risk using a specific risk measure.

problem Optimizing investment with risk controlled by a weighted entropic risk measure.
method Investigation of expected utility maximization and risk minimization problems with solutions provided iteratively.
result Explicit characterization of solutions to optimization problems.

A scalable approach to learning from probability measures using quantization.

problem Efficiently comparing and manipulating large sets of probability measures.
method Quantization of probability measures to a fixed support, followed by optimal transport computations.
result Consistency and convergence guarantees for quantized measures in various OT-based tasks.

A novel approach to computing barycenters on graph-supported probability measures.

problem Computing weighted averages of measures on graphs.
method Dynamic optimal transport formulation on the simplex, gradient descent on the probability simplex.
result Intrinsic gradient descent provides a coherent framework for synthesizing and analyzing measures on graphs.