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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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200401601801 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for optimal binning

Improved binning technique boosts nUV measure performance.

problem Improving the performance of the nUV measure in real applications.
method Introduced the nUV measure, provided theoretical optimal binning techniques, and proposed algorithms for approximate solutions.
result Approximate binning techniques show 4-13% increase in AUC scores with statistical significance.

A method for non-parametric conditional distribution estimation using CRPS-optimal binning.

problem Non-parametric conditional distribution estimation.
method Partitioning covariate-sorted observations into bins to minimize LOO-CRPS, selecting K by K-fold cross-validation of test CRPS.
result Produces narrower prediction intervals with near-nominal coverage compared to split-conformal competitors.

This paper improves multi-class calibration methods using mutual information maximization-based binning.

problem Calibration of deep neural network predictions, especially for small prior classes.
method I-Max concept for binning, shared class-wise calibration strategy.
result Improves multi-class ranking and calibration performance using a small calibration set.

Many datasets are in the form of tables of binned data. Performing regression on these data usually involves either reading off bin heights, ignoring data from neighbouring bins or interpolating between bins thus over or underestimating the true bin integrals. In this paper we propose an elegant method for performing G…

2018-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces minimum-risk recalibration for probabilistic classifiers, improving their reliability and accuracy.

problem Improving the reliability and accuracy of probabilistic classifiers.
method Minimum-risk recalibration within the MSE decomposition framework, analyzing UMB method and label shift adaptation.
result The optimal number of bins for UMB scales with n1/3n^{1/3}, resulting in a risk bound of approximately O(n2/3)O(n^{-2/3}).

Histogram binning method proven with guarantees without splitting data.

problem Proving theoretical guarantees for histogram binning without sample splitting.
method Using Markov property of order statistics to prove calibration guarantees for original method.
result Proves histogram binning has strong calibration guarantees without sample splitting.

Isotonic regression binning affects calibration statistics of machine learning models.

problem Isotonic regression binning introduces aleatoric uncertainty in calibration statistics.
method Calibration error statistics are recalibrated using isotonic regression, which produces stratified uncertainties.
result Stratified uncertainties lead to significant differences in bin-based calibration statistics.

In subgroup discovery, also known as supervised pattern mining, discovering high quality one-dimensional subgroups and refinements of these is a crucial task. For nominal attributes, this is relatively straightforward, as we can consider individual attribute values as binary features. For numerical attributes, the task…

2015-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved kernel ridge regression for large datasets using weighted random binning.

problem Efficiently approximating kernel matrices for large-scale datasets.
method Introduced weighted random binning features for locality sensitive hashing.
result Weighted random binning features generate Gaussian processes of any desired smoothness.

Overconfidence and underconfidence in machine learning classifiers is measured by calibration: the degree to which the probabilities predicted for each class match the accuracy of the classifier on that prediction. How one measures calibration remains a challenge: expected calibration error, the most popular metric, ha…

2019-04-02abs ↗pdf ↗

New methods improve estimation of nonhomogeneous Poisson processes from limited data.

problem Estimating nonhomogeneous Poisson processes from limited data.
method Formulated as a learning generalization problem, proposed adaptive and data-driven binning methods.
result Improved estimation of nonhomogeneous Poisson processes with limited data.

We consider the non-parametric regression problem under Huber's εε-contamination model, in which an εε fraction of observations are subject to arbitrary adversarial noise. We first show that a simple local binning median step can effectively remove the adversary noise and this median estimator is minimax optimal up t…

2018-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method improves quantile regression for high-dimensional data.

problem Handling heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed data in quantile regression.
method Dynamic prototypes-based probability density estimation with conformalized high-density quantile regression.
result Enhanced prediction regions with valid coverage guarantees and scalability to higher dimensions.

New bin-wise scaling methods improve prediction uncertainty calibration for machine learning.

problem Improving prediction uncertainty calibration for machine learning regression.
method Adaptations of Binwise Variance Scaling (BVS) with alternative loss functions and feature-based binning.
result Improved adaptivity and consistency in prediction uncertainty calibration.

Heuristic algorithms such as simulated annealing, Concorde, and METIS are effective and widely used approaches to find solutions to combinatorial optimization problems. However, they are limited by the high sample complexity required to reach a reasonable solution from a cold-start. In this paper, we introduce a novel …

2019-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Solves online 3D bin packing with deep reinforcement learning under constraints.

problem Challenges of packing items immediately without information and constraints.
method Constrained deep reinforcement learning (DRL) with feasibility predictor.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in online 3D bin packing.

Paper introduces a differentiable STFT for continuous window length optimization.

problem Optimizing window length in spectrograms for neural networks.
method Defines a differentiable short-time Fourier transform with continuous window length.
result Demonstrates improved performance in estimation and classification tasks.

Paper introduces RPWithPrior for efficient label differential privacy in regression.

problem Protecting user privacy in regression tasks with minimal accuracy loss.
method Modeling responses as continuous random variables, avoiding discretization; estimating optimal intervals for randomized responses.
result RPWithPrior algorithm guarantees ε-label differential privacy and outperforms existing methods.

Study three types of uncertainty quantification for binary classification without distributional assumptions.

problem Uncertainty quantification for binary classification in a distribution-free setting.
method Established theorems connecting calibration, confidence intervals, and prediction sets for score-based classifiers.
result Distribution-free calibration is only possible using scoring functions that partition feature space into countably many sets.

BaNk-UCB tackles batched nonparametric bandits with k-NN regression and UCB.

problem Sequential decision-making with limited online feedback in domains like medicine and marketing.
method Combines k-NN regression with UCB principle for fully nonparametric, adaptive, and simple implementation.
result Near-optimal regret guarantees under Lipschitz smoothness and margin assumptions, with minimax-optimal rates.

New algorithm optimizes smooth functions with Hölder exponent > 1.

problem Optimizing smooth functions with unknown Hölder exponent > 1.
method Two-layer algorithms using misspecified linear/polynomial bandit algorithms in bins.
result Regret bound of O~(Td+αd+2α)\tilde{O}(T^{\frac{d+\alpha}{d+2\alpha}}) for α>1\alpha > 1.

This study examines how discretization improves neural forecasting models.

problem Improving predictive performance of neural forecasting models.
method Empirical investigation of data binning techniques on various neural forecasting architectures.
result Data binning almost always improves forecasting accuracy, but the type of binning is less important.

The goal of lossy data compression is to reduce the storage cost of a data set XX while retaining as much information as possible about something (YY) that you care about. For example, what aspects of an image XX contain the most information about whether it depicts a cat? Mathematically, this corresponds to finding…

2019-08-23abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we perform a statistical analysis over the returns and relative prices of the CAC 4040 and the S\&P 500500 with the purpose of analyzing the intra-day seasonalities of single and cross-sectional stock dynamics. In order to do that, we characterized the dynamics of a stock (or a set of stocks) by the evolut…

2015-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

A new DP algorithm improves privacy in hashing and sampling for search and learning.

problem Improving privacy in hashing and sampling for large-scale applications.
method Combines differential privacy with one permutation hashing and bin-wise consistent weighted sampling.
result Proposes DP-OPH and DP-BCWS algorithms that enhance privacy while maintaining utility.