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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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134268401535 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for online decision making

An online decision-making algorithm using stochastic gradient descent for big data.

problem Efficiently updating decision rules in online decision making with big data.
method Stochastic gradient descent for online updates, asymptotic normality of estimators.
result Asymptotic normality of parameter and value estimators, enabling statistical inference.

New method learns decisions from collective preferences without individual covariates.

problem Making decisions online without individual covariates.
method Collaborative filtering, matrix completion bandit, ε-greedy policy, online gradient descent, inverse propensity weighting.
result Method outperforms benchmarks and reveals new discoveries.

New algorithms for fast online decision making using neural networks and martingale posteriors.

problem Online sequential decision making under uncertainty.
method Martingale posterior neural networks for fast online learning and decision making.
result Achieves competitive performance-speed trade-offs in non-stationary contextual bandits and Bayesian optimization.

Novel algorithm reduces feature inclusion in online decision-making.

problem Optimizing decision-making for personalized user experiences with fairness.
method Online Batched Sequential Inclusion (OBSI) algorithm for sequential feature inclusion.
result OBSI outperforms other algorithms in terms of regret, relevance of features, and compute.

New online method for statistical inference with matrix context in decision-making.

problem Statistical inference in decision-making with matrix context.
method Proposes a fully online procedure to conduct statistical inference with adaptive data collection, handling low-rank structure.
result Establishes asymptotic normality of debiased estimators and proves validity of confidence intervals.

New algorithm reduces online decision-making regret with efficient LP re-solving and parallel first-order method.

problem Worse regret guarantees and high computational cost of LP-based OLP algorithms.
method Combines LP-based and first-order OLP methods, re-solving LP subproblems periodically and using parallel first-order method.
result Achieves O(log(T/f)+f)\mathscr{O}(\log (T/f) + \sqrt{f}) regret, balancing computational efficiency and superior regret guarantee.

The paper addresses statistical inference for online decision-making in a contextual bandit setting.

problem Understanding the performance of reward models in online decision-making with contextual information.
method The paper uses the contextual bandit framework with a linear reward model and the ε\varepsilon-greedy policy to address the exploration-exploitation dilemma. It employs the martingale central limit theorem and inverse propensity score weighting to establish asymptotic normality of parameter estimators.
result The online ordinary least squares estimator and the online weighted least squares estimator are asymptotically normal, providing insights into the performance of the reward model.

Batch Thompson Sampling reduces exploration-exploitation trade-off in online decision making.

problem Balancing exploration and exploitation in online decision making.
method Introducing a batch Thompson Sampling framework for stochastic multi-arm bandit and linear contextual bandit problems.
result Achieves asymptotic regret bound with O(logT)O(\log T) batch queries, significantly reducing interactions.

New method controls false discoveries in real-time data streams.

problem Online testing of hypotheses with strict error constraints and no future data.
method Structure-adaptive sequential testing (SAST) with alpha-investment algorithm.
result Substantial power gain over existing online testing rules.

Post-processing predictors reduces calibration errors for decision-making.

problem Predictors with low calibration error for machine learning may have high error for decision-making.
method Post-processing with ε distance to calibration adds noise to make predictions differentially private.
result Post-processing achieves O(√ε) ECE and CDL, asymptotically optimal.

Introduces tensor bandits for multi-dimensional online decision making.

problem Optimal decision making in multi-dimensional online scenarios.
method Stochastic low-rank tensor bandits, tensor elimination, tensor epoch-greedy, tensor ensemble sampling.
result Tensor elimination and tensor epoch-greedy algorithms outperform existing methods.

Paper addresses regret minimization and inference in high-dimensional online decision-making.

problem Regret minimization and statistical inference in high-dimensional online decision-making.
method Integrates ε-greedy bandit algorithm with hard thresholding for sparse bandit parameters and debiasing method for inference.
result Achieves either O(T1/2)O(T^{1/2}) regret or O(T1/2)O(T^{1/2})-consistent inference, with trade-off between exploration and exploitation.

Enhanced decision-making through Dreamer's anticipatory trajectories and Online Decision Transformer.

problem Efficiently integrating world models with decision transformers.
method Combining Dreamer's trajectory forecasting with Online Decision Transformer's adaptive learning.
result Notable improvements in sample efficiency and reward maximization.

Online anomaly detection in surveillance videos with false alarm rate bounds.

problem Lack of theoretical performance analysis and online decision making in anomaly detection.
method Proposes an online anomaly detection method with asymptotic bounds on false alarm rate.
result Demonstrates effectiveness on publicly available data sets, outperforming state-of-the-art algorithms.

As more data are produced each day, and faster, data stream mining is growing in importance, making clear the need for algorithms able to fast process these data. Data stream mining algorithms are meant to be solutions to extract knowledge online, specially tailored from continuous data problem. Many of the current alg…

2019-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for online statistical inference in contextual bandits using SGD.

problem Online decision-making in contextual bandits with statistical inference.
method Weighted stochastic gradient descent for adaptive data collection.
result Asymptotic normality of the parameter estimator with improved efficiency.

New algorithm optimizes online decision-making with dynamically generated actions.

problem Balancing action generation costs with optimal decision-making in online learning.
method Doubly-optimistic algorithm using LCB for action selection and UCB for action generation.
result Achieves optimal regret bound of O(Tdd+2ddd+2+dTlogT)O(T^{\frac{d}{d+2}}d^{\frac{d}{d+2}} + d\sqrt{T\log T}).

Study noisy rewards in online decision-making with unknown distributions.

problem Learning optimal decisions in online settings with noisy and unknown reward distributions.
method Proposes algorithms integrating learning and decision-making via LCB thresholding.
result Achieves competitive ratios of 1 - 1/e and 1/2 in various settings.

New online GP algorithm offers performance guarantees for streaming data.

problem Training and inference of GPs require all historic data, limiting online decision-making.
method Developed a new theoretical framework based on PAC-Bayes theory, optimizing empirical risk and parameter divergence.
result Offers both a guarantee of generalized performance and good accuracy.

This paper improves online learning algorithms for LP problems, achieving better regret bounds.

problem Achieving optimal regret bounds in online linear programming.
method Develops a new framework for first-order online learning algorithms under certain error bound conditions.
result First-order learning algorithms achieve o(T)o(\sqrt{T}) regret in continuous support and O(logT)\mathcal{O}(\log T) regret in finite support, improving over O(T)\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{T}).

Develops a new framework for analyzing sequential decision-making problems using information theory.

problem Lack of information-theoretic generalization bounds for sequential decision-making problems.
method Introduces a sequential supersample framework that separates learner filtration from proof-side enlargement, controlling the generalization gap by sequential CMI.
result Establishes a sequential CMI that controls the generalization gap in sequential decision-making problems.

Algorithm improves decision-making with partially observed contexts using pretrained models.

problem Improving decision-making with partially observed contexts in online linear contextual bandits.
method PULSE-UCB algorithm that uses pretrained models trained on auxiliary data to impute missing features.
result Achieves near-optimal performance in i.i.d. context case with Hölder-smooth missing features.

New bounds show complexity of adversarial decision making.

problem Understanding sample efficiency in adversarial decision making.
method New upper and lower bounds on Decision-Estimation Coefficient.
result Decision-Estimation Coefficient is necessary and sufficient for low regret in adversarial decision making.

Study minimax-optimal rates for offline decision-making with function approximation.

problem Statistical complexity of offline decision-making with function approximation.
method Near minimax-optimal rates for stochastic contextual bandits and Markov decision processes, using pseudo-dimension and behavior policy.
result Established performance limits and new characterization of behavior policy.

This paper tackles online strategic decision making with asymmetry and knowledge transportability.

problem Strategic decision making with information asymmetry and knowledge transportability challenges.
method Developed a sample-efficient algorithm for online learning under these conditions.
result Proved sample complexity of O(1/ε2)O(1/ε^2) for learning an εε-optimal policy.

New framework converts offline to online estimation using black-box offline estimators.

problem Convert offline estimation algorithms to online estimation algorithms.
method Oracle-Efficient Online Estimation (OEOE) framework.
result Achieves near-optimal online estimation error via black-box offline estimators.

Study how communication and feedback graphs affect learning outcomes.

problem Understanding the impact of feedback graphs on cooperative online learning.
method Analyzed network regret in terms of the independence number of the strong product of communication and feedback graphs.
result Proved bounds for network regret and demonstrated the non-improvable nature of positive results in pathological cases.

In most real-world settings such as recommender systems, finance, and healthcare, collecting useful information is costly and requires an active choice on the part of the decision maker. The decision-maker needs to learn simultaneously what observations to make and what actions to take. This paper incorporates the info…

2016-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Bridges uplift modeling and sequential decision-making with online budget allocation.

problem Treatment allocation under budget constraints in digital advertising.
method Budget-Constrained Causal Bandits (BCCB) integrates learning, exploration, and budget pacing.
result Data-efficiency crossover: BCCB operates effectively from the first user, 3-5x lower performance variance.

Paper proposes using unlabeled data for fair decision-making.

problem Bias in decision-making algorithms due to biased labels and selective labeling.
method Variational autoencoder for learning unbiased data representations from both labeled and unlabeled data.
result Method learns fair and stable decision policies with high utility.

SPARKLE handles high-dimensional covariates for online decision-making.

problem Complex reward-covariate relationships in high-dimensional settings.
method SPARKLE uses a sparse additive reward model with doubly penalized estimator and adaptive screening.
result SPARKLE achieves sublinear regret bound logarithmic in covariate dimensionality.

We introduce a novel theoretical framework for Return On Investment (ROI) maximization in repeated decision-making. Our setting is motivated by the use case of companies that regularly receive proposals for technological innovations and want to quickly decide whether they are worth implementing. We design an algorithm …

2019-05-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph neural Thompson Sampling improves online decision-making for graph data.

problem Online decision-making with graph-structured rewards.
method GNN-TS algorithm using GNN for mean reward estimation and graph neural tangent features for uncertainty.
result GNN-TS achieves a state-of-the-art regret bound of ildeO((ildedT)1/2) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(( ilde{d} T)^{1/2}).

New framework tackles stochastic latent subgroup heterogeneity in online decision-making.

problem Stochastic latent heterogeneity in online decision-making where individual responses vary with unobserved subgroups.
method Latent heterogeneous bandit framework using EM-greedy algorithm to learn subgroup probabilities and reward parameters.
result Achieves optimal estimation and classification guarantees, revealing a fundamental stochastic barrier in online decision-making.

The paper improves Bayesian optimization by calibrating uncertainty estimates.

problem Improper uncertainty estimates in Bayesian optimization when data is non-stationary.
method Proposes online learning algorithms to maintain calibration on non-i.i.d. data and integrates them into Bayesian optimization.
result Calibrated Bayesian optimization converges to better optima in fewer steps.

Universal algorithm learns unknown distribution for various decision-making problems.

problem Various statistical measures in contextual sequential decision-making.
method Infinite-dimensional functional regression oracle for cumulative distribution functions.
result Utility regret rate bounded by polynomial decay of eigenvalue sequence.