The study compares on-chain option prices with a model and finds significant differences.
problem Measuring and comparing on-chain option prices with a model-based benchmark.
method Used a two-regime MS-AR-(GJR)-GARCH model to estimate volatility and GLS to compare prices.
result On-chain option prices are significantly higher than model-based benchmarks, especially for call options.
This paper designs a new on-chain option that amortizes perpetual options for blockchain environments.
problem No equivalent standard for on-chain options exists, leading to high-frequency oracles and liquidation engines failures.
method Develops an amortizing perpetual option contract tailored to blockchain constraints, introducing a decentralized market framework.
result Demonstrates that the new contract functions as a risk primitive for DeFi, enabling applications like endogenous collateralization and de-peg insurance.
A new method for creating derivatives without oracles.
problem Lack of trust in external oracles for derivatives pricing.
method Using Replicating Market Makers (RMMs) to create derivative instruments.
result Demonstrated the feasibility of on-chain expiring options without oracles.
We explore inverse and quanto inverse crypto options, their pricing, and applications.
problem Market incompleteness in crypto options trading.
method Comparison of direct and inverse options, and introduction of currency-protected 'quanto' options.
result Pricing and hedging characteristics of inverse and quanto inverse options in a Black-Scholes framework.
Study finds on-chain data can proxy off-chain cryptocurrency pricing.
problem Develop methods to proxy off-chain cryptocurrency pricing using on-chain data.
method Graphical models, mutual information, and ensemble machine learning.
result A significant amount of pricing information is contained in on-chain data, but precise prices are hard to recover except on short time scales.
CryptoRLPM uses on-chain data to improve crypto portfolio management performance.
problem Lack of effective use of on-chain data in RL-based crypto portfolio management.
method Developed CryptoRLPM, an RL-based system that incorporates on-chain data for crypto PM, consisting of five units.
result CryptoRLPM outperforms baselines in ARR, DRR, and SR, especially for Bitcoin.
This paper presents the theory of non-smooth Lie group actions on chains of Banach manifolds. The rigorous functional analytic spaces are given to deal with quotients of such actions. A hydrodynamical example is studied in detail.
The paper uses AI to analyze on-chain parameters and identify risky cryptocurrencies.
problem Identifying risky cryptocurrencies and understanding their price factors.
method Historical data analysis, AI algorithms, clustering, classification.
result A significant negative correlation between cryptocurrency price and maximum and total supply, and a weak positive correlation with 24-hour trading volume.
This study aims to improve communication between fragmented blockchain systems in finance.
problem Inefficient and insecure communication in fragmented blockchain systems.
method Analysis of cross-chain interoperability protocols and their properties.
result Comparison and evaluation of cross-chain interoperability protocols.
A note on setting swap parameters for traders.
problem Determining optimal slippage parameters and trade size for wealth swapping.
method Theoretical solution and framework for optimal slippage parameters and trade size.
result Offers a method to solve optimal slippage parameters and trade size for wealth swapping.
Paper introduces OCRR Score for quantifying DeFi wallet credit risk.
problem Inability to assess credit risk in decentralized finance.
method Probabilistic measure based on historical and predictive on-chain activity.
result Dynamic adjustment of LTV and LT based on wallet risk profile.
Study shows diverse data sources improve cryptocurrency forecasting models.
problem Improving cryptocurrency market forecasting accuracy.
method Integrating various data types, including on-chain metrics, traditional indices, and macroeconomic indicators.
result Data source diversity significantly enhances forecasting model performance.
Adaptive pricing framework for perpetual contracts using liquidity curves and oracles.
problem Ensuring stable and predictable pricing for perpetual contracts.
method Uses liquidity curves and on-chain oracles with parabolic and sigmoid functions to quote prices and fees.
result Ensures pricing stability and predictability through adaptive pricing framework.
This study categorizes RWA tokenization challenges and solutions.
problem Navigating the gap between on-chain deterministic code and off-chain probabilistic reality.
method Taxonomy and comparative analysis of RWA protocols, legal and technical standards.
result RWA tokenization requires overcoming legal and technical interoperability issues.
Study of Polymarket's prediction market microstructure using tick-level order book data.
problem Understanding the microstructure of decentralized prediction markets.
method Analysis of a continuous tick-level order book feed and on-chain trade records.
result Trade direction inferred from Polymarket's public order-book feed disagrees with on-chain data in ~59% of cases.
Study on-chain peak shaving to reduce Ethereum transaction costs.
problem Reducing transaction costs in blockchain networks, especially during congested periods.
method Analyzing transaction-level data from multiple firms across various industries to understand scheduling responses and cost management strategies.
result Firms' scheduling responses to congestion vary, leading to different fee savings and residual costs.
Develops an LLM-based agent for superior cryptocurrency trading.
problem Lack of LLMs in cryptocurrency trading due to its unique data types.
method Combines on-chain and off-chain data analysis with a reflective mechanism.
result Demonstrates superior performance in maximizing returns compared to traditional strategies.
Paper develops a risk scoring framework for tokenized RWA markets.
problem Tokenized assets may not reflect true risk due to illiquidity and concentration.
method Develops a risk scoring framework based on observable indicators.
result Assets with limited transfer activity and concentrated ownership have high empirical risk.
Determines surgeries on chain links bounding rational homology balls using lattice-theoretic methods.
problem Integral surgeries on chain links bounding rational homology balls.
method Lattice-theoretic cubiquity obstruction and practical computation methods.
result Proves slice-ribbon conjecture for quasi-alternating 3-braid links, extending previous results.
Optimizes routing in decentralized exchanges with gas fees.
problem Routing in decentralized exchanges with fixed gas fees.
method General optimization framework with mixed-integer model, incorporating gas fees.
result Explicit Karush-Kuhn-Tucker system linking prices, fees, and activation.
New method finds better arbitrage opportunities in AMMs.
problem Finding optimal arbitrage trades in multi-token AMMs.
method Closed-form solutions using convex optimisation.
result Better arbitrage opportunities than traditional methods.
Proof of Stake (PoS) is a burgeoning Sybil resistance mechanism that aims to have a digital asset ("token") serve as security collateral in crypto networks. However, PoS has so far eluded a comprehensive threat model that encompasses both Byzantine attacks from distributed systems and financial attacks that arise from …
This paper systematizes knowledge on synthetic assets in crypto.
problem Disparate academic literature on synthetic assets in crypto.
method Broad perspective, general framework, data-driven analyses.
result Highlights risks and areas of research interest in synthetic assets.
Decentralised fund framework allocates capital via tokenised vaults.
problem Traditional asset management's inefficiencies and centralisation.
method Permissionless, multi-strategy capital allocation through on-chain vaults.
result Self-regulating, cooperative optimisation across financial domains.
Crypto markets show negative spillovers between chains, not positive co-movements.
problem Negative spillovers in crypto asset returns across different blockchains.
method On-chain data from multiple blockchains (Ethereum, Solana, Binance, Arbitrum, Avalanche) analyzed over 2022-2025.
result Surges on one chain often coincide with declines on others, especially during attention shocks.
Foresight Arena benchmarks AI forecasting on real-world markets, isolating predictive edge.
problem Evaluating AI forecasting ability in real-world markets is challenging due to overfitting, centralized trust, and conflated metrics.
method Permissionless, on-chain benchmark using probabilistic forecasts, commit-reveal protocol, and smart contracts.
result Demonstrates the need for 350 predictions to reliably distinguish agents of different skill levels.
Paper proposes real-time risk metrics for stablecoin protocols.
problem Lack of risk management frameworks for stablecoins.
method Developed two risk metrics: capitalization and liquidity.
result Demonstrated practical benefits of real-time on-chain data.
Suppose that a topological space X is the union of an increasing sequence of open subsets each of which is homeomorphic to the Euclidean space Rn. Then X itself is homeomorphic to Rn. This is an old theorem of Morton Brown. We observe that this theorem is an immediate consequence of other two theorems of Mort…
This paper introduces an inner product on chain complexes of finite simplicial complexes that is well-adapted to the harmonic study of subdivisions. Its definition utilizes a decomposition of the chain spaces that suggests a sequence of subdivision invariants which we show do not all vanish for non-trivial subdivisions…
This study examines whether tokenized assets improve liquidity and finds significant differences across categories.
problem Improving liquidity for real-world assets through tokenization.
method Examined tokenized real-world assets using Ethereum-based data, measuring liquidity through turnover, active addresses, and active-month indicator.
result Gold-backed tokens show more persistent on-chain activity than Treasury and private-credit-related products, but asset value alone does not reliably predict liquidity.
Automated market-making for CBDCs and stable coins on blockchain.
problem Creating fair exchange rates for digital assets on blockchain.
method Developed an innovative approach for generating fair exchange rates.
result Illustrated the approach's efficacy on G-10 currency exchange rates.
In this paper we present the Ricci curvature on cell-complexes and show the Gauss-Bonnnet type theorem on graphs and 2-complex that decomposes closed surface. The defferential forms on a cell complex is defined as linear maps on chain complex, and Laplacian operates this defferential forms. Then we construct the Bochne…
Study examines cryptoasset service providers in Austria, revealing global integration and distinct responses to market shocks.
problem Understanding cryptoasset integration and stress behavior in national economies.
method Directly identified on-chain addresses of Austrian crypto-asset service providers, reconstructing transaction activity across multiple cryptocurrencies.
result Austrian crypto-asset service providers are globally integrated, with distinct responses to market shocks.
Study on costs of manipulating AMM-based price oracles.
problem Cost of manipulation in AMM-based on-chain price oracles.
method Analyzes the robustness of AMM-based oracles to strategic manipulation, considering different aggregation methods and market conditions.
result Manipulation costs depend on the total quote depth and can be minimized by optimal liquidity weights.
Neural nets analyze crypto markets for multi-timeframe trading.
problem High-frequency trading in cryptocurrency markets.
method Multi-timeframe trend analysis and high-frequency direction prediction networks.
result Positive risk-adjusted returns through machine learning.
Stablecoin system improves resilience to extreme market events.
problem Vulnerability of stablecoins to extreme volatility and adversarial attacks.
method MVF-Composer uses multi-agent simulations to stress-test and down-weight manipulative signals.
result Reduces peak peg deviation by 57% and mean recovery time by 3.1x under adversarial conditions.
We investigate contextual online learning with nonparametric (Lipschitz) comparison classes under different assumptions on losses and feedback information. For full information feedback and Lipschitz losses, we design the first explicit algorithm achieving the minimax regret rate (up to log factors). In a partial feedb…
A soap film is actually a thin solid fluid bounded by two surfaces of opposite orientation. It is natural to model the film using one polyhedron for each side. Two problems are to get the polyhedra for both sides to be in the same place without canceling each other out and to model triple junctions without introducing …
This paper analyzes voter coalitions in MakerDAO's decentralized governance.
problem Understanding the governance structure and influence of voter coalitions in DAOs.
method Applied clustering algorithm to voting history of MakerDAO to identify voter coalitions.
result The emergence of a dominant voter coalition signals governance centralization in DAOs.
DeFi TrustBoost uses blockchain and AI to assess small business loans.
problem Assessing small business loans from low-wealth households.
method Combines blockchain and Explainable AI to ensure confidentiality, compliance, and security.
result Tamper-proof auditing and on-chain/off-chain data storage for financial organizations.
This paper provides fast estimates for complex option types.
problem Estimating prices for constrained multiple exercise American options.
method Lookahead search for lower estimates and nearest-neighbor martingale for upper estimates.
result Probabilistic convergence guarantees for the algorithms.
Study bounds for prices of European and American options with optional termination.
problem Bounding prices of options with potential termination.
method Duality results linking upper prices of vulnerable options to American options with constrained exercise times.
result Linking upper prices of vulnerable options to American options and game options.
New option pricing formulas for American and Bermudan options.
problem Traditional option pricing models assume constant volatility and interest rate.
method Relaxing assumptions, using square root of Brownian motion, providing closed-form formulas.
result Simple, closed-form pricing formulas for American and Bermudan options.
Path integral method calculates barrier option prices.
problem Barrier option pricing in finance.
method Path integral method applied to trapezoid and square potential barriers.
result Analytical expressions for option pricing derived.
New framework identifies hidden risks and optionality in American options.
problem Underestimation of flexibility and convexity in early-exercise features.
method Introducing stochasticity into underlying determinants to quantify hidden risks and optionality.
result Remedies conventional pricing systems that underestimate optionality.
This study measures liquidity risks in Aave, a blockchain lending protocol.
problem Liquidity risks in lending protocols, especially in Aave.
method Measurements of liquidity risks using Aave as a case study, focusing on available liquidity and market concentration.
result Liquidity risks in Aave are volatile and affect the protocol negatively, especially for repeat borrowers.
American options can be equivalent to European options under certain conditions.
problem Determining when American options can be simplified to European options.
method Using methods from Jourdain and Martini, Chrsitensen, and convex duality.
result A first step towards verifying representability of American options.
There exist several methods how more general options can be priced with call prices. In this article, we extend these results to cover a wider class of options and market models. In particular, we introduce a new pricing formula which can be used to price more general options if prices for call options and digital opti…