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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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1345 · Apr 202019922001200920172026
48 results for oil droplets

Two oppositely charged droplets of (say) water in e.g. oil or air will tend to drift together under the influence of their charges. As they make contact, one might expect them to coalesce and form one large droplet, and this indeed happens when the charge difference is sufficiently small. However, Ristenpart et al disc…

2013-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proves minimizing movements match smooth droplet flow in 3D.

problem Consistency of minimizing movements with smooth mean curvature flow.
method Proved minimizing movements coincide with smooth droplet flow.
result Minimizing movements and smooth mean curvature flow are consistent in 3D.

New Heintze-Karcher inequality helps understand droplet shapes.

problem Characterize the shape of droplets inside smooth containers.
method Obtained a new form of the Heintze-Karcher inequality for mean convex hypersurfaces with boundary on curved substrates.
result New mathematical inequality aids in understanding droplet shapes.

Study phase transition in liquid crystal droplets using mathematical analysis.

problem Mathematical analysis of phase transition between isotropic and nematic states of liquid crystals.
method Rigorous mathematical analysis using the Ericksen model and Γ-convergence theory.
result Γ-limit provides geometric description and anchoring conditions for liquid crystal orientations.

A theory of exceptional extreme events, characterized by their abnormal sizes compared with the rest of the distribution, is presented. Such outliers, called "dragon-kings", have been reported in the distribution of financial drawdowns, city-size distributions (e.g., Paris in France and London in the UK), in material f…

2012-05-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Oil prices affect Russian banks' stability, with negative impacts from decreases.

problem The impact of international oil prices on Russian public banks' financial stability.
method Data from 17 Russian public banks (2008-2016), Pool Mean Group (PMG) estimator.
result An increase in international oil prices and price to book value ratio positively affects Russian public banks' stability in the long run, while negative shocks have the opposite effect.

Study examines oil and US stock market interactions during coronavirus crisis.

problem Understanding the impact of coronavirus on oil and stock markets.
method Wavelet analysis of daily data from February 18, 2020 to August 15, 2020.
result Oil prices lead US stock prices at 3-5-day cycles during the first and second parts of March and April 2020.

Hidden Markov model predicts profitable statistical arbitrage in Shanghai crude oil futures.

problem Statistical arbitrage opportunities in international crude oil futures markets.
method Hidden Markov model for cointegration spread, mean-reverting regime-switching process.
result Statistical arbitrage strategies involving Shanghai crude oil futures are profitable.

Study examines impact of oil and gold prices on Tehran Stock Exchange.

problem Impact of oil and gold prices on Tehran Stock Exchange.
method ARIMA-Copula model, cross-validation, Clayton copula.
result TSE is indirectly influenced by gold price through other factors such as oil; TSE is not independent of oil price volatility.

Study uses APT and QR to identify risk factors affecting crude oil returns.

problem Determining the risk factors impacting crude oil returns.
method Employed Arbitrage Pricing Theory and Quantile Regression.
result Identified key risk factors: industrial production, inflation, energy prices, yield curve shape, and economic policy uncertainty.

The study examines how global economic policy uncertainty affects crude oil futures volatility.

problem Predicting crude oil futures volatility using global economic policy uncertainty.
method Established single-factor and two-factor models under the GARCH-MIDAS framework, tested with rolling-window and fixed-span specifications.
result GEPU changes have stronger predictive power than the GEPU index for crude oil futures volatility.

This study analyzes global oil trade networks to assess their efficiency and robustness.

problem Dynamic monitoring and warning of international trade risks in global oil trade.
method Constructing unweighted and weighted global oil trade networks (OTNs) using UN Comtrade data from 1988 to 2017, and applying complex network theories.
result Efficiency of oil flows increases with complexity of OTNs, and weighted efficiency indicators highlight major events.

A phase plot of the oil economy is built using the literature data of world oil production, price, and EROEI (Energy Returned on Energy Invested). An analogy between the oil economy and the Benard convection is proposed; some methods of interpretation and forecast of the system behavior are also shown based on "phase p…

2017-08-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper uses neural networks to analyze oil price impact on Iranian stock and industry indices.

problem Impact of oil price volatility on Tehran stock and industry indices.
method Feed-forward neural networks analysis of two periods: sanctions and post-sanctions.
result Neural networks predict stock and industry indices well, showing significant oil price volatility impact.

Study examines value relevance of oil and gas reserve disclosures in London Stock Exchange.

problem Uncertainty in oil and gas reserves poses accounting challenges for investors.
method Empirical analysis using archival data and multifactor framework.
result Changes in reserves and their components are associated with share returns, but insignificantly due to oil price and longitudinal effects. Quality of disclosures positively impacts share returns.

Study shows oil prices but not COVID-19 cases affect US economic policy uncertainty.

problem Effect of COVID-19 and crude oil prices on US economic policy uncertainty.
method Used ARDL model with daily data from January 21-March 13, 2020.
result Crude oil price dynamics increase US economic policy uncertainty, while COVID-19 cases have mixed effects.

The paper presents a method for detecting jump sizes in crude oil prices.

problem Detecting jump sizes in crude oil price data.
method Sequential hypothesis testing using infinitesimal generators and super-solutions.
result The method improves the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model for derivative and commodity market analysis.

Wavelet analysis reveals financialization effects on oil-food price correlation.

problem Investigating the correlation between oil and food prices and their determinants.
method Wavelet analysis and energy-based measures to differentiate high and low frequency movements.
result Significant local correlation between food and oil is due to financialization and emerging economies' demand.

This paper uses SampEn to measure and predict oil price volatility.

problem Measuring and predicting volatility in international oil prices.
method Sample Entropy (SampEn) compared with standard deviation; machine learning algorithms used.
result SampEn effectively predicts traditional volatility measures, especially during financial crises.

Methodology that recently lead us to predict to an amazing accuracy the date (July 11, 2008) of reverse of the oil price up trend is briefly summarized and some further aspects of the related oil price dynamics elaborated. This methodology is based on the concept of discrete scale invariance whose finance-prediction-or…

2008-08-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows how COVID-19 pandemic affected China's crude oil futures market efficiency.

problem Impact of COVID-19 on China's crude oil futures market efficiency.
method Multifractal analysis to compare market efficiency before and during the pandemic.
result Market efficiency of SC and its cross-correlations with other assets increased significantly after the outbreak of COVID-19.

Study shows adding correlated features doesn't improve LSTM model interpretability for oil stocks.

problem Improving interpretability of LSTM models for predicting oil company stocks.
method Designed and trained Standard LSTM networks using various correlated datasets.
result Adding correlated features does not enhance LSTM model interpretability.

The study finds a long-term relationship between Dubai crude oil and US natural gas prices.

problem Examining the relationship between Dubai crude oil and US natural gas prices.
method Used unit root and cointegration tests, ARDL cointegration technique, and Toda-Yamamoto causality test.
result There is a long-run relationship with unidirectional causality from Dubai crude oil to US natural gas.

Study uses a bivariate model to price crude oil futures.

problem Pricing crude oil futures using latent factors and state-space models.
method Modelled short and long term factors as OU processes, estimated using Kalman Filter and maximised Gaussian likelihood.
result Successfully estimated model parameters and factors from WTI Crude Oil NYMEX futures data.

Model predicts methane emissions from oil sands tailing ponds, suggesting significant environmental impact.

problem Estimating methane emissions from inactive oil sands tailing ponds.
method Physics constrained machine learning model using real-time weather data and laboratory experiments.
result Active oil sands tailing ponds emit between 950 to 1500 tonnes of methane per year, equivalent to 6000 gasoline vehicles.

We perform detrending moving average analysis (DMA) and detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) of the WTI crude oil futures prices (1983-2012) to investigate its efficiency. We further put forward a strict statistical test in the spirit of bootstrapping to verify the weak-form market efficiency hypothesis by employing th…

2012-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

New risk measures incorporate economic states to assess crude oil derivatives.

problem Assessing risk in crude oil derivatives with varying economic conditions.
method Introduced regime switching entropic risk measures using Markov chains.
result Closed formulae for risk measures derived, showing term structure and mean-reverting convenience yield.

Belief networks are a new, potentially important, class of knowledge-based models. ARCO1, currently under development at the Atlantic Richfield Company (ARCO) and the University of Southern California (USC), is the most advanced reported implementation of these models in a financial forecasting setting. ARCO1's underly…

2013-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper examines spillovers between agriculture, crude oil, carbon, and climate markets.

problem Understanding dynamic spillovers between agriculture, crude oil, carbon emission, and climate markets.
method A novel R2R^2 decomposed connectedness approach.
result Overall spillovers are mainly contemporaneous, not lagged; climate change significantly impacts others; agricultural markets have heterogeneous effects; corn is a major risk contributor.

The process of exploring and exploiting Oil and Gas (O&G) generates a lot of data that can bring more efficiency to the industry. The opportunities for using data mining techniques in the "digital oil-field" remain largely unexplored or uncharted. With the high rate of data expansion, companies are scrambling to develo…

2017-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗