arXiv research

Improved numerical solution for BSDEs with reduced boundary errors.

Method detects errors in numerical data using regression models.

Deep learning method improves numerical approximation of FBSDEs with jumps.

Study investigates how errors in reinsurance parameters degrade optimal solutions.

In this paper we propose a new kind of high order numerical scheme for backward stochastic differential equations(BSDEs). Unlike the traditional $θ$-scheme, we reduce truncation errors by taking $θ$ carefully for every subinterval according to the characteristics of integrands. We give error estimates of this nonlinear…

The study analyzes numerical stability in large language models using mixed-precision arithmetic.

Estimates domain truncation error for option pricing PDEs.

A fast Monte Carlo method for additive processes and option pricing.

A research frontier has emerged in scientific computation, wherein numerical error is regarded as a source of epistemic uncertainty that can be modelled. This raises several statistical challenges, including the design of statistical methods that enable the coherent propagation of probabilities through a (possibly dete…

New findings show score matching's accuracy doesn't ensure numerical stability in diffusion sampling.

In this paper, we treat the problem of evaluating the asymptotic error in a numerical integration scheme as one with inherent uncertainty. Adding to the growing field of probabilistic numerics, we show that Gaussian process regression (GPR) can be embedded into a numerical integration scheme to allow for (i) robust sel…

We propose a new method for the numerical solution of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) which finds its roots in Fourier analysis. The method consists of an Euler time discretization of the BSDE with certain conditional expectations expressed in terms of Fourier transforms and computed using the fast F…

Study on error rates for approximating rough volatility models.

Two-layer networks struggle with high frequencies due to numerical and computational limitations.

We provide a bound for the error committed when using a Fourier method to price European options when the underlying follows an exponential \levy dynamic. The price of the option is described by a partial integro-differential equation (PIDE). Applying a Fourier transformation to the PIDE yields an ordinary differential…

L-HNNs improve Bayesian inference by reducing gradient requirements and improving ESS.

The paper analyzes numerical instability in variational flows and proposes a diagnostic method.

MEDIDA discovers model errors in chaotic systems using sparse regression and data assimilation.

Improved method for numerical conformal mappings on complex domains.

We present a numerical scheme to calculate fluctuation identities for exponential Lévy processes in the continuous monitoring case. This includes the Spitzer identities for touching a single upper or lower barrier, and the more difficult case of the two-barriers exit problem. These identities are given in the Fourier-L…

Corrects local error estimates for UBU integrator in SDEs, improving complexity guarantees.

CNN improves medium-range temperature forecasts with limited resources.

FBSJNN solves PIDEs and FBSDEJs with deep learning, offering theoretical and numerical efficiency.

A new adaptive splitting method improves accuracy for Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model.

Integration of the form $\int_a^\infty {f(x)w(x)dx}$, where $w(x)$ is either $\sin (ω{\kern 1pt} x)$ or $\cos (ω{\kern 1pt} x)$, is widely encountered in many engineering and scientific applications, such as those involving Fourier or Laplace transforms. Often such integrals are approximated by a numerical integration…

New methods reduce extrapolation errors in feature importance.

Calibrated probabilistic solvers improve accuracy of ODE estimates.

The sigma-point filters, such as the UKF, which exploit numerical quadrature to obtain an additional order of accuracy in the moment transformation step, are popular alternatives to the ubiquitous EKF. The classical quadrature rules used in the sigma-point filters are motivated via polynomial approximation of the integ…

Unified kernel framework extends to stochastic systems, improving numerical stability.

For the numerical solution of the American option valuation problem, we provide a script written in MATLAB implementing an explicit finite difference scheme. Our main contribute is the definition of a posteriori error estimator for the American options pricing which is based on Richardson's extrapolation theory. This e…

The aim of this article is to design a moment transformation for Student- t distributed random variables, which is able to account for the error in the numerically computed mean. We employ Student-t process quadrature, an instance of Bayesian quadrature, which allows us to treat the integral itself as a random variable…

We consider assets for which price $X_t$ and squared volatility $Y_t$ are jointly driven by Heston joint stochastic differential equations (SDEs). When the parameters of these SDEs are estimated from $N$ sub-sampled data $(X_{nT}, Y_{nT})$, estimation errors do impact the classical option pricing PDEs. We estimate thes…

Neural ODEs' performance varies with numerical method, requiring adaptive step size control.

New method reduces Monte Carlo error in option pricing and Greeks estimation.

In this report, we derive a non-negative series expansion for the Jensen-Shannon divergence (JSD) between two probability distributions. This series expansion is shown to be useful for numerical calculations of the JSD, when the probability distributions are nearly equal, and for which, consequently, small numerical er…

Prior information can be incorporated in matrix completion to improve estimation accuracy and extrapolate the missing entries. Reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces provide tools to leverage the said prior information, and derive more reliable algorithms. This paper analyzes the generalization error of such approaches, and…

Improved pricing of vanilla options using modified Adams method and sinh-acceleration.

In this paper, we explore various statistical techniques for anomaly detection in conjunction with the popular Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) deep learning model for transportation networks. We obtain the prediction errors from an LSTM model, and then apply three statistical models based on (i) the Gaussian distribution…

Analysts use vague language in reports to convey useful information about future payoffs.

The accuracy of deep learning, i.e., deep neural networks, can be characterized by dividing the total error into three main types: approximation error, optimization error, and generalization error. Whereas there are some satisfactory answers to the problems of approximation and optimization, much less is known about th…

New method uses extreme value theory to estimate neural network errors.

Study on CVA in volatility models, including rough volatility.

We find approximate solutions of partial integro-differential equations, which arise in financial models when defaultable assets are described by general scalar Lévy-type stochastic processes. We derive rigorous error bounds for the approximate solutions. We also provide numerical examples illustrating the usefulness a…

Differentially private (DP) machine learning has recently become popular. The privacy loss of DP algorithms is commonly reported using $(\varepsilon,δ)$-DP. In this paper, we propose a numerical accountant for evaluating the privacy loss for algorithms with continuous one dimensional output. This accountant can be appl…

This paper develops algorithms for high-dimensional stochastic control problems based on deep learning and dynamic programming. Unlike classical approximate dynamic programming approaches, we first approximate the optimal policy by means of neural networks in the spirit of deep reinforcement learning, and then the valu…

Deep learning improves probabilistic PPDE solution accuracy.

This paper examines error bounds for deep learning classifiers with noisy labels.

Unified framework for blending ML and mechanistic models in dynamical systems.