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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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12.5%25.0%37.5%50.0% · May 199319922001200920172026
48 results for normal inference

Inference for normal and Monte Carlo distributions using minimum relative entropy.

problem Inference from partial information on expectations and covariances.
method Minimum relative entropy sub-manifolds, analytical formulas, Monte Carlo simulations.
result Improved numerical implementation for inference from partial information.

A new method learns latent space normalizing flow for approximate inference in generator models.

problem Approximate inference in generator models with complex posterior distributions.
method Jointly learns latent space normalizing flow and generator model using MCMC-based maximum likelihood.
result The short-run Langevin flow approximates the posterior and aligns with the normalizing flow prior.

Normalizing flow regression approximates posterior distributions without additional sampling.

problem Bayesian inference with computationally expensive likelihood evaluations.
method Normalizing flow regression (NFR) for offline inference.
result NFR yields a tractable posterior approximation through regression on existing log-density evaluations.

A method for estimating signal distributions from inverse problems using normalizing flows.

problem Estimating the distribution of the underlying signal from observations in inverse problems.
method A framework for approximate inference on a pre-trained unconditional flow model, using a composition of two flow models for stable variational inference.
result Our method produces high-quality samples with uncertainty quantification and can be amortized for zero-shot inference.

Cascading flows improve variational inference in structured programs.

problem Challenges in variational inference for complex probabilistic programs.
method Integrates normalizing flows and ASVI to create cascading flows, which embed the forward-pass of probabilistic programs.
result Cascading flows outperform normalizing flows and ASVI in structured inference problems.

Variational inference relies on flexible approximate posterior distributions. Normalizing flows provide a general recipe to construct flexible variational posteriors. We introduce Sylvester normalizing flows, which can be seen as a generalization of planar flows. Sylvester normalizing flows remove the well-known single…

2018-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

New method models longitudinal data using variational inference and normalizing flows.

problem Handling high-dimensional longitudinal data with time dependency.
method Variational inference with normalizing flows for latent variables.
result The method achieves better likelihood estimates and more reliable missing data imputation.

FlowVAT improves variational inference for multi-modal distributions.

problem Mode-seeking behavior and collapse in variational inference for complex posteriors.
method Conditional tempering approach for normalizing flow variational inference.
result FlowVAT outperforms traditional and adaptive annealing methods in multi-modal distributions, finding more modes and achieving better ELBO values.

A new method optimizes a generalized Kullback-Leibler divergence for better simulation-based inference.

problem Optimizing likelihood functions when they are only known implicitly.
method Optimizes a generalized Kullback-Leibler divergence that accounts for normalization constants in unnormalized distributions.
result Unified approach that combines Neural Posterior Estimation and Neural Ratio Estimation.

Improved phylogenetic inference with normalizing flows.

problem Limitations of current diagonal Lognormal branch length approximation in VBPI.
method Proposes VBPI-NF using normalizing flows to handle non-Euclidean branch length space.
result Significantly improves phylogenetic posterior estimation on real data.

Paper introduces geometry-aware normalizing flows for improved causal inference.

problem Disparity between sample and population distributions in causal inference.
method Integrates continuous normalizing flows with parametric submodels, employing Wasserstein gradient flows and optimal transport.
result Significantly reduces parameter estimation bias and variance in finite-sample settings.

SNPLA uses normalizing flows for efficient inference in implicit models.

problem Efficient inference in implicit models with complex likelihood and posterior learning.
method Sequential Neural Posterior and Likelihood Approximation (SNPLA) algorithm using normalizing flows.
result SNPLA achieves competitive performance with faster posterior draws compared to MCMC methods.

NoFAS combines variational inference and adaptive surrogate models for efficient inference of computationally expensive models.

problem Efficient inference of parameters from data with computationally expensive models.
method Variational inference with normalizing flow and adaptive surrogate model training.
result NoFAS reduces computational cost without sacrificing inferential accuracy.

As bandit algorithms are increasingly utilized in scientific studies and industrial applications, there is an associated increasing need for reliable inference methods based on the resulting adaptively-collected data. In this work, we develop methods for inference on data collected in batches using a bandit algorithm. …

2020-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Method measures weight similarity in neural networks using normalization and statistical inference.

problem Quantifying weight similarity in non-convex neural networks.
method Chain normalization rule and hypothesis-training-testing statistical inference.
result Weights of identical neural networks converge to similar local solutions.

In this work, we investigate Batch Normalization technique and propose its probabilistic interpretation. We propose a probabilistic model and show that Batch Normalization maximazes the lower bound of its marginalized log-likelihood. Then, according to the new probabilistic model, we design an algorithm which acts cons…

2018-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Stable training of deep normalizing flows for high-dimensional variational inference.

problem Training deep normalizing flows for high-dimensional posterior distributions is infeasible due to high stochastic gradient variance.
method Proposed a combination of soft-thresholding of scale and bijective soft log transformation to stabilize training.
result Stable training of Real NVPs for posterior distributions with thousands of dimensions is possible.

Paper introduces Categorical Normalizing Flows for better handling of categorical data.

problem Limited application of normalizing flows on categorical data due to lack of intrinsic order.
method Categorical Normalizing Flows use continuous transformations to model latent relations in categorical data, optimizing both continuous representation and model likelihood.
result GraphCNF, a permutation-invariant generative model, outperforms state-of-the-art on molecule generation.

Stochastic normalizing flows use SDEs for efficient training and sampling.

problem Efficient maximum likelihood estimation and variational inference.
method Continuous normalizing flows extended with stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and rough path theory.
result Stochastic normalizing flows enable efficient training and sampling from complex distributions.

Bayesian Gaussian Process ODEs enhanced with normalizing flows for improved flexibility and accuracy.

problem Limitations of standard Gaussian Process ODEs in modeling complex scenarios.
method Introducing normalizing flows to reparameterize the ODE vector field, developing a data-driven variational learning algorithm.
result Improved accuracy and uncertainty estimates for Bayesian Gaussian Process ODEs.

The choice of approximate posterior distribution is one of the core problems in variational inference. Most applications of variational inference employ simple families of posterior approximations in order to allow for efficient inference, focusing on mean-field or other simple structured approximations. This restricti…

2015-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Finet uses FBN for efficient, lightweight neural networks.

problem Building efficient neural networks with limited computational resources.
method Introduces Fine-grained Batch Normalization (FBN) and a novel light-weight network (Finet) that combines FBN with standard convolution.
result Finet achieves state-of-the-art performance on ImageNet classification with reduced computational complexity.

Paper establishes statistical inference for pairwise comparison models.

problem Statistical inference for pairwise comparison models when the number of subjects diverges.
method Identifies Fisher information matrix as a weighted graph Laplacian for asymptotic normality.
result Near-optimal asymptotic normality result for maximum likelihood estimator.

TTF improves performance of normalizing flows for heavy-tailed distributions.

problem Improving performance of normalizing flows for heavy-tailed distributions.
method Uses a Gaussian base distribution and a final transformation layer to produce heavy tails.
result Experimental results show TTF outperforms current methods, especially in high-dimensional or heavy-tailed scenarios.

Improved KL divergence estimators for normalizing flows lead to faster convergence and better approximations.

problem Estimating KL divergences for normalizing flows efficiently and accurately.
method Path-gradient estimators for reverse and forward KL divergences.
result Path-gradient estimators lead to faster convergence and better approximation results.

A new method for categorical variational inference using discrete normalizing flows.

problem Challenges in optimizing variational approximations for discrete latent variables.
method Differentiable reparameterization using a mixture of discrete normalizing flows.
result Improves optimization of evidence lower bound and reduces sensitivity to hyperparameters.

A key component of most neural network architectures is the use of normalization layers, such as Batch Normalization. Despite its common use and large utility in optimizing deep architectures, it has been challenging both to generically improve upon Batch Normalization and to understand the circumstances that lend them…

2019-06-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We present the discrete infinite logistic normal distribution (DILN), a Bayesian nonparametric prior for mixed membership models. DILN is a generalization of the hierarchical Dirichlet process (HDP) that models correlation structure between the weights of the atoms at the group level. We derive a representation of DILN…

2011-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Normalizing flows provide a general mechanism for defining expressive probability distributions, only requiring the specification of a (usually simple) base distribution and a series of bijective transformations. There has been much recent work on normalizing flows, ranging from improving their expressive power to expa…

2019-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This work uses Sylvester normalizing flows for more accurate metabolite quantification in MRS.

problem Challenges in accurate metabolite quantification in MRS due to spectral overlap, low SNR, and artifacts.
method Bayesian inference framework with physics-informed Sylvester normalizing flows.
result Accurate metabolite quantification, well-calibrated uncertainties, and insights into parameter correlations and multi-modal distributions.

Estimates parameters in max-linear Bayesian networks with noise.

problem Causal inference in extreme-value settings with noise parameters.
method Max-plus algebra and logarithm transformation, normal distribution estimation, EM algorithm and quadratic optimization.
result An estimator of a parameter for each edge in a DAG is normally distributed.

Paper proposes a federated learning method for quantile inference with local differential privacy.

problem Federated learning of quantile inference under local differential privacy constraints.
method Local stochastic gradient descent with randomized mechanism for privacy and efficiency.
result Asymptotic normality and functional central limit theorem for the proposed estimator.