Boosts hazard estimation with time-varying covariates using gradient boosting.
problem Estimating nonparametric hazard functions with time-dependent covariates.
method Gradient boosting procedure for nonparametric hazard estimation.
result Step-size restriction prevents overfitting and ensures convergence.
QSurv models survival data without discretization, achieving high accuracy.
problem Intractable likelihood estimation for continuous-time survival models.
method QSurv uses numerical quadrature for cumulative hazard approximation and time-conditioned low-rank adaptation.
result QSurv achieves competitive predictive performance and interpretable hazard patterns.
Develops a method to estimate average hazard under non-proportional hazards without relying on proportional hazards assumption.
problem Estimation of treatment effects when hazards are non-proportional, leading to unstable hazard ratios.
method Semiparametric, doubly robust framework for covariate-adjusted average hazard estimation.
result Valid sqrt{n} inference with small bias and near-nominal confidence-interval coverage across proportional and non-proportional hazards settings.
BoXHED boosts hazard estimation for dynamic health risk scores.
problem Analyzing time-varying health vitals for disease onset prediction.
method Gradient boosting for nonparametric hazard function estimation with time-dependent covariates.
result Novel interaction effects among risk factors identified in cardiovascular disease onset data.
Flexible DNN for survival data, avoiding proportional hazards assumption.
problem Survival analysis with complex interactions and non-proportional hazards.
method Partially linear DNN model with a flexible nonparametric component.
result FLEXI-Haz achieves optimal convergence rates and asymptotic efficiency.
Bayesian model for survival analysis using Gaussian processes.
problem Handling various types of censoring and nonparametric modeling of survival data.
method Semi-parametric Bayesian model with a Gaussian process for nonparametric variation.
result Model performs better than competing methods on synthetic and real data.
BoXHED2.0 boosts survival analysis for complex data.
problem Survival analysis with time-dependent covariates.
method Tree-boosted hazard estimator, fully nonparametric, scalable.
result Scalable to parametric boosted survival models in speed.
KAPLAN-HR models survival data without manual interactions, outperforming existing methods.
problem Survival analysis challenges with complex covariates and time-varying effects.
method Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) for nonparametric hazard estimation.
result KAPLAN-HR matches or exceeds existing methods in clinical survival data.
To better understand the interplay of censoring and sparsity we develop finite sample properties of nonparametric Cox proportional hazard's model. Due to high impact of sequencing data, carrying genetic information of each individual, we work with over-parametrized problem and propose general class of group penalties s…
A new model avoids the PH assumption for right-censored survival data.
problem Inflexibility of Cox model when PH assumption fails.
method Deep partially linear transformation model (DPLTM) for right-censored data.
result The DPLTM avoids the curse of dimensionality and retains interpretability.
LDR models survival with competing risks using nonparametric Bayesian approach.
problem Survival analysis with competing risks and non-monotonic covariate effects.
method Lomax delegate racing, data augmentation, Gibbs sampler, stochastic gradient descent.
result Distinguished performance in survival analysis with competing risks.
Unified framework for counterfactual survival analysis improves treatment effect estimation.
problem Limited methods for counterfactual inference with survival outcomes.
method Unified framework for survival outcomes, nonparametric hazard ratio metric.
result Significantly outperforms alternatives in survival-outcome prediction and treatment-effect estimation.
Develops asymptotic theory for deep Cox models to enable valid inference.
problem Theoretical gaps in deep neural network estimators for Cox models.
method Asymptotic distribution theory linking in-sample optimization error to population risk.
result Pointwise and multivariate asymptotic normality for subsampled ensemble estimators.
optHSIC tests independence between covariates and censored lifetimes using optimal transport.
problem Testing independence between a covariate and right-censored lifetimes.
method optHSIC uses optimal transport to transform censored data into uncensored data, then applies a permutation test with a kernel-based dependence measure.
result optHSIC has power against a wider class of alternatives than Cox regression and maintains type 1 error control even when censoring depends on the covariate.
Study explains mortgage burnout using Cox hazard models.
problem Understanding burnout in mortgage pools.
method Modeling mortgage prepayment using Cox hazard processes.
result Observed pool hazard is a survival-weighted mean of individual hazards with a selection term.
New method estimates hazard ratios without bias in observational studies.
problem Uninterpretable hazard ratios due to unspecified baseline hazard.
method Kernel-based machine learning to model risk set changes.
result Debiased maximum-likelihood estimators identify true hazard ratios.
The paper proposes a new method for clustering survival data using smoothed log-hazard trajectories.
problem Clustering survival data based on instantaneous risk dynamics.
method Functional Principal Component Analysis applied to B-spline smoothed log-hazard trajectories.
result The proposed method provides an interpretable representation of relative temporal risk dynamics.
Study analyzes shunt thrombosis recurrence in dialysis patients, adjusting for competing risks.
problem Analyzing shunt thrombosis recurrence in dialysis patients with competing risks.
method Formulated under recurrent events data framework, applied IPCW for adjusted inference, used bootstrap for further inference.
result Validated large sample properties and finite-sample performances of proposed methods.
Novel approach to compute hazard ratios from observational studies using SCMs and backdoor adjustment.
problem Identifying causal relationships from observational data using hazard ratios.
method Backdoor adjustment through structural causal models (SCMs) and do-calculus.
result Novel approach for computing hazard ratios from observational studies.
This paper extends FTPL algorithms for bandits beyond bounded hazard rate assumptions.
problem Adversarial multi-armed bandit problem with perturbations.
method Introduces new regret bounds for FTPL algorithms without bounded hazard rate assumption.
result Gaussian distribution leads to near optimal regret, up to logarithmic factors.
Unified model estimates landslide hazard combining susceptibility, intensity, and frequency.
problem Lack of unified statistical models for landslide hazard estimation.
method Deep learning combined with extreme-value theory.
result Model performs excellently and can estimate hazard for multiple return periods.
EdgeLite detects hazardous supermarket floors, improving safety.
problem Detecting hazardous conditions on supermarket floors to prevent injuries.
method Developed a lightweight deep learning model, EdgeLite, for edge devices.
result EdgeLite outperformed state-of-the-art models in detecting hazards on supermarket floors.
Nonasymptotic error bounds and strong consistency rates for survival analysis methods.
problem Establishing reliable error bounds and consistency rates for survival analysis methods.
method Nonasymptotic error bounds for Kaplan-Meier-based nearest neighbor and kernel survival probability estimators in metric spaces.
result Rates of strong consistency match existing lower bounds for conditional CDF estimation.
Bayesian model for cost-effectiveness analysis with subgroup discovery.
problem Statistical challenges in cost-effectiveness analysis, especially with non-random treatment assignment and censored data.
method Developed a nonparametric Bayesian model using Dirichlet and Gamma processes to estimate cost-survival distributions and identify cost-effectiveness subgroups.
result Identified and estimated policy-relevant causal CEA estimands using a Bayesian nonparametric g-computation procedure.
Paper proposes a method to identify wind hazard types and predict extreme wind speeds.
problem Difficulty in identifying wind hazard types from meteorological data records.
method Numerical pattern recognition method with feature extraction and generalization.
result Algorithm performance validated using K-fold cross-validation and real-world data.
Spatially-aware model improves earthquake hazard assessment accuracy.
problem Misrepresentation of seismic effects across diverse landscapes.
method Causal Bayesian network with Gaussian Processes and normalizing flows.
result Achieves up to 35.2% AUC improvement over existing methods.
New method estimates treatment effects in high-dimensional survival data.
problem Estimating causal effects for survival outcomes with many covariates.
method Orthogonal score method and Hazards Difference (HDi) estimator for high-dimensional additive hazards model.
result Valid inference for conditional treatment effect under high-dimensional setting.
Optimal contracts remain linear in output when both moral hazard and adverse selection are present.
problem Optimal compensation problems involving competing principals with uncertainty from both moral hazard and adverse selection.
method Continuous-time setting with risk-averse agent controlling drift of output process driven by Brownian motion. Shows linear contracts hold under type-dependent reservation utilities.
result Optimal contracts remain linear in output when both moral hazard and adverse selection are present.
Study optimal reinsurance contracts to prevent moral hazard under non-concave premium principles.
problem Preventing moral hazard in reinsurance contracts under non-concave premium principles.
method Develops optimal reinsurance contracts under a diffusion risk model with incentive compatibility constraints and extended distortion premium principles.
result An optimal reinsurance contract exists and is characterized by solving a double obstacle problem.
Study detects anomalies in robot vision data to predict hazards.
problem Detecting unexpected hazards in robot exploration data.
method Anomaly detection using autoencoders at different scales.
result Autoencoders improve anomaly detection performance on diverse robot scenarios.
Proposes a new model to analyze CT scans for lung cancer patients.
problem Analyzing survival risks of lung cancer patients using CT scans.
method Penalized Deep Partially Linear Cox Model (Penalized DPLC) incorporating SCAD penalty and deep neural network.
result The model effectively selects important texture features and estimates nonparametric components.
Study examines survival models for ALS, focusing on proportional hazards assumption.
problem Impact of proportional hazards assumption on survival models for ALS.
method Theoretical and empirical investigation of survival forests and their variants.
result Alternative split procedures can improve model performance in non-proportional hazards situations.
In this paper, we provide a solution to two problems which have been open in default time modeling in credit risk. We first show that if τ is an arbitrary random (default) time such that its Azéma's supermartingale $Z_t^τ=¶(τ>t|\F_t)$ is continuous, then τ avoids stopping times. We then disprove a conjecture about …
Method maps gaze fixations to hazards for safer construction.
problem Unrecognized hazards pose safety risks to construction workers.
method Instance segmentation using transfer learning.
result Mapped gaze data improves understanding of hazard recognition.
Authors prove the existence of a martingale measure in credit risk models.
problem Existence of an equivalent martingale measure in hazard process models of credit risk.
method By identifying a no-arbitrage condition, the authors construct a measure that turns discounted stock and bond prices into martingales.
result The existence of a martingale measure is demonstrated in credit risk models.
Federated Cox model handles non-proportional hazards in siloed data.
problem Handling non-proportional hazards in federated healthcare data.
method Developed a federated Cox model that relaxes proportional hazards assumption.
result Federated model performs similarly to standard models on clinical datasets.
This paper proposes a decorrelation-based approach to test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals for the low dimensional component of high dimensional proportional hazards models. Motivated by the geometric projection principle, we propose new decorrelated score, Wald and partial likelihood ratio statistics. Wi…
Proposes a new AFT model for nonlinear survival data.
problem Limited ability of classical AFT models to represent nonlinear relationships and handle complex covariate structures.
method Structured nonparametric extension using Kolmogorov--Arnold representations and unified censoring-adjusted losses.
result Method captures nonlinear effects and recovers linear structure when appropriate.
ICODEN models survival data with interval-censored times using neural networks and ODEs.
problem Predicting time-to-event outcomes with interval-censored data, especially when models require strong assumptions or cannot handle high-dimensional predictors.
method ICODEN uses ordinary differential equations and deep neural networks to model the hazard function and cumulative hazard without proportional hazards assumption.
result ICODEN achieves satisfactory predictive accuracy across various simulation and real-world applications, handling high-dimensional predictors robustly.
The paper develops a filtering framework for estimating hazard rates with jumps in financial and insurance applications.
problem Estimating hazard rates with unobservable change-points in financial and insurance contexts.
method Continuous-time filtering framework using progressive enlargement of filtration, stochastic differential equations, and sensitivity analysis.
result Explicit formula for survival probability conditional on partial information.
Proposes FarmHazard model for hazard regression with correlated covariates.
problem Model selection challenges in high-dimensional data with correlated covariates.
method Factor-Augmented Regularized Model for Hazard Regression (FarmHazard) that learns latent factors and idiosyncratic components.
result Proves model selection and estimation consistency under mild conditions.
Edge-based sensor network monitors natural hazards efficiently.
problem Fast decision making in natural hazard warning systems.
method Event-triggered micro-seismic sensors, co-detection, machine learning, convolutional neural networks.
result Real-time hazard monitoring with low power consumption.
A method for predicting survival using neural networks for both continuous and discrete time.
problem Survival prediction for both continuous and discrete time data.
method Proposes a scheme for discretizing continuous-time data and two interpolation schemes for continuous-time survival estimates.
result The hazard rate parametrization of neural networks yields better performance than the parametrization of the probability mass function.
The paper solves an insurance problem using mean-variance and rank-dependent utility theory.
problem Formulating and solving an insurance problem with rank-dependent utility and mean-variance premium principle.
method Formulated as a non-concave maximization problem, then turned into a concave quantile optimization problem, solved using calculus of variations.
result An optimal insurance contract is derived and numerically computed.
Paper connects Plackett-Luce and Cox models for preference estimation.
problem Estimating preferences from annotated data.
method Connects Plackett-Luce model to Cox Proportional Hazards model.
result Implications of the connection between the two models.
DeepHazard uses neural networks to predict time-varying survival risks.
problem Traditional survival models assume proportional hazards and do not account for time-varying covariate information.
method DeepHazard is a neural network approach that models time-varying hazards without proportional hazards assumption.
result DeepHazard outperforms existing methods in predicting survival time, as shown by C-index metrics on real datasets.
CoxSE combines deep learning with self-explaining neural networks for survival analysis.
problem Improving predictive power of Cox Proportional Hazards model while maintaining explainability.
method Proposes CoxSE, a locally explainable Cox proportional hazards model using SENN, and CoxSENAM, a hybrid model with NAM.
result CoxSE provides more stable and consistent explanations while maintaining predictive power.
The paper finds optimal insurance contracts in behavioral finance, avoiding moral hazard.
problem Finding optimal insurance contracts that avoid moral hazard in a behavioral finance framework.
method Formulated as a non-concave maximization problem involving Choquet expectation, then solved using calculus of variations.
result Optimal contracts are found for certain values of safety loading, with some contracts never optimal for others.