We find a convex model for traditional nonlinear regression under L2 loss.
problem Nonlinear regression under L2 loss with non-convex optimization.
method Showed a convex nonlinear regression model for least squares problem.
result Existence of a convex model simplifies training complex systems.
A new optimizer, MVO, improves nonlinear regression performance.
problem Finding optimal coefficients in nonlinear regression models.
method Multi-Verse Optimizer (MVO) compared to Particle Swarm Optimizer (PSO).
result MVO statistically outperforms PSO in 10 nonlinear regression problems.
Proposes KAR for nonlinear causal discovery using kernel methods.
problem Learning causal relationships in nonlinear settings.
method Kernel anchor regression (KAR) with improved three-stage nonparametric regression.
result KAR outperforms existing methods in nonlinear causal discovery.
Bayesian method improves predictions in overparameterized nonlinear regression.
problem Understanding overparameterization in nonlinear regression models.
method Bayesian framework with adaptive prior considering data spectral structure.
result Posterior contraction established for generalized linear and single-neuron models, demonstrating prediction consistency.
Proposes a new method for nonlinear Bayesian updates using ensemble kernel regression.
problem Nonlinear and non-Gaussian Bayesian updates for complex systems.
method Combines Kalman filtering for observed components and kernel density estimation for unobserved components, with subsampling and clustering.
result Reduces estimation errors in highly nonlinear scenarios compared to standard linear updates.
Novel algorithm identifies nonlinear Granger causal relationships using kernel ridge regression.
problem Identification of nonlinear Granger causal relationships.
method Flexible plug-in architecture with kernel ridge regression using radial basis function.
result Kernel ridge regression in mlcausality achieves competitive AUC scores and more finely calibrated p-values.
We simplify complex regression coefficients using linearization and feature comparison.
problem Interpreting high-dimensional regression coefficients from nonlinear responses.
method Developed a linearization method to derive feature coefficients and compare them with regression coefficients.
result Shows how regression coefficients relate to linearized feature coefficients and how they change under regularization.
ADA augments data using AR replicas for robust regression.
problem Improving robustness in nonlinear over-parametrized regression.
method Extends Anchor regression (AR) for data augmentation, using replicas of modified samples.
result ADA provides more robust regression predictions compared to state-of-the-art solutions.
A method for estimating nonlinear regression errors and their distributions without performing regression is presented. Assuming continuity of the modeling function the variance is given in terms of conditional probabilities extracted from the data. For N data points the computational demand is N2. Comparing the predic…
In this paper, we introduce a new machine learning (ML) model for nonlinear regression called the Boosted Smooth Transition Regression Trees (BooST), which is a combination of boosting algorithms with smooth transition regression trees. The main advantage of the BooST model is the estimation of the derivatives (partial…
TRNN combines tensor geometry with neural network nonlinearity for HD data.
problem Modeling high-dimensional data with preserved tensor geometry and nonlinear interactions.
method Introduces TRNN that integrates tensor geometry and neural network nonlinearity.
result TRNN preserves tensor geometry while offering nonlinearity.
Bayesian framework improves robustness in nonlinear regression models.
problem Measurement error, model misspecification, and distributional misspecification in regression analyses.
method Joint Dirichlet process prior on latent covariate-response distribution, updating with posterior pseudo-samples.
result Improved stability and consistency in estimators under increasing measurement error.
Study enhances robustness of In-CVaR based regression models under perturbation and contamination.
problem Enhancing robustness of nonlinear regression models under perturbation and contamination.
method Introduces interval conditional value-at-risk (In-CVaR) and rigorously analyzes its robustness properties under both perturbation and contamination.
result The In-CVaR based estimator is qualitatively robust in terms of the Prokhorov metric if and only if the largest portion of losses is trimmed.
We propose a new method for input variable selection in nonlinear regression. The method is embedded into a kernel regression machine that can model general nonlinear functions, not being a priori limited to additive models. This is the first kernel-based variable selection method applicable to large datasets. It sides…
Paper introduces XBART for nonlinear regression, outperforming XGBoost.
problem Nonlinear regression problems, especially in speed and accuracy.
method Combines Bayesian modeling and recursive partitioning for efficient, accurate predictions.
result XBART provides faster and more accurate predictions than XGBoost.
RVFL NNs perform well without direct links and output bias for regression.
problem Effect of direct links and output bias on RVFL performance.
method Classical and two new methods for generating hidden nodes' parameters tested.
result Direct links and output bias do not significantly improve RVFL accuracy for typical nonlinear regression problems.
A hybrid algorithm combines optimization and enumeration for symbolic regression.
problem Finding any function from a set of operators without prior specification.
method Mixed-integer nonlinear optimization with explicit enumeration and constraints.
result The hybrid algorithm is competitive with state-of-the-art methods.
Study reveals how manifold geometry impacts linear regression solutions.
problem Impact of manifold geometry on linear regression solutions.
method Linear regression applied to manifold-structured data, focusing on extrinsic geometry.
result Linear regression does not have a unique solution on flat manifolds.
Extends RRR to capture nonlinear interactions in multi-response regression.
problem Complex relationships in real-world data cannot be adequately modeled by linear interactions.
method Introduces Higher Order Reduced Rank Regression (HORRR) using tensor representations and Tucker decomposition.
result HORRR can capture nonlinear interactions in multi-response regression.
This note introduces a regression technique for finding a class of nonlinear integro-differential operators from data. The method parametrizes the spatial operator with neural networks and Fourier transforms such that it can fit a class of nonlinear operators without needing a library of a priori selected operators. We…
OKRidge solves sparse ridge regression problems for nonlinear systems.
problem Identifying sparse governing equations for nonlinear dynamical systems.
method OKRidge algorithm using saddle point formulation and ADMM-based approach with efficient proximal operators.
result OKRidge achieves provable optimality with significantly faster run times than Gurobi.
Extends deep learning for nonlinear Cox regression variable selection.
problem Variable selection for nonlinear Cox regression model.
method Extends LassoNet to survival data for nonlinear Cox model.
result Valid and effective method demonstrated through simulations.
Nonlinear independent component analysis (ICA) is a general framework for unsupervised representation learning, and aimed at recovering the latent variables in data. Recent practical methods perform nonlinear ICA by solving a series of classification problems based on logistic regression. However, it is well-known that…
Enhances kernel regression with network data for better predictions.
problem Improving predictive power in high-dimensional data.
method Combines kernel regression with network cohesion data to model nonlinearities.
result Significantly better predictive performances in high-dimensional data.
Method estimates parameters of complex nonlinear systems.
problem Parameter estimation for nonlinear systems with derivative states.
method Regularized linear regression using differentiation filtering and least squares.
result Finite-sample bound on mean absolute error of estimation.
We study parameter estimation and asymptotic inference for sparse nonlinear regression. More specifically, we assume the data are given by y=f(x⊤β∗)+ε, where f is nonlinear. To recover β∗, we propose an ℓ1-regularized least-squares estimator. Unlike classical linear regression, the correspondin…
A new model approximates complex functions in parameter space.
problem Complex and nonlinear functional regression problems.
method Mapping-to-Parameter function model with B-spline free knot placement.
result Robust knot placement algorithms improve model performance.
New techniques improve the accuracy of identifying nonlinear systems from noisy data.
problem Identifying nonlinear dynamical systems from noisy state measurements.
method Comparative study of local and global smoothing techniques to denoise state measurements and improve sparse regression methods.
result Global smoothing methods outperform local methods in improving the accuracy of governing equation recovery.
KRCD detects unobserved confounders in nonlinear observational data.
problem Detecting unobserved confounders in nonlinear observational studies.
method Kernel Regression Confounder Detection (KRCD) using reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
result KRCD outperforms existing methods and achieves superior computational efficiency.
To construct flexible nonlinear predictive distributions, the paper introduces a family of softplus function based regression models that convolve, stack, or combine both operations by convolving countably infinite stacked gamma distributions, whose scales depend on the covariates. Generalizing logistic regression that…
SplitWise enhances stepwise regression by adaptively encoding numeric predictors into binary features.
problem Capturing nonlinear relationships in regression models without sacrificing interpretability.
method Adaptive encoding of numeric predictors into binary features using shallow decision trees, assessed by AIC or BIC.
result Consistently produces more parsimonious and generalizable models than traditional techniques.
A new deep neural network tackles nonlinear functional regression with improved dimensionality reduction.
problem Nonlinear functional regression in infinite-dimensional functional data analysis.
method Functional deep neural network with adaptive kernel embedding and projection steps.
result Explicit rates of approximating nonlinear smooth functionals are derived, and the network is shown to be effective in both simulated and real datasets.
For various applications, the relations between the dependent and independent variables are highly nonlinear. Consequently, for large scale complex problems, neural networks and regression trees are commonly preferred over linear models such as Lasso. This work proposes learning the feature nonlinearities by binning fe…
DFIV uses deep neural nets to learn nonlinear features in IV regression.
problem Learning causal relationships from observational data with nonlinear interactions.
method DFIV trains deep neural nets to define nonlinear features on instruments and treatments, alternating training to compose stages 1 and 2.
result DFIV outperforms state-of-the-art methods on IV benchmarks and off-policy policy evaluation.
CAG method predicts nonlinear solid mechanics responses in real-time with high accuracy and efficiency.
problem Real-time prediction of nonlinear solid mechanics responses.
method Clustering adaptive Gaussian process regression (CAG) method.
result Offers predictions within a second with high precision using only 20 samples.
Develops estimators for near-optimal linear regression under distribution shift.
problem Linear regression under distribution shift with scarce target domain data.
method Minimax linear risk estimators covering various transfer learning settings.
result Achieves near-optimal risk for linear regression problems under distribution shift.
The term structure of credit spreads is studied with an aim to predict its future movements. A completely new approach to tackle this problem is presented, which utilizes nonlinear parametric models. The Brain-Cousens regression model with five parameters is chosen to describe the term structure of credit spreads. Furt…
New meta-learning method handles nonlinear tasks for faster convergence.
problem Meta-learning with nonlinear representations and tasks.
method Derive theoretical guarantees with regularization in RKHS.
result Improved rates scaling with the number of tasks.
Researchers develop a method to control nonlinear systems with Koopman operator regression.
problem Controlling nonlinear systems with finite action spaces.
method Koopman operator regression for dynamics estimation and model predictive control for control.
result The method yields a linear switching predictive model for control.
New method tests independence with single nonstationary time series.
problem Testing independence in nonstationary nonlinear time series.
method Time-varying nonlinear regression, local long-run covariance estimation, strong Gaussian approximation.
result First framework for conditional independence testing with a single realization of a nonstationary nonlinear process.
The term structure of interest rates or yield curve is a function relating the interest rate with its own term. Nonlinear regression models of Nelson-Siegel and Svensson were used to estimate the yield curve using a sample of historical data supplied by the National Stock Exchange of Costa Rica. The optimization proble…
Two models predict net loan losses using Bayesian and frequentist regression.
problem Predicting net loan losses using financial and sociological data.
method Bayesian and frequentist regression analysis.
result Improved understanding of net loan loss relationships.
Bayesian model uses simple functions to forecast macroeconomic data.
problem Forecasting large datasets in macroeconomics with complex nonlinear relationships.
method Sum of simple two-component location mixtures, logistic function threshold, conjugate priors.
result Accurate point and density forecasts in US macroeconomic aggregates.
Probit regression was first proposed by Bliss in 1934 to study mortality rates of insects. Since then, an extensive body of work has analyzed and used probit or related binary regression methods (such as logistic regression) in numerous applications and fields. This paper provides a fresh angle to such well-established…
Nonlinear kernel regression models are often used in statistics and machine learning because they are more accurate than linear models. Variable selection for kernel regression models is a challenge partly because, unlike the linear regression setting, there is no clear concept of an effect size for regression coeffici…
A framework detects nonlinear and interaction effects in epidemiological data with uncertainty quantification.
problem Lack of reliable inference for ML-discovered nonlinearities and interactions in epidemiological data.
method Combines Bayesian sparse regression, tree ensembles, and Shapley values.
result Valid uncertainty quantification for feature effects at the individual level.
This paper analyzes the interpolation error of nonlinear Attention compared to linear regression.
problem Understanding the interpolation error of nonlinear Attention in high-dimensional settings.
method Derives explicit expressions for mean-squared interpolation error using signal-plus-noise model and random matrix theory.
result Nonlinear Attention generally incurs a larger interpolation error than linear regression, but this gap can be reversed with structured signals.
Semi-parametric framework for nonlinear system identification
problem Nonlinear system identification
method Orthogonal Gaussian process regression
result Interpretable models from incomplete physics