A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study combines VICReg and TNC for better encoding of non-stationary seismic signals.
Study causal financial signals for non-stationary markets, improving short-term forecasts.
Develops large-sample theory for non-stationary source separation.
Framework for causal signals in non-stationary financial markets.
New algorithm tackles non-stationary delayed feedback in recommender systems.
New algorithm for decomposing multidimensional, non-stationary signals.
DILATE improves deep time series forecasting for non-stationary signals.
Reinforcement learning (RL) methods learn optimal decisions in the presence of a stationary environment. However, the stationary assumption on the environment is very restrictive. In many real world problems like traffic signal control, robotic applications, one often encounters situations with non-stationary environme…
This paper proposes a novel kernel-based optimization scheme to handle tasks in the analysis, e.g., signal spectral estimation and single-channel source separation of 1D non-stationary oscillatory data. The key insight of our optimization scheme for reconstructing the time-frequency information is that when a nonparame…
This paper proposes a novel Gaussian process approach to fault removal in time-series data. Fault removal does not delete the faulty signal data but, instead, massages the fault from the data. We assume that only one fault occurs at any one time and model the signal by two separate non-parametric Gaussian process model…
I propose a frequency domain adaptation of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm to group a family of time series in classes of similar dynamic structure. It does this by viewing the magnitude of the discrete Fourier transform (DFT) of each signal (or power spectrum) as a probability density/mass function (pdf/pm…
We present a novel approach for fully non-stationary Gaussian process regression (GPR), where all three key parameters -- noise variance, signal variance and lengthscale -- can be simultaneously input-dependent. We develop gradient-based inference methods to learn the unknown function and the non-stationary model param…
Efficient GP framework for scalable non-stationary processes.
Deep learning has become an area of interest in most scientific areas, including physical sciences. Modern networks apply real-valued transformations on the data. Particularly, convolutions in convolutional neural networks discard phase information entirely. Many deterministic signals, such as seismic data or electrica…
High-dimensional always-changing environments constitute a hard challenge for current reinforcement learning techniques. Artificial agents, nowadays, are often trained off-line in very static and controlled conditions in simulation such that training observations can be thought as sampled i.i.d. from the entire observa…
This paper proposes non-stationary factor models for financial stress in the UK.
Enhances DSN with multi-family wavelet transforms and sparsity.
Pairs trading strategy improved using Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.
Natural spatiotemporal processes can be highly non-stationary in many ways, e.g. the low-level non-stationarity such as spatial correlations or temporal dependencies of local pixel values; and the high-level variations such as the accumulation, deformation or dissipation of radar echoes in precipitation forecasting. Fr…
Plants sense their environment by producing electrical signals which in essence represent changes in underlying physiological processes. These electrical signals, when monitored, show both stochastic and deterministic dynamics. In this paper, we compute 11 statistical features from the raw non-stationary plant electric…
NAST generalizes scattering transform for non-stationary time series analysis.
Adaptive beamforming collapses in highly non-stationary environments, but the Universal Switching Beamformer resolves this by dynamically adjusting memory length.
A new model classifies lightning signals more accurately across different scales.
We propose a new class of transforms that we call {\it Lehmer Transform} which is motivated by the {\it Lehmer mean function}. The proposed {\it Lehmer transform} decomposes a function of a sample into their constituting statistical moments. Theoretical properties of the proposed transform are presented. This transform…
The construction of synthetic complex-valued signals from real-valued observations is an important step in many time series analysis techniques. The most widely used approach is based on the Hilbert transform, which maps the real-valued signal into its quadrature component. In this paper, we define a probabilistic gene…
We have introduce a new vision of stochastic processes through the geometry induced by the dilation. The dilation matrices of a given processes are obtained by a composition of rotations matrices, contain the measure information in a condensed way. Particularly interesting is the fact that the obtention of dilation mat…
We study the problem of sampling a bandlimited graph signal in the presence of noise, where the objective is to select a node subset of prescribed cardinality that minimizes the signal reconstruction mean squared error (MSE). To that end, we formulate the task at hand as the minimization of MSE subject to binary constr…
We introduce a novel kernel that models input-dependent couplings across multiple latent processes. The pairwise joint kernel measures covariance along inputs and across different latent signals in a mutually-dependent fashion. A latent correlation Gaussian process (LCGP) model combines these non-stationary latent comp…
Framework uses RL with dynamic embedding to outperform benchmarks in volatile markets.
Transformer model predicts train axle vibrations for safer maintenance.
We introduce an algorithm for the segmentation of a class of regime switching processes. The segmentation algorithm is a non parametric statistical method able to identify the regimes (patches) of the time series. The process is composed of consecutive patches of variable length, each patch being described by a station…
New definition resolves ambiguity in non-stationary bandit classification.
SmoothFBO tackles non-stationary functional bilevel optimization.
Real music signals are highly variable, yet they have strong statistical structure. Prior information about the underlying physical mechanisms by which sounds are generated and rules by which complex sound structure is constructed (notes, chords, a complete musical score), can be naturally unified using Bayesian modell…
Imitation learning algorithms can be used to learn a policy from expert demonstrations without access to a reward signal. However, most existing approaches are not applicable in multi-agent settings due to the existence of multiple (Nash) equilibria and non-stationary environments. We propose a new framework for multi-…
TNC learns time series representations by leveraging temporal neighborhoods.
Proposes a new algorithm for non-stationary bandits.
In this paper we analyze the asymptotic properties of l1 penalized maximum likelihood estimation of signals with piece-wise constant mean values and/or variances. The focus is on segmentation of a non-stationary time series with respect to changes in these model parameters. This change point detection and estimation pr…
Transformers achieve near-optimal dynamic regret in non-stationary reinforcement learning.
Study incentivizes exploration in non-stationary MAB with compensation.
New algorithm tackles non-stationary reinforcement learning with general function approximation.
Proposes a method to forecast non-stationary time series.
New definitions of ESP for quantum reservoir computing handle non-stationary systems.
We propose non-stationary spectral kernels for Gaussian process regression. We propose to model the spectral density of a non-stationary kernel function as a mixture of input-dependent Gaussian process frequency density surfaces. We solve the generalised Fourier transform with such a model, and present a family of non-…
Swift-Sarsa combines TD learning with Sarsa to control tasks robustly.
Algorithm adapts to non-stationary rewards without prior knowledge.
This paper develops the first method for the exact simulation of reflected Brownian motion (RBM) with non-stationary drift and infinitesimal variance. The running time of generating exact samples of non-stationary RBM at any time is uniformly bounded by where is the average drift of…
Unified review of methods for inferring non-stationary process parameters.