Paper introduces non-linear discounting models for default compensation and climate valuation.
problem Valuation of non-replicable value and damage under default risk.
method Develops two models: one for risk-neutralising discounting and another for survival probability dependent discounting.
result Non-decaying discount factors (negative discount rates) are possible under certain scenarios.
This papers addresses the stock option pricing problem in a continuous time market model where there are two stochastic tradable assets, and one of them is selected as a numéraire. It is shown that the presence of arbitrarily small stochastic deviations in the evolution of the numéraire process causes significant chang…
In an incomplete market setting, we consider two financial agents, who wish to price and trade a non-replicable contingent claim. Assuming that the agents are utility maximizers, we propose a transaction price which is a result of the minimization of a convex combination of their utility differences. We call this price…
We study the set of marginal utility-based prices of a financial derivative in the case where the investor has a non-replicable random endowment. We provide an example showing that even in the simplest of settings - such as Samuelson's geometric Brownian motion model - the interval of marginal utility-based prices can …
The abstract warns against flawed empirical research in machine learning.
problem Flawed empirical research in machine learning leading to unreliable results.
method Call for more awareness of experimental knowledge plurality and epistemic limitations.
result Current empirical machine learning research should be exploratory, not confirmatory.
ERICA assesses replicability of cluster analysis results.
problem Lack of quantitative scrutiny for clustering results.
method ERICA: a framework to assess replicability of cluster analysis.
result Clusters are found to be replicable in synthetic data but not in real-world datasets.
The paper examines fair pricing and hedging stability under small numéraire perturbations.
problem Fair pricing and hedging stability under numéraire perturbations.
method Reformulating the stochastic control problem to show stability and deriving asymptotic formulas.
result Fair price and hedging strategy are stable with small numéraire perturbations.
Study optimizes portfolio to minimize relative drawdown duration, penalizing unfavorable performance states.
problem Minimizing relative drawdown duration in portfolio optimization relative to a benchmark.
method Introduces a benchmark-relative drawdown-duration criterion penalizing unfavorable performance states. Uses a one-dimensional Markovian representation and Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation.
result Derives explicit projection-based characterization of the optimal feedback control and identifies geometric settings for unique strong solutions.
New algorithm ensures consistent results in constrained MAB problems.
problem Achieving consistent results in constrained MAB problems.
method Developed replicable algorithms for constrained MAB problems using the optimism principle.
result Regret and constraint violation of replicable algorithms match those of non-replicable ones.
The paper improves generative models to avoid replicating observed examples.
problem Improving generative models to avoid replicating observed examples.
method Theoretical insights into the Wasserstein GAN, constrained to left-invertible push-forward maps, generating distributions that avoid replication and significantly deviate from the empirical distribution.
result Left-invertibility achieves this without compromising statistical optimality.
New uniformity tester ensures consistent results across different samples.
problem Non-replicable behavior of uniformity testing algorithms.
method Develops a replicable uniformity tester with improved sample complexity.
result Achieves nearly linear dependence on replicability factor ρ. With the maturation of metabolomics science and proliferation of biobanks, clinical metabolic profiling is an increasingly opportunistic frontier for advancing translational clinical research. Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) approaches provide exciting opportunity to guide feature selection in agnostic metabolic pr…
New method calculates Shapley values for uncertain functions.
problem Uncertain value functions in explainable machine learning.
method Definition of Shapley values using probability theory.
result Shapley values can be applied to uncertain functions.
New set-valued star-shaped risk measures introduced for better risk assessment.
problem Improving risk assessment in financial contexts.
method Developed new set-valued star-shaped risk measures and proved their representation theorems.
result Set-valued star-shaped risk measures can be represented as unions of set-valued convex risk measures.
The paper introduces Absolute Shapley Value to handle negative contributions in machine learning model training.
problem Negative marginal contributions in machine learning model training.
method Investigates three philosophies: Original Shapley Value, Zero Shapley Value, and Absolute Shapley Value.
result Absolute Shapley Value significantly outperforms other definitions in evaluating data importance.
Study on 2-valued dynamics on complex plane, showing some dynamics can't be group actions.
problem Whether 2-valued dynamics can be defined by the action of a 2-valued group.
method Construction of examples of dynamics that are or are not group actions.
result Some 2-valued dynamics on complex plane cannot be defined by the action of a 2-valued group.
Formula for Z_2-valued index of symmetric operators on manifolds.
problem Index of symmetric operators on manifolds with boundary.
method Cohomological formula for Z_2-valued index.
result A formula for the Z_2-valued index of operators on manifolds.
New method converts p-values to e-values for more efficient CP and aggregation.
problem Limitations of existing p-to-e calibrators in CP setting.
method Proposes a novel P2E calibrator for set-preserving calibration.
result Significant efficiency gains over existing p-to-e calibrators.
Introduces joint Shapley values to measure feature importance in models.
problem Measuring the importance of feature sets in machine learning models.
method Extends Shapley's axioms to measure a set of features' average contribution to a model's prediction.
result Joint Shapley values provide unique insights and are more consistent with local intuitions.
Proposes a low-cost method to set hyperparameters using optimized default values.
problem Challenges of setting hyperparameters by trial and error, leading to subjective and inefficient results.
method Generates optimized default values using a small set of values that outperform existing defaults and tuned values.
result New default values deliver better predictive performance and are competitive with tuned values, making them easier to use.
The paper introduces the Banzhaf value for robust data valuation in machine learning, addressing stochastic model performance.
problem Inconsistent data value rankings due to model performance noise.
method Introduces the Banzhaf value and Maximum Sample Reuse (MSR) principle for efficient estimation.
result The Banzhaf value outperforms other semivalues in robust data valuation.
A complex-valued convolutional network (convnet) implements the repeated application of the following composition of three operations, recursively applying the composition to an input vector of nonnegative real numbers: (1) convolution with complex-valued vectors followed by (2) taking the absolute value of every entry…
Complex-valued neural networks are not a new concept, however, the use of real-valued models has often been favoured over complex-valued models due to difficulties in training and performance. When comparing real-valued versus complex-valued neural networks, existing literature often ignores the number of parameters, r…
We approximate derivatives of functions on manifolds by embedding them and applying vector-valued operators.
problem Derivatives of manifold-valued functions are harder to approximate than vector-valued functions.
method Embed the manifold into a higher space, approximate the derivative of the vector-valued function, and project back.
result We provide error bounds for the approximation of manifold-valued function derivatives.
The paper defines and analyzes set-valued stochastic integrals for Lévy processes.
problem Defining and analyzing set-valued stochastic integrals for Lévy processes.
method Extending classical definitions to convoluted integrals with square-integrable kernels, and proving properties of set-valued convoluted stochastic integrals.
result Set-valued convoluted stochastic integrals can be explosive and take extended vector values.
Shapley value improves model interpretation but not causal inference.
problem Improving model interpretability without losing predictive power.
method Analyzed Shapley value in Bayesian networks, linking it to conditional independence.
result Eliminating high Shapley value variables does not harm predictive performance, but low Shapley value variables can.
This paper proposes a new approach to RL by focusing on the value-improvement path.
problem Value prediction problems in RL are sequence-dependent and require holistic approach.
method Characterize and approximate the value-improvement path holistically.
result A representation that spans the value-improvement path provides accurate value approximations for future policy improvements.
UA-LQE improves value function learning by selectively erasing uncertain entries in Q-matrix.
problem Improving value function learning in complex reinforcement learning tasks.
method Uncertainty-aware low-rank Q-matrix estimation (UA-LQE) algorithm.
result UA-LQE selectively erases uncertain entries in Q-matrix to improve value function approximation.
RDIS fills missing values in time series data explicitly.
problem Missing values in time series data.
method Random Drop Imputation with Self-training.
result RDIS achieves competitive results on real-world datasets.
E-values enhance conformal prediction methods.
problem Distribution-free uncertainty quantification.
method Reformulation of conformal prediction using e-values.
result E-values offer new theoretical and practical capabilities.
Paper introduces a new method for classifying interval-valued time series.
problem Classification of interval-valued time series.
method Extends point-valued time series imaging methods to interval-valued scenarios using DK-distance and employs deep learning for classification. result Proposed method achieves superior classification performance compared to existing methods.
Developing an explainable outlier detection method for interval-valued data using Shapley value-based approach.
problem Outlier detection in interval-valued data.
method Proposed a novel approach based on Shapley value for interval-valued data.
result Fine-grained interpretation of outliers with variable contributions.
Paper introduces v-CMC linking causality and utility.
problem Linking causality and utility for value theory.
method Developed a new causal independence principle (v-CMC) and proved its equivalence.
result Equivalence of local, global, and decomposition versions of v-CMC.
Study optimality conditions for interval-valued optimization problems on Riemannian manifolds.
problem Optimizing interval-valued functions on Riemannian manifolds under a total order relation.
method Generalized Hukuhara directional differentiability to derive KKT-type optimality conditions.
result Derives optimality conditions for interval-valued optimization problems on Riemannian manifolds.
"How much is my data worth?" is an increasingly common question posed by organizations and individuals alike. An answer to this question could allow, for instance, fairly distributing profits among multiple data contributors and determining prospective compensation when data breaches happen. In this paper, we study the…
We present a method to compute the Shapley values of reconstruction errors of principal component analysis (PCA), which is particularly useful in explaining the results of anomaly detection based on PCA. Because features are usually correlated when PCA-based anomaly detection is applied, care must be taken in computing…
Missing values frequently arise in modern biomedical studies due to various reasons, including missing tests or complex profiling technologies for different omics measurements. Missing values can complicate the application of clustering algorithms, whose goals are to group points based on some similarity criterion. A c…
Deep RBVFs improve continuous control in RL.
problem Challenges in finding optimal actions for continuous actions in RL.
method Introduced deep radial-basis value functions (RBVFs) for continuous control.
result RBF-DQN significantly outperforms value-function-only baselines and is competitive with actor-critic algorithms.
New asymptotic e-values improve inference by eliminating data-dependent scaling inefficiency.
problem Data-dependent scaling inefficiency in existing asymptotic e-values.
method Drawing on Bentkus's near-optimal concentration inequalities, introduce Bentkus-type asymptotic e-values.
result Bentkus-type asymptotic e-values consistently deliver sharper inference than existing alternatives.
Abstract: Generalizes multisymplectic forms to vector-valued versions.
problem Generalizing multisymplectic forms to vector-valued versions.
method Obtained a standard local presentation and proved an entropy inequality for partial compositions.
result Vector-valued multisymplectic forms form a non-unital operad.
DVA framework attributes value of predictive models to features, configurations, and interactions.
problem Lack of explanation for how predictive models influence operational decisions.
method Shapley-based cooperative game theory applied to predict-then-optimize systems.
result DVA can guide targeted interventions to align model beliefs with operational performance.
Gaussian Processes improve missing value imputation in datasets.
problem Handling missing values in large datasets.
method Sparse Gaussian Processes combined with stochastic variational inference.
result MGP significantly outperforms other imputation methods.
New versions of the set-valued average value at risk for multivariate risks are introduced by generalizing the well-known certainty equivalent representation to the set-valued case. The first "regulator" version is independent from any market model whereas the second version, called the market extension, takes trading …
This article introduces a framework to estimate the value of evidence-based decision making.
problem Lack of empirical tools to assess the value of evidence-based decision making and optimize statistical precision.
method Empirical framework using parametric and nonparametric empirical Bayes methods.
result The value of statistical evidence depends on how organizations translate it into policy decisions.
This research improves value-at-risk estimation during financial crises using non-extensive statistical methods.
problem Underestimation of value-at-risk during financial crises.
method Non-extensive value-at-risk model based on Tsallis entropy and q-Gaussian probability density function.
result The q-Gaussian model provides better value-at-risk estimation during financial crises.
Transform non-private e-values into differentially private ones.
problem Leaking sensitive data through non-private e-values.
method Developed a novel biased multiplicative noise mechanism.
result Differentially private e-values maintain strong statistical power and asymptotic equivalence to non-private ones.
New model learning objective improves continuous control tasks.
problem Challenges in solving continuous control tasks using model-based reinforcement learning.
method Derived a novel value-aware model learning objective and identified and addressed stale value estimates issue.
result Value-aware objectives can be successfully deployed in solving continuous control tasks without tuning hyper-parameters.
Investigates set-valued risk measures for processes and vectors, proving equivalence and providing new dual representations.
problem Investigates set-valued risk measures for processes and vectors.
method Utilizes equivalence of risk measures for processes and vectors and their penalty function formulations.
result Provides new dual representation for risk measures for processes in the set-valued framework.