A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Method recovers causal diffusion mechanisms from steady-state data without parametric assumptions.
We show that the jumps correlation matrix of a multivariate Hawkes process is related to the Hawkes kernel matrix through a system of Wiener-Hopf integral equations. A Wiener-Hopf argument allows one to prove that this system (in which the kernel matrix is the unknown) possesses a unique causal solution and consequentl…
This work develops a non-parametric test for relational independence in non-i.i.d. data.
Proposes using DII to identify non-linear causal relationships in EU Allowances returns.
Study uses non-parametric method to analyze EU ETS price determinants.
We consider a class of misspecified dynamical models where the governing term is only approximately known. Under the assumption that observations of the system's evolution are accessible for various initial conditions, our goal is to infer a non-parametric correction to the misspecified driving term such as to faithful…
We consider the problem of impulse response estimation of stable linear single-input single-output systems. It is a well-studied problem where flexible non-parametric models recently offered a leap in performance compared to the classical finite-dimensional model structures. Inspired by this development and the success…
Estimates classifier errors without ground truth using algebraic geometry.
A new MFG framework for evolving clusters from Gaussian mixtures.
Method learns dynamics from sparse, irregular feature data.
Study non-parametric frequency-domain system identification from finite samples.
Neural networks estimate SDEs with jump noise using a Tamed-Milstein scheme.
Inferring the laws of interaction between particles and agents in complex dynamical systems from observational data is a fundamental challenge in a wide variety of disciplines. We propose a non-parametric statistical learning approach to estimate the governing laws of distance-based interactions, with no reference or a…
The study optimizes sampling in complex systems with probabilistic response distributions.
We introduce a data-based approach to estimating key quantities which arise in the study of nonlinear control systems and random nonlinear dynamical systems. Our approach hinges on the observation that much of the existing linear theory may be readily extended to nonlinear systems - with a reasonable expectation of suc…
Proposes method for eliciting non-parametric joint priors using normalizing flows.
We propose a principled algorithm for robust Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems when both the transition function and the measurement function are described by non-parametric Gaussian process (GP) models. GPs are gaining increasing importance in signal processing, machine learning,…
This article is concerned with learning and stochastic control in physical systems which contain unknown input signals. These unknown signals are modeled as Gaussian processes (GP) with certain parametrized covariance structures. The resulting latent force models (LFMs) can be seen as hybrid models that contain a first…
Adversarially robust machine learning has received much recent attention. However, prior attacks and defenses for non-parametric classifiers have been developed in an ad-hoc or classifier-specific basis. In this work, we take a holistic look at adversarial examples for non-parametric classifiers, including nearest neig…
New limits of minimal surface systems have surprising large interior parts.
Distinguishing between classes of time series sampled from dynamic systems is a common challenge in systems and control engineering, for example in the context of health monitoring, fault detection, and quality control. The challenge is increased when no underlying model of a system is known, measurement noise is prese…
There has been a growing interest in using non-parametric regression methods like Gaussian Process (GP) regression for system identification. GP regression does traditionally have three important downsides: (1) it is computationally intensive, (2) it cannot efficiently implement newly obtained measurements online, and …
NPOD algorithm improves efficiency in estimating pharmacokinetic parameters.
Modeling structure in complex networks using Bayesian non-parametrics makes it possible to specify flexible model structures and infer the adequate model complexity from the observed data. This paper provides a gentle introduction to non-parametric Bayesian modeling of complex networks: Using an infinite mixture model …
WRSE predicts dynamic survival distributions in ICU patients.
We introduce a novel paradigm for learning non-parametric drift and diffusion functions for stochastic differential equation (SDE). The proposed model learns to simulate path distributions that match observations with non-uniform time increments and arbitrary sparseness, which is in contrast with gradient matching that…
For many years, i-vector based audio embedding techniques were the dominant approach for speaker verification and speaker diarization applications. However, mirroring the rise of deep learning in various domains, neural network based audio embeddings, also known as d-vectors, have consistently demonstrated superior spe…
This study examines when non-parametric methods are robust to adversarial examples.
Most of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms in existing probabilistic programming systems suboptimally use only model priors as proposal distributions. In this work, we describe an approach for training a discriminative model, namely a neural network, in order to approximate the …
The application of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to the analysis of temporal data has attracted increasing attention, due to their ability to describe complex dynamics with physically interpretable equations. In this paper, we introduce a non-parametric method for estimating the drift and diffusion terms of …
Simpler GNNs with low-rank non-parametric aggregators perform well on graph benchmarks.
Dirichlet Process(DP) is a Bayesian non-parametric prior for infinite mixture modeling, where the number of mixture components grows with the number of data items. The Hierarchical Dirichlet Process (HDP), is an extension of DP for grouped data, often used for non-parametric topic modeling, where each group is a mixtur…
A GAN method for stochastic boundary conditions in fast dynamics.
Study provides guarantees for kernel clustering under non-parametric mixtures.
Develops flexible non-parametric ACFs using B-spline kernels.
In many applications (in particular information systems, such as pattern recognition, machine learning, cheminformatics, bioinformatics to name but a few) the assessment of uncertainty is essential - i.e., the estimation of the underlying probability distribution function. More often than not, the form of this function…
Generative dynamic texture models (GDTMs) are widely used for dynamic texture (DT) segmentation in the video sequences. GDTMs represent DTs as a set of linear dynamical systems (LDSs). A major limitation of these models concerns the automatic selection of a proper number of DTs. Dirichlet process mixture (DPM) models w…
A novel MCMC method clusters data faster and more accurately.
One of the fundamental problems in supervised classification and in machine learning in general, is the modelling of non-parametric invariances that exist in data. Most prior art has focused on enforcing priors in the form of invariances to parametric nuisance transformations that are expected to be present in data. Le…
Study evaluates policies in partially observable environments without full model specification.
Non-parametric estimators improve quickest changepoint detection under irregular sequence lengths.
Estimates non-parametric logistic model using case-control data and external summary info.
DPPS uses DP priors for Bayesian non-parametric multi-arm bandits.
Optimizes web publisher revenues from RTB auctions.
Develops a new method for learning non-parametric DAGs using RKHS.
The paper develops a theory for identifying the best arm in non-parametric multi-armed bandits with a fixed budget.
The paper reviews methods for estimating individual treatment effects using non-parametric regression models.
Bayesian model tackles spatial count data issues with flexible non-parametric techniques.