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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,922 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for noisy-or model

Given a set of experiments in which varying subsets of observed variables are subject to intervention, we consider the problem of identifiability of causal models exhibiting latent confounding. While identifiability is trivial when each experiment intervenes on a large number of variables, the situation is more complic…

2012-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

pRSL combines probabilistic rules to improve multi-label classification.

problem Modeling the structure between multi-label classes for better performance.
method Uses probabilistic propositional logic rules and belief propagation to combine predictions from multiple classifiers.
result pRSL achieves state-of-the-art performance on various benchmark datasets.

This paper considers the problem of learning the parameters in Bayesian networks of discrete variables with known structure and hidden variables. Previous approaches in these settings typically use expectation maximization; when the network has high treewidth, the required expectations might be approximated using Monte…

2013-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a method to detect and filter noisy or mislabeled data using pointwise mutual information.

problem Detecting and filtering noisy or mislabeled data in deep learning models.
method A mutual information-based framework quantifying statistical dependencies between inputs and labels.
result The method effectively filters low-quality samples, improving classification accuracy by up to 15%.

We present the Infinite Latent Events Model, a nonparametric hierarchical Bayesian distribution over infinite dimensional Dynamic Bayesian Networks with binary state representations and noisy-OR-like transitions. The distribution can be used to learn structure in discrete timeseries data by simultaneously inferring a s…

2012-05-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Many machine learning applications use latent variable models to explain structure in data, whereby visible variables (= coordinates of the given datapoint) are explained as a probabilistic function of some hidden variables. Finding parameters with the maximum likelihood is NP-hard even in very simple settings. In rece…

2016-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Model detects patterns in noisy binary data, explaining neuron activity in terms of cell assemblies.

problem Detecting structure in noisy or approximate repeats of patterns in sparse binary data.
method Probabilistic binary latent variable model based on Noisy-OR model, inferring sparse activity in latent variables.
result Model successfully extracts and explains latent structure in spiking neural data.

GER learns particle dynamics from unpaired snapshots using physics-informed GANs.

problem Learning particle dynamics from unpaired snapshots with physics constraints.
method Physics-informed generative model to fit particle ensemble distributions.
result Inferred dynamics of particle ensembles governed by SODEs up to 100 dimensions.

New findings show learnable distributions remain learnable even with noisy or adversarial perturbations.

problem Learning from perturbed samples in high-dimensional spaces.
method Developed a perturbation-quantization framework to analyze additive noise and adversarial corruption models.
result Sample compressible families remain learnable even under noisy or adversarial perturbations.

Relational probabilistic models have the challenge of aggregation, where one variable depends on a population of other variables. Consider the problem of predicting gender from movie ratings; this is challenging because the number of movies per user and users per movie can vary greatly. Surprisingly, aggregation is not…

2017-07-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Modern neural networks tend to be overconfident on unseen, noisy or incorrectly labelled data and do not produce meaningful uncertainty measures. Bayesian deep learning aims to address this shortcoming with variational approximations (such as Bayes by Backprop or Multiplicative Normalising Flows). However, current appr…

2017-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗

When dealing with subjective, noisy, or otherwise nebulous features, the "wisdom of crowds" suggests that one may benefit from multiple judgments of the same feature on the same object. We give theoretically-motivated `feature multi-selection' algorithms that choose, among a large set of candidate features, not only wh…

2013-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Simultaneously estimates travel times and route choice model parameters.

problem Interdependent estimation of arc travel times and route choice model parameters.
method Maximum likelihood estimation for any differentiable route choice model.
result Strong performance in real-world data, even compared to arc travel time estimation methods.

We use a cluster ensemble to determine the number of clusters, k, in a group of data. A consensus similarity matrix is formed from the ensemble using multiple algorithms and several values for k. A random walk is induced on the graph defined by the consensus matrix and the eigenvalues of the associated transition proba…

2014-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Minimizing the empirical risk is a popular training strategy, but for learning tasks where the data may be noisy or heavy-tailed, one may require many observations in order to generalize well. To achieve better performance under less stringent requirements, we introduce a procedure which constructs a robust approximati…

2017-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a novel objective function for learning robust deep representations of data based on information theory. Data is projected into a feature-vector space such that the mutual information of all subsets of features relative to the supervising signal is maximized. This objective function gives rise to robust repr…

2019-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

We study two-layer belief networks of binary random variables in which the conditional probabilities Pr[childlparents] depend monotonically on weighted sums of the parents. In large networks where exact probabilistic inference is intractable, we show how to compute upper and lower bounds on many probabilities of intere…

2013-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Empirical study shows overparameterization benefits unsupervised learning of latent variable models.

problem Improving optimization landscape in unsupervised learning with overparameterization.
method Synthetic and semi-synthetic experiments with various models and training algorithms.
result Overparameterization significantly increases the number of ground truth latent variables recovered.

EBRM improves robustness and generalization of language model rewards.

problem Challenges in capturing complex human preferences and generalizing to unseen data in reward models.
method Energy-Based Reward Model (EBRM) that models reward distribution explicitly, using conflict-aware data filtering, label-noise-aware contrastive training, and hybrid initialization.
result Significant improvements in robustness and generalization, up to 5.97% improvement in safety-critical alignment tasks.

A federated model learns shared archetypes from heterogeneous clients in continual learning.

problem Federated learning struggles with client heterogeneity and streaming distribution shifts.
method Clients encode their data as low-rank Hebbian operators, which are sent to a central server for aggregation and factorization into global archetypes.
result Improved global archetype reconstruction and associative retrieval in heterogeneous clients, drift, and novelty settings.

We propose a unified data-driven framework based on inverse optimal transport that can learn adaptive, nonlinear interaction cost function from noisy and incomplete empirical matching matrix and predict new matching in various matching contexts. We emphasize that the discrete optimal transport plays the role of a varia…

2018-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The abundance of data produced daily from large variety of sources has boosted the need of novel approaches on causal inference analysis from observational data. Observational data often contain noisy or missing entries. Moreover, causal inference studies may require unobserved high-level information which needs to be …

2017-03-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework learns data manifold and generative model from corrupted data.

problem Learning from corrupted data with latent manifold structures.
method Riemannian AmbientFlow, incorporating normalizing flows and Riemannian Autoencoders.
result Framework recovers underlying data distribution and smooth manifold parametrization.

A novel method for estimating Bayesian network (BN) parameters from data is presented which provides improved performance on test data. Previous research has shown the value of representing conditional probability distributions (CPDs) via neural networks(Neal 1992), noisy-OR gates (Neal 1992, Diez 1993)and decision tre…

2013-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper tackles continuous domain generalization, improving model performance across unseen domains.

problem Existing domain generalization approaches fail to capture the complex, multidimensional nature of real-world variation.
method Introduces Continuous Domain Generalization (CDG), a principled framework grounded in geometric and algebraic theories. Proposes a Neural Lie Transport Operator (NeuralLio) for structure-preserving parameter transitions and a gating mechanism for robust generalization.
result Demonstrates significant improvement in generalization accuracy and robustness across various datasets.

CT-OT Flow estimates continuous-time dynamics from discrete snapshots.

problem Estimating continuous-time dynamics from temporally aggregated snapshots with noisy or uncertain timestamps.
method Two-stage framework: aligning neighboring intervals via partial optimal transport (POT) and reconstructing a continuous-time distribution through temporal kernel smoothing.
result Reduces distributional and trajectory errors compared with existing methods across synthetic and real datasets.

Paper identifies latent factors from noisy measurements using tensor decomposition.

problem Identification of latent factors from noisy, correlated measurements.
method Tensor decomposition of third order cross moments, Kruskal theorem, Kotlarski identity, generalized Kruskal rank.
result Full distribution of latent factors and measurement errors identified without injective measurements.

We propose a Bayesian optimization algorithm for objective functions that are sums or integrals of expensive-to-evaluate functions, allowing noisy evaluations. These objective functions arise in multi-task Bayesian optimization for tuning machine learning hyperparameters, optimization via simulation, and sequential des…

2018-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

LDLE embeds manifolds in lower dimensions with low distortion.

problem Embedding manifolds in lower dimensions with low distortion.
method Constructs local views using global eigenvectors of the graph Laplacian, registers them using Procrustes analysis, and tears manifolds apart for intrinsic dimension embedding.
result LDLE preserves distances up to a constant scale with low distortion.

A novel framework for consensus clustering is presented which has the ability to determine both the number of clusters and a final solution using multiple algorithms. A consensus similarity matrix is formed from an ensemble using multiple algorithms and several values for k. A variety of dimension reduction techniques …

2014-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗