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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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122244366488 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for noisy class posterior

Dual-T method improves transition matrix estimation in noisy label learning.

problem Large estimation error in noisy class posterior leads to poor transition matrix estimation.
method Introducing an intermediate class to avoid direct estimation of noisy class posterior, factorizing the transition matrix into two easier-to-estimate matrices.
result The dual-T estimator leads to better classification performances.

Method estimates noise transition matrix from noisy labels without relying on unreliable class-posterior estimation.

problem Estimating noise transition matrix from noisy data.
method Total variation regularization to encourage distinguishable predicted probabilities.
result Consistent estimator of the noise transition matrix under mild assumptions.

A similarity label indicates whether two instances belong to the same class while a class label shows the class of the instance. Without class labels, a multi-class classifier could be learned from similarity-labeled pairwise data by meta classification learning. However, since the similarity label is less informative …

2020-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Variational Bayesian neural networks combine the flexibility of deep learning with Bayesian uncertainty estimation. However, inference procedures for flexible variational posteriors are computationally expensive. A recently proposed method, noisy natural gradient, is a surprisingly simple method to fit expressive poste…

2018-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Logistic regression can handle noisy labels effectively when labels are imperfectly assigned by multiple experts.

problem Label noise in supervised classification due to manual labelling by multiple experts.
method Using approximate posterior probabilities of class membership from multiple experts to train logistic regression models.
result Logistic regression can be robust to label noise when classification difficulty is the only source of errors.

A fast method approximates likelihood scores for noisy linear inverse problems.

problem Solving noisy linear inverse problems efficiently.
method Proposes a simple closed-form approximation to the likelihood score for diffusion and flow-based models.
result Significantly faster than baseline methods while maintaining competitive or better reconstruction performances.

Efficiently infers coupled hidden Markov models with noisy discrete observations.

problem Intractable inference for coupled continuous-time Markov chains with discrete observations.
method Latent Interacting Particle Systems, look-ahead functions, twisted Sequential Monte Carlo sampling.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on latent SIRS model and wildfire spread dynamics.

Bayesian PINNs learn elliptic PDEs with near-minimax posterior contraction rate.

problem Learning elliptic PDEs with noisy data and non-homogeneous boundary conditions.
method Bayesian approach with a Hölder space prior on neural network weights.
result Posterior contracts at near-minimax rate without prior knowledge of solution smoothness.

Flow Annealing Posterior Sampling unifies stochastic-process regression and PDE inverse problems.

problem Function-space posterior sampling for stochastic processes and inverse problems.
method Flow Annealing Posterior Sampling (FAPS) using pretrained function-space flow-matching priors.
result Coherent posterior samples with accurate uncertainty quantification.

Bayesian approach optimizes quantum circuits for noisy hardware.

problem Optimizing parameterized quantum circuits on noisy quantum hardware.
method Reformulate classical optimisation as Bayesian posterior, combining cost function and prior distribution. Apply dimension reduction and posterior sampling strategies.
result Bayesian approach generates faster, less noisy circuits than classical methods.

Noise-ignorant empirical risk minimization achieves state-of-the-art performance on noisy data.

problem Learning with noisy labels in multi-class classification problems.
method Introducing relative signal strength (RSS) to quantify transferability and applying Noise Ignorant Empirical Risk Minimization (NI-ERM).
result NI-ERM achieves state-of-the-art performance on CIFAR-N data challenge.

It is well known that Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods scale poorly with dataset size. A popular class of methods for solving this issue is stochastic gradient MCMC. These methods use a noisy estimate of the gradient of the log posterior, which reduces the per iteration computational cost of the algorithm. Despi…

2017-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Classical approaches for approximate inference depend on cleverly designed variational distributions and bounds. Modern approaches employ amortized variational inference, which uses a neural network to approximate any posterior without leveraging the structures of the generative models. In this paper, we propose Amorti…

2019-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops NPMC method for noisy labels, improving multiclass classification accuracy.

problem Asymmetric misclassification costs and label noise in multiclass classification.
method Empirical likelihood approach using exponential tilting density ratio model.
result Root n consistent and asymptotically normal estimators for clean labels and noise mechanism.

Variational Bayesian neural nets combine the flexibility of deep learning with Bayesian uncertainty estimation. Unfortunately, there is a tradeoff between cheap but simple variational families (e.g.~fully factorized) or expensive and complicated inference procedures. We show that natural gradient ascent with adaptive w…

2017-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

A new particle filter uses diffusion models to improve state estimation from noisy data.

problem Sequentially estimating the state of a dynamical system from noisy and incomplete observations.
method Uses a diffusion model to simulate and predict system dynamics, incorporating noisy observations to refine predicted states.
result An unbiased particle filtering method that rigorously fuses observational data with diffusion model simulations.

In label-noise learning, \textit{noise transition matrix}, denoting the probabilities that clean labels flip into noisy labels, plays a central role in building \textit{statistically consistent classifiers}. Existing theories have shown that the transition matrix can be learned by exploiting \textit{anchor points} (i.e…

2019-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Investigation of human brain states through electroencephalograph (EEG) signals is a crucial step in human-machine communications. However, classifying and analyzing EEG signals are challenging due to their noisy, nonlinear and nonstationary nature. Current methodologies for analyzing these signals often fall short bec…

2019-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The scalability of the labeling process and the attainable quality of labels have become limiting factors for many applications of machine learning. The programmatic creation of labeled datasets via the synthesis of noisy heuristics provides a promising avenue to address this problem. We propose to improve modeling of …

2019-12-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes a new algorithm for Gaussian process classification based on posterior linearisation (PL). In PL, a Gaussian approximation to the posterior density is obtained iteratively using the best possible linearisation of the conditional mean of the labels and accounting for the linearisation error. PL has s…

2018-09-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a learning theory for the training of a linear system operator having an input compositional variable and propose a Bayesian inversion method for inferring the unknown variable from an output of a noisy linear system. We assume that we have partial or even no knowledge of the operator but have training data …

2018-06-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Attention-only transformers learn from context via two stages of inference.

problem Learning from corrupted token sequences in minimal transformers.
method Two-stage empirical Bayes interpretation: kernel-weighted posterior mean and particle dynamics.
result Effective denoising without explicit noise schedules, showing posterior-mean recovery under asymptotic conditions.

Differentiable relaxation for inferring partial orders from noisy linear data.

problem Inference of partial orders from linear data with noisy observations.
method Introducing a differentiable relaxation to model noisy linear extensions, replacing discontinuous precedence and feasibility with smooth surrogates.
result Smooth posterior that preserves partial-order semantics, supports gradient-based inference, and converges to hard likelihood.

Recent progress in variational inference has paid much attention to the flexibility of variational posteriors. One promising direction is to use implicit distributions, i.e., distributions without tractable densities as the variational posterior. However, existing methods on implicit posteriors still face challenges of…

2017-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

VSE estimates complex processes from noisy measurements without a model.

problem Estimating states of complex, model-free processes from noisy data.
method Variational state estimation using recurrent neural networks (RNNs) in both learning and inference phases.
result VSE provides a competitive state estimate for a benchmark process (Lorenz system) compared to known and data-driven methods.

Latent variable time-series models are among the most heavily used tools from machine learning and applied statistics. These models have the advantage of learning latent structure both from noisy observations and from the temporal ordering in the data, where it is assumed that meaningful correlation structure exists ac…

2015-11-23abs ↗pdf ↗

SIP framework discovers governing equations in uncertain systems.

problem Discovering governing equations in systems with input variability and noisy data.
method SIP framework treats unknown coefficients as random variables and infers their posterior distribution by minimizing Kullback-Leibler divergence.
result SIP consistently identifies correct equations and lowers coefficient error by 82% relative to SINDy.

This paper treats prediction markets as Bayesian inverse problems to quantify uncertainty and identify event outcomes.

problem Uncertainty and identifiability in prediction market outcomes from price-volume histories.
method Formulates prediction markets as Bayesian inverse problems, introduces a log-odds observation model, and derives posterior uncertainty quantification and identifiability criteria.
result Explicit diagnostics for informative and stable inference regimes, and validation through synthetic data experiments.

Paper analyzes GP-EI for Bayesian optimization with no regret and provides guidance on choosing incumbents.

problem Analyzing cumulative regret of GP-EI with different incumbents in noisy Bayesian optimization.
method Analyzes GP-EI with three incumbents (BPMI, BSPMI, BOI) in both SE and Matérn kernels, proving no-regret for BPMI and BSPMI.
result GP-EI with BPMI and BSPMI is a no-regret algorithm for both SE and Matérn kernels, providing theoretical guidance for choosing incumbents.

DiEM trains diffusion models from noisy data using EM.

problem Training diffusion models requires clean data, which is often unavailable.
method DiEM uses expectation-maximization algorithm to train diffusion models from incomplete and noisy observations.
result DiEM leads to proper diffusion models suitable for downstream tasks.