Existence of incomplete Radner equilibrium with endogenous noise tracker.
problem Existence of incomplete Radner equilibrium in a model with endogenous noise tracker.
method Proved existence through a coupled system of ODEs, reduced to two coupled ODEs.
result Endogenous noise tracker leads to higher aggregate welfare for large stock supply.
Policy gradient methods find Nash equilibrium in noisy games.
problem Finding Nash equilibrium in noisy games.
method Policy gradient methods with noise added.
result Policy gradient methods converge to Nash equilibrium in noisy games.
Study shows unique linear equilibrium in market with constrained trader.
problem Unique equilibrium in financial market with constrained trader.
method Linear equilibrium model with competitive market makers and noise traders.
result Equilibrium uniquely determined by two state variables.
Study analyzes market equilibrium returns with price impact and transaction costs.
problem Modeling equilibrium returns in markets with strategic order placement and transaction costs.
method Analyzes frictionless and transaction-cost markets, characterizes Nash equilibrium via FBSDEs.
result Equilibrium returns are affected by transaction costs, especially with noise traders.
Study on Kyle's model with stochastic liquidity impacts asset volatility.
problem Impact of stochastic volatility of noise trading on asset volatility.
method Construct equilibrium for continuous-time Kyle's model with stochastic liquidity.
result In equilibrium, Kyle's Lambda and its inverse are submartingales.
Existence of strong randomized equilibria in mean-field games with common noise.
problem Existence of strong solutions in mean-field games of optimal stopping.
method Connection with Bank-El Karoui's representation problem and continuity assumptions.
result Existence of strong randomized mean-field equilibrium under certain conditions.
We construct explicitly a bridge process whose distribution, in its own filtration, is the same as the difference of two independent Poisson processes with the same intensity and its time 1 value satisfies a specific constraint. This construction allows us to show the existence of Glosten-Milgrom equilibrium and its as…
Market equilibrium price proven in a large-agent model.
problem Proving market equilibrium in a large-agent setting.
method Proved existence of equilibrium price in a complete, continuous time market with infinite agents.
result The equilibrium price dynamics decouple as the number of agents increases.
Motivated by the scarcity of accurate payoff feedback in practical applications of game theory, we examine a class of learning dynamics where players adjust their choices based on past payoff observations that are subject to noise and random disturbances. First, in the single-player case (corresponding to an agent tryi…
The paper explores how symmetries and noise in SGD influence parameter dynamics.
problem Understanding the dynamics of parameter updates in SGD with symmetries.
method Proved the existence of noise equilibria and showed their role in balancing gradient noise.
result Gradient noise creates a systematic motion of parameters to a unique fixed point, called noise equilibria.
The paper analyzes arbitrage opportunities in a large investor market with common stock noises.
problem Identifying arbitrage opportunities in a market with many competitive investors.
method Stochastic differential games and mean-field systems to study market dynamics and optimal arbitrage.
result Optimal arbitrage is characterized by a solution to a Cauchy PDE involving volatility terms.
Alternative finance models from physics for non-equilibrium systems.
problem Inequities of classical finance models in physics-based perspective.
method Physics-based insights for non-equilibrium finance models.
result Alternative models for non-equilibrium finance systems.
Model equilibrium price in intraday electricity markets with uncertainty.
problem Formulate equilibrium model for intraday electricity trading with balancing constraints and uncertainty.
method Develop equilibrium model with agents' balancing constraints, forecasted consumption, production uncertainties, and Markov chain outages.
result Existence and uniqueness of equilibrium price as a martingale, with insights into price formation and impact of uncertainty.
Privacy-preserving crypto exchanges adjust prices based on Gaussian noise.
problem Ensuring fair pricing in privacy-preserving cryptocurrency exchanges.
method Derive Kyle equilibrium with Gaussian noise perturbation, rescaling price-impact and strategy factors.
result Identify a privacy subsidy as a transfer from LP pool to traders, invariant to noise.
Modeling trading behavior with information signals and limit order books, showing market impact and equilibrium properties.
problem Analyzing the impact of information signals on trading behavior and market equilibrium in limit order books.
method Static equilibrium model with profit-maximizing investors and competitive dealers, using iterative algorithms and asymptotic analysis.
result The market impact of large trades follows a power law with fat tails and a logarithmic law with lighter tails, and the order book flattens as noise trading increases.
A game-theoretic analysis of DEX competition through dynamic trading fees.
problem Competition between decentralized exchanges (DEXs) and their impact on trading fees and slippage.
method Characterization of an approximate Nash equilibrium via coupled system of partial differential equations and closed-form expressions for equilibrium fees.
result The equilibrium trading fees shift from the oracle price to a weighted average of the oracle and competitors' exchange rates under competition.
AMM finds optimal contract for LPs to maximize order flow.
problem Maximizing order flow in AMMs with LPs.
method Leader-follower stochastic game, closed-form equilibrium solutions.
result LPs incentivized to add liquidity when external price attracts more noise trading.
This paper simplifies complex game dynamics by using a recursive representation.
problem Difficulties in finite-player dynamic games with private information.
method Provides a recursive representation and noise-state model.
result Equilibrium becomes a deterministic fixed point in impulse-response functions.
New discrete-time model shows insider trading dynamics.
problem Modeling insider trading with discrete time and noise traders.
method Formulated as a game with three types of traders, including an insider, noise traders, and a market maker. Proved existence of sequential Kyle equilibrium for various distributions and information flows.
result Equilibria exist in mixed strategies but not in pure strategies, unlike in Kyle's original model.
In this paper, the Kyle model of insider trading is extended by characterizing the trading volume with long memory and allowing the noise trading volatility to follow a general stochastic process. Under this newly revised model, the equilibrium conditions are determined, with which the optimal insider trading strategy,…
Study on price formation in a market with a major player and minor firms.
problem Equilibrium price formation in a market with a major financial firm and many minor firms.
method Analyzes the equilibrium price process in both finite and mean field models, considering idiosyncratic and common noises.
result Derives the functional form of price impact for the major firm in both market sizes.
Improved SEG method converges to Nash equilibrium in bilinear games.
problem Stochastic bilinear minimax optimization problem
method Stochastic ExtraGradient (SEG) method with constant step size, iteration averaging, and scheduled restarting.
result Provable convergence to Nash equilibrium under standard settings, optimal convergence rate in interpolation setting.
Developed LQ MFG theory with common noise, proving existence and uniqueness.
problem Linear-quadratic mean field games with common noise.
method Coupled forward-backward stochastic evolution equations (FBSEEs) in Hilbert spaces.
result Existence and uniqueness of solutions for small and arbitrary finite time horizons.
This work presents an asset pricing model that under rational expectation equilibrium perspective shows how, depending on risk aversion and noise volatility, a risky-asset has one equilibrium price that differs in term of efficiency: an informational efficient one (similar to Campbell and Kyle (1993)), and another one …
This paper extends a Kyle model to include price-responsive traders, revealing new dynamics and equilibria.
problem Real-world market dynamics involve price-responsive traders, affecting market equilibrium and insider profits.
method Developed a continuous-time Kyle model with two types of price-responsive traders (momentum and contrarian), leading to a forward-backward Riccati system for equilibrium.
result The model shows that feedback effects can lead to multiple equilibria and amplify price informativeness.
Model shows phase transitions in asset pricing with market maker incentives.
problem Analyzing asset pricing with market maker profit incentives.
method Stochastic game theory, neural networks.
result Equilibrium experiences three phases: linear pricing, mid-price with spread, and metastable state.
Study of 2imes2 zero-sum games with noisy observations and commitments.
problem Analyzing 2imes2 zero-sum games with noisy observations and commitments. method Modeling a 2imes2 zero-sum game with a leader committing to a strategy and a follower observing a noisy version of the leader's action. result Observing the leader's action is either beneficial or immaterial for the follower, and the equilibrium payoff is bounded.
Paper studies zero-sum games with noisy observations and identifies equilibrium conditions.
problem Zero-sum games with noisy observations of the leader's actions.
method Analyzes the equilibrium of games with noisy action observability, identifies necessary conditions for uniqueness, and investigates the cardinality of best responses.
result The noisy observations significantly impact the cardinality of the follower's set of best responses, and under certain conditions, this set becomes a singleton almost surely.
Deep neural network solves large multi-agent games for Markovian Nash equilibrium.
problem Finding Markovian Nash equilibrium in large multi-agent stochastic differential games.
method Reformulate as decoupled decision problems, solve iteratively using deep BSDE method.
result Proposed algorithm accurately finds Nash equilibrium in large games.
The paper analyzes optimal investment strategies in a game with jump risk, deriving mean field equilibria.
problem Optimal investment strategies in a game with jump risk and peer competition.
method Formulated mean field game and n-player game models, characterized equilibrium states, and derived approximation errors.
result Explicit mean field equilibrium and approximate Nash equilibrium for large n-player games.
Study optimizes interbank lending and borrowing to reduce systemic risk.
problem Optimizing lending and borrowing in interbank markets to mitigate systemic risk.
method Risk-sensitive mean field games with common noise, convex analysis, Fokker-Planck equations, first hitting time method.
result Risk-averse behavior reduces individual and systemic bank risks.
We present a dynamical many-body theory of money in which the value of money is a time dependent ``strategic variable'' that is chosen by the individual agents. The value of money in equilibrium is not fixed by the equations, and thus represents a continuous symmetry. The dynamics breaks this continuous symmetry by fix…
Study uses MFG approach to model equilibrium pricing with market clearing condition.
problem Continuous asset pricing with market clearing condition.
method Mean field game approach to solve forward-backward SDEs of McKean-Vlasov type.
result Net order flow converges to zero in large N-limit with specified conditions.
General equilibrium is the dominant theoretical framework for economic policy analysis at the level of the whole economy. In practice, general equilibrium treats economies as being always in equilibrium, albeit in a sequence of equilibria as driven by external changes in parameters. This view is sometimes defended on t…
We discuss a natural game of competition and solve the corresponding mean field game with \emph{common noise} when agents' rewards are \emph{rank dependent}. We use this solution to provide an approximate Nash equilibrium for the finite player game and obtain the rate of convergence.
Based on the stochastic model proposed by Patriarca-Kaski-Chakraborti that describes the exchange of wealth between n economic agents, we analyze the evolution of the corresponding economies under the assumption of a Gaussian background, modeling the exchange parameter ε. We demonstrate, that within Gaussian noise,…
Non-equilibrium phenomena occur not only in physical world, but also in finance. In this work, stochastic relaxational dynamics (together with path integrals) is applied to option pricing theory. A recently proposed model (by Ilinski et al.) considers fluctuations around this equilibrium state by introducing a relaxati…
This paper studies the equilibrium pricing of asset shares in the presence of dynamic private information. The market consists of a risk-neutral informed agent who observes the firm value, noise traders, and competitive market makers who set share prices using the total order flow as a noisy signal of the insider's inf…
A new method uses deep learning to predict rare events in complex systems.
problem Predicting rare and extreme events in non-equilibrium systems.
method A deep learning approach that minimizes the geometrical action.
result The method accurately predicts rare events in various complex systems.
We address the challenge of designing optimal adversarial noise algorithms for settings where a learner has access to multiple classifiers. We demonstrate how this problem can be framed as finding strategies at equilibrium in a two-player, zero-sum game between a learner and an adversary. In doing so, we illustrate the…
ABIDES-MARL uses MARL to study market behavior in a realistic financial simulation.
problem Understanding equilibrium behavior in complex financial market games.
method Combines MARL with a realistic LOB simulation to study market behavior.
result Validated approach by solving an extended Kyle model and showing how execution strategies shape market dynamics.
A new generalized Statistical Complexity Measure (SCM) was proposed by Rosso et al in 2010. It is a functional that captures the notions of order/disorder and of distance to an equilibrium distribution. The former is computed by a measure of entropy, while the latter depends on the definition of a stochastic divergence…
New method samples from multi-modal distributions on Riemannian manifolds without training.
problem Sampling from multi-modal distributions on Riemannian manifolds is challenging.
method Simulation of a non-equilibrium deterministic dynamics to transport noise toward target distributions.
result Method is entirely training-free and effective on various multi-modal problems.
Scaled sparse linear regression jointly estimates the regression coefficients and noise level in a linear model. It chooses an equilibrium with a sparse regression method by iteratively estimating the noise level via the mean residual square and scaling the penalty in proportion to the estimated noise level. The iterat…
The paper studies an oligopolistic equilibrium model of financial agents who aim to share their random endowments. The risk-sharing securities and their prices are endogenously determined as the outcome of a strategic game played among all the participating agents. In the complete-market setting, each agent's set of st…
Market inefficiencies arise from density-dependent returns in a noisy environment.
problem Market inefficiencies and excess volatility.
method Developed a market model using ecological concepts.
result Market dynamics are density-dependent, leading to inefficiencies.
An interacting Black-Scholes model for option pricing, where the usual constant interest rate r is replaced by a stochastic time dependent rate r(t) of the form r(t)=r+f(t) dW/dt, accounting for market imperfections and prices non-alignment, was developed in [1]. The white noise amplitude f(t), called arbitrage bubble,…
On curved spaces, viscous fluids reach equilibrium quickly.
problem Thermalization of viscous fluids on negatively curved manifolds.
method Stochastic Navier-Stokes equations with kinematically selected deformation Laplacian.
result Exponential thermalization rate of $2νλ_\Def$.